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HEBK Hamburg vs Borussia Dortmund: Prediction, Betting Tips and Match Preview

DFB-Pokal · Germany · 1 September 2026
HEBK Hamburg logoHEBK Hamburg
0:5
1st half: 0:4
01.09.2026 19:45
Borussia Dortmund logoBorussia Dortmund

Match events

33′
0:1Janek Wrede
36′
0:2Daniel Svensson
41′
0:3Samuele Inacio
45+2′
0:4Samuele Inacio
59′
0:5Fábio Silva
Hammed Umer Nawaz🟨
72′

Match statistics: HEBK Hamburg vs Borussia Dortmund

HEBK HamburgBorussia Dortmund
0.16xG (expected goals)3.84
23Ball possession, %77
2Shots36
1Shots on target12
2Corners17
9Fouls7
2Offsides4
1Yellow cards0
0Red cards0
70Attacks224
27Dangerous attacks187

💡 Match preview HEBK Hamburg vs Borussia Dortmund

By Kunle Bankole — Football expert on Nordic & South American leagues

Borussia Dortmund are among the last Bundesliga sides to begin their DFB-Pokal journey in the 2026/27 season. In the first round (1/32 final), the Black and Yellows have drawn a club making its debut in the competition. Lowly Hamburg Eimsbütteler Ballspiel 1911, plying their trade in the fifth division, have never before tasted knockout football at such a level. Can the hosts spring a surprise on the top-flight powerhouse?

Tactical Analysis: Hamburg Eimsbütteler Ballspiel 1911

This fifth-tier outfit has never climbed even as high as the fourth division in their entire history. The 2025/26 campaign was a modest one, devoid of any promotion push, and they ended the season on a five-match losing streak. Despite that slump, the coaching staff kept their jobs, but several key players did not. Leading defensive midfielder Hendrik Dickmann (30 appearances last season) and striker Michele Scalze (11 goals and 1 assist in 37 matches) both left the club. The management opted to fill the gaps internally and by bringing in reinforcements for other positions.

The centre‑back berth went to 19‑year‑old Magnus Nagel, while experienced Phillip Onnen was installed at left wing‑back. However, these additions have not shored up the defence, mainly because both arrived from even lower‑tier divisions and are still gelling with their new teammates. As a result, the team lost their first three matches of the new fifth‑division season. Notably, all their points came away from home, while at their own ground they have failed to score a single goal. The scoreless home defeats read: 0‑3 against Niendorfer, 0‑1 versus HT 16, and 0‑1 to Vorwärts‑Wacker (a side that finished next to them in the table last term). This upcoming DFB‑Pokal tie marks their debut in the competition.

Tactical Analysis: Borussia Dortmund

Borussia Dortmund appear to have fully accepted Bayern Munich’s domestic dominance, using the summer window to shed deadwood and invest heavily in young talent with an eye on future sales. Departures included Karim Adeyemi (10 goals, 6 assists in 39 games last season), Julian Brandt (11+4 in 41 appearances), Yan Couto (3+3 in 27 outings), and Niklas Süle, who had lost his starting spot. In response, the Black and Yellows spent over €100 million, bringing in defender Joan Gadu from Salzburg and three exciting attacking talents: Greek duo Giannis Konstantelias and Konstantinos Karetsas, plus PSV’s Joel Vermann. Head coach Niko Kovac does not like to keep his strongest players on the bench, so all the new signings were quickly integrated into the first team, often starting in friendlies.

In pre‑season, Dortmund showed considerable attacking firepower, beating Arsenal 3‑2 and drawing 2‑2 with Roma, and they even managed to score against Bayern in the German Supercup (a 2‑1 loss). However, those matches also exposed defensive frailties. Gadu is still adapting to the back three, and key defenders Nico Schlotterbeck and Emre Can are both sidelined with injuries. Still, against less formidable opponents, even a depleted Dortmund can keep clean sheets, as demonstrated in the Bundesliga opener against Hamburg (a 2‑0 victory). One concern: Konstantelias picked up a knock in that game and is a doubt for this cup tie. Dortmund have successfully navigated the first round in each of the last five DFB‑Pokal campaigns, thrashing their opponents on four of those occasions.

