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Degerfors vs Djurgården: prediction and odds

Sweden Allsvenskan · Sweden · 25 July 2026
Degerfors logoDegerfors
0:1
1st half: 0:1
25.07.2026 14:00
Djurgården logoDjurgården

Match events

Sebastian Ohlsson🟨
29′
43′
0:1Bo Åsulv Hegland
65′
🟨Bo Åsulv Hegland

Match statistics: Degerfors vs Djurgården

DegerforsDjurgården
1.04xG (expected goals)2.26
58Ball possession, %42
12Shots17
0Shots on target7
6Corners6
7Fouls12
0Offsides1
1Yellow cards1
0Red cards0
111Attacks105
74Dangerous attacks42

💡 Match preview Degerfors vs Djurgården

The Stora Valla stadium in Degerfors is set to host a crucial 14th-round Allsvenskan clash, where the home side look to halt a prolonged slide and escape the relegation playoff zone. Standing in their way is a formidable Djurgården outfit, who are locked in a fierce battle for European qualification and have been devastatingly effective on the road this season.

Tactical Analysis of Degerfors

Entering the round in 14th place, Degerfors find themselves in the relegation playoff spot with just 10 points from 13 matches (2 wins, 4 draws, 7 losses, goal difference 12:23). Their recent form is alarming: four defeats and one draw in the last five fixtures. At home, the team has been equally shaky, collecting only 5 points from seven games (1 win, 2 draws, 4 losses) with a goal difference of 6:13.

The attack is averaging 0.92 actual goals per match against an expected goals (xG) of 0.84. This modest output stems from limited creativity and a lack of finishing quality in the final third, resulting in a predictable drought in front of goal. Defensively, Degerfors concede 1.77 goals per game, while opponents create chances worth only 1.47 expected goals against (xGA). The defence and goalkeeper are prone to regular errors, allowing more goals than the quality of their defensive play would suggest.

Tactical Analysis of Djurgården

Djurgården sit fifth in the table with 20 points from 12 matches (6 wins, 2 draws, 4 losses, goal difference 26:15) and have a game in hand. Over the last five rounds, they have recorded two wins, one draw, and two losses. Their away form is particularly strong: 10 points from five road games (3 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss) with a goal difference of 10:6.

The visitors’ attack is firing at 2.17 goals per game, backed by a high xG of 1.95. The forwards are converting chances with excellent efficiency, capitalising on the regular opportunities they create. Defensively, Djurgården concede 1.25 goals per match against an xGA of 1.37. The backline and goalkeeper perform reliably by Allsvenskan standards, even allowing slightly fewer goals than their defensive model would predict.

Tournament Motivation

For Degerfors, this match is a lifeline in the fight for survival. Another defeat risks cementing their place in the bottom of the table, making every point vital.

Djurgården are motivated to close the gap to the European qualification spots – just three points behind before the round. Dropping points against a relegation-threatened opponent could prove costly in the race for a top-three finish.

Predicted Lineups

Degerfors will be without key right-back Sundgren (11 appearances, 1 goal, 3 assists) due to suspension. The 30-year-old Lindell, who has regular playing time and one goal to his name, is expected to fill in without a significant drop in quality. In attack, the team relies on Rafferty and Taranis, each with only two goals this season.

Djurgården approach the match with a fully fit squad. Their attacking threat is built around the outstanding form of the strike partnership: top scorer Lien (7 goals, 1 assist) and chief playmaker Hegland (4 goals, 8 assists). Additional creativity and finishing come from forwards Aslund (3 goals) and Asoro (2 goals).

Prediction and Bet

Main prediction: Djurgården to win at odds of 1.75

The gulf in class, current form, and advanced metrics all point to a clear favourite in the visitors. Degerfors are in a deep crisis, having lost four of their last five matches and four of seven home games this season. Djurgården, meanwhile, excel on the road, averaging two points per away game and outpacing their hosts in both actual goals (2 per away game vs. Degerfors’ 0.86 at home) and expected goals (1.95 xG vs. 0.84 xG). Head-to-head history also favours the Stockholm side, who have won six of the last nine encounters. The probability of a Djurgården victory is estimated at 59% – anything above 1.69 represents value.

