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Freiburg vs Motherwell: Prediction, Betting Tips and Match Preview

⚽ Europe Conference League · Europe · 27 August 2026
Freiburg logoFreiburg
4:1
1st half: 1:1
27.08.2026 17:45
Motherwell logoMotherwell

Match events

Derry Sherhant1:0⚽
6′
22′
⚽1:1Emmanuel Longelo
55′
🟨Jamie·Knight Lebel
57′
🟥Jake Girdwood-Reich
Igor Matanovich2:1⚽
60′
Siryak Irie3:1⚽
63′
Keisuke Goto4:1⚽
85′

Match statistics: Freiburg vs Motherwell

FreiburgMotherwell
4.15xG (expected goals)0.09
70Ball possession, %30
29Shots2
11Shots on target1
7Corners1
6Fouls11
1Offsides2
0Yellow cards1
0Red cards1
110Attacks34
68Dangerous attacks14

💡 Match preview Freiburg vs Motherwell

By Babatunde Sowole — Football Expert on European & South American Cups

FC Freiburg are set to host Motherwell at Europa-Park Stadion in the second leg of their UEFA Europa Conference League qualifier, bringing a commanding 3-1 advantage from the first leg to the table. That result, secured in Scotland, saw the Bundesliga side shake off an early scare and assert their class with authority.

Freiburg: Julian Schuster's Side Gaining Momentum on the European Stage

The 2023/24 campaign was one for the history books in Breisgau. While finishing seventh in the Bundesliga and reaching the semi-finals of the DFB-Pokal are solid returns, they pale in comparison to the club's crowning achievement: a maiden European final. Freiburg's run to the Europa League showpiece ended in a heavy 0-3 defeat to Aston Villa, but the feat itself remains monumental for a club built around homegrown talent.

That success came at a cost. Midfield sensation Joan Manzambi, who dazzled at the World Cup with three goals and two assists, was sold to Aston Villa for a club-record €60 million. Merlin Roehl's €25 million move to Everton followed. In response, sporting director Klemens Hartenbach reinvested wisely. Mio Backhaus arrived from Werder Bremen as a long-term replacement for Noah Atubolu between the posts. Yannik Engelhardt was brought in from Como to bolster the midfield, while Keisuke Goto joined from Anderlecht to add firepower up front. The summer also marked the emotional farewell of club legend Nicolas Höfler, who hung up his boots after two decades of service.

Freiburg's pre-season was uneven, but the team hit their stride at the right time. A 3-0 win over Crystal Palace and back-to-back 2-0 victories against Strasbourg set the tone. The first leg against Motherwell, however, started ominously. A goal conceded inside the second minute could have rattled the visitors, but Julian Schuster's men responded emphatically. Matthias Ginter netted a brace, while Goto also found the back of the net in a 3-1 comeback win. The confidence carried over into the DFB-Pokal, where Freiburg crushed Fortuna Düsseldorf 5-1.

Motherwell: A Miracle Required to Progress

Motherwell's Conference League journey has already seen them navigate two qualifying rounds. They dispatched Faroe Islands side B36 Tórshavn (2-0, 3-0) and Finland's HJK Helsinki (1-1, 2-0). Yet, the trip to Germany comes on the back of a shock exit from the Scottish League Cup, where they fell 0-1 after extra time to Stenhousemuir. In the domestic league, Alfred Johannsson's men have started with four points from two matches.

The summer window saw Motherwell lose their standout performer. Elijah Just, who contributed seven goals and eight assists in the league last season, departed for Swansea City. Defender Steven Welsh, who had been on loan at the club, followed a similar path to South Wales.

The first leg exposed a significant gulf in quality. The expected goals (xG) told a stark story: 2.30 for Freiburg against 0.23 for Motherwell. The difference in ball work was just as pronounced. The German side completed 568 passes to the Scots' 383, with an accuracy of 89.1% compared to 79.6%. Perhaps most telling, Freiburg registered 44 touches in the opposition box, while Motherwell managed only four.