Predicted Lineups

Hamburg Eimsbütteler Ballspiel 1911 (4‑2‑3‑1): Ahmann – Zitzewitz, Nagel, Wrede, Onnen – Demirovic, Oldag – Lemke, Wilhelm, Koehler – Adeh Unavailable: – Head coach: Philipp Obloch

Borussia Dortmund (3‑4‑3): Kobel – Gadu, Anton, Svensson – Mane, Bellingham, Vermann, Prates – Karetsas, Guirassy, Sabitzer Unavailable: Kaba, Can, Schlotterbeck (all injured), Inacio (suspended), Konstantelias (doubtful) Head coach: Niko Kovac

Prediction and Bet

Main prediction: Dortmund to win with a handicap of –5.5 goals.

Humble Hamburg Eimsbütteler Ballspiel 1911 have never played in the DFB‑Pokal before and have never risen above the fifth tier. Over the summer they changed half of their back line, which has already conceded in four of five matches this season. At home, they have failed to score in three straight games against opponents of similar standing. Dortmund, meanwhile, are accustomed to dismantling such lower‑league sides. In recent years, the Black and Yellows have crushed teams like 1860 Munich (3‑0) and Phoenix Lübeck (4‑1) – and those clubs play in higher divisions than the Eimsbüttel side. Against the Purple‑Whites, Kovac’s men should have an even easier time. Dortmund’s squad is packed with young talent eager to impress the coach, so they will show no mercy. A few seasons ago, they put six past fifth‑tier Schott Mainz (6‑1). Expect an even wider margin here, so the pick is Dortmund –5.5 on the Asian handicap.

Total prediction: Individual total of Hamburg Eimsbütteler Ballspiel 1911 under 0.5 goals.

Dortmund’s defence has looked shaky only against high‑calibre opponents. Against weaker teams, as they showed against Hamburg (2‑0) in the Bundesliga opener, they can lock things down effectively. With defensive resources limited by injuries, Kovac is likely to field some first‑choice defenders. Their tactical approach – dropping wing‑backs to form a five‑man back line – further bolsters solidity. Given that the hosts have not managed a single goal in their three home league matches this term, backing the home side to fail to score seems a solid bet.

Kunle Bankole
Kunle Bankole
Football expert on Nordic & South American leagues

Kunle Bankole has been closely tracking Sweden's Superettan, Brazil's Série B and C, Finland's Veikkausliiga, and Serbia's SuperLiga for more than ten years. His analytical approach combines detailed study of squad rotations, underlying metrics such as shots on target and efficiency, and contextual factors like travel and fixture density. He builds his forecasts on a methodical assessment of team form, tactical setups, and league-specific trends, avoiding superficial judgments.

All articles by this author →

The editorial prediction is provided for informational purposes only and should not be treated as a direct call to action. Every reader should do their own analysis before deciding on a bet.

Starting lineups: HEBK Hamburg vs Borussia Dortmund

HEBK Hamburg logoHEBK Hamburg5-4-1
Schoon
EggersWredevon ZitzewitzStegemannGrünwald
KohlerOldagNavatzLemke
Schick
Borussia Dortmund logoBorussia Dortmund3-4-3
Mayer
SvenssonAntonMané
AlbertWermanNmechaRyerson
MatheusSilvaSabitzer
Out of squad:Kaba · InjuryCan · InjurySchlotterbeck · InjuryBensebaini · SuspendedKonstantelias · Injury

Predictions for HEBK Hamburg vs Borussia Dortmund

JM Joseph Mohammed Handicap 1 (7.5)odds 1.70 Won

Cup competitions are notorious for upsets, and I don't see Borussia Dortmund putting in maximum effort on the road here. That's why I'm backing HEBK Hamburg with a +7.5 handicap — even a heavy loss keeps this bet alive.

IA Ibrahim Adebayo Handicap 1 (8)odds 1.48 Won

Borussia Dortmund's corner count is my primary pick, with odds expected around 1.80–1.90 and minimal risk. For this bet to cash, Dortmund only need to average one corner every ten minutes of possession. Given the clear class difference and the constant pressure they'll apply across the full 90 minutes, this total looks statistically secure. Even if Kovac rotates his squad, the depth of the roster keeps the cross intensity high.

