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Celta Vigo vs Osasuna: Prediction, Betting Tips and Match Preview

⚽ Spain LaLiga · Spain · 27 August 2026
Celta Vigo logoCelta Vigo
1:2
1st half: 1:0
27.08.2026 19:30
Osasuna logoOsasuna

Match events

Iago Aspas1:0⚽
14′
27′
🟨Jon Moncayola
Marcos Alonso🟥
51′
54′
⚽1:1Kike Barja
64′
⚽1:2Ante Budimir

Match statistics: Celta Vigo vs Osasuna

Celta VigoOsasuna
0.12xG (expected goals)2.58
51Ball possession, %49
4Shots13
2Shots on target5
5Corners3
7Fouls16
3Offsides4
0Yellow cards1
1Red cards0
90Attacks113
43Dangerous attacks51

💡 Match preview Celta Vigo vs Osasuna

By Kayode Akintola — Football expert covering K League, Kakkonen, Liga I, Leon Second League

Celta Vigo’s first home game of the 2026/27 La Liga season arrives later than planned – the opening-round fixture was postponed due to pitch problems at Balaídos. The Galicians have already played away at Valencia, grinding out a 0-0 draw at Mestalla. Osasuna started their campaign with the same scoreline, a goalless stalemate against Levante. Now two sides yet to score in the new championship meet head‑to‑head.

Tactical Analysis: Celta Vigo

The Sky Blues navigated pre‑season without a single defeat – two wins and three draws in five outings. They found the net in every friendly and visibly raised their level as the season approached: a 4‑1 thrashing of Sassuolo was followed by a 1‑1 draw with Napoli. In the first league match, their attacking output dipped – the goalless draw at Valencia saw them fail to score, but for the first time in a while they defended solidly at the back. Now Celta play their first home fixture and enjoy a freshness advantage: they took the field on August 22, while Osasuna only played on August 24. That extra rest should allow the hosts to sustain a higher tempo and particularly improve after the interval.

Summer business was targeted. New arrivals Febas and Galán both started against Valencia. Yet the main headache remains in attack: sporting director Marco Garcés admitted the team needs a player who can beat opponents one‑on‑one and break down compact defences – precisely what was missing at Mestalla. A potential solution is Couhaib Driouch from PSV (4 goals, 6 assists in last season’s Eredivisie). The clubs are close to finalising the deal, but the winger arrived in Vigo with a muscle injury, so counting on him for the Osasuna match is premature.

Tactical Analysis: Osasuna

Osasuna played six pre‑season matches, winning only three. All victories came early in the preparation, while the final three friendlies were poor: losses to Napoli (1‑2) and Al‑Ain (0‑2), then a 1‑1 draw with Arenas from the Spanish third tier. In that stretch they scored just two goals, so attacking problems were already visible before La Liga kicked off. The trend continued in the league – a 0‑0 home draw against Levante ended a run of 40 consecutive home games in which they had scored at least once. The main issue is positional attack: the side relies too heavily on Budimir and set‑pieces, lacking other ways to unlock organised defences.

Osasuna approach the trip to Vigo at a calendar disadvantage – after the Levante match they have only two full days to recover. Rotation options are limited: Rico, Dubasin and Yeboa are still adapting to Ramis’s demands, while Rozier continues his recovery from injury. Against a fresher Celta, the shallow bench could be especially costly after the break.

Predicted Lineups

Celta Vigo (3‑4‑3): Radu – Rodríguez, Lago, Alonso – Carreira, Román, Febas, Galán – Álvarez, Yutglà, El‑Abdelaui Unavailable: Driouch (doubtful) Head coach: Claudio Giráldez

Osasuna (4‑4‑2): Herrera – Arguibide, Catena, Herrando, Bretones – R. García, Moncayola, Muñoz, Gómez – Budimir, Oroz Unavailable: Rozier (injured), Yeboa (doubtful) Head coach: Luis Miguel Ramis

Prediction and Bet

Main prediction: Celta Vigo to win at odds of 2.00

Celta approach the match in far more comfortable circumstances. The Galicians have not lost in any of their last six games (including friendlies). Now they play at home for the first time and have almost two extra days of recovery. That factor is especially important given Osasuna’s last match: after the break against Levante, the Pamplona side created chances worth only 0.20 xG and managed just one shot on target, dropping off noticeably from the first half. Claudio Giráldez’s men should gain the upper hand as the game progresses, so backing a Celta win at 2.00 looks solid.