Predicted Lineups

Freiburg (4-2-3-1): Backhaus – Kübler, Ginter, Rosenfelder, Makengo – Eggestein, Engelhardt – Beste, Suzuki, Scherhant – Matanović

Out: Muslija (injured)

Head Coach: Julian Schuster

Motherwell (4-3-3): Paulsen – Ross, Knight-Leibel, Greenwood-Raih, Longelo – Lowry, Fadinger, Hodge – Maswanhise, Charles-Cook, Saied

Out: Moormann (suspended), Hendry (injured), McGinn (injured)

Head Coach: Alfred Johannsson

Referee: Andrea Colombo (Italy)

Andrea Colombo is a relatively fresh face at the top level of officiating, having taken charge of just over 100 matches in his professional career. The 35-year-old Italian averages 4.81 yellow cards and 27.5 fouls per game. Interestingly, Colombo shows a slight bias towards the home side, averaging 2.82 bookings for visiting teams compared to 2.26 for the hosts.

Prediction and Bet

Main Prediction: Freiburg to win with a -1.5 handicap at odds of 1.57

Freiburg are notoriously formidable on home soil in European competition. From their last 15 matches at Europa-Park Stadion, they have suffered only three losses and have scored at least twice in 60% of those encounters. The electric atmosphere and home support provide a significant psychological edge, especially against opponents from less competitive leagues. With Motherwell needing to score at least two goals to reignite the tie, they will be forced to push forward, leaving gaps at the back. The task becomes even more difficult for the Scottish side as they will be without their key central defender, Moormann, due to suspension. All signs point to a comfortable home win, with the -1.5 handicap offering a solid betting angle.

Goals Prediction: Over 3.5 total goals at odds of 2.12

The first leg produced four goals, and the second is unlikely to be a low-scoring affair. Motherwell have no choice but to chase the game, which will open up space for Freiburg's attack. Julian Schuster's men are in red-hot form, having netted 11 times in their last three matches across all competitions. Playing in front of their own fans, a high-scoring encounter looks highly probable. Backing the over on 3.5 goals presents excellent value.

Babatunde Sowole
Babatunde Sowole
Football Expert on European & South American Cups

Babatunde Sowole has been closely monitoring international club competitions for over a decade, with a particular focus on the Conference League, Europa League, and Copa Sudamericana. In his analysis, he prioritizes squad depth, tactical adjustments, and fixture congestion, believing these factors often outweigh raw statistics. His approach to predictions is grounded in studying team form and head-to-head trends, avoiding overreliance on single-match data.

All articles by this author →

The editorial prediction is provided for informational purposes only and should not be treated as a direct call to action. Every reader should do their own analysis before deciding on a bet.

Probable lineups: Freiburg vs Motherwell

Freiburg logoFreiburg4-2-3-1
Backhaus
MakengoLinhartGinterKuebler
EngelhardtEggestein
ScherrhantSuzukiBeste
Matanovic
Out of squad:Muslija · Injury
Motherwell logoMotherwell4-3-3
Poulsen
LongeloGirdwood-ReichKnight-LebelRoss
HodgeFadingerLowry
SaidCharles-CookMaswanhise
Out of squad:Moormann · SuspendedHendry · InjuryMcGinn · Injury

Match odds Freiburg vs Motherwell

Result (1X2)

X6.7511.19213.25

Double chance

1X1.01X24.5121.09

Both teams to score

No1.74Yes1.95

Over

21.1331.6342.7855.351.51.092.51.393.52.094.53.35.56

Under

24.5532.0941.3651.091.55.452.52.613.51.74.51.255.51.07

Handicap 1

01-11.24-21.96-33.54-47.2-1.51.56-2.52.39-3.54.15-4.57.8

Handicap 2

09.213.3621.7831.2241.041.52.182.51.473.51.164.51.03

Correct score

0:0220:1341:08.21:111.751:2352:06.452:18.82:2243:07.13:110.253:2274:010.254:114.754:2415:0185:1266:038

To qualify

11241

Predictions for Freiburg vs Motherwell

ME Musa Emenike Handicap 1 (-2.5)odds 2.23 Won

Freiburg made a statement with that away win, and now they’re back on home turf with the same hunger. Motherwell are in for a long afternoon against this German machine, so I’m taking the hosts to cover a -2.5 handicap at 2.23 — this should be a comfortable blowout.