I'm also backing total corners under 14.5 at about 1.85, a medium-to-low risk hedge against an unusually high-scoring match. This option protects me from a scenario where the game gets overly productive from set pieces.

DO Daniel Obi Handicap 2 (-7.5)odds 2.12 Lost

The DFB-Pokal tie between HEBK Hamburg and Borussia Dortmund is a mismatch on paper, and the circumstances make it even more lopsided. Hamburg’s defense was overhauled over the summer and has already leaked goals in four of five matches this season. At home, they’ve drawn blanks in three games against comparable sides. Worse, the squad isn’t getting paid, trains only twice a week, and can only use half the pitch. That’s no foundation for a cup shock.

Dortmund, meanwhile, have a track record of dismantling lower-league opposition. Past cup wins over 1860 Munich (3-0) and Phoenix Lübeck (4-1) came against teams from higher divisions. Against a fifth-tier side like Hamburg, it should be even easier. The squad is packed with young talent desperate to prove themselves to coach Kovac, so there’ll be no mercy. A few seasons ago, Dortmund crushed fifth-division Schott Mainz 6-1. I expect an even bigger gap here and am backing the visitors with a -7.5 handicap at 2.12.

PO Peter Ogundipe Corners: Over 11.5odds 2.10 Won

For HEBK Hamburg against Borussia Dortmund in the DFB-Pokal, the bet is on Over 11.5 corners at 2.10. That's the play – straightforward and confident.

GI Gabriel Ibe Under 8.5odds 1.76 Won

This DFB-Pokal clash between HEBK Hamburg and Borussia Dortmund won’t turn into a goal fest. I’m backing Under 8.5 total goals at 1.76, as the conditions don’t favor a high-scoring affair. The match structure and the stakes in a knockout competition suggest a more controlled tempo, making a blowout unlikely.

M mrace Corners: Under 9.5odds 2.55 Lost
S sharp.wolf Under 9.5odds 1.45 Won
FI Femi Idris Under 8.5odds 1.82 Won

HEBK Hamburg vs. Borussia Dortmund in the DFB-Pokal isn’t shaping up to be a wild shootout. I’m locking in Under 8.5 goals at 1.82—no way this game turns into a basketball score. Straightforward pick here.

UN Uche Nnaji Handicap 1 (7.5)odds 1.92 Won

Hamburg won’t embarrass themselves here. A respectable defeat is the most likely outcome, and that’s exactly what the +7.5 handicap covers — even a three- or four-goal loss still cashes the bet at 1.92. Dortmund are the class side, but this Hamburg team has enough fight to keep the margin respectable.

KO Kabiru Okoro Handicap 2 (-7.5)odds 1.88 Lost
NA Nnamdi Ademola Handicap 1 (7)odds 2.18 Won
DO Dele Ogundipe Handicap 1 (7.5)odds 1.90 Won
UI Uche Ibe Team 2 over 7.5odds 1.70 Lost

In the DFB-Pokal matchup between HEBK Hamburg and Borussia Dortmund, I’m expecting a proper goal barrage from the visitors. The bet is on Dortmund to score over 7.5 goals at 1.70 – I’m confident they’ll pour it on against Hamburg’s defense.

U usman.wizard Under 9.5odds 1.42 Won

Borussia Dortmund winning 10-0? That’s not happening. I’m backing Under 9.5 goals here — a double-digit blowout is simply too far-fetched, even for a cup mismatch.

WO Wale Oladipo Under 5 (2nd half)odds 1.71 Won

Lopsided cup ties like this tend to go quieter after the break — second halves usually see fewer goals than the first. That's exactly why I'm taking under five for the second half at 1.71.

R red.prophet Handicap 2 (-6.5)odds 1.50 Lost

Borussia Dortmund face HEBK Hamburg in the DFB-Pokal, and even with a rotated squad, I see a massive mismatch. The gulf in class is huge, so a win by seven or eight goals is the most likely outcome. That’s why I’m backing the visitors to cover the -6.5 handicap at 1.50 — a comfortable margin for a side that can rout lower-league opposition even with backups.

