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Bradford City vs Burnley: Prediction, Betting Tips and Match Preview

⚽ EFL Cup · England · 26 August 2026
Bradford City logoBradford City
0:0
1st half: 0:0
26.08.2026 19:45
Burnley logoBurnley

Match events

Henry Cartwright🟨
44′
Ibu Turay🟨
90′

Match statistics: Bradford City vs Burnley

Bradford CityBurnley
0.83xG (expected goals)1.61
32Ball possession, %68
16Shots23
4Shots on target6
5Corners14
7Fouls9
1Offsides1
2Yellow cards0
0Red cards0
107Attacks94
33Dangerous attacks58

💡 Match preview Bradford City vs Burnley

By Dele Lawal — Football expert specializing in European and Russian competitions

Bradford City welcome Burnley to Valley Parade in the third round of the EFL Cup, where the League One side – riding a wave of confidence – look to topple a Championship heavyweight still searching for its footing this season.

Bradford City: Flawless Start and a Defensive Fortress

The Bantams have kicked off the campaign in sensational fashion, racking up three consecutive clean-sheet victories in competitive action. In League One, they edged Sheffield Wednesday 1-0 on the road before dismantling Peterborough United 2-0 at home. Their cup journey began with a comfortable 2-0 win over Rochdale of League Two in the previous round.

At Valley Parade, Bradford have turned their home ground into a fortress. Across their last three matches on home soil – including a pre-season friendly against Preston North End (3-2) – they have walked away with maximum points. The defensive unit has been rock-solid, while the attack has made the most of the chances created. That blend of stinginess and efficiency gives Graham Alexander’s men every reason to believe they can trouble a side from a higher division.

Burnley: Deepening Crisis and Travel Woes

Burnley’s start to the season has been far from convincing. After two Championship outings, the Clarets have managed only a 2-2 draw with West Ham and a disappointing 1-3 defeat to West Bromwich Albion. In the previous round of the EFL Cup, they needed penalties to scrape past League Two minnows Notts County after a 1-1 stalemate in regulation.

A particularly alarming trend is the club’s record away from Turf Moor. Burnley have not won a single match on the road in their last 11 attempts – a run that includes two draws and nine defeats – and they have conceded in every single one of those fixtures. Struggles in front of goal and a fragile backline make their tag as favourites look far from secure.

Tournament Motivation

For Bradford City, the EFL Cup represents a prime opportunity to make a statement. Knocking out a side from a higher division in front of their own supporters would extend an already perfect start and send a message to the rest of League One.

Burnley, on the other hand, desperately need a boost. A stuttering league campaign has put pressure on the coaching staff, and an early cup exit – especially to a side two tiers below – would only deepen the crisis. Progress here could restore much-needed belief.

Team News

Bradford City enter the fixture with no fresh injury concerns. The coaching staff can field an unchanged starting XI, relying on the same core that has delivered those three shutout wins.

Burnley, however, face significant personnel issues for the trip. Captain Josh Cullen – a midfield anchor who featured in 18 matches last season (2 goals, 2 assists, 1,520 minutes) – is unavailable. Josh Laurent or Hugo Raguber are candidates to fill the void. Left winger Jaydon Bangle (14 league appearances last term, 3 goals) is also out, meaning Jacob Bruun Larsen or Luke Castello could start out wide. Up front, experienced striker Ashley Barnes (11 matches, 2 goals in all competitions across last season) misses out. Zian Flemming, Lyle Foster, or Zeki Amdouni are options to lead the line.

Prediction and Bet

Main bet: Bradford City to avoid defeat at 1.67

Bookmakers have installed Burnley as favourites, respecting the gap in division status. The current form of the two sides, however, tells a different story. Bradford have won all three of their competitive matches this season with an aggregate score of 5-0 and are formidable at home. Burnley, conversely, have failed to win in regulation in their last seven games, are in the midst of a disastrous away run, and are missing key players through the spine and attack. The hosts look well placed to take at least a point. We estimate the probability of this outcome at 60% (any odds above 1.66 represent value).

