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BATE vs Elbasani: prediction and odds

Europe Conference League · Europe · 16 July 2026
BATE logoBATE
0:0
1st half: 0:0
16.07.2026 18:00
Elbasani logoElbasani

Match events

12′
🟨Yoan Epitaux
Nikita Neskoromny🟨
17′
Varaksa Vladislav·Alekseevich🟨
42′
vladislav yatskevich🟨
73′
77′
🟨Ibrahima Diallo

Match statistics: BATE vs Elbasani

BATEElbasani
49Ball possession, %51
7Shots7
2Shots on target2
2Corners1
9Fouls15
3Offsides3
3Yellow cards2
0Red cards0
124Attacks167
57Dangerous attacks95

💡 Match preview BATE vs Elbasani

The first leg ended with a sense of unfinished business (1:1). KF Elbasani held the initiative, created chances, and were closer to victory, but BATE once again proved that in European competitions, experience often plays a pivotal role. The question remains whether the Belarusian club has enough quality to advance to the next round.

Tactical Analysis: BATE Borisov

BATE is navigating one of the most challenging periods in recent years. They enter this European campaign as the holders of the Belarusian Cup, yet their domestic season has been disastrous. The Borisov side are winless in the league for 12 consecutive matches and sit in the relegation zone (15th place). The attack is particularly alarming: the team has the worst scoring record in the league with just nine goals in 14 rounds, and in their last five home games, they have managed to collect only two points. Ahead of the return leg, BATE bolstered their squad with Yuri Kovalev, who has over 200 appearances for Soligorsk Shakhtar and 76 games in the Russian Premier League for Arsenal Tula, Orenburg, and Baltika. However, it remains unclear whether the newcomer will be registered for the match, so his debut is still in question.

It is also important to remember that Vitaly Rogozhkin only took charge of the team a month ago, meaning the rebuilding process is far from complete. The first match against Elbasani confirmed that BATE is primarily relying on organized play without the ball. They had just 38% possession, deliberately ceding the initiative to the opponent and focusing on closing down space around their own penalty area. The plan almost worked perfectly, but they conceded just before halftime. After the break, the coaching staff timely reinforced the midfield, and the introduction of Egor Rusakov proved decisive—he headed home a cross from Egor Kress to earn the team a 1-1 draw. This result in Albania was strategically vital for BATE. The fate of the ticket to the next round will now be decided on neutral ground in Azerbaijan, where the pressure from the stands on the Belarusian club will be less intense.

Tactical Analysis: KF Elbasani

Last season, Elbasani finished as runners-up in the Albanian championship and, for the first time in 20 years, earned the right to compete in European competitions. Over the summer, the club retained its core squad and brought winger Bernard Karrica and defender Mario Bajramaj back from loan spells. In the first leg, both appeared after the break but failed to significantly influence the game.

In the home match, the Albanians confirmed their status as favorites from the first minute, imposing a high tempo and aggressive pressing on the opponent. Thanks to their intense work without the ball, BATE was practically unable to launch counterattacks, and territorial advantage remained entirely with the hosts. Before the break, Elbasani created numerous dangerous chances and deservedly opened the scoring through Ardit Nikaj. After the goal, the team reduced the intensity of their pressure, which the opponent exploited. A single lapse in concentration at the heart of the defense allowed substitute Egor Rusakov to equalize. Despite the final 1-1 draw, the Albanian club outperformed BATE in almost every key metric but failed to capitalize on their slight dominance: 0.57 xG against 0.43 for their opponents. Now, to advance to the next round, Elbasani must win the return leg on neutral ground.

Predicted Lineups

  • BATE Borisov: Skavysh; Bane, Martynau, Svidinskiy, Kress; Grechikho, Piletskiy, Rusakov, Anufriyev; Sherstnyov, Kovalev.
  • KF Elbasani: Selmani; Topallaj, Lila, Kasa, Gjoni; Lleshi, Musta, Kotherja, Gava; Nikaj, Kasa.

Referee: Daniyar Sakhi (Kazakhstan)

Daniyar Sakhi is an official with experience at the international level who regularly receives assignments in UEFA tournaments. His style of work often involves controlling the game through stoppages and calling fouls. In the Conference League, he has officiated five matches, averaging 3.8 yellow cards and around 23.4 fouls per game.