Over/Under prediction: Total goals over 2.5 at odds of 1.73

Djurgården’s attacking firepower, combined with Degerfors’ weak defence, suggests a high-scoring affair. In matches involving Djurgården, the over 2.5 line has been surpassed in 8 of 12 rounds (67%), and the average total goals in their away games is 3.2. For Degerfors, 7 of 13 matches have also seen at least three goals. Given Djurgården’s strong xG of 1.95, they are capable of surpassing this total almost on their own. The probability of over 2.5 goals is estimated at 59% – anything above 1.69 is playable.

Match odds Degerfors vs Djurgården

Result (1X2)

X3.8614.6521.72

Double chance

1X2.12X21.19121.26

Both teams to score

No2.05Yes1.67

Over

21.332.1744.459.71.51.182.51.743.52.744.55.2

Under

23.231.6141.15511.542.52.083.51.374.51.11

Handicap 1

03.2411.621.11-19.21.51.342.51.08

Handicap 2

01.2611-12.25-24.85-1.52.84-2.55.7

Correct score

0:0140:17.40:28.50:313.750:4281:013.51:16.71:27.71:3131:4272:0272:113.752:213.752:3232:4483:1413:241

Predictions for Degerfors vs Djurgården

SO Segun Oladipo Team 2 over 2.5odds 2.94 Lost

I'm confident the visitors will score heavily in this match. Expect them to find the net multiple times and put up a big total.

JO John Okoro Corners: Result: 1odds 2.95 Lost

I’m confident the home side will come out attacking and dominate the corner count. Their aggressive, forward-focused style should force more defensive clearances and set-piece opportunities, leading to a clear edge in corners. I’m betting they win this stat.

AA Amina Adebayo Corners: Over 11.5odds 2.30 Won

I'm betting on over 11.5 corners in the Swedish match between Degerfors and Djurgården. Both teams consistently take a high number of corner kicks, making this total an easy cover.

WE Wale Eze Handicap 2 (-1)odds 2.01 Void

I'm backing the away team here. They've consistently beaten this opponent in recent head-to-head meetings, and that pattern gives me strong confidence in their chances.

FN Femi Nnaji Over 1.5 (2nd half)odds 1.87 Lost

I am confident that at least two goals will be scored in the second half of the match. The teams consistently push forward after the break, and defensive gaps tend to widen as fatigue sets in, making this a strong bet.

KO Kingsley Olaniyan Corners: Team 1 over 4.5odds 1.92 Won

I’m confident Degerfors will dominate offensively, so the corner total will easily go over. Simple as that.

FD Faith Danjuma Over 1 (1st half)odds 1.63 Void

I'm predicting that DUM will score exactly 2 goals in the first half and then stop scoring for the rest of the match. My reasoning is that they tend to start strong but often lose momentum after the break, and their recent form shows a pattern of early dominance followed by a dry spell. I'm confident this bet will hold.

DO Deborah Oni Over 2.5odds 1.68 Lost

I'm predicting over 2.5 total goals in this matchup. In four of the last five head-to-head meetings, the total has gone over 2.5, which shows a clear trend toward high-scoring games. Both teams have attacking firepower and defensive vulnerabilities, so I expect that pattern to continue.

BA Blessing Adewale Corners: Team 2 under 5.5odds 2.05 Lost

I believe this is quite possible. My confidence comes from the clear alignment of current trends with the key conditions needed for this outcome. The underlying factors are moving in the right direction, and I see no major obstacles that would prevent this from happening.