KA Kelechi Adebayo Corners: Over 7.5odds 1.32 Won

The Conference League match between Freiburg and Motherwell features a corners line of over 7.5 at 1.32. That's a positive forecast I'm comfortable backing.

JM John Musa Team 1 under 2.5odds 1.94 Lost

Freiburg take a two-goal aggregate advantage into this Conference League match. That margin means they can afford to manage the game rather than push forward. I'm backing the hosts to score fewer than three goals, as they will likely conserve energy and protect the lead.

O overpro Yellow cards: Under 3.5odds 2.50 Won

Freiburg’s discipline is the key here. I don’t see them picking up any bookings, so the under 3.5 yellow cards line looks extremely solid at 2.50.

SE Sunday Emenike Under 3.5odds 1.72 Lost

For the Freiburg vs Motherwell Conference League match, I'm backing the under 3.5 goals. The odds of 1.72 look right for what I expect to be a low-scoring affair.

KL Kingsley Lawal Handicap 1 (-1.5)odds 1.57 Won

A victory by at least a two-goal margin is well within Freiburg's capabilities here, as long as they don’t underestimate Motherwell. If they approach this match with full focus, I see no reason why they won't deliver an even more dominant performance.

I'm confidently backing Freiburg with a -1.5 handicap, predicting a 4-1 result.

WA Wale Ademola Team 1 over 2.5odds 1.84 Won

The match between Freiburg and Motherwell in the Conference League points clearly to goals from the home side. I expect Freiburg to score at least three times here — their attacking quality and the mismatch in class make this a strong proposition. The odds of 1.84 offer solid value for a bet that should land comfortably.

There is no need to overcomplicate this one. Freiburg are the clear superior side, and they will look to impose themselves from the first whistle. We will see soon enough how it plays out, but I am confident in backing the hosts to deliver in front of goal.

GB Gabriel Bankole Over 1.5 (1st half)odds 2.16 Won

Freiburg need to step up for their fans in this Conference League clash. Motherwell have looked shaky away from home, so I expect the hosts to press early and create chances in the first half. That should be enough to push the total over 1.5 goals before the break, with the odds at 2.16 offering fair value.

SL Samuel Lamido Team 1 over 2.5odds 1.84 Won

Freiburg are heading into this Conference League clash with the clear intention of putting on an attacking show. I’m backing them to score at least three goals here, and the odds of 1.84 make that a solid bet.

MA Musa Ademola Corners: Team 1 over 6.5odds 2.07 Won

Freiburg will take more than 6 corners. At odds of 2.07, this is a solid value play in the Conference League match against Motherwell. I expect the home side to dominate possession and push forward consistently, which will naturally lead to a high number of corner kick opportunities.

KA Kunle A. Over 3.5odds 2.12 Won

Freiburg and Motherwell already gave us a 4-goal show in the first leg, and I'm backing them to do it again. The market at 2.12 for Over 3.5 looks too generous given their proven ability to find the net. No reason to expect a slowdown in the Conference League return fixture.

GL Gabriel Lawal Result: 2odds 11.75 Lost

Freiburg hosting Motherwell in the Conference League — that’s a mismatch on paper, but the odds of 11.75 on an away win caught my eye. This isn’t about stats or form; it’s a pure gut call on mindset and luck. Motherwell might just catch Freiburg off guard if the Germans treat this as a formality.

I’m backing the upset here. The price is too juicy to ignore for a bet that hinges on how seriously each side takes the game. Sometimes the numbers lie, and this feels like one of those occasions.

