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Alavés vs Getafe: Prediction, Betting Tips and Match Preview

Spain LaLiga · Spain · 15 August 2026
Alavés logoAlavés
vs
15.08.2026 18:30
Getafe logoGetafe

💡 Match preview Alavés vs Getafe

By Kayode Akintola — Football expert covering K League, Kakkonen, Liga I, Leon Second League

The new La Liga season kicks off with a clash between Alaves and Getafe—two sides that have developed a habit of grinding out tight, low-scoring affairs. In their last six head-to-head meetings, neither team has managed to score more than two goals in a single game. Alaves head into the campaign with continuity: their manager remains in place and the core of last season’s squad has been kept intact. Getafe, by contrast, have undergone a significant summer overhaul. Can the more settled Basque side capitalise on that disruption right from the opening match?

Tactical Analysis of Alaves

Alaves enter the season in decent shape, particularly at the back. Across four pre-season friendlies, they conceded only two goals—though the quality of opposition was modest. They faced relegated Girona (1-0 win), newly promoted Racing Santander (1-1 draw, 7-6 on penalties), Eibar (1-1), and Castellón (3-0) from the second tier. While it’s too early to draw firm conclusions, the team performed solidly against opponents of a similar level. Crucially, head coach Quique Sánchez Flores hasn’t had to rebuild from scratch. Most of the spine remains intact, and Spanish newspaper AS has highlighted Alaves as one of the sides with the greatest continuity in their squad ahead of the first matchday.

The two main departures are Guridi, who left for Sevilla after 148 appearances for the club, and Parada, a regular starter who has moved to Spartak Moscow. There are also concerns over Lucas Boyé, one of Alaves’ top scorers last season with 11 goals. He felt discomfort during the final friendly against Racing and left the pitch early. His participation in the opener is uncertain, with a decision expected closer to kick-off.

Tactical Analysis of Getafe

Getafe were synonymous with defensive solidity last season, but their pre-season form has been less reassuring. In six matches, they conceded seven goals and kept a clean sheet only against third-tier Reading (1-0) and Segunda side Valladolid (0-0). Their attack has been equally modest—just five goals in total, three of which came in their first two July fixtures. Still, José Bordalás’s side know how to extract maximum efficiency. Against Tottenham (1-1), for example, Getafe’s only shot on target found the net. That match was played in a 2x35-minute format and came just two days after a 1-0 loss to Monaco, so Bordalás rotated heavily.

The biggest summer changes are in midfield. Milla and Arambarri—two key players from last season—have left. Álvaro Martín, who previously played for Getafe on loan and was bought from Real Madrid this summer, has stated he is ready to fill the void. The club also signed Terrats from Villarreal and loaned Mangala from Lyon. A serious blow came with Uche picking up an injury during pre-season. As a result, Getafe are reportedly looking to bring back a familiar face: Enes Ünal.

Predicted Lineups

Alaves (3-5-2): Sivera – Johnny, Tenaglia, Valentini – Pérez, Ibáñez, Blanco, Aleñá, Yusi – Martínez, Rebbach Unavailable: Boyé, Koski, Protesoni (all doubts), Garcés (suspended) Head coach: Quique Sánchez Flores

Getafe (5-2-1-2): Soria – García, Djene, Boselli, Romero, Davinci – Martín, Terrats – Mangala – Mayoral, Satriano Unavailable: Uche, Juanmi (both injured) Head coach: José Bordalás

Prediction and Bet

Main prediction: Getafe to avoid defeat (Double Chance) at odds of 1.61

Alaves had a decent pre-season, but the level of their opponents was generally lower than what Getafe faced. The Madrid side enjoyed sterner tests against European teams. Bordalás’s pragmatic, compact style is well suited to away trips to the Mendizorrotza. Getafe will feel comfortable sitting deep, defending in numbers, and striking on the counter, while Alaves will be forced to take the initiative. The head-to-head record also favours the visitors: Getafe are unbeaten in their last four meetings with the Basques. Backing the visitors to avoid defeat looks solid.

Over/under prediction: Alaves under 0.5 goals at odds of 2.67

Alaves begin the season with attacking doubts. Their main striker, Lucas Boyé, is carrying an injury and risks missing the first round. Without one of their primary finishers, breaking down a stubborn Bordalás defence will be tough. The head-to-head stats reinforce this: in the last four matches against Getafe, Alaves have scored only once. A bet on the home side failing to score is a tempting long shot.

Kayode Akintola
Kayode Akintola
Football expert covering K League, Kakkonen, Liga I, Leon Second League

Kayode has spent over a decade closely monitoring the K League 1 and 2, Kakkonen, Liga I, and Leon Second League. His analysis prioritizes current form, squad rotations, and statistical indicators such as shots on target and defensive organization. He also considers coaching decisions and fixture congestion to build well-rounded forecasts, focusing on data-driven insights rather than speculation.

