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Guayaquil City vs Delfin: prediction and odds

Ecuador Serie A · Ecuador · 12 July 2026
Guayaquil City logoGuayaquil City
2:1
1st half: 0:1
12.07.2026 00:00
Delfin logoDelfin

Match events

7′
0:1F. Ayunta
P. González1:1
49′
51′
🟨Jonathan Morocho Basurto
66′
🟨Jesus Castillo
Miller Bolaños🟨
71′
74′
🟨Erick Zuniga
Anderson Naula🟨
90′
Anderson Naula2:1
90+4′

Match statistics: Guayaquil City vs Delfin

Guayaquil CityDelfin
74Ball possession, %26
12Shots12
3Shots on target5
6Corners4
8Fouls14
3Offsides0
2Yellow cards3
0Red cards0
131Attacks66
46Dangerous attacks25

💡 Match preview Guayaquil City vs Delfin

The upcoming 18th round of the Ecuadorian Serie A pits Guayaquil City against Delfín at the home of the hosts, with the visitors' disastrous away form standing as the defining factor of this encounter. Both sides are mired in the lower half of the table, promising a tight, cautious affair with minimal goal-scoring chances. The question is whether home advantage can help the hosts snap their recent losing streak.

Tactical Analysis: Guayaquil City

Guayaquil City currently occupy 13th place in the standings, having collected 19 points from 17 matches. Their recent results have been deeply concerning: in the last five rounds, the team has suffered four defeats against clubs such as Independiente del Valle (2-4), Orense (0-1), Deportivo Cuenca (0-1), and Aucas (0-1), with only a single draw against Mushuc Runa (2-2) to show for their efforts. The sole cup fixture during this period also ended in failure, a 1-2 loss to the little-known side Astillero.

At home, Guayaquil City traditionally fights hard for points and looks noticeably more stable than on the road. Over their last 10 home matches, the club has suffered only three losses, winning three and drawing four. Across the 17 rounds, the hosts have scored 14 goals and conceded 20. This averages out to 0.82 goals scored per game and 1.17 goals conceded. Their reliance on a defensive approach does not always pay off, which inevitably hampers their attacking output.

Tactical Analysis: Delfín

The visitors sit in 14th place in the championship, having gathered 17 points from 17 matches. In their last five Serie A outings, the team has managed only one victory, over Mushuc Runa (1-0), a draw with Emelec (1-1), and losses to Orense, Aucas, and Deportivo Cuenca (all by a 0-1 scoreline). The only bright spot in this grey picture was a cup success against the modest side Baños (2-0).

Delfín's away statistics are nothing short of dreadful: over their last 10 league fixtures on the road, they have not recorded a single win. In this stretch, the side has managed only three draws alongside seven defeats, highlighting their complete helplessness away from home. Over 17 rounds, the visitors have scored just 9 goals and conceded 16. This works out to an average of only 0.52 goals scored per match and 0.94 conceded, giving them the worst attack in the entire league.

Tournament Motivation

Both teams are locked in a battle to preserve their place in the top flight. The hosts lead the visitors by just two points, making this match crucial for both sides. Guayaquil City will throw everything into securing a victory on their home turf, while Delfín, given their chronic away struggles, would likely settle for a draw.

Key Players

Guayaquil City's main attacking hope rests on forward Edinson Mero, who has already scored six goals and provided one assist this season. Midfielder Damián Díaz also plays a massive role in creation, with four goals and one assist to his name. These two players define the team's offensive potential.

It is difficult to single out standout leaders in the visitors' squad due to their terrible scoring record, but the key figure on the pitch remains their starting goalkeeper. This season, Eras Brián has played 12 matches in the starting lineup. His confident shot-stopping and seven clean sheets allow the team to keep the goal difference at a manageable level.

Predicted Lineups

Note: Predicted lineups were not explicitly provided in the source material, so this section is omitted to avoid fabrication.

Referee

Note: Referee information was not provided in the source material, so this section is omitted to avoid fabrication.

Prediction and Bet

Main prediction: Guayaquil City to win at odds of 2.28

Both clubs are noticeably stronger when playing at home. The hosts have suffered only three defeats in eight home matches. Meanwhile, Delfín simply cannot win away from their own stadium – in eight games, they have managed just three draws and five losses, with an away goal difference of 3-11. Furthermore, the visitors have not won an away head-to-head match in seven years. We estimate the probability of a home victory at 48% (playable at odds from 2.08).

Prediction on totals: Delfín individual total under (0.5) at odds of 2.38

The visitors possess the worst attack in the championship, having scored just 9 goals in 17 rounds. In 7 of their last 10 away Serie A matches, they have left the field without scoring. The hosts know how to dry up the game on their own pitch, making it incredibly difficult for the visitors to break down their defense. We estimate the probability that the guests will fail to score at 46% (playable at odds from 2.17).

Match odds Guayaquil City vs Delfin

Result (1X2)

X2.8812.2523.38

Double chance

1X1.27X21.56121.36

Both teams to score

No1.63Yes2.09

Over

11.1221.8534.0549.20.51.071.51.462.52.533.54.8

Under

14.821.7831.17410.56.051.52.392.51.463.51.12

Handicap 1

01.5511.05-13.821.51.03-1.54.85

Handicap 2

02.311.2-171.51.13-1.58.2

Correct score

0:060:16.750:214.50:3411:05.21:151:211.51:3332:08.82:18.92:216.52:3483:0203:1213:238

Predictions for Guayaquil City vs Delfin

AO Adewale Oladipo Result: Xodds 2.80 Lost

I think they'll sit back and defend. A draw is the most likely outcome, as it usually is in these matchups.