Total goals bet: Under 2.5 goals at 1.73

Bradford have yet to concede a single goal in official matches this term (2-0, 2-0, 1-0). They are expected to adopt a pragmatic approach, suffocating space for the more technically gifted visitors. Burnley have struggled to create chances and scored just twice in their EFL cup tie – both against a League Two side. With the hosts’ defensive solidity and the visitors’ blunt attack, a goal-fest is unlikely. We put the probability of under 2.5 goals at 59% (anything above 1.69 is a playable line).

Dele Lawal
Dele Lawal
Football expert specializing in European and Russian competitions

Dele Lawal is a football expert who has spent many years analyzing tournaments such as the EFL Cup, FIFA World Cup, Champions League, and Russian Super Cup. His analysis emphasizes current form, lineups, key statistics like expected goals and shots on target, and the impact of coaching decisions and fixture schedules. He maintains a disciplined, data-oriented approach to prediction, avoiding emotional bias and focusing on underlying performance indicators.

All articles by this author →

The editorial prediction is provided for informational purposes only and should not be treated as a direct call to action. Every reader should do their own analysis before deciding on a bet.

Match odds Bradford City vs Burnley

Result (1X2)

X3.4413.422.22

Double chance

1X1.72X21.35121.35

Both teams to score

No1.92Yes1.79

Over

11.0321.5132.8446.250.511.51.32.52.063.53.464.56.95

Under

17.622.4131.3841.060.58.91.53.132.51.783.51.254.51.04

Handicap 1

02.3811.2721.01-16.351.51.16-1.57.4

Handicap 2

01.5811.08-13.34-28.71.51.04-1.54.25

Correct score

0:09.20:16.650:29.80:320.51:08.71:15.71:28.41:3181:4482:016.252:1112:2142:3303:0413:1303:238

To qualify

12.1621.62

Predictions for Bradford City vs Burnley

SG Segun Garba Yellow cards: Over 3.5odds 2.23 Lost

Bradford City take on Burnley in the EFL Cup, and I’m backing a card-heavy match. The Over 3.5 yellow cards line at 2.23 offers clear value here.

KI Kunle Ibe Result: 2odds 2.22 Lost

Burnley are the clear pick to win this EFL Cup clash against Bradford City. I’m backing the away side to get the job done at 2.22, and I see no reason to look elsewhere.

SE Stanley Emenike To qualify: 2odds 1.62 Lost
KO Kingsley Obi Both teams to score — Noodds 1.98 Won
JA John Akintola Result: 2odds 2.22 Lost
BA Babatunde Adebayo To qualify: 1odds 2.17 Won

Bradford City have a real chance to cause an upset here. Priced at 2.17 to qualify, I see solid value in backing the hosts to get the job done.

FA Femi Ademola Both teams to score — Noodds 1.98 Won

Bradford City against Burnley in the EFL Cup — I'm putting my money on the "No" for both teams to score. The risk is that there won't be any goal exchange between the two sides, and at odds of 1.98, I see enough value to back that outcome.

C chineduoracle_2005 Corners: Team 2 over 4odds 1.61 Won

Burnley’s corner‑taking record in the Championship speaks for itself. Against a lower‑league side like Bradford City in the EFL Cup, I expect them to keep that pressure up and easily clear the 4‑corner mark. The odds of 1.61 look solid for this one.

KO Kelechi Oyelaran To qualify: 1odds 2.17 Won

Bradford City at home is a serious edge here. Burnley are dealing with squad issues and haven't looked sharp at all, so backing the hosts to advance at 2.17 makes strong sense to me.

YO Yusuf Obi Handicap 1 (-1.5)odds 7.20 Lost
JK Joseph Kalu Both teams to score — Yesodds 1.74 Lost
AE Abubakar Emenike Team 1 over 1odds 1.91 Lost

Burnley have looked miserable out of the gates this season, while Bradford City are already stacking wins. I’m backing the hosts to find the net at least once — that’s a solid bet at 1.91.