Total goals prediction: Under 2.5 goals at odds of 1.72

Both teams started the championship with goalless draws and have yet to open their accounts. Osasuna had only two full days to recover from the Levante match, making it hard to maintain a high tempo for 90 minutes. There is also the Balaídos factor: the old turf had to be urgently replaced due to a fungus, and the new pitch still needs time to reach optimal condition. All this points towards cautious football, so the pick is under 2.5 goals at 1.72.

Kayode Akintola
Kayode Akintola
Football expert covering K League, Kakkonen, Liga I, Leon Second League

Kayode has spent over a decade closely monitoring the K League 1 and 2, Kakkonen, Liga I, and Leon Second League. His analysis prioritizes current form, squad rotations, and statistical indicators such as shots on target and defensive organization. He also considers coaching decisions and fixture congestion to build well-rounded forecasts, focusing on data-driven insights rather than speculation.

All articles by this author →

The editorial prediction is provided for informational purposes only and should not be treated as a direct call to action. Every reader should do their own analysis before deciding on a bet.

Probable lineups: Celta Vigo vs Osasuna

Celta Vigo logoCelta Vigo3-4-3
Radu
AlonsoStarfeltRodriguez
RuedaFebasRomanCarreira
JutglaAspasSvedberg
Out of squad:Iglesias · Injury
Osasuna logoOsasuna4-4-2
Herrera
BretonesErrandoCatenaArgibide
BarjaMunozMoncayolaMoro
OrosBudimir
Out of squad:Rozier · Injury

Match odds Celta Vigo vs Osasuna

Result (1X2)

X3.51224.1

Double chance

1X1.27X21.87121.33

Both teams to score

No1.79Yes1.92

Over

11.0521.5933.146.80.51.021.51.342.52.183.53.854.57.4

Under

16.6522.2431.3341.050.57.91.52.932.51.73.51.214.51.03

Handicap 1

01.4311.04-12.8-26.81.51.01-1.53.58-2.57.7

Handicap 2

02.8311.3721.04-18.11.51.222.51.03-1.59

Correct score

0:07.90:19.30:2201:05.851:15.851:2131:3412:08.32:18.22:2162:3483:016.53:1173:2324:0414:143

Predictions for Celta Vigo vs Osasuna

MG Michael Garba Corners: Result: 2odds 2.85 Lost

Celta Vigo and Osasuna are among the last to wrap up the opening matchday in La Liga, and since the second round has already been played, we have solid data to work with. In their season debut, Celta drew Valencia 0–0 — their xG barely scraped past zero. Corners were modest at 1–2 in Celta’s favor, with three yellow cards for the hosts and two for Valencia. Osasuna also settled for a scoreless draw against Levante, but with more attacking intent: xG of 0.89 against Levante’s 1.27, a 9–4 corner count in Osasuna’s favor, and a 2–1 yellow card split.

Zero goals across both matches points toward under 2.5 total, but Osasuna’s aggressive corner performance stands out. The pair have met 82 times historically — Celta holds a narrow 38–33 edge in wins — so picking a match winner is anything but clear. That’s why I’m backing Osasuna to come out ahead on corners (P2 in corner betting), even though the home side has often taken the corner count in past meetings. The stats from their first fixtures suggest Osasuna will push hard from wide areas.

AW Ayodele Waziri Result: 1odds 2.03 Lost

Celta Vigo’s home form is their strongest weapon, and I expect them to get the job done here. They simply look better on their own turf, and that’s enough for me to back them to take all three points.