CY Chioma Yusuf Corners: Result: 1odds 2.95 Lost

I expect Bangladesh to lose this match despite having an advantage in corners. Over the last few years, their corner count has been superior, but that hasn't translated into actual match wins. India's defense is strong enough to neutralize set pieces, and their attack will likely secure the result. So I'm betting on an India win, even if Bangladesh ends up with more corners.

AO Aliyu Ojo Corners: Over 11.5odds 2.30 Won

I'm confident the home team will drop points here. They haven't taken any from a clearly stronger opponent in a long time, and I don't see that changing today.

JN Joseph Nwachukwu Both teams to score — Yesodds 1.67 Lost

I expect goals again in this away game. Djurgården has been conceding too many lately, and I don't see that changing on the road.

DA Daniel Adeyemi Corners: Team 2 over 6.5odds 2.14 Lost

I’m confident the away team will manage at least seven corners in this match, so I’m taking the over. Their attacking style and set-piece threat should ensure enough opportunities from wide areas.

RF Ruth Fashola Corners: Result: 1odds 2.95 Lost

I am confident that Degerfors will win the corner kick battle against Djurgården. This is a clear edge I see in the matchup.

EM Emmanuel Musa Both teams to score — Yesodds 1.66 Lost

I'm confident that both teams will score in this match. Degerfors have found the net in 80% of their games, and Djurgården have scored in every single match they've played. The attacking patterns are consistent and reliable on both sides, making a goal from each team highly likely.

RO Ronke Oladipo Over 2.5odds 1.71 Lost

I confidently predict over 2.5 goals in the Degerfors vs. Djurgården match. Both teams have attacking firepower and defensive weaknesses, and recent encounters between them have consistently produced goals. I expect an open, high-intensity game with scoring opportunities at both ends, leading to a total of at least three goals.

FO Femi Okonkwo Team 2 over 1.5odds 1.72 Lost

I am confidently predicting a victory for the away team in this interesting matchup. The visitors have the edge, and I expect them to secure a decisive win.

SO Suleiman Obi Result: 2odds 1.72 Won

I believe this team will win, even as the visitors. Their form and tactical discipline are simply too strong for the opponent to handle, regardless of the venue.

SM Samuel Mohammed Team 2 over 1.5odds 1.74 Lost

Djurgården is clearly the stronger side here. Their recent form and squad depth give them a decisive edge, and I expect them to control the match from start to finish. This is a straightforward call—bet on Djurgården to win.

SO Sani Obiora Corners: Under 11.5odds 1.53 Lost

I believe the opponents won't be able to earn that many corner kicks here.

NM Nnamdi Madu Result: 2odds 1.74 Won

I'm confident Djurgården will win this away match. They have the quality and form to overcome the challenge on their opponent's turf, and I see no reason to bet against them here.

UO Usman Obi Handicap 2 (-1.5)odds 2.89 Lost

I'm confidently backing Djurgården here. They're the stronger side and have woken from their slumber, now playing much more actively in attack.

JA Joseph Amadi Team 2 over 2odds 2.46 Lost

I predict the away team will likely score effectively against this opponent. Their attacking form and tactical setup should exploit the home side's defensive weaknesses.

KO Kelechi Oni Both teams to score — Yesodds 1.65 Lost

I predict the home team will win, but don't expect an easy stroll—it's going to be a hard-fought battle for both sides. Neither team will have it easy, and the match will test everyone involved.

DA Deborah Adewale Result: 2odds 1.76 Won

Degerfors haven't won in nine rounds and have lost three straight since the break with a combined score of 0-7. Djurgården have taken seven points from their last three matches and boast strong away form. I'm backing the more consistent visitors to win.

AE Anthony Emenike Result: 2odds 1.75 Won

I'm confident the home team won't be able to put up a real fight today. The visitors are simply too strong and well-prepared for this matchup.

FS Femi Salami Over 3.5odds 2.70 Lost

I'm backing both teams to deliver a strong performance today, and I'm confident the total goals scored will go over the line. This matchup has all the signs of an open, attacking game, and I expect both sides to find the net.

