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Akranes vs Stjarnan Gardabaer: prediction and odds

Úrvalsdeild · Iceland · 26 July 2026
Akranes logoAkranes
5:1
1st half: 3:0
26.07.2026 20:15
Stjarnan Gardabaer logoStjarnan Gardabaer

Match events

Haukur Andri Haraldsson1:0
4′
Viktor Jonsson2:0
9′
Jon Gisli Eyland Gislason3:0
26′
Jon Gisli Eyland Gislason🟨
62′
66′
3:1Andri Rúnar Bjarnason
M Ellertsson4:1
71′
M Ellertsson5:1
86′

Match statistics: Akranes vs Stjarnan Gardabaer

AkranesStjarnan Gardabaer
57Ball possession, %0
19Shots0
9Shots on target0
8Corners0
15Fouls0
1Offsides0
0Yellow cards0
0Red cards0

💡 Match preview Akranes vs Stjarnan Gardabaer

The two sides enter this fixture with contrasting recent trajectories, and the underlying numbers suggest that defensive solidity—or the lack thereof—will be the decisive factor. Akranes have been a defensive sieve, while Stjarnan have shown they can both grind out tight results and implode spectacularly. The stage is set for an open, high-scoring affair.

Akranes

Akranes are in the midst of a catastrophic run: five matches, five defeats, zero points. The manner of those losses is what stands out—almost every game has been a high-scoring shootout where the defense simply cannot hold. They lost 2–5 to Keflavik, 2–3 to Akureyri, and 3–5 to KR Reykjavik. Even when Akranes managed to create chances of their own, the backline crumbled under pressure. Against Keflavik, they faced 26 shots (10 on target); against KR Reykjavik, it was 27 shots (9 on target) and four clear-cut chances conceded. At home, there has been no respite: a 0–2 loss to Fram Reykjavik and a 1–2 defeat to Breidablik, with a meager six shots in the latter. With this run of form, the priority for the hosts must be to stabilize their play without the ball, but the numbers paint a grim picture—they consistently allow opponents to fire from both inside the box and from distance.

Stjarnan Gardabaer

Stjarnan’s record reads two wins, two draws, and one loss, but beneath that surface lies a wild inconsistency. On one hand, there is a confident 1–0 victory over Ilves and entertaining 2–2 draws with Vikingur Gota and Hafnarfjordur. On the other hand, their away trip to KR Reykjavik ended in a 0–5 humiliation, where the visitors failed to register a single shot on target from ten attempts, while their defense was peppered with 36 shots (12 on target). Crucially, even in matches where Stjarnan avoided defeat, they did not dominate chances: against Ilves they managed only six shots, just one on target. This shows they can win by the narrowest of margins, but their creative output is far from overwhelming. On the road, Stjarnan have already been involved in an open game (2–2 with Hafnarfjordur) and suffered one complete collapse—so against Akranes, maintaining structure and avoiding a back-and-forth exchange will be vital.

Statistics and Trends

Akranes have conceded five, three, and five goals in their last three matches, and have lost all five games this season. Yet in three of those five defeats, they themselves scored at least twice—so despite the losses, the attack is not completely toothless. Stjarnan, in three of their last five matches, have either drawn or won with a total of three or more goals (2–2, 2–2, 3–1), but they also have that 0–5 anomaly where the opponent generated a huge number of shots. Head-to-head history also points to goals: four of the last five meetings between these sides have produced three or more goals.

Prediction and Bet

This match is likely to feature a notable number of chances at both ends. Akranes have consistently leaked shots and goals in recent outings, yet they have also found the net regularly even in defeats. Stjarnan, with their more mixed results, can impose control on the scoreboard, but their away games have not been calm affairs—a 2–2 draw and a heavy 0–5 loss show that their defensive reliability is shaky. Given this combination, it is logical to expect the game to sail over the goal line. The main prediction: total over 3.5 goals at 1.72.

Match odds Akranes vs Stjarnan Gardabaer

Result (1X2)

X4.1512.2622.59

Double chance

1X1.48X21.61121.21

Both teams to score

No3.4Yes1.26

Over

21.0531.3542.0753.666.81.51.032.51.243.51.724.52.55.54.15

Under

26.632.8341.6451.2161.051.57.62.53.363.52.074.51.425.51.16

Handicap 1

01.7511.1921.02-13.1-26.41.51.142.51.01-1.53.75-2.57.2

Handicap 2

0211.2821.06-13.76-281.51.22.51.04-1.54.45-2.58.7

Correct score

0:0360:1200:2230:3351:018.51:19.61:210.51:317.51:4362:019.252:19.72:29.82:316.252:4353:0283:1153:2153:3233:4484:1294:2304:346

Predictions for Akranes vs Stjarnan Gardabaer

HS Halima Sani Handicap 1 (-1)odds 2.99 Won

I believe the hosts have a real chance to break their losing streak today. The team is ready and motivated to secure a win, and I'm confident they'll rise to the occasion.

ON Obinna Nwachukwu Under 2 (2nd half)odds 1.93 Lost

I’m predicting that there won’t be two goals in the second half. The match has been tightly contested, with both teams struggling to create clear chances. Defensive organization has been strong, and fatigue is likely to limit attacking intensity as the game progresses. Given the low-scoring trend and the pace of play, I don’t see a sudden flurry of goals.

AG Amara Garba Over 2 (1st half)odds 2.55 Won

I'm taking over 2 goals in the first half. The Icelandic league is traditionally high-scoring, and both teams prefer attacking football without a long cautious feeling-out period. Akranes and Stjarnan often start their matches actively and create chances from the first minutes. Neither defense looks solid, so an exchange of dangerous attacks is likely from the start. I expect open football, high tempo, and at least three goals in the first half. The odds look very attractive.

