NaijaOdds

Celje vs Ararat-Armenia: Prediction, Betting Tips and Match Preview

⚽ Europe Champions League · Europe · 11 August 2026
Celje logoCelje
2:0
1st half: 0:0
11.08.2026 19:15
Ararat-Armenia logoArarat-Armenia

Match events

19′
🟨Alwyn Luheni Tera
19′
🟨Hugo Almeida
Leonardo Koutris🟨
32′
Artemijus Tutyskinas🟨
64′
65′
🟨
Milot Avdyli🟨
66′
Mark Zabukovnik🟨
78′
Yaya Dukuly1:0⚽
83′
84′
🟨Sandro Lima
Benjamin Verbic2:0⚽
85′
Benjamin Verbic🟨
86′

Match statistics: Celje vs Ararat-Armenia

CeljeArarat-Armenia
50Ball possession, %50
10Shots4
7Shots on target3
12Corners9
16Fouls13
3Offsides1
5Yellow cards3
0Red cards0
127Attacks85
82Dangerous attacks53

💡 Match preview Celje vs Ararat-Armenia

By Dele Lawal — Football expert specializing in European and Russian competitions

This is the decisive second leg for a spot in the final Champions League qualifying round. The first encounter ended with a 2-1 victory for Ararat-Armenia, yet Celje still hold a realistic chance of advancing, especially since the Armenian side have lost both of their European away fixtures this summer.

Celje: Tactical Overview

Celje’s performance in Yerevan was a mix of dominance and frustration. Under Vitor Campelos, the Slovenian team controlled possession (62%) and fired more shots (16–12), but they only managed a single goal from the penalty spot. Their overall record in the current qualifying campaign is far from impressive: they have failed to win any of their three matches in regulation time. The away game in Armenia was nevertheless an improvement compared to the trip to Albania’s Egnatia, which ended in a 3–3 draw. Back home, Celje have won just one of their three opening league matches—a 1–0 victory over Olimpija Ljubljana—and all of those fixtures were played on home soil.

For the return leg, the hosts need to score at least twice if they want to overturn the deficit, but their defensive solidity is a major concern. In all 11 summer matches, including friendlies, they have kept a clean sheet only twice. There is one forced change in the starting XI: midfielder Papa Daniel is suspended due to an accumulation of yellow cards, so Ivan Čalušić—who is more defensively oriented—will step in. On the left side of the defence, we expect Leonardo Kuttris to start; he already provided an assist in the qualifying match against Egnatia.

Ararat-Armenia: Tactical Overview

Ararat-Armenia have been consistent in their home matches during this Champions League campaign, scoring exactly two goals in each of them. In the first leg against Celje, they made the most of their chances, converting two of their twelve shots into goals. The opener came from a stunning long-range free kick, while the second was a fast counter-attack. Previously, they had kept clean sheets at home against Riga and Shamrock Rovers (both 2–0), but this time they conceded, which changes the dynamics. In their previous two qualifying ties, they lost the away return legs by a narrow margin but still advanced. Now, a defensive approach from the first minute is less attractive.

The visitors’ strategy has not been particularly reliable away from home. After strong home wins, they quickly surrendered their advantage on the road—for instance, in Ireland and Latvia, they found themselves 0–2 down by the end of the first half, only to recover after the break and turn the tie around with character. There are no injury or suspension concerns for Ararat-Armenia, so the starting lineup is likely to be unchanged from the previous match.

Predicted Lineups

Celje (4-3-3): Leban – Širvys, Hrka, Tučiškis, Kuttris – Zabukovnik, Čalušić, Kvešić – Sešlar, Kučys, Avduli

Out: Daniel (suspended), Pišek (injured)

Head coach: Vitor Campelos

Ararat-Armenia (3-4-3): Bravim – Julio, Wilson, Malis – Oliveira, Carlier, Muradyan, Grigoryan – Serobyan, Lima, Bangaki

Out: none

Head coach: Tulipa

Referee

The match will be officiated by Italy’s Marco Guida. In recent Serie A seasons, he has become noticeably more lenient, and his European record reflects that: over his last 20 international matches, he has averaged just 2.95 yellow cards per game and 21.25 fouls, while sending off only one player in total.

Prediction and Bet

Main prediction: Ararat-Armenia +1.5 (Asian handicap) at odds of 1.58

There is little reason to believe Celje will advance in regulation time. Even against the more modest Egnatia, they failed to secure a win in the initial 90 minutes (3–3, then 1–1 before extra time). Ararat-Armenia have shown resilience in away legs, twice clawing their way back into the tie after falling behind. Campelos’ side have managed only one victory in six official matches this season (excluding the penalty shootout against Egnatia), and if friendlies are included, that number rises to just three wins out of eleven—all of them by a single goal. Therefore, the Asian handicap of +1.5 on Ararat-Armenia looks like a solid bet.