OA Olusegun Adeyemi Both teams to score — Yesodds 2.01 Won

This Freiburg side has been anything but boring lately. They’ve managed to both score and concede in 7 of their last 8 matches across all competitions. That kind of chaotic consistency makes the “Both Teams to Score – Yes” market look very appealing here. I’m confident this trend continues, and the odds are too good to ignore.

FN Femi Nwachukwu Over 1.5 (1st half)odds 2.16 Won

Over 1.5 goals in the first half at 2.16 is a sharp play. Freiburg have the quality to put Motherwell away early and I expect them to strike twice before the break.

SE Suleiman Ekwueme Over 3.5odds 2.12 Won

Over 3.5 goals is the clear call for this Conference League clash between Freiburg and Motherwell. Both sides find the net consistently, yet their defensive lines are equally porous—goals at both ends look inevitable.

D derbytrader783 Handicap 1 (-2)odds 1.95 Won

Freiburg can cover the -2 handicap. That's the bet I'm taking.

IO Ifeanyi Obi Handicap 1 (-2)odds 1.96 Won

Freiburg are hosting Motherwell in the Conference League, and I’m backing the home side to cover a -2 handicap at odds of 1.96. Motherwell’s Scottish indifference will be a decisive factor in this clash.

VY Victor Yusuf Over 1.5 (1st half)odds 2.12 Won

Freiburg and Motherwell are on completely different levels, so I expect the scoreboard to get moving early. The gap in class is too big for this to stay quiet in the first half.

That's why I'm backing over 1.5 goals in the opening 45 minutes. The odds at 2.12 look generous for what should happen.

GI Gabriel Igwe Corners: Team 2 over 2.5odds 1.62 Lost

Motherwell will take at least 5 corner kicks in this Conference League clash and should put in a decent performance. That’s why I’m backing them to clear the 2.5 corner mark at 1.62.

UA Uche Abdullahi Corners: Over 9.5odds 2.03 Lost

Freiburg and Motherwell already showed attacking intent in the first leg, and that trend should carry over into this Conference League clash. With both sides pushing forward, expect a steady flow of corner kicks — I’m backing Over 9.5 corners at 2.03.

SA Samuel Adekunle Handicap 1 (-2.5)odds 2.39 Won

Freiburg are set to dominate Motherwell in this Conference League clash. I expect them to cover the -2.5 handicap comfortably, as they should dismantle their opponents without any real trouble.

OA Olusegun Amadi Handicap 1 (-2)odds 1.96 Won

Freiburg handled business on the road, and now they're back at home. That first-leg win wasn't a fluke—they were clearly the better side. Playing in front of their own fans only makes them more dangerous. I’m backing Freiburg to cover a -2 handicap here. The price is solid at 1.96, and I expect them to pile on the pressure early. Motherwell won’t have an answer for this Freiburg side over two legs.

SO Sunday Obi Corners: Over 9.5odds 2.03 Lost

Freiburg versus Motherwell in the Conference League has the potential to deliver more than nine corner kicks. The odds of 2.03 make this a compelling play.

IO Ibrahim Oni Over 3.5odds 2.09 Won

Freiburg and Motherwell already delivered four goals in their first leg, so I expect another high-scoring affair tomorrow. With the Over 3.5 line priced at 2.09, I'm backing more of the same.

YA Yusuf Anyanwu Handicap 1 (-2.5)odds 2.39 Won

Freiburg faces Motherwell in the Conference League, and I’m backing the clear favorite to cover a -2.5 handicap. The German side should have no trouble dominating this matchup, and the odds of 2.39 offer solid value for a comfortable win by at least three goals.

CO Chinedu Ogunleye Handicap 1 (-2.5)odds 2.39 Won

Freiburg's victory in this Conference League clash is beyond doubt. I'm backing them to cover a -2.5 handicap with ease.

DA Dele Abiodun Handicap 1 (-2.5)odds 2.35 Won

Freiburg already crushed Motherwell 3-1 on the road. Now they’re at home, and I expect an even bigger demolition. The handicap of -2.5 at 2.35 is a steal—this won’t be close.