BA Biodun Adamu Over 2.5odds 1.97 Lost
YO Yemi Okafor Corners: Under 9.5odds 1.77 Lost

Under 9.5 corners is the play here. I expect both teams to combine for fewer than ten corner kicks in this EFL Cup matchup.

DO David Oni Result: 2odds 2.20 Lost

Burnley are simply the stronger side here, and I see them handling Bradford City with ease in this EFL Cup match. The visitors' quality should shine through, so I'm backing the away win at 2.20.

MF Musa Fashola Over 2.5odds 1.97 Lost
B black.sage Under 2.5odds 1.85 Won

Let’s be honest—this EFL Cup tie between Bradford City and Burnley isn’t set up for a goal-fest. Both sides are built to defend first, and neither will abandon that approach here. Bradford will sit deep and make it difficult, while Burnley are patient and rarely get dragged into an open, chaotic game. This should be a tight, tactical affair from the first whistle.

I’m backing Under 2.5 goals at 1.85. The combination of Bradford’s defensive shape and Burnley’s controlled style almost always keeps the total low in matchups like this. I don’t see a shootout breaking out—just a cagey contest heading comfortably under the mark.

KM Kayode Musa Result: Xodds 3.52 Won

Burnley only just dropped out of the Premier League, so I see them settling for a draw here. Bradford City will be tough at home in the EFL Cup, and the visitors aren't fully up to speed yet. The draw at 3.52 is the smart call.

IO Ifeanyi Onyeka Result: 2odds 2.20 Lost
DF Dele Fashola Corners: Team 2 over 4.5odds 1.92 Won
VS Victor Salami Team 1 over 1odds 1.91 Lost
SY Samuel Yusuf Result: Xodds 3.52 Won
US Usman Sowole To qualify: 1odds 2.17 Won

Bradford City to advance is the pick here. The price at 2.17 offers enough value to back the home side, and I see them getting the job done in this EFL Cup tie.

KA Kelechi Akintola Corners: Over 10.5odds 2.51 Won

Burnley are heading to Valley Parade for their EFL Cup clash with Bradford City, and I’m backing plenty of corners here. With a price at 2.51 for over 10.5, this feels like solid value.

Bradford will be eager to push forward at home, while Burnley’s quality should force the hosts into defensive corners. Both sides have the pace and intent to generate dead-ball situations, so I’m expecting the total to clear that 10.5 mark without much drama.

CO Chinedu Oyelaran Result: 1odds 3.38 Lost
CM Chibuzo Mohammed Both teams to score — Yesodds 1.74 Lost

Burnley’s trip to Bradford City in the EFL Cup is set up for goals at both ends. I’m backing both teams to find the net here — the price of 1.74 is too good to pass up. This tie has all the makings of an open, end-to-end contest with plenty of chances.

Expect an attacking affair where neither side sits back. Both defenses will be tested, and I’m confident we’ll see goals from both teams.

GN Godwin Nnaji Result: 1odds 3.40 Lost

Bradford City to beat Burnley at 3.40? I’m backing the home win here. Burnley may be a Championship side, but cup ties can flip the script — and I see a real chance the visitors come unstuck.

PL Peter Lamido Team 1 over 1.5odds 2.96 Lost

Bradford City will be pressing forward and should have enough to put a couple past Burnley. That’s why I’m backing them to score over 1.5 goals at 2.96.

KY Kelechi Yusuf Over 1.5 (1st half)odds 2.84 Lost

Burnley will be an overpowering favourite here, and I expect them to create a lot of chances against a outmatched Bradford side. City will desperately want to keep things close in front of their home fans, but the gap in class is too wide. The most likely path is Burnley scoring one early, pushing the hosts forward, and that second goal coming before the break. At odds of almost 3-1, I'm backing the first half to clear 1.5 goals.

EO Emeka Oladipo Double chance: 1Xodds 1.73 Won

Bradford City against Burnley in the EFL Cup. Based on what I've looked into, I'm backing the home side to avoid defeat here. The double chance on the hosts or a draw at 1.73 is the play.