Goals prediction: Both teams to score at odds of 1.85

Celje have no major issues going forward—they have scored in every official match this season, even though they lacked precision in Yerevan. Their defence, however, is prone to errors, having kept a clean sheet in only two of their eleven summer games, including friendlies. Ararat-Armenia, for their part, have never failed to score since the preseason, and in all five of their away or neutral matches, both teams have found the net. So, backing both teams to score is a logical choice.

Dele Lawal
Dele Lawal
Football expert specializing in European and Russian competitions

Dele Lawal is a football expert who has spent many years analyzing tournaments such as the EFL Cup, FIFA World Cup, Champions League, and Russian Super Cup. His analysis emphasizes current form, lineups, key statistics like expected goals and shots on target, and the impact of coaching decisions and fixture schedules. He maintains a disciplined, data-oriented approach to prediction, avoiding emotional bias and focusing on underlying performance indicators.

All articles by this author →

The editorial prediction is provided for informational purposes only and should not be treated as a direct call to action. Every reader should do their own analysis before deciding on a bet.

Starting lineups: Celje vs Ararat-Armenia

Celje logoCelje4-3-3
Leban
KoutrisTutishkinasHrkaShirvis
SeslarKvesicZabukovnik
AvdyuliKuchisIvanshek
Out of squad:DanielPishek · Injury
Ararat-Armenia logoArarat-Armenia4-3-3
Bravim
GrigoryanMaliceWilsonBueno
TeraMuradyanOliveira
BanzhakiLimaSerobyan

Match odds Celje vs Ararat-Armenia

Result (1X2)

X4.5511.4327.3

Double chance

1X1.09X22.82121.2

Both teams to score

No1.82Yes1.86

Over

21.332.1744.3591.51.192.51.733.52.664.54.955.59.7

Under

23.231.6141.1651.011.53.982.52.093.51.394.51.125.51

Handicap 1

01.1-11.69-23.14-36.95-1.52.16-2.53.88-3.57.7

Handicap 2

05.112.121.2731.041.51.582.51.183.51.03

Correct score

0:014.250:117.750:2431:06.551:17.91:220.52:06.652:17.82:2183:09.43:111.53:2264:017.54:1224:2485:0415:146

To qualify

11.6122.17

Predictions for Celje vs Ararat-Armenia

UE Uche Emenike Both teams to score — Yesodds 1.81 Lost

Both teams scored in the first leg, so I'm expecting the same again. Celje and Ararat-Armenia should each find the target, making the both-teams-to-score bet at 1.81 a solid play.

SI Segun Idris Handicap 1 (-1.5)odds 2.10 Won

Celje's experience should be the deciding factor here. I'm backing them with a -1.5 handicap at 2.10 — a comfortable win is well within reach.

WO Wale Onyeka Team 2 over 0.5odds 1.62 Lost

Celje may have had the edge in the first leg, but Ararat-Armenia still made the most of their opportunities and impressed me with their finishing. In European games, Celje often feels the weight of expectation — when the pressure is on, their defensive concentration slips. Even against a modest side like Egnatia in the previous round, they conceded at least twice per match, and Egnatia is hardly known for its attack. For Ararat-Armenia, this return leg is a chance to make a statement on the continental stage, and their motivation is through the roof. They're dangerous on the counter and won't stop pushing even if they concede — they'll keep hunting for their moment. Considering both teams lack elite defenders, backing the visitors to score at least one goal at 1.62 looks like a smart move.

YO Yemi Okafor Yellow cards: Over 3.5odds 1.75 Won

The referee in this Champions League meeting between Celje and Ararat-Armenia will hand out a minimum of four yellow cards. I'm backing Over 3.5 at 1.75.

NB Nnamdi Balogun Handicap 1 (-1)odds 1.64 Won

Celje at home are a class above Ararat-Armenia, and the gap looks wide enough to make this a low-stress evening for the hosts. I'm taking the -1 handicap at 1.64 — a margin that ought to be covered without needing much drama.

MW Michael Waziri Over 2.5odds 1.67 Lost

Celje need to win this Champions League clash, and Ararat-Armenia have the firepower to score. That recipe points to at least three goals, so I'm backing over 2.5 at 1.67.