NA Nnamdi Adeyemi Team 1 over 2.5odds 1.83 Won

Freiburg should be able to put three past Motherwell here. The visitors are clearly the weaker side, and I don't see them keeping this close.

EL Emmanuel L. Over 2.5 (2nd half)odds 2.91 Won

Motherwell simply won't have the legs to keep up with Freiburg in the second half. Once their energy drops, the goals will come. That's why I'm taking over 2.5 goals in the second half at 2.91.

ES Emeka Shehu Over 3.5odds 2.09 Won

Look at the numbers: six of Freiburg's last seven home games and seven of Motherwell's last nine away matches all saw more than three goals. With both needing a result in Germany, there's no reason to expect a cagey, defensive approach. I'm backing a high-scoring, open game here.

The visitors are capable of finding the net, and Freiburg have the attacking quality to punish any gaps left behind. This has all the ingredients for a match with at least four goals, so I'm taking the over 3.5.

C chineduprophet71 Over 1.5 (1st half)odds 2.12 Won

Freiburg have been flying in front of goal recently, and I just don't see Motherwell being able to keep them quiet for the first 45 minutes. The German side are in a rich vein of scoring form, and this Conference League clash should be no different.

I'm fully expecting at least two goals to fly in before the halftime whistle. The pace and quality Freiburg bring to the final third should overwhelm their Scottish opponents early on, making the Over 1.5 in the first half a very solid play.

IA Ikechukwu Abiodun Team 1 over 2.5odds 1.83 Won

Freiburg already put three past Motherwell away from home. Back on their own turf in the Conference League, I'm expecting them to hit at least that number again — so over 2.5 goals for the hosts at 1.83 is the clear play.

O oddsscout Corners: Team 2 over 2.5odds 1.73 Lost

Freiburg's wild underestimation of Motherwell is exactly why I'm backing the visitors to get over 2.5 corners. The hosts' complacency should open up space for a couple of dangerous attacks, and those attacks will produce corner kicks. Freiburg may still take the match, but they'll concede enough set-piece opportunities along the way.

AO Aliyu Okoro Over 1.5 (1st half)odds 2.12 Won

Freiburg’s home dominance is the key factor here. They are simply a class above Motherwell, and I expect them to come out firing from the first whistle. The hosts have the quality to put this tie to bed early.

That’s why I’m backing over 1.5 goals in the first half at 2.12. Freiburg’s attacking strength should overwhelm their opponent, making it highly likely we see at least two goals before the break.

KO Kingsley Obiora Handicap 1 (-2.5)odds 2.39 Won

Freiburg is simply on another level compared to Motherwell, and at home, they should make that gap brutally obvious. I don't see the Scottish side holding up against this kind of pressure, especially over a full 90 minutes where the hosts can dictate the tempo from the first whistle.

That's why I'm backing Freiburg with a -2.5 handicap. The margin for error is slim, but the quality difference is so vast that a three-goal win is the most logical outcome here.

DO Dele Ogundipe Both teams to score — Yesodds 1.95 Won

Freiburg and Motherwell meet again, and I expect more of the same. The first leg set the tone, and there’s no reason to believe this return fixture will break the pattern. Both teams to score is the clear call here at 1.95.

DO Dele Okoro Corners: Team 2 over 2.5odds 1.73 Lost

This match is set up perfectly for Motherwell to win a few corners. They’re the visitors, but they have to push forward and attack, which is why I’m backing them to get at least three. The price of 1.73 is good value for a bet that feels very likely to hit.

S scorelegend Over 2.5 (2nd half)odds 2.91 Won

The second half of this Conference League clash between Freiburg and Motherwell shapes up to be a goal-filled affair. I'm confident in backing over 2.5 goals in the second half at attractive odds of 2.91.