SO Sani Okonkwo Both teams to score — Yesodds 1.99 Won

The opening round between Celta Vigo and Osasuna ended 0-0, but that result won’t repeat itself here. I’m backing both teams to score — the patterns from that first match won’t hold, and this time around we’ll see goals at both ends. The odds of 1.99 make it a solid play.

G goldsniper88 Result: 1odds 2.02 Lost

Celta Vigo will take a narrow win over Osasuna in this LaLiga fixture. The hosts have just enough to edge out their opponents by the smallest of margins, securing all three points in a tight contest.

ES Emeka S. Under 2.5odds 1.64 Lost

The final score of 2-1 fits perfectly into my scenario—and that's the whole point. I don't see this match as a fully locked-down affair. Celta Vigo have attackers capable of bagging two goals at home, while Osasuna carry enough quality to find the net at least once. Betting on Under 2.5 Goals demands a maximum of two total strikes, which is simply too risky here.

Under 3.0 Goals gives me that extra safety net. Expect Celta to control possession and play on the front foot at home, but Osasuna will stay compact and refuse to leave gaps. The visitors are dangerous on the counter and from set pieces, so completely ruling out their goal would be foolish. For Osasuna to score two or three times, they'd have to open up significantly. With both teams starting the season with a 0-0 and neither showing consistent attacking form yet, this is shaping up to be a tight, controlled contest where a shellacking just isn't on the cards.

DN Daniel Nwosu Corners: Team 1 over 4.5odds 1.85 Won

Celta Vigo are the fresher side here, and I expect them to suffocate Osasuna by attacking through the flanks with Aspas. The tired Osasuna defenders will pack the box and panic-clear the ball over the end line, which should easily push the hosts past 4.5 corners.

DA Daniel Adeyemi Result: 1odds 2.00 Lost

Celta Vigo’s odds at 2.00 reflect a clear edge here. I’m confident they’ll get the job done at home against Osasuna in this LaLiga matchup. The hosts simply have too much quality to drop points on their own turf.

PS Peter Sowole Corners: Team 1 over 4odds 1.56 Won
B blueninja70 Both teams to score — Yesodds 1.94 Won

Las Palmas against Osasuna in LaLiga should see goals at both ends. I'm all in on both teams scoring here.

Both sides know how to find the net, but the bigger story is how often they get caught out defensively. Their backlines leak goals on a regular basis, making a BTTS bet the obvious call.

DA Daniel Amadi Result: 1odds 2.00 Lost

Celta Vigo host an Osasuna side that played just two days ago. That short turnaround is a clear physical disadvantage, and I expect the hosts to exploit it. A home win is the straightforward call here.

AB Abubakar Bello Over 2.5odds 2.23 Won

Celta Vigo host Osasuna in LaLiga on 27 August. My bet is on over 2.5 goals at 2.23. I'm backing this pick with confidence.

EE Emeka Emenike Under 2.5odds 1.67 Lost

Both Celta Vigo and Osasuna started their La Liga seasons with 0-0 draws — Celta against Valencia, Osasuna against Levante. That tells me goals have been hard to come by for both sides so far. Celta’s attack hasn’t shown a reliable path to multiple goals yet, and while a front three of Aspas, Jutgla, and Svedberg might boost their potential, that’s more a risk to my bet than a reason to expect a high-scoring game.

Osasuna have their own issues. Their match against Levante was only on August 24, leaving a short recovery window before traveling to Vigo. Their attack leans heavily on Budimir and set pieces, with Budimir leading the line in a 4-2-3-1. They play a patient, compact game built around isolated chances rather than constant exchanges. I’m backing under 2.5 goals here.

SM Sunday M. Result: 1odds 2.00 Lost

Celta Vigo will take all three points against Osasuna. The home side have enough quality to get the job done, and at 2.00 the odds look fair for a straightforward win.

NM Nnamdi Madu Result: 1odds 2.00 Lost

Celta Vigo come into this match with more rest and the benefit of playing at Balaídos. That combination puts them in control. They need to win, and I see no reason why they won't.