OO Oluwaseun Ojo Corners: Team 1 over 6.5odds 2.03 Won

Celje have the firepower to pin Ararat-Armenia back from the opening whistle. I expect the visitors to sit deep on the road, likely shutting up shop by the middle of the first half, which plays right into Celje's hands for piling on the corner kicks. With the line set at over 6.5 corners for the hosts at 2.03, I'm taking that as a solid value play.

DG Daniel Garba To qualify: 2odds 2.19 Lost

Celje might win this match, but if it goes to extra time, it's a coin flip. That's why I'm backing Ararat-Armenia to qualify at 2.19 — even if the hosts take the game beyond 90 minutes, the Armenians have just as good a chance to advance.

SO Segun Oladipo Double chance: X2odds 2.82 Lost

This match shapes up as a clear opportunity for Ararat-Armenia to avoid defeat. Their quality suggests they can trouble Celje, and the odds offer real value here. I'm backing the Armenian side to come away with a result, firmly believing they have every chance to make their fans proud in this Champions League encounter.

CE Chibuzo Emenike Result: Xodds 4.65 Lost
IL Ifeanyi Lamido Double chance: X2odds 2.82 Lost

Ararat-Armenia have what it takes to spring a surprise in this Champions League qualifier. I'm backing the visitors to avoid defeat — double chance X2 at 2.82 is the play.

IO Ikechukwu Oladipo Both teams to score — Yesodds 1.84 Pending

Celje and Ararat-Armenia meet in the 3rd qualifying round of the Champions League, and I’m backing both teams to find the net. The odds of 1.84 look solid for this bet.

Both sides have the attacking quality to score, and in a high-stakes qualifier like this, defensive solidity often takes a back seat. I see goals at both ends as the most likely outcome.

OI Olusegun Igwe Under 2.5odds 2.12 Pending

This Champions League clash between Celje and Ararat-Armenia is shaping up to be a tense, hard-fought battle. I don't see this one turning into a goal fest.

The fixture carries the weight of a decisive knockout tie, and both sides will be cautious, prioritizing defensive solidity over attacking flair. With so much at stake and the pressure of the moment, I'm backing the total goals to stay under 2.5 at a solid 2.12.

YO Yemi Ogunleye Double chance: X2odds 2.82 Pending

Celje will have a tough time breaking down Ararat-Armenia. The visitors are solid defensively and have the quality to avoid defeat on the road. I’m backing the double chance for the away side here.

I ibrahim.fan Both teams to score — Yesodds 1.85 Pending

Celje and Ararat-Armenia are both capable going forward, so I’m expecting goals at both ends here. The odds of 1.85 for both teams to score look solid given the attacking quality on display.

SM Segun Musa Team 2 over 1odds 2.95 Pending

Ararat-Armenia is going to try and replicate their first-leg performance. They already proved at home they can handle Celje, and I expect them to get the job done again on the road. The odds are too good to pass up.

WA Wale Afolabi Over 1.5 (1st half)odds 2.41 Pending

Celje and Ararat-Armenia meet in the Champions League, and I’m backing the first half to deliver at least two goals. The odds of 2.41 look generous for an outcome that feels almost inevitable given how open these qualifiers tend to be. A pair of strikes before the break is a strong bet here.

US Uche Sowole Handicap 2 (1.5)odds 1.58 Pending

Celje will be forced to go beyond their limits here. Even at home, it won't be enough to turn things around comfortably. Ararat-Armenia already built a lead in the first leg and have no intention of letting it slip. I'm confident they'll cover the +1.5 handicap.

ME Michael Emenike To qualify: 2odds 2.17 Pending
MO Musa Ogundipe Both teams to score — Yesodds 1.85 Pending

Both teams to score is the call in this Champions League fixture between Celje and Ararat-Armenia. I expect an exchange of goals, and the 1.85 odds make that a solid play.

IN Ikechukwu Nwosu Corners: Team 2 under 2.5odds 2.25 Pending

Celje vs Ararat-Armenia in the Champions League, and I’m going for the visitors to stay quiet on corners. Ararat-Armenia rarely push forward with enough intent to earn multiple set pieces, especially away from home. Their attacking output is consistently low, which makes the under 2.5 corners line a solid bet here at 2.25.

W wildmaster Both teams to score — Yesodds 1.85 Pending

Celje vs. Ararat-Armenia in the Champions League — I’m expecting a lively, open game here. The hosts should control the tempo and likely come from behind or at least push hard for goals, but a clean sheet looks unlikely. Both sides have real attacking threats, so I’m backing both teams to score at 1.85.