FL Faith Lamido Over 2.5odds 1.24 Won

Good luck to everyone!

PO Patience Ojo Under 4odds 1.64 Lost

I'm confident this match will see no more than four goals. The defensive setups and recent form point to a low-scoring affair.

AO Ayodele Obi Over 1.5odds 1.03 Won

I see a balanced match between two bottom-table teams. There will be plenty of movement and shots, so over 1.5 goals is a lock. I'm predicting a 2-2 or 2-3 scoreline.

SM Stanley Madu Team 2 over 2odds 2.26 Lost

I'm confident Akranes will continue their losing streak. They've dropped five straight matches and their defense has been abysmal, conceding at least two goals in every single one of those losses. The trend is clear, and I see no reason for a turnaround, so I expect them to lose again and likely concede multiple goals.

CA Collins Anyanwu Over 4.5odds 2.50 Won

I expect a high-scoring game here, so I'm confidently backing the over.

TO Temitope Oladipo Team 2 over 1.5odds 1.65 Lost

I'm confident the visitors will score at least two goals against the hosts today. Their attacking form and the home team's defensive weaknesses make this a clear bet.

CO Chidinma Ojo Result: 2odds 2.59 Lost

Based on head-to-head stats and current form, I'm confident the away team takes this one.

BE Blessing Emenike Under 4odds 1.64 Lost

I have no comments on this forecast.

CB Chukwuma Bankole Result: 2odds 2.59 Lost

I’m betting on Stjarnan to win this match. Akranes are in poor form right now, and Stjarnan have the momentum and quality to take all three points.

BM Biodun Madu Team 1 over 2.5odds 2.71 Won

I predict the hosts will end their winless streak in style. They've been building momentum despite recent poor results, and the data clearly shows they're overdue for a strong performance. Expect them to come out aggressive and finally convert their chances into goals.

JA John Akintola Over 3.5odds 1.72 Won

I'm betting on over 3.5 goals because both teams have been consistently involved in high-scoring matches, with strong attacking play and defensive vulnerabilities. The recent form and head-to-head history support this outcome, and I expect the game to open up early. This is a confident pick based on the data.

WE Wale Eze Result: 2odds 2.59 Lost

I'm confident Stjarnan Gardabaer will beat Akranes. They've been winning this matchup far more often lately, and that trend shows no signs of stopping.

YS Yemi Salami Over 1.5 (1st half)odds 1.81 Won

I predict that over one goal will be scored in today's game. The match dynamics and recent form strongly support this outcome, so I'm confident it will happen.

YB Yusuf Bello Result: Xodds 4.15 Lost

I confidently predict the outcome will land within plus or minus one level of the current estimate. My reasoning is straightforward: the underlying trend has been remarkably stable, and no significant external shocks are on the horizon to push it beyond that narrow band. This is a solid bet based on consistent historical patterns.

OS Obinna Sowole Handicap 2 (0)odds 2.00 Lost

I'm betting on the away team to win. They're in excellent form right now, and I see no reason to doubt them.

OA Oluwaseun Ademola Result: Xodds 4.15 Lost

The home team hasn't had a draw in a long time, and I'm confident that streak ends today. I see this match ending in a stalemate.

JO John Olawale Over 3.5odds 1.72 Won

I am confident this bet will succeed. The reasoning is straightforward, and all signs point to a favorable outcome.

SI Stella Igwe Over 3.5odds 1.72 Won

I confidently choose this betting option for this football event. My analysis points to a clear advantage here, and I'm certain this is the right call.

MO Michael Olaniyan Under 3.5odds 2.07 Lost

I am confidently making this prediction against my own personal opinion, relying on pure intuition rather than any formal analysis or analytics. My confidence comes from recognizing a pattern that overrides what I subjectively think, so I am setting my biases aside and trusting the contrarian signal.

This forecast is a deliberate, evidence-ignoring bet: I believe the outcome will contradict my personal view, and I am backing that belief without a single data point. No third-party models or tools are involved—just a clear-eyed read of the situation.

KO Kunle Obiora Result: Xodds 4.15 Lost

I predict a draw here. The squads are roughly equal in strength, so I don't see either side having a clear edge.

RO Ronke Obiora Result: Xodds 4.15 Lost

I'm predicting a draw here. The two sides are evenly matched, and neither has shown a clear edge in recent form or head-to-head history. Defensive setups and cautious tactics suggest a low-scoring stalemate, making a tie the most likely outcome.

DY Daniel Yusuf Result: 1odds 2.26 Won

I predict that Akranes will defeat Stjarnan Gardabaer on July 26 at 22:15. The home side have the momentum and tactical edge to secure the win.

Match poster

Akranes vs Stjarnan Gardabaer — odds

❓ Frequently asked questions

When and where is the Akranes vs Stjarnan Gardabaer match?

The match is on July 26, 2026, at 20:15 in the Úrvalsdeild league.

What is the recommended bet for this match?

The main prediction is total over 3.5 goals, with odds of 1.72.

Which team is the favorite based on recent form?

Stjarnan Gardabaer are in better form with two wins, two draws, and one loss, while Akranes have lost all five matches.

How have Akranes been performing recently?

Akranes have lost all five games this season, conceding five, three, and five goals in their last three matches, though they scored at least twice in three of those defeats.

What is Stjarnan Gardabaer's away record like?

Stjarnan have been inconsistent on the road, with a 2–2 draw against Hafnarfjordur and a heavy 0–5 loss to KR Reykjavik, showing defensive fragility.

Are there any key trends for goals in this fixture?

Four of the last five head-to-head meetings have produced three or more goals, and both teams have been involved in high-scoring games recently.