TN Temitope Nwosu Both teams to score — Yesodds 1.65 Lost

I'm confident that both teams will score at least one goal each, making a goal exchange a certainty in this match. The attacking strengths on both sides are too potent to be contained for 90 minutes, and defensive vulnerabilities will be exposed. You can take this to the bank.

SF Segun Fashola Handicap 2 (-1)odds 2.31 Void

I’m backing Djurgården to win this one. Degerfors are struggling at the bottom of the table with just two wins all season, and they’ve lost three in a row without scoring a single goal in their last three matches. Djurgården, on the other hand, are in strong form, sitting fifth and pushing for European spots. They’ve dominated this fixture historically, winning four of six meetings, including a 2-1 victory back in March.

Degerfors have real trouble finding the net at home, and Djurgården have a habit of beating them convincingly. I expect that trend to continue here, so I’m confident we’ll see a comfortable win for the visitors.

KG Kunle Garba Result: 2odds 1.74 Won

I am confident that Djurgarden will defeat Degorfor in this match. Their form and quality are clearly superior, and I see no reason to doubt a straightforward victory.

SL Sani Lawal Both teams to score — Yesodds 1.66 Lost

Both teams to score is the clear pick here. I'm confident because each side has the attacking firepower to find the net, while defensive vulnerabilities on both ends make a clean sheet unlikely. This matchup sets up perfectly for goals at both ends.

CA Comfort Adeyemi Team 1 under 0.5odds 2.60 Won

I doubt the hosts will be able to break through Djurgården's strong defense. Their defensive line is too solid to crack.

RA Ruth Adekunle Over 1.5 (1st half)odds 2.54 Lost

I’m confident both teams will score today. The attacking strengths on display and defensive vulnerabilities make it highly likely that each side finds the net.

KO Kayode Oladipo Corners: Under 10.5odds 1.85 Lost

I am confident that both teams will stay under 10.5 total corners in this match. The style of play and recent trends point to a low-corner affair, and I see no reason to expect otherwise.

NA Ngozi Akintola Over 3.5odds 2.77 Lost

I’m confident this game will go over the total. Both teams have been trending toward higher-scoring affairs recently, and their offensive systems are clicking against defenses that have shown clear vulnerabilities. The pace of play and recent head-to-head history further support this outcome.

The key factors align: neither side has a strong incentive to slow down, and the conditions favor attacking play. I expect the scoreboard to reflect that from the opening minutes.

SS Sani Salami Team 2 over 1.5odds 1.75 Lost

I'm confident the away side will score at least two or three goals—they're simply a class above their opponent. Their attacking quality and superior finishing make this a strong bet.

JB Joy Bello Over 2.5odds 1.74 Lost

Both teams will score in this match, and I'm confident the game won't end in a draw. Degersfors and Djurgården both have attacking firepower, but neither defense is reliable enough to keep a clean sheet. However, the form and recent results suggest a split outcome rather than a share of the points. I'm betting on goals from both sides without a tie.

Match poster

Degerfors vs Djurgården — odds

❓ Frequently asked questions

When and where does the Degerfors vs Djurgården match take place?

The match is at Stora Valla stadium in Degerfors on 25 July 2026 at 14:00.

What is the main betting prediction for this match?

The main prediction is a Djurgården win at odds of 1.75, with a probability estimate of 59%.

Who are the key players to watch?

For Djurgården, striker Lien (7 goals) and playmaker Hegland (8 assists) are in top form. Degerfors rely on Rafferty and Taranis, each with only two goals.

Are there any important suspensions or injuries?

Degerfors are without key right-back Sundgren (1 goal, 3 assists) due to suspension. Djurgården have a fully fit squad.

What is the recent form of each team?

Degerfors are in poor form with four defeats and one draw in their last five matches. Djurgården have two wins, one draw, and two losses in their last five, but are strong away with 10 points from 5 road games.

What does head-to-head history suggest?

Djurgården have won six of the last nine encounters between the two sides.