ST Sani Tanko Result: 2odds 2.20 Lost

Bradford City's recent wins have come against weaker sides from their own division, which doesn't tell me much. Burnley, on the other hand, have put in solid performances against direct promotion rivals in the Championship. That's why I'm backing the visitors to take this one.

DW Daniel Waziri Over 2.5odds 2.06 Lost

Bradford City hosts Burnley in the EFL Cup, and I'm backing this one to fly over the 2.5 goal line. Cup ties often see open play and plenty of chances, so a low-scoring affair seems unlikely here.

With both teams capable of finding the net, the odds of 2.06 for Over 2.5 look too good to pass up. I fully expect at least three goals in this matchup.

CA Collins Adamu To qualify: 1odds 2.16 Won

Bradford City are more than capable of rising to the occasion and winning this EFL Cup tie. I'm backing them to qualify at 2.16.

SO Segun O. Both teams to score — Yesodds 1.79 Lost

Most of the recent meetings between Bradford City and Burnley have featured goals at both ends. That head-to-head trend makes another Both Teams to Score bet the logical call here.

US Usman Salami Team 1 over 1odds 1.96 Lost

I see Burnley giving up at least one goal in this cup tie. That makes Bradford City over 1 goal an attractive bet at 1.96.

O olusegun_guy Result: 2odds 2.22 Lost
M musa.master_80 Double chance: 1Xodds 1.72 Won

Bradford City have every chance to avoid defeat against Burnley in this EFL Cup tie. The hosts are at home, and Burnley may rotate their squad, which levels the playing field significantly. I see this as a competitive match where the hosts can hold their own.

That’s why I’m backing the double chance on Bradford City or a draw. The odds of 1.72 offer solid value for a scenario where the hosts don’t lose.

DS David S. Over 2.5odds 2.06 Lost

Burnley’s visit to Bradford City in the EFL Cup has all the markings of an open game. The visitors are a class above, but Bradford have shown they can cause problems at home, especially in early-round cup ties. I’m backing the total to go over 2.5 goals at 2.06.

Both sides have attacking quality that should shine through, and with Burnley likely to push for an early lead, the hosts will have to chase the game. That’s a recipe for chances at both ends. I see at least three goals here.

KG Kabiru Garba Over 2.5odds 2.06 Lost

Bradford City and Burnley look evenly matched on paper, but I’m backing the Over 2.5 goals here at 2.06. These two should produce at least three goals between them, so I’m taking the overs without hesitation.

KA Kabiru Ademola Result: Xodds 3.45 Won

Burnley might be the favorite on paper, but Bradford City at home in the EFL Cup is a different animal. Both sides look evenly matched here, and I expect them to trade goals before settling for a draw. The 3.45 price on the tie is too good to pass up given how these cup ties often play out.

MO Michael Okoro Over 1.5 (1st half)odds 2.96 Lost

Burnley’s trip to Bradford in the EFL Cup is set for an eventful opening 45 minutes. I’m backing at least two goals to be scored before the halftime whistle, and the 2.96 price makes that a solid value play.

Both sides will be eager to make an early statement in this cup tie, and the history of these matchups suggests we won’t be waiting long for action. The first half should deliver the goods.

Match poster

Bradford City vs Burnley — odds

❓ Frequently asked questions

When and where is the Bradford City vs Burnley match?

The match is scheduled for 26 August 2026 at 19:45 at Valley Parade, Bradford.

What is the key prediction and betting recommendation for this match?

The main recommendation is to bet on Bradford City to avoid defeat (win or draw) at odds of 1.67, as they are in strong form and Burnley are struggling.

Who is the favorite for the match, and why might the underdog be a good pick?

Burnley are the official favorites due to their higher division status, but Bradford City are in excellent form with three consecutive wins and clean sheets, while Burnley have a poor away record and key injuries.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Bradford City have won all three competitive matches this season with a 5-0 aggregate score. Burnley have not won in regulation in their last seven games and have lost their last two away matches.

Are there any significant player absences for this match?

Yes, Burnley are missing captain Josh Cullen, winger Jaydon Bangle, and striker Ashley Barnes, all due to injuries or unavailability.