D davidman2010 Handicap 1 (6.5)odds 2.47 Won

Borussia Dortmund are the clear favourites here, but the gap isn't wide enough for them to win by more than six goals. I'm backing HEBK Hamburg with a +6.5 handicap at 2.47.

CS Chukwuma Shehu Under 6odds 4.45 Won

Last season, Borussia Dortmund didn't produce many emphatic victories. That's why I'm taking Under 6 goals in this DFB-Pokal match against HEBK Hamburg at 4.45.

CI Chukwuma I. Both teams to score — Noodds 1.73 Won

I don't see a clear favorite here, but the recent months of statistics point one way. I'm backing Borussia Dortmund to take control and keep a clean sheet, so my pick is both teams not to score.

CO Chinedu Olaniyan Both teams to score — Noodds 1.73 Won

Borussia Dortmund’s defensive stability should be enough to shut out Hamburg in this DFB-Pokal clash. Even taking the opponent’s level into account, I don’t see the hosts breaking through. That’s why I’m taking “both teams to score — No” at 1.73.

IA Ibrahim Adamu Both teams to score — Noodds 1.73 Won

HEBK Hamburg are simply too weak to trouble Borussia Dortmund’s defence. That’s why I’m backing the visitors to keep a clean sheet in this DFB-Pokal tie. A bet on “Both teams to score — No” at 1.73 looks like the right call here.

MO Musa Okonkwo Over 4.5 (2nd half)odds 1.70 Lost
PS Peter Sowole Handicap 1 (7.5)odds 1.86 Won
GW Gabriel W. Over 3.5 (1st half)odds 1.92 Won

Hamburg Eimsbütteler Ballspiel 1911 will have their hands full with a well-rested Borussia Dortmund in the DFB-Pokal. I don't trust the hosts to withstand the early pressure, and a quick burst of four goals from the visitors is a realistic outcome — so over 3.5 in the first half at 1.92 makes sense to me.

AY Abubakar Yusuf Over 3.5 (1st half)odds 1.86 Won

This match already has a clear story — the only question is how many goals we'll see. I'm backing the first half to go over 3.5 at 1.86, because that's where the real action will be.

CS Chinedu Suleiman Handicap 1 (7.5)odds 1.84 Won

Hamburg Eimsbütteler Ballspiel 1911 take on Borussia Dortmund in the DFB-Pokal. The gulf in class is absolutely massive, but a complete demolition isn't in anyone's interest here. That's exactly why the home side with a +7.5 handicap at 1.84 is the right call — Dortmund will win, but they won't run up the score.

SS Suleiman Sani Corners: Under 11.5odds 1.74 Lost

Hamburg Eimsbütteler Ballspiel 1911 host Borussia Dortmund in the DFB-Pokal, and I don’t expect a high number of corner kicks. The match dynamics just don’t point to a busy afternoon from the flag. That’s why I’m taking Under 11.5 corners at 1.74 — a bet that should hold up comfortably.

IE Ifeanyi Emenike Over 3.5 (1st half)odds 1.87 Won

Over 3.5 goals in the first half of Hamburg Eimsbütteler Ballspiel 1911 against Borussia Dortmund – that's the bet I'm locking in. Simple and direct, no need to overthink it.

CB Chinedu Balogun Both teams to score — Yesodds 2.00 Lost

Both teams to score in regular time — that's the play for this DFB-Pokal clash. I'm backing Hamburg and Dortmund to each find the net before the final whistle.

EO Emeka Oladipo Team 1 under 1odds 1.25 Won

Hamburg under 1 goal is the play here. The only realistic path to them scoring is if Dortmund completely loses intensity after building a big lead — but I’m not counting on that happening. The gap in class is too wide for the hosts to trouble the visitors.

SA Stanley Adeyemi Under 8.5odds 2.10 Won
VI Victor Igwe Over 3.5 (1st half)odds 1.87 Won

In this DFB-Pokal matchup, Hamburg host Borussia Dortmund. My pick is Over 3.5 goals in the first half at 1.87. That's my confident play.