AO Ayodele Olawale Under 1 (1st half)odds 2.65 Lost

Freiburg and Motherwell will not score in the opening 45 minutes. A goalless first half is the play I'm backing in this Conference League fixture.

PA Peter Adeyemi Corners: Team 2 under 2.5odds 1.97 Won

Freiburg’s set-piece dominance should keep Motherwell pinned back for most of this Conference League clash. The visitors are unlikely to earn more than two corners across the full 90 minutes — their attacking output simply won’t generate enough sustained pressure to rack up corner counts. I’m backing the under 2.5 line on Motherwell’s corners at 1.97.

KO Kelechi Olaniyan Handicap 1 (-2)odds 1.96 Won

Freiburg at home is a different beast, and they shouldn't break a sweat against Motherwell in the Conference League. The German side's quality and depth are simply on another level compared to the Scottish visitors. I'm backing them to cover a -2 handicap with confidence, as this matchup looks extremely one-sided on paper.

EO Emmanuel Obi Corners: Team 2 over 2.5odds 1.73 Lost

Freiburg are the clear favorites, so Motherwell will have their backs against the wall. That means they’ll be looking to hit on the break at every opportunity, and they don’t hesitate to pull the trigger when they get a sight of goal. That direct approach is exactly why I’m backing them to rack up at least three corners.

KN Kunle Nwosu Over 2.5 (2nd half)odds 2.91 Won

Freiburg and Motherwell are going to run out of steam in the second half — that’s when the floodgates open. Three goals will land, no doubt about it.

K kickwolf2020 Over 3.5odds 2.09 Won

Over 3.5 goals at 2.09. I don't anticipate a high-scoring affair – Freiburg will win by a narrow margin.

FO Femi Ojo Handicap 1 (-1.5)odds 1.56 Won

Freiburg is going to win this Conference League match, and I’m backing them to cover a -1.5 handicap. The odds are solid at 1.56, and I see no reason to overthink it—this is a straightforward call for a dominant home performance.

SI Stanley Ibe Handicap 1 (-1.5)odds 1.56 Won

Freiburg should handle this comfortably at home, and I’m backing them to cover a -1.5 handicap. The gap in quality between the two sides is just too wide for Motherwell to keep this close. I expect the Bundesliga side to control the tempo from the first whistle and turn this into a straightforward win by a two-goal margin.

FA Femi Abiodun Handicap 1 (-2)odds 1.96 Won
KO Kunle Obiora Corners: Team 2 over 2.5odds 1.73 Lost

Freiburg are a strong side, but Motherwell have the physical tools to make an impact from set pieces. I see the visitors earning at least three corners in this Conference League match.

The odds of 1.73 for Motherwell to take over 2.5 corners appeal to me. Their attacking style should force enough defensive actions from Freiburg to hit that mark.

DO David Okoro Corners: Team 2 over 2.5odds 1.73 Lost

Freiburg against Motherwell in the Conference League. I’m backing Motherwell to get more than 2.5 corners here. They’ll have enough attacking intent to force a few set pieces, and at 1.73, the price looks solid for that outcome.

Match poster

Freiburg vs Motherwell — odds

❓ Frequently asked questions

When and where is the Freiburg vs Motherwell match taking place?

The match is scheduled for 27 August 2026 at 17:45, and will be held at the Europa-Park Stadion in Freiburg, Germany.

What is the recommended bet for the Freiburg vs Motherwell match?

The main prediction is Freiburg to win with a -1.5 handicap at odds of 1.57, given their strong home form and Motherwell's need to attack.

Who is the favorite to win the match?

Freiburg are the clear favorites, holding a 3-1 lead from the first leg and showcasing superior quality, as shown by an xG of 2.30 against Motherwell's 0.23.

Are there any key absences for either team?

Yes, Motherwell are without defender Moormann due to suspension, while Freiburg have Muslija ruled out through injury.

What is the goals prediction for the match?

The prediction is over 3.5 total goals at odds of 2.12, as Motherwell must chase the game and Freiburg have scored 11 times in their last three matches.