All articles by this author →

The editorial prediction is provided for informational purposes only and should not be treated as a direct call to action. Every reader should do their own analysis before deciding on a bet.

Probable lineups: Alavés vs Getafe

Alavés logoAlavés3-5-2
Sivera
ValentiniTenagliaJonny
YusiAlenaBlancoIbanezPerez
RebbachMartinez
Out of squad:Garces
Getafe logoGetafe5-2-1-2
Soria
DavinciRomeroBoselliDjeneGarcia
TerratsMartin
Mangala
SatrianoMayoral
Out of squad:Uche · InjuryJuanmi · Injury

Match odds Alavés vs Getafe

Result (1X2)

X2.8512.4223.74

Double chance

1X1.3X21.61121.46

Both teams to score

No1.5Yes2.41

Over

11.2222.2835.50.51.111.51.712.53.043.56.35

Under

13.921.5731.090.55.31.52.162.51.323.51.05

Handicap 1

01.5711.04-14.151.51.01-1.55.25

Handicap 2

02.4111.18-18.31.51.1-1.59.5

Correct score

0:05.30:16.450:2160:3481:04.81:15.31:213.751:3462:092:110.52:2223:0233:127

Predictions for Alavés vs Getafe

A abubakar.fan Result: 1odds 2.42 Pending

Alavés open their LaLiga campaign at home against Getafe, and this feels like the moment for the hosts to hit the ground running. I’m backing them to mark the season opener with a win, and the price on a home victory looks right to me. Good luck.

DA Dele Adamu Result: Xodds 2.85 Pending

Alavés and Getafe look evenly matched heading into this LaLiga clash, and I see little separating them on the pitch. My call is a 1:1 draw — a result that feels right for two sides of similar quality, with the 2.85 odds offering solid value for a cautious pick.

PS Peter Sowole Result: Xodds 2.86 Pending
CT Chibuzo Tanko Yellow cards: Over 4.5odds 1.52 Pending

Alavés and Getafe meet in LaLiga, and Getafe's matches are notorious for yellow cards stacking up. That pattern makes Over 4.5 cards at 1.52 the clear play here.

IO Ibrahim Olaniyan Team 2 over 1odds 3.05 Pending

Let’s be direct here: Getafe will score more than one goal. The new LaLiga season kicks off with Alavés against Getafe, and I’m backing the visitors to put at least two past their hosts. Over the last few campaigns, Getafe have consistently found the net against Alavés—last season they walked away with a 2-0 win on this very ground. That pattern is too strong to ignore, and at odds of 3.05, I’m locking it in.

SF Segun Fashola Over 1.5odds 1.70 Pending

Alavés and Getafe open their LaLiga campaign at Mendizorroza on August 16, and the recent history between them is clear: Getafe have won four of the last six meetings, with Alavés taking just one. The last head-to-head, back in February at this same venue, finished 2-0 to the visitors. Alavés come in after a strong preseason with four straight wins and only two goals conceded, while Getafe tested themselves against top opposition and let in seven over six friendlies. Alavés have struggled against this Getafe side, especially in the visitors' last two away matches, which both went their way.

That combination of sturdy defending on both sides and Alavés' determination to finally get a result against an uncomfortable opponent suggests the game won't stay goalless. I'm backing over 1.5 goals at 1.70.

US Uche Salami Result: 1odds 2.35 Pending

Getafe managed to keep the score low in three-quarters of their matches last season, but Alavés isn't the kind of opponent you can just contain inside your own box. The visitors usually look sluggish on the road, especially early in the campaign when the squad isn't settled and the transfer window is still open. The hosts know full well that their rivals prefer a slow tempo, so they’ll look to dictate the game with crosses and set pieces. Backed by a fired-up home crowd, Alavés has every reason to grab three points. I expect the Basques to exploit Madrid’s lack of pace and grind out a win to kick off the season.

PREDICTION: Alavés to win at 2.35.

Match poster

Alavés vs Getafe — odds

❓ Frequently asked questions

When and where is Alavés vs Getafe being played?

The LaLiga match takes place on 15 August 2026 at 18:30 at Mendizorrotza, Alavés’ home ground.

What is the recommended bet for Alavés vs Getafe?

The main prediction is Getafe to avoid defeat (double chance) at odds of 1.61. A long-shot option is Alavés under 0.5 goals at odds of 2.67.

Who are the key absentees for this match?

Alavés have doubts over Lucas Boyé, Koski and Protesoni, while Garcés is suspended. Getafe are without injured duo Uche and Juanmi.

How did both teams look in pre-season?

Alavés conceded only two goals in four friendlies, but against modest opponents. Getafe conceded seven in six matches, yet faced stronger tests, including Tottenham and Monaco, and are known for efficiency under Bordalás.

Why is backing Getafe not to lose seen as a solid pick?

Getafe are unbeaten in their last four meetings with Alavés, and Alavés have scored only once in those four games. With Lucas Boyé doubtful, Alavés may struggle to break down a compact Bordalás side.