YL Yemi Lamido Corners: Under 9.5odds 1.80 Pending

Celje and Ararat-Armenia are set for a Champions League clash where I see very few corners being awarded. The total under 9.5 is the clear play here — I'm fully convinced these two sides simply won't generate enough set-piece opportunities to push past that mark.

KG Kunle Garba To qualify: 2odds 2.17 Pending

Ararat-Armenia will advance to the next round as long as they keep their current tactics intact. That’s my read on this Champions League tie.

IB Ibrahim Bankole Over 2.5odds 1.71 Pending

Celje against Ararat-Armenia in the Champions League – goals are coming again, same as in the first leg. Three or more total strikes look likely, so over 2.5 is the clear call here.

IO Ifeanyi Okoro Double chance: X2odds 2.82 Pending

Celje might finally avoid a loss at home on their third attempt — the odds are there, and I see real potential in the visitors' double chance. Ararat-Armenia have enough about them to snatch at least a draw, so I'm backing X2 at 2.82.

GA Gabriel Adebayo Handicap 1 (-1)odds 1.68 Pending

Celje are a class above Ararat-Armenia. The first-leg scoreline flattered the visitors and doesn't reflect the real gap between the sides. I'm backing the hosts to cover a -1 handicap here.

DW Daniel W. Over 3.5odds 2.63 Pending

Celje will win at home, and I'm backing the total to go over 3.5 goals.

N netpro_2020 Both teams to score — Yesodds 1.85 Pending

Celje and Ararat-Armenia both have the firepower to find the net in this Champions League clash. The visitors are more than capable of scoring themselves, so I’m backing both teams to get on the scoresheet.

ES Emmanuel Sani Over 2.5odds 1.73 Pending

Celje against Ararat-Armenia in the Champions League — my call is over 2.5 goals at 1.73. Now I’m waiting for the total to be beaten, and we’ll see how it unfolds from there.

SA Segun Adebayo Handicap 1 (-1.5)odds 2.13 Pending

Celje are just a goal away from overturning the narrow first-leg deficit, and I expect them to do it convincingly at home. That's why I'm backing them with a -1.5 handicap at 2.13 — they'll win by at least two and punch their ticket to the playoff round.

GO Godwin Ogunleye Double chance: X2odds 2.82 Pending

Celje hosts Ararat-Armenia in the Champions League, and I’m backing the visitors to avoid defeat here. The Armenian side arrives in solid form, which gives me confidence in the double chance market for X2 at 2.82. That’s a value pick worth taking.

CA Chinedu Abubakar Team 2 over 1odds 3.00 Pending

Ararat-Armenia are capable of holding their own in this Champions League clash, and I expect them to find the net at least twice. The odds of 3.00 for the visitors to score over one goal look well worth backing.

OS Oluwaseun Sani Over 1.5 (1st half)odds 2.41 Pending

Let’s cut straight to it: I’m backing both teams to find the net at least once in the first half here. That’s a solid 2.41 on offer, and the reasoning is simple—neither side has any reason to sit back from the opening whistle. This is a Champions League qualifier, and with everything on the line, I expect an aggressive start from both Celje and Ararat-Armenia.

There’s no room for tentative football when a spot in the next round is at stake. I’m confident we’ll see urgency and attacking intent right from the kick‑off, which should produce at least two goals before the break.

IA Ibrahim Adekunle Double chance: X2odds 2.82 Pending

Ararat-Armenia are a strong side, and though Celje are no pushovers, I see this ending in a 1-1 draw. That makes double chance X2 a solid pick at 2.82.

UA Uche Abdullahi Team 1 over 2odds 1.94 Void
AN Ayodele Nwachukwu Handicap 2 (1.5)odds 1.59 Pending

Celje needs a big win to overturn the deficit after losing the first leg, but Ararat-Armenia are in control and won't let that happen by a wide margin. The visitors defended their lead effectively in the opening match and are tactically disciplined enough to avoid a heavy defeat on the road.

I'm backing the Armenian side to keep this tight. They have the quality to absorb pressure and hit on the counter, so even if Celje pushes hard, Ararat-Armenia should cover a +1.5 handicap here. The odds of 1.59 reflect solid value for a team that simply doesn't get blown out.

VI Victor Ibe Double chance: X2odds 2.82 Pending

Celje may have the home advantage, but Ararat-Armenia looked every bit their equal in the first leg. I don’t see the hosts running away with this one, so backing the visitors to avoid defeat feels like the smart play.