PO Peter Oyelaran Team 2 over 9odds 2.53 Lost

This is a DFB-Pokal mismatch where class should make the difference. Unless the selection committee decides to field a B-team for the sake of political correctness, Borussia Dortmund has no business scoring fewer than 10 goals against an opponent from this level.

I expect a ruthless, professional demolition from the start. The coefficient of 2.53 for a 10+ goal haul from BVB looks like solid value to me — they should absolutely run riot and cover this line without breaking a sweat.

DY Daniel Yusuf Handicap 2 (-7.5)odds 1.95 Lost

The DFB-Pokal tie between Hamburg Eimsbütteler Ballspiel 1911 and Borussia Dortmund is a total mismatch. Dortmund will put up a double-digit scoreline, making the –7.5 handicap at 1.95 the clear play.

GS Godwin Sowole Handicap 1 (7.5)odds 1.85 Won
CO Collins Onyeka Over 8.5odds 1.81 Lost
GN Gabriel Nwachukwu Under 8.5odds 2.02 Won

I see Dortmund comfortably clearing the Under 8.5 corners line here. For a team like Borussia Dortmund against lower-league opposition, they'll dominate possession and territory, forcing the action into the final third consistently. The defensive setup from Hamburg Eimsbütteler should lead to plenty of goal kicks and Dortmund wide play, but I'm not sold on the visitors running up a massive corner count. They typically get the job done efficiently without needing waves of set-piece opportunities, and the 2.02 price offers solid value for a bet that should cash within standard Bundesliga corner ranges.

DN Dele Nwosu Under 9odds 1.85 Won

The DFB-Pokal match between Hamburg Eimsbütteler Ballspiel 1911 and Borussia Dortmund is set for September 1st, and I'm backing the Under 9 goals line at 1.85. The hosts have the tools to keep this from turning into a complete blowout. Instead of letting the giant run riot, they'll tighten up and hold the score to a manageable total, well below that double-digit mark.

EE Emeka Emenike Under 9.5odds 1.57 Won

Hamburg Eimsbütteler Ballspiel 1911 against Borussia Dortmund in the DFB-Pokal – the over/under line of 9.5 goals seems enormous for a normal match, but the bookmaker is correctly pricing in the gulf between a fifth-division side and a Bundesliga powerhouse. Niko Kovac's own preview describes a game with Dortmund dominating possession, a deep Hamburg block, and only occasional counters or set pieces for the hosts. For this under to lose, the teams would need to combine for at least ten goals.

The key factor is Hamburg's home attack. In three home fixtures this season, they've failed to score once: 0‑3, 0‑1, and 0‑1. Their recent form shows two wins and three losses in five outings. If the underdog again contributes minimally, Dortmund would have to supply almost all the goals themselves. Kovac has already confirmed Alexander Meyer will start in goal instead of Kobel, with one or two more changes expected. Bensebaini is suspended, Can and Schlotterbeck are injured, and Constantelias is out after an ACL tear. And Dortmund's own last five matches produced goal totals of 2, 3, 4, 5, and 1 – no habit of turning every game into a goal fest. That's why I'm backing under 9.5.

YB Yemi Bankole Handicap 1 (7.5)odds 1.87 Won
GN Godwin Nnaji Corners: Over 10.5odds 1.86 Won
PO Peter Ojo Team 2 under 8odds 1.86 Won

Borussia Dortmund faces a tricky cup trip to Hamburg Eimsbütteler Ballspiel 1911, and I see this match staying tightly contested. My bet is on the away team staying under eight total goals, priced at 1.86. The reasoning is straightforward: this is a competitive DFB-Pokal fixture where Dortmund won't run riot, and the hosts are capable of keeping the scoring in check.

EO Emmanuel Ojo Corners: Over 9.5odds 1.50 Won

The corners market looks the most promising here—I'm taking Over 9.5 at 1.50. There's simply nothing else on the board worth touching.

G goalodds79 Over 3.5 (1st half)odds 1.92 Won
KO Kunle Ogunleye Handicap 1 (7.5)odds 1.89 Won

The home side with a +7.5 handicap is the move for this DFB-Pokal clash. I'm backing Hamburg to cover that spread at 1.89 — no need to overthink it.

OO Olusegun