Dinamo Zagreb
VikingBy Dele Lawal — Football expert specializing in European and Russian competitions
Dinamo Zagreb, the Croatian powerhouse with a storied history on the European stage, square off against Viking in the first leg of the Champions League final qualifying round. The Norwegian visitors are making their long-awaited return to top-tier continental competition after a 34‑year absence. While the hosts have built a head of steam, Viking arrive as one of the most entertaining sides in Norway. Who will take a decisive step toward the group stage?
The Blues enter this decisive Champions League round in sublime shape, seamlessly balancing domestic duties with European campaigns. Their continental journey began with a gruelling tie against Swiss side Thun (4‑3 on aggregate): after a 1‑1 draw away from home, Dinamo showed immense character by coming back from 0‑2 down at the Maksimir to win 3‑2 in extra time. Buoyed by that comeback, the team swept past Kauno Žalgiris in the next qualifying round (7‑1 on aggregate) – a 5‑0 demolition at home was followed by a 2‑1 win in Lithuania, where Mario Kovačević’s men stayed disciplined even after goalkeeper Ivan Filipović was sent off early in the first half. Domestically, the hosts have started the Croatian league perfectly, posting two clean‑sheet victories over Slaven Belupo (2‑0) and Rudeš (4‑0).
Dinamo’s attacking output has been fearsome: 17 goals in five official matches. Spearheading the charge is striker Dion Drena Beljo (five goals and two assists), while midfielder Josip Mišić (one goal, two assists) dictates tempo and contributes regularly to scoring moves. The blend of high individual quality, the ability to grind out results from difficult positions (the Thun comeback, the man‑down win at Kaunas), and deep European pedigree make the hosts clear favourites against Viking.
The Norwegian side also enter this tie in decent match rhythm – the Eliteserien runs on a spring‑autumn schedule, so Bjarte Lunde Aarsheim’s team have already played 17 league rounds. They sit on 40 points, impressively scoring 40 goals (2.35 per game) and battling Bodo/Glimt for the league lead. In July and early August, Viking weathered a congested run of seven matches, collecting four wins, one draw and two defeats. Yet that stretch exposed defensive frailties: in those seven games they kept only one clean sheet (3‑0 v Start), and they conceded a heartbreaking 95th‑minute equaliser away to Rosenborg (1‑2) just before travelling to Zagreb.
Viking’s main strength is the chemistry in their frontline. Striker Peter Christiansen has nine goals and four assists in 17 league outings, while captain Zlatko Tripić boasts six goals and 14 assists (combined). The Scandinavians already have some European experience: last summer they impressed in Conference League qualifying, brushing aside Slovenian side Koper (5‑3, 7‑0) and giving Turkish club Başakşehir a tough fight (1‑1, 1‑3). Still, the defence’s vulnerability under sustained pressure and a tendency to fade in closing stages could prove costly against Dinamo’s high‑class attack.
Dinamo Zagreb (4‑2‑3‑1): Nevistić – Valinčić, Domingues, McKenna, Vinelef – Mišić, Zajc – Lisica, Stojković, Hodža – Beljo
Out: Filipović (suspension)
Head coach: Mario Kovačević
Viking (4‑3‑3): Østbø – Bjørsjul, Stensness, Falsenau, Euklenn – Alte, Moi, Askildsen – Tripić, Christiansen, Østbø
Out: Rozet, Bertelsen, Bell, D’Agostino, Berisha (all injured)
Head coach: Bjarte Lunde Aarsheim
The Dutch official’s record is striking. He is generally restrained, averaging 3.37 yellow cards per game overall, but in the Champions League that figure jumps sharply to 4.54. Gözübüyük is also unafraid to point to the spot in decisive moments, awarding a penalty roughly once every three CL matches.
Main prediction: Dinamo Zagreb to win at odds of 1.76
Dinamo have traditionally been formidable at home, where they dictate proceedings through experience and control of tempo. Their current run backs that up: the Blues have won their last three home matches 11‑0 on aggregate, including a 5‑0 rout of Kauno Žalgiris in UCL qualifying. Viking are in good shape thanks to the ongoing Eliteserien season, but they objectively lack the big‑match experience required for a tie of this magnitude. The Norwegian side have also been inconsistent on the road, losing three of their last five away games (including defeats to Rosenborg 1‑2 and Sarpsborg 0‑1). The gap in individual quality combined with home advantage makes the hosts strong favourites for the first leg. Our pick: Dinamo Zagreb win @ 1.76.
Goals prediction: Both teams to score – Yes at odds of 1.60
The attacking firepower on both sides points to a high‑scoring affair. Viking have netted 40 times in 17 Eliteserien rounds but have kept only one clean sheet in their last nine matches. Dinamo, too, consistently create chances, having scored 11 goals in four European fixtures this season – yet they have managed just one shutout in that span. Given these numbers, backing both teams to find the net looks the logical call.
The editorial prediction is provided for informational purposes only and should not be treated as a direct call to action. Every reader should do their own analysis before deciding on a bet.
Dinamo Zagreb4-2-3-1
Viking4-3-3Dinamo Zagreb clearly outclasses Viking, and that gap should show on the scoreboard. I’m backing the Croatian side with a –1.5 handicap at 2.84 — they have the firepower to cover it comfortably.
Dinamo Zagreb clearly outclasses Viking, and that gap should show on the scoreboard. I’m backing the Croatian side with a –1.5 handicap at 2.84 — they have the firepower to cover it comfortably.
The match takes place on 18 August 2026 at 20:00, with Dinamo Zagreb hosting the first leg in Croatia.
Dinamo Zagreb are the clear favourites. The main prediction backs them to win at odds of 1.76.
Dinamo have won their last three home matches 11-0 on aggregate, including a 5-0 rout of Kauno Žalgiris in UCL qualifying, and have scored 17 goals in five official matches this season.
Yes. Dinamo will be without suspended goalkeeper Ivan Filipović, while Viking have several injured players: Rozet, Bertelsen, Bell, D'Agostino and Berisha.
Both teams to score is offered at 1.60, supported by Viking's 40 goals in 17 league games and Dinamo's 11 goals in four European fixtures this season, while both sides have struggled to keep clean sheets.
Viking have kept only one clean sheet in their last nine matches and have lost three of their last five away games, which could prove costly against Dinamo's high-class attack.