UI Usman Igwe Under 3odds 1.62 Pending

Celje host Ararat-Armenia in the Champions League, and I’m backing the under 3 goals market here. At 1.62, the price looks right for a match where I don’t expect a goal fest. Both sides will be cautious in a qualifier of this magnitude, so I’m taking the under.

KA Kingsley Adebayo To qualify: 1odds 1.61 Pending

Celje to qualify is the straightforward call here. Ararat-Armenia haven't shown enough away from home in the Champions League to convince me they can overturn the tie, so I'm backing the hosts to move on.

OA Olusegun Amadi Both teams to score — Yesodds 1.86 Pending

Celje and Ararat-Armenia are set to meet in the Champions League, and I’m backing both teams to find the net. These are two attack-minded sides that rarely keep things tight at the back, so an exchange of goals looks highly probable. The odds of 1.86 offer solid value for what I see as the most likely outcome in this fixture.

MA Musa Adewale Double chance: X2odds 2.82 Lost

Celje vs Ararat-Armenia — I'm backing the visitors with a double chance X2 at 2.82. That's a solid price to bet on them avoiding defeat, and I'm playing it with the long-term value in mind.

DA Dele Anyanwu Over 2.5odds 1.73 Pending

Celje are an attacking team by nature, and after losing the first leg in Armenia, they have no choice but to push forward and open up. That's exactly why I'm confidently backing over 2.5 goals here.

JA John Akintola Both teams to score — Yesodds 1.86 Pending

Celje vs Ararat-Armenia — I have no idea how they pull it off, but Ararat-Armenia are advancing. Both teams scoring feels like the right call here, and at 1.86, the odds are worth taking.

AA Abubakar Adekunle Correct score 1:2odds 20.50 Pending

Correct score 1:2 for Ararat-Armenia away at Celje in the Champions League. At odds of 20.50, I'm backing this exact outcome – a bold call, but I'm confident enough to take the risk.

KO Kunle Olawale To qualify: 2odds 2.17 Pending

Ararat-Armenia just need to show up and avoid losing to Celje on Tuesday. That's it—no need for a heroics, just a solid performance to protect their lead. The Armenian side are moving on, and at 2.17, I'm happy to back them to qualify.

OS Oluwaseun Shehu Team 1 under 1.5odds 2.39 Pending

Celje haven’t been looking as sharp this season as they did in previous years, so Ararat-Armenia should be able to hold onto their lead. I’m backing the hosts to score no more than once, with the price at 2.39 offering solid value for this Champions League clash.

KM Kunle Madu Handicap 1 (0)odds 1.10 Pending

Celje are unlikely to suffer a heavy defeat against Ararat-Armenia in this Champions League clash. The home side should have enough quality to keep the scoreline respectable, making the handicap line of zero a safe bet. Backing the hosts not to lose by a wide margin looks like the most reliable play here.

IO Ifeanyi Obi Handicap 1 (-1.5)odds 2.16 Pending

Celje are about to dismantle Ararat-Armenia in this Champions League qualifier. The Armenian side simply doesn't belong at this level and will collapse under the pressure. I'm backing the hosts to cover the -1.5 handicap without much trouble.

PA Peter Adamu Over 2.5odds 1.73 Pending

Celje against Ararat-Armenia in the Champions League: the over 2.5 total at 1.73 is a tempting price. Celje are roughly three times the side their Armenian opponents are, so I'm confident the goals arrive and this bet lands.

Match poster

Celje vs Ararat-Armenia — odds

❓ Frequently asked questions

When and where is the Celje vs Ararat-Armenia match?

The match takes place on 11 August 2026 at 19:15, at Celje's home stadium in Slovenia.

What is the key betting prediction for this match?

The main prediction is Ararat-Armenia +1.5 on the Asian handicap at odds of 1.58, with both teams to score also recommended at 1.85.

Who is the favorite to advance after the first leg?

Ararat-Armenia lead 2-1 from the first leg, but Celje still have a realistic chance at home. The handicap prediction suggests Ararat-Armenia are expected to lose by no more than one goal or avoid defeat.

Are there any important player absences for this match?

Yes, Celje midfielder Papa Daniel is suspended due to yellow card accumulation. Ivan Čalušić will replace him. Ararat-Armenia have no injury or suspension concerns.

How have both teams performed recently?

Celje have won only one of six official matches this season and kept just two clean sheets in 11 summer games. Ararat-Armenia have lost both European away fixtures this summer but showed resilience by recovering from deficits in previous rounds.

What was the result of the first leg?

Ararat-Armenia won 2-1 at home, with goals from a long-range free kick and a counter-attack. Celje scored from a penalty.