Frosinone vs Como: Prediction, Betting Tips and Match Preview

Frosinone and Como are set to lock horns in Serie A for the very first time, adding a fresh chapter to their head-to‑head history. Until now, these two sides had only crossed paths in Italy’s second tier and the Coppa Italia, where the hosts hold a clear edge with four wins in six meetings. But if you think that makes Frosinone the favourites, remember – it wasn’t them who beat RB Leipzig in the Champions League last week.

Best of the Newcomers

Massimiliano Alvini has done a fine job preparing his squad for life back in the top flight, and so far they’ve outperformed every other promoted side. After four matchdays, the “Canaries” have climbed into the top eight thanks to points picked up against Fiorentina (3‑0), Venezia (3‑2) and Genoa (1‑1). Yet this sweet tune won’t last forever. In terms of underlying numbers, the hosts are far less impressive than their league position suggests. They concede more chances than they create (1.36 xG against vs 2.07 xG for – expected goals), and a high‑calibre opponent like Como could easily make them pay.

Defence has never been Alvini’s strong suit anyway. Wherever he goes, he installs an ultra‑attacking brand of football, even when facing superior opposition. Unsurprisingly, Frosinone’s best players are all in the forward line. Centre‑forward Antonio Raimondo stands out with four Serie A goals, placing him among the division’s top scorers, while Georgian left‑winger Giorgi Kvernadze has been involved in a goal in each of the last three rounds.

Como Confirm Their Status

Como are no longer just a promising young side – they are a genuine Serie A heavyweight representing Italy in the Champions League. And the Lombardy club are living up to that billing this season, having lost none of their five official matches. The highlights are an away victory over last season’s runners‑up Napoli (2‑1) and a demolition of RB Leipzig in their Champions League debut (4‑1). They haven’t faced any other promoted teams yet, but they’ve had no trouble with other supposed minnows, beating Genoa (4‑1) and Parma (2‑1).

Cesc Fàbregas continues to preach an attacking style built on pressing and total possession. However, Como’s defence hasn’t been as watertight as last season, when they conceded the fewest goals in the league. So far this campaign, the “Biancoblu” have kept zero clean sheets, even letting in a goal against Parma – the side with the lowest expected goals (xG) in Serie A.

Predicted Lineups

Frosinone (4‑3‑3): Palmisani – Oyono, Cittadini, Calvani, Bracaglia – Masini, Calò, Schmid – Ghedjemis, Raimondo, Kvernadze Out: Grillič, Terzić (both injured) Head coach: Massimiliano Alvini

Como (4‑2‑3‑1): Butez – Couto, Ramon, Chalobah, Caïque – Perrone, Da Cunha – Diao, Paz, Baturina – Douvikas Out: Addai (injured) Head coach: Cesc Fàbregas

Referee: Daniele Chiffi

Chiffi officiated 15 Serie A matches last season. He never brandished more than four yellow cards in any of them, and in his last nine top‑flight games he didn’t exceed three bookings. Penalties are also rare for this referee – just two in his previous ten fixtures.

Prediction and Bet

Main prediction: Como to win with a handicap (-1.5) at odds of 2.14

Frosinone’s unbeaten league run stretches back three rounds, but it has little chance of continuing against Como. Alvini’s men play on the front foot against everyone, pressing high with numbers – exactly what the “Lariani” want. The visitors are far superior not only in individual quality but also in organisation. Breaking out of pressure was a hallmark of Fàbregas’s side even two seasons ago when they first reached the top flight. If we include last season, Como have won five of their last six away Serie A matches. Expect another confident performance from the favourites, so back Como with a -1.5 handicap at 2.14.

Total goals prediction: Over 3.5 at odds of 2.12

Frosinone are attack‑minded and have scored seven goals in their last three league games. Como, who have traded goals in 100% of their Serie A matches this season, are unlikely to keep a clean sheet either. Meanwhile, the Lombardy side have scored at least twice in each of their last four official fixtures. All signs point to a high‑scoring affair, so take over 3.5 goals at 2.12.