BM Biodun Musa Result: 1odds 2.45 Won

I know how the visitors play across football, hockey, basketball, and tennis. For 2026, I'm confidently backing the hosts.

JY Joseph Yusuf Corners: Result: 1odds 1.77 Won

I'm confident the Dolphins will keep losing on corners. Their recent matches show a clear pattern of weakness in that area, and nothing suggests a turnaround. This bet is straightforward based on their consistent underperformance.

VI Victor Igwe Corners: Result: 1odds 1.77 Won

I'm backing Guayaquil City to win at home against Delfin. Their recent form at the Estadio Banco del Pacífico has been solid, and Delfin struggles on the road, especially defensively. The home side has the momentum and a clear tactical edge in this matchup.

CO Chibuzo Obiora Both teams to score — Yesodds 2.09 Won

I'm confident the dolphins will score a goal in today's match, so I'm placing my bet on it. Their attacking form has been sharp, and the opponent's defense has shown clear weaknesses in recent games. This is a straightforward call—expect the net to bulge.

AO Aliyu Oladipo Corners: Under 8.5odds 1.76 Lost

I’m confident there will be few corners in this match. Both teams prioritize defensive compactness over attacking width, which historically limits corner opportunities. Recent head-to-heads and current form reinforce a low-scoring setup, making the under corners market a strong play.

AA Anthony Akintola Correct score 2:1odds 9.40 Won

Guayaquil will win. I'm confident in their form and home advantage, and I see no reason to bet against them. They've been consistent and strong where it matters.

NO Nnamdi Okonkwo Correct score 1:1odds 4.90 Lost

I predict the match will end in a 1-1 draw. Both teams have shown defensive solidity and struggle to convert chances consistently, making a low-scoring tie the most likely outcome.

CA Chibuzo Abiodun Over 2.5odds 2.59 Won

I’m predicting this match will be high-scoring. Historically, games between these two teams have consistently produced plenty of goals.

IL Ikechukwu Lamido Over 3.5odds 5.00 Lost

I expect a Dolphins win here because they consistently perform well in big moments and holiday matchups. However, I’m cautious about covering the spread, as this opponent has historically given them trouble. Their offensive firepower gives them the edge, but don’t be surprised if the game stays closer than expected.

GO Gabriel Okafor Result: 1odds 2.46 Won

I confidently predict that the dolphin will not succeed. The challenge is simply too great, and the odds are stacked against it. There's no reason to believe it can overcome the obstacles in its path.

SS Suleiman Suleiman Result: 1odds 2.46 Won

I am confident it will win. The reasoning is clear and straightforward—there is no reason to doubt the outcome.

II Ibrahim Ibe Over 2odds 1.90 Won

I am confident there will be many goals. Both teams favor attacking play and have weak defensive records, so I expect a high-scoring match from start to finish.

EO Emmanuel Obi Over 0.5 (1st half)odds 1.60 Won

I’m confident both teams will score in the first half. They both start matches aggressively and consistently create early chances, making a first-half goal from each side very likely.

GN Gabriel Nwosu Result: Xodds 2.83 Lost

I've analyzed and compared the key metrics—xG, HPxG, and NPxGA—and the results point to a recommendation from a professional capping circle. I'm confident in this assessment, but I urge you to verify everything and make your own decision.

KA Kelechi Adewale Correct score 2:1odds 9.50 Won

I predict a 2-1 win for Guayaquil City. Their attacking momentum and home advantage will prove decisive, giving them all three points.

UA Usman Abubakar Correct score 2:1odds 9.40 Won

I'm backing the favorite to grind out a hard-fought win. This won't be a dominant performance, but they'll show enough resilience to overcome a stubborn opponent and get the result in the end.

YO Yusuf Oni Result: 1odds 2.45 Won

I predict Guayaquil City will win this match. They have a strong home advantage and a more consistent squad, which should give them the edge over their opponent. The team's recent form shows they can control possession and create scoring opportunities, making a victory highly likely.

KA Kingsley Adeyemi Corners: Over 7.5odds 1.50 Won

I believe this will be an open game. Both teams have attacking styles and weak defensive records, so I expect plenty of chances and goals. The recent form and head-to-head history support a high-scoring, open match.

SM Sani Madu Under 2.5odds 1.44 Lost

In this Ecuadorian Serie A match, two struggling sides face off: Guayaquil City sits 13th, Delfin 14th, and they’ve combined for just 23 goals in 34 total games—less than many individual teams. Delfin has the league’s worst attack, with only 9 goals in 17 matches and 0 away wins in 8 trips, averaging 0.5 goals per game on the road. Guayaquil City is slightly better at home but still unimpressive, with 2 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses in 7 home games, scoring 1.13 per match.

The head-to-head record is on my side: under 2.5 goals hit in 7 of the last 10 meetings, including a 1-0 Delfin win in March 2026. The average goals in those games is just 2.06. Current form supports this too—Guayaquil City has lost 4 of its last 5, failing to score in 3 of those, while Delfin hasn’t won in 5 straight. Betting on under 2.5 goals at 1.44 is backing the stats, form, and a clear trend. Three goals here would be shocking.

Match poster

Guayaquil City vs Delfin — odds