S strike.sage Under 2.5odds 1.67 Pending
MO Musa Onyeka Result: 1odds 2.00 Pending

This match between Celta Vigo and Osasuna in LaLiga is shaping up to be a scrappy, physical battle in midfield. I see plenty of fouls and very few clear-cut chances, which makes me confident that the home side can grind out a narrow win. There’s no room for flair here, just grit—and that favors Celta to take it 1-0 or 2-1, delivering a solid return at 2.00 odds.

GA Godwin Anyanwu Under 2.5odds 1.67 Pending

Under 2.5 for Celta Vigo versus Osasuna — that's the call I'm making. The odds at 1.67 offer decent value, and while there's always a bit of luck involved in football, I'm fairly confident this one stays low.

SI Segun Igwe Corners: Result: 2odds 2.38 Pending
MY Musa Yusuf Under 2.5odds 1.67 Pending
EG Emeka Garba Yellow cards: Over 4.5odds 2.20 Pending

Yellow cards should pile up when Celta Vigo host Osasuna in LaLiga. I'm backing over 4.5 at 2.20 — this match has all the ingredients for at least five bookings.

AA Abubakar Adebayo Result: 1odds 2.00 Pending
H hawksage_507 Corners: Over 10.5odds 2.97 Pending

Celta Vigo and Osasuna are set to go at it in an open LaLiga clash, which makes the corners market worth a look. I’m backing Over 10.5 corners at 2.97 — with both sides pushing forward, there should be enough set-piece action to clear that line.

ST Sani Tanko Result: 2odds 4.10 Pending

Celta Vigo may be the hosts, but Osasuna have made a habit of leaving their pitch with all three points in recent seasons. I'm backing that trend to continue here, even if it means taking a big price. The visitors have consistently found a way to get the job done in Vigo, and I see no reason to bet against them this time around.

BA Babatunde Adamu Corners: Team 1 over 4.5odds 1.83 Pending

Celta Vigo at home are a corner-taking machine — they produce an enormous number of them. That's why I'm backing them to clear the 4.5‑corner line against Osasuna.

VT Victor T. Under 2.5odds 1.67 Pending

Both Celta Vigo and Osasuna have struggled to create chances early in the LaLiga season. Celta's attack lacks punch without Iglesias, while Osasuna will sit deep and conserve energy after a demanding start. Their opening 0-0 draws confirm a defensive focus. I'm confident this will be a low-scoring game, so under 2.5 goals is the right call.

OO Oluwaseun Obiora Result: 1odds 2.00 Pending

Celta Vigo will edge out Osasuna on home turf, even if it’s by the narrowest of margins. The hosts have enough quality to secure all three points, and I’m backing them to get the job done in this LaLiga clash. A 1-0 or 2-1 type of result feels right, but the win is what matters most here.

BO Biodun Ogundipe Corners: Over 8.5odds 1.73 Pending

Celta Vigo and Osasuna both play in a tight, defensive LaLiga, but I still see them combining for at least nine corners. These teams don't waste time; they get the ball wide and attack the flanks, which consistently produces set pieces. Over 8.5 corners at 1.73 is a solid play based on their direct style of play.

KO Kabiru Okoro Both teams to score — Yesodds 1.94 Pending
NB Nnamdi Balogun Both teams to score — Yesodds 1.92 Pending

Neither Celta Vigo nor Osasuna managed to find the net in their last matches. That recent scoring drought is exactly why I’m backing both teams to get on the scoresheet here at odds of 1.92.

EA Emmanuel Adamu Team 1 over 1.5odds 2.18 Pending

Celta Vigo are back on home soil, and I expect them to put on a show for their fans. They have the quality to find the net more than once, and at odds of 2.18, backing them to score over 1.5 goals looks like solid value. This is a bet I'm happy to make.

AO Adewale Oni Both teams to score — Noodds 1.79 Pending
CO Chukwuma Okonkwo Over 2.5odds 2.18 Pending

Over 2.5 goals is the clear call for this LaLiga matchup between Celta Vigo and Osasuna. I see no reason to overthink it — the line looks well within reach, and I’m backing the total to go over without any reservations.

