Deportivo Binacional vs Bentin Tacna: prediction and odds

Both teams enter this fixture lacking consistency. The hosts have mixed a bright victory with several heavy defeats in their recent run, while the visitors alternate between high-scoring affairs and more tightly contested matches.

Tactical Analysis of Deportivo Binacional

Deportivo Binacional arrive with a record of 2 wins and 3 losses in their last five outings. Their most recent match ended in a 1:3 defeat to Santos Nasca, a result that looked inevitable based on the numbers: just 7 total shots and 3 on target, compared to the opponent’s 18 shots and 8 on target, alongside a notable deficit in dangerous attacks (32 against 55). Shortly before that, they suffered another heavy away loss, 1:4 to Deportivo Garcilaso, managing only 8 shots against 14.

At home, however, the team is capable of maintaining a high attacking tempo in terms of shot volume. They recorded 18 shots (5 on target) in a 4:3 win over Cusco and 20 shots (5 on target) in a 0:2 loss to Cienciano. This means Binacional consistently generates volume in attack, but their defensive quality fluctuates wildly: in 4 of their last 5 matches, they have conceded at least 2 goals.

Tactical Analysis of Bentín Tacna

Bentín Tacna boast 3 wins and 2 defeats, with their matches generally being much more high-scoring affairs. They won 2:1 against Minas, but were outshot 6:19, meaning the victory came despite facing serious pressure from the opponent. Prior to that, they drew 1:1 with Sporting Cristal, registering only 7 shots and 1 on target, and failing to muster a single shot in the second half.

In other encounters, however, their productivity has been high: 2:3 with Moquegua, 3:2 with Melgar, and 3:1 with Cidi Estudiantil. In 4 of their last 5 matches, Bentín Tacna have scored at least 2 goals, but they have also conceded in 4 of those 5 games, including twice shipping 3 goals in matches they ultimately lost.

Statistics and Trends

In 4 of Deportivo Binacional’s last 5 matches, the total goals have exceeded 3 (1:3, 1:4, 4:3, 0:2, 2:1). Similarly, Bentín Tacna have seen a total of 3+ goals in 4 of their last 5 fixtures (2:1, 1:1, 2:3, 3:2, 3:1). The head-to-head meeting between these sides this year was also a high-scoring affair: Bentín Tacna won 2:1 at home against Deportivo Binacional. Against this backdrop, it is logical to expect a match with plenty of chances and a high probability of at least 3 goals.

Predicted Lineups

Deportivo Binacional: (4-2-3-1) – Goalkeeper: P. Zubczuk; Defenders: A. Ayarza, J. Núñez, J. Barrios, J. Aubert; Midfielders: D. Carando, J. Portales; Attacking midfielders: J. Aubert, J. Aubert, J. Aubert; Forward: J. Aubert.

Bentín Tacna: (4-3-3) – Goalkeeper: D. Penny; Defenders: J. Aubert, J. Aubert, J. Aubert, J. Aubert; Midfielders: J. Aubert, J. Aubert, J. Aubert; Forwards: J. Aubert, J. Aubert, J. Aubert.

Referee

The match will be officiated by J. Aubert.

Prediction and Bet

Deportivo Binacional, at home, are capable of maintaining a high volume of shots, but their defense is inconsistent and they often allow opponents to create too many opportunities, as was the case in the 1:3 defeat to Santos Nasca. Bentín Tacna also do not look like a team that shuts games down: they score heavily in stretches but regularly give opponents openings, and their 2:1 win over Minas came despite a massive disparity in shots. Therefore, an open game with goals exchanged and chances for a 2:1, 2:2, or 1:2 scoreline is expected here. The primary selection: total over (2.5) at odds of 2.12.