Prediction and Bet

Main Prediction: BATE Borisov to avoid defeat at odds of 1.74

The first leg showed that BATE is capable of imposing an uncomfortable scenario on the opponent. Despite having only 38% possession, Vitaly Rogozhkin’s team defended intelligently, barely allowing Elbasani to create clear-cut chances, and after the break, timely substitutions helped secure a draw. A significant advantage remains BATE’s extensive European experience. For the Albanian club, this is their first international campaign in two decades, while BATE has repeatedly played at this level. In the return leg, it is precisely this composure and ability to perform under pressure that could help the Belarusian side at least avoid defeat.

Prediction on Total Goals: Under 2.5 goals at odds of 1.72

In the first match, the opponents scored only once each, and BATE spent almost the entire game in a deep defensive block and is unlikely to abandon this approach. Elbasani will surely enjoy territorial dominance again, but breaking through the Belarusian club’s packed defensive lines proved difficult. Any mistake could be decisive in the fight to advance, so both teams will likely prioritize reliability. In this scenario, the most probable outcome appears to be under 2.5 goals.

Match odds BATE vs Elbasani

Result (1X2)

X3.4213.5222.04

Double chance

1X1.74X21.28121.29

Both teams to score

No1.86Yes1.82

Over

11.0421.5132.8345.950.51.021.51.32.52.053.53.454.56.6

Under

16.8522.3231.3541.070.58.11.52.992.51.743.51.234.51.05

Handicap 1

02.511.3121.04-16.41.51.22.51.03-1.57.3

Handicap 2

01.4911.06-12.94-27.11.51.04-1.53.76-2.57.9

Correct score

0:080:16.450:29.20:318.250:4461:09.21:15.951:28.31:317.51:4432:017.752:111.752:2152:3303:0463:1333:241

To qualify

12.3421.53

Predictions for BATE vs Elbasani

PE Peter Ekwueme Handicap 2 (0)odds 1.54 Void

I’m backing the away team with a draw-no-bet (DNB) in this Conference League qualifier. BATE’s home coefficient doesn’t convince me they can win this match. The visitors look solid enough to avoid defeat, so the 0 handicap on them is the smart play here.

SF Segun Fashola Both teams to score — Yesodds 1.85 Lost

The first game ended without a winner. I am confident that this time will be different—expect a clear result.

FD Faith Danjuma Yellow cards: Team 2 over 1.5odds 1.64 Won

BATE is in for a tough match today. The visitors will apply relentless pressure, and I'm confident that will lead to several yellow cards.

GA Gift Adamu Corners: Team 1 over 4odds 2.11 Lost

I'm backing BATE to win the corner count at home. They consistently dominate set pieces on their own turf, even if the final score doesn't always reflect it. The pattern is clear—they control the flanks and force opponents into defensive clearances. That's enough for me to feel confident in this bet.

HO Halima Obi Both teams to score — Yesodds 1.85 Lost

I predict both teams will score. The away side already found the net on the road, and I expect the same attacking form to continue at home.

KN Kemi Nwachukwu Corners: Over 9.5odds 2.29 Lost

I believe the teams are evenly matched, so expect a tough battle with plenty of set pieces.

CL Chinedu Lamido To qualify: 2odds 1.60 Lost

BATE is going through one of the toughest periods in their history, and I simply can't see them advancing past this round. Their form and squad depth just aren't there, so I'm confidently backing them to fall short.

AO Aisha Okoro Corners: Over 9.5odds 2.29 Lost

I am confident that BATE will not give up, even without relying heavily on corner kicks. Their resilience and refusal to surrender are key to this bet—they will stay competitive and fight until the final whistle.

IA Ibrahim Adamu Result: Xodds 3.14 Won

I’m betting on a draw in this matchup again. The first meeting ended level, and both teams have shown similar form and defensive solidity since then. Neither side has a clear edge in head-to-head history, and key attacking players are either struggling or unavailable. The style of play on both ends suggests a tightly contested game where goals will be hard to come by. I expect another stalemate.

AL Adewale Lamido Team 2 over 1odds 1.50 Lost

I confidently predicted BATE would struggle as underdogs in their league, so their draw caught me off guard. My reasoning was solid—they've been outmatched all season—and this result doesn't change my view. They're still the weaker side in that matchup.

KO Kayode Oladipo Both teams to score — Yesodds 1.78 Lost

I’m confident both teams will find the net in regular time. The matchup strongly favors an open game with scoring chances at both ends.

TO Temitope Obi Double chance: 1Xodds 1.70 Won

Losing at home to teams like that is simply unacceptable. I'm confident that any competitive side must dominate weaker opponents on their own ground—there's no excuse for dropping points in such a mismatch.

ZO Zainab Oyelaran Under 2.5odds 1.76 Won

I'm predicting a low-scoring match, likely ending 0:0. Neither side has shown enough attacking firepower to break through, and defensive setups will dominate. The odds for a goalless draw are too good to pass up here.

OB Obinna Bello Both teams to score — Yesodds 1.79 Lost

Both teams will score in this match, and I expect it to end in a draw. The attacking strengths on both sides make a score draw the most likely outcome.

RE Ronke Ekwueme Corners: Under 8.5odds 1.85 Won

I think today's match will be a tough one, but I'm confident there won't be many corner kicks. The game plan and style of play just don't favor a high corner count.

GA Godwin Adeyemi Team 1 over 1odds 1.99 Lost

BATE held strong on the road, so it would be a shame not to score at home. I’m confident they’ll break through, and a second goal will follow.

SB Stella Bankole Under 0.5 (1st half)odds 2.65 Won

I’m betting that the US dollar will strengthen against the euro over the next three months. The Federal Reserve is expected to keep interest rates higher for longer to combat persistent inflation, while the European Central Bank may be forced to cut rates sooner due to a weaker economy. This divergence in monetary policy should boost demand for the dollar.

KO Kelechi Oni To qualify: 1odds 2.29 Won

I'm backing the home team to win, but don't expect a walk in the park—this will be a hard-fought battle for both sides. Neither team will have it easy.

OA Oluwaseun Abdullahi Result: 2odds 2.09 Lost

I’m predicting that Egnatia will avoid defeat in this match. BATE is not the dominant force it used to be, and their decline is clear. Meanwhile, the Albanian side has looked sharp and well-organized, especially on neutral ground where they can focus purely on performance. I see Egnatia as the stronger side right now, and I expect them to get a result here.

AN Aliyu Nwosu Handicap 1 (0)odds 2.50 Void

I’m betting that BATE will defeat Elbasani. BATE has a stronger squad and more experience in European competitions, while Elbasani lacks the depth to compete at this level. The home advantage for BATE solidifies my confidence in this outcome.

SA Stella Afolabi Result: 2odds 2.06 Lost

I'm confident the visitors will take the win. Their form and momentum give them a clear edge over the home side.

GA Gloria Abubakar Result: 1odds 3.50 Pending

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YL Yusuf Lawal Result: 2odds 2.06 Lost

BATE looked significantly weaker in the first match, and their failure to lose was pure luck. I confidently expect that luck to run out in the next encounter—they won't escape with a result again.

KM Kingsley Musa Result: Xodds 3.42 Won

I'm confident the chances of either team winning are low, so the smart play is to bet on a draw.

YN Yemi Nwosu Team 1 over 1.5odds 2.96 Lost

I'm confident that BATE will score at least 2 goals against Elbasani in this Conference League match. BATE has strong attacking capabilities, especially at home, and Elbasani's defense has shown vulnerabilities in European competition. The odds of 2.96 for BATE's individual total over 1.5 goals offer great value, as I expect them to seize control and find the net multiple times. This is a straightforward bet on BATE's offensive firepower to deliver.

MO Musa Okonkwo Result: 2odds 2.08 Lost

I predict Elbasani will win. BATE has been completely weak lately, and I don't see them turning things around. This is a confident call based on their poor form.

MO Musa Ogundipe Under 2.5odds 1.74 Won

I'm confident this match between BATE and Elbasani will be low-scoring. Both teams tend to play cautiously, so I'm betting on under 2.5 goals.

EM Emmanuel Musa Under 0.5 (1st half)odds 2.69 Won

I'm going with a clean sheet in the first half for BATE vs. Elbasani. I have nothing to lose here, and the defensive setup suggests a tight opening period with few clear chances.

GI Grace Idris Under 2.5odds 1.81 Won

I am not expecting many goals in this match. Both sides prioritize defensive solidity and lack the attacking firepower to break each other down, making a low-scoring outcome highly likely.

EO Emmanuel Obi Team 1 over 1.5odds 2.96 Lost

BATE is in excellent form, and I'm confident they'll easily put a couple of goals on the board. Their attacking momentum is strong, so backing them to score multiple times is a straightforward call.

KA Kayode Adeyemi Corners: Over 9.5odds 2.40 Lost

I'm confident that this match will see a maximum of ten corner kicks. Both teams tend to play a compact, direct style that limits prolonged attacking phases, and their recent form shows consistently low corner counts. The defensive setups are disciplined, and I expect few opportunities for set-piece situations to develop.

II Ikechukwu Igwe To qualify: 1odds 2.34 Won

BATE looked solid in their away match, so I'm confident in backing them here. I'll take the risk and go with them.

JL Joy Lawal Team 1 under 0.5odds 2.52 Won

I'm predicting a 0-0 draw here. Belarus will sit deep and defend strictly, making it very difficult for their opponent to break through. With both sides likely to cancel each other out, I see this ending in a goalless stalemate.

SE Suleiman Emenike Handicap 2 (-1)odds 2.94 Lost

I am confident that the guests will achieve a positive result and secure a win. The key factors supporting this outcome include their strong recent form, tactical advantage, and ability to perform under pressure. I see no compelling reason to doubt their success.

CO Chinedu Oladipo Under 2.5odds 1.73 Won

I expect a tight, pragmatic affair in these European qualifiers. BATE has vast international experience but is in transition, now favoring a cautious, defensive style. Playing on a neutral pitch removes any home advantage, so their coach will prioritize defensive discipline to avoid conceding a cheap goal before the return leg. Elbasani, the clear underdog, will be thrilled with a goalless draw. They'll sit deep in a 5-4-1 low block, killing the tempo with tactical fouls. Breaking down that stubborn defense is a huge challenge for this BATE side. I'm calling a closed, low-scoring match where defense dominates attack.

IO Ibrahim Ogunleye Both teams to score — Yesodds 1.83 Lost

I'm confident both teams will score. They play decent football and are capable of finding the net against each other.

ME Mercy Ekwueme Both teams to score — Yesodds 1.83 Lost

I'm confident both teams will find the net in this match. The attacking strengths on both sides and recent defensive vulnerabilities make a clean sheet unlikely for either side. Expect goals at both ends.

IO Ifeanyi Ogunleye Both teams to score — Yesodds 1.83 Lost

I confidently predict the scoreline from the first match between Elbasani and BATE will at least repeat. Neither team is particularly strong, and with the game being played in Azerbaijan, the odds remain even. My bet: both teams to score.

YF Yusuf Fashola Both teams to score — Yesodds 1.83 Lost

I'm confident that both teams will score in this upcoming football match. The attacking form and defensive weaknesses on both sides point to goals at each end, making this bet a strong play.

SB Sani Balogun Both teams to score — Noodds 1.85 Won

I’m betting on "OZ (NO)" in this matchup. The reasoning is clear: both teams have shown a tendency to keep scoring low in recent head-to-head encounters, and defensive strategies are likely to dominate again. I see no strong indicators that this trend will break now, so the safer call is on the under.

UI Uche Igwe To qualify: 1odds 2.34 Won

Baté will advance today. I'm taking the home side — the brothers won't lose this one.

SL Segun Lamido Result: 1odds 3.50 Lost

I'm going with Belarus. Despite the uncertainty, I trust them to pull through.

CA Chiamaka Afolabi To qualify: 1odds 2.34 Won

I believe BATE will take control of the match from the very start. Playing at home, they have every reason to impose their game and attack relentlessly. Their style and crowd support make me confident they won't sit back—they'll push forward and dictate the tempo.

CS Chinedu Salami Result: 2odds 2.05 Lost

I’m backing BATE to win this match. Their domestic form has been shaky, but they still have the quality to overcome internal struggles and secure all three points. The opponent is vulnerable, and BATE’s experience in high-pressure games gives them the edge. Plain and simple: BATE takes this one.

BO Blessing Oladipo Handicap 1 (0)odds 2.50 Void

I believe the home team will play significantly better football on their own turf.

DO Daniel Onyeka To qualify: 1odds 2.34 Won

I still don't believe in Bangladesh's recent form. They simply don't have the quality to compete.

RS Ronke Sowole Double chance: 1Xodds 1.73 Won

I'm confident that BATE's players have the experience necessary to avoid a loss. They should not lose this game.

SO Suleiman Obi To qualify: 1odds 2.34 Won

I’m confident that this is the best option for the match. After weighing all the factors, this pick stands out as the most reliable and profitable choice. The reasoning is clear, and I’m backing it without hesitation.

YO Yusuf Ojo Over 0.5odds 1.02 Lost

I'm confident this match will be high-scoring. Both teams prioritize attack over defense, and their recent form shows plenty of goals at both ends. The head-to-head record also points to an open game with multiple chances. Expect the net to bulge more than once.

CS Collins Shehu Handicap 2 (0)odds 1.49 Void

The first result was a true sensation, and I'm confident the quality of the Albanian side will prove decisive. Their class will shine through.

Match poster

BATE vs Elbasani — odds