BD Biodun Danjuma Corners: Team 1 under 4.5odds 1.87 Pending

Celta won't be flooding the box with corners in this LaLiga meeting. The hosts should stay under 4.5 corners, and at 1.87 that's a solid play.

SO Segun Okoro Under 1.5odds 2.88 Pending

Both teams will lock down defensively, keeping this LaLiga match very low-scoring. I see at most one goal, so the Under 1.5 at 2.88 is the right play.

SL Sani Lawal Both teams to score — Yesodds 1.92 Pending

Celta Vigo vs. Osasuna in LaLiga – a fixture that screams goals at both ends. Both sides generate enough chances to make the "both teams to score – Yes" market a strong call at 1.92. Plenty of attacking intent on display here, so backing goals from each team is the straightforward move.

B bet_bull_141 Yellow cards: Under 3.5odds 2.39 Pending

Under 3.5 yellow cards at 2.39 looks like the right call here. Celta Vigo and Osasuna have both been making a conscious effort to keep things clean in their latest matches, so this LaLiga meeting shouldn't turn into a booking contest. These sides aren't the type to dive into reckless challenges, and I don't see the referee reaching for his pocket too often.

C collins_star Under 1.5odds 2.93 Pending

Celta Vigo and Osasuna are two of the most boring sides in La Liga. When they meet, you can expect a real snoozefest with very few chances and even fewer goals. I’m backing Under 1.5 goals here at a price of 2.93.

JA John Adebayo Result: 1odds 2.00 Pending

Celta Vigo against Osasuna—both sides come in with roughly equal chances, but I'm leaning towards the home win. The odds at 2.00 look fair for a bet on the hosts to take all three points.

CA Chukwuma Abiodun Yellow cards: Result: 1odds 2.80 Pending

Celta Vigo have a real chance to come out on top in the yellow-card department against Osasuna. Backing the home side for that outcome at 2.80 looks like a reasonable call.

OB Obinna Bankole Corners: Over 10.5odds 2.97 Lost

This LaLiga matchup between Celta Vigo and Osasuna is shaping up to produce a high number of attacking set pieces. I’m backing the over 10.5 corners here at 2.97, as the flow of this game should keep the corner count busy.

AS Anthony Suleiman Result: 2odds 4.10 Pending
SG Segun Garba Yellow cards: Over 4.5odds 2.20 Pending

Celta Vigo and Osasuna meet in LaLiga, and I’m expecting a card-heavy affair. Both sides bring a physical edge to their game, and with the referee likely to keep a tight leash, I see the total going over 4.5 yellow cards. The odds at 2.20 offer solid value for a bet that aligns with the typical intensity of this matchup. I’m backing the cards to pile up.

SO Suleiman Ojo Corners: Team 1 over 4.5odds 1.83 Pending

Celta Vigo's attack is built around wide play, and that almost always translates into a high volume of corner kicks. Against Osasuna, I'm confidently backing the hosts to get more than 4.5 corners at 1.83 — their style makes this a strong bet.

GO Godwin Obiora Result: 1odds 2.00 Pending

Celta Vigo are the clear side to back here. Osasuna look set to be completely outplayed from the first whistle, making the home win at 2.00 a straightforward call.

CA Chinedu Adamu Under 1.5odds 2.93 Pending

The price on Under 1.5 goals for Celta Vigo vs Osasuna is too generous. Bookmakers are offering value here, and I'm confident this is the right call.

KO Kabiru Olaniyan Result: Xodds 3.50 Pending
SS Suleiman Sowole Result: 1odds 2.00 Pending

Celta Vigo and Osasuna were basically inseparable last season — both had their runs of form, both hit rough patches, and neither proved clearly stronger. When the level is that close, I stop overthinking and lean on the one edge that actually matters: playing at home. Celta get the nod here, and at 2.00, that’s the side I want.

SL Segun Lamido Result: 1odds 2.00 Pending

Celta Vigo are the clear pick in this LaLiga fixture against Osasuna. The home win is the most likely outcome, and I'm taking that option at 2.00 — the prevailing view is spot on.

SO Suleiman Obi Result: 1odds 2.00 Pending

Celta Vigo's home form should be enough to get past Osasuna here. I'm taking the straight win at 2.00 — that's solid value for a matchup where the hosts have the clear edge.

YO Yusuf Obi Result: 1odds 2.00 Pending
ES Emeka Sowole Team 1 over 1.5odds 2.18 Pending

Celta Vigo at home in LaLiga — I’m backing them to score at least twice against Osasuna. The odds sit at 2.18, and I see real value here. Balaídos is a tough place to visit, and Celta’s attacking firepower should be enough to break through Osasuna’s defense more than once. I’m confident they’ll get the job done.

OE Oluwaseun Eze Result: 1odds 2.00 Pending

Celta Vigo have the stronger squad here and I’m backing them to get the job done at home. The quality difference should be enough to see them through.

MO Musa Olaniyan Result: 2odds 4.10 Pending
GA Gabriel Adekunle Result: 1odds 2.00 Lost
KY Kelechi Yusuf Corners: Result: 2odds 2.75 Pending

Osasuna will come out on top in the corner count. Their approach focuses on getting bodies forward and winning set pieces, which has worked well for them. Celta often sees less of the ball in this matchup, so I’m backing Osasuna to dominate from the flanks.

SI Stanley Ibe Double chance: 1Xodds 1.27 Pending
IO Ibrahim Ojo Result: 1odds 2.00 Pending

Celta Vigo at home against Osasuna — this is a matchup where the hosts clearly have the edge. Osasuna are a tough side, but at Balaídos, Celta usually dictate the tempo and create enough chances to get the win. The odds at 2.00 reflect a solid opportunity, and I see real value in backing the home side to take all three points here.

UY Uche Yusuf Result: 1odds 2.00 Pending

Celta Vigo at home in LaLiga is a solid bet. Their form at Balaídos gives me confidence they can get the job done against Osasuna. I'm backing a home win at 2.00—that's good value for a team that plays well in front of their own fans.

JW John Waziri Over 0.5odds 1.02 Pending

Celta Vigo and Osasuna are set to face off in LaLiga on August 27, 2026, and I expect this one to produce at least one goal. With the Over 0.5 line priced at 1.02, it's as close to a certainty as you'll find in football betting.

CS Chinedu Salami Both teams to score — Yesodds 1.92 Pending

Both teams to score feels like the right call here. Celta Vigo and Osasuna usually produce open games, and at 1.92, the price offers real value. I wouldn't pass that up.

CA Chukwuma Adamu Result: 1odds 2.00 Pending

Celta Vigo host Osasuna in this LaLiga clash, and I see only one outcome here. The home side is clearly the stronger team and should roll through this match without any real headaches — a straightforward win at 2.00.

DO Dele Okoro Handicap 1 (-1)odds 2.80 Pending

Celta Vigo with a -1 handicap at 2.80 is the value play here. I’m backing the hosts to win this LaLiga clash by more than a single goal, as they have the quality to dominate Osasuna from start to finish.

The odds are generous for what I expect to be a comfortable home victory. Celta should control the game and find the net multiple times, making this handicap bet a strong proposition for the 27th of August.

Match poster

Celta Vigo vs Osasuna — odds

❓ Frequently asked questions

When and where is the Celta Vigo vs Osasuna match?

The match is on August 27, 2026, at 19:30, in LaLiga at Balaídos, Celta Vigo's home stadium.

Who is the favorite to win according to the analysis?

Celta Vigo is favored to win at odds of 2.00, based on their extra rest and home advantage.

What is the key prediction for this match?

The main prediction is Celta Vigo to win, with a secondary prediction of under 2.5 total goals at odds of 1.72.

How have both teams performed so far this season?

Both teams started with goalless draws: Celta Vigo drew 0-0 at Valencia, and Osasuna drew 0-0 at home against Levante. Neither has scored yet in La Liga.

Are there any major injury issues for either side?

For Celta, new winger Couhaib Driouch is doubtful with a muscle injury. For Osasuna, Rozier is injured and Yeboa is doubtful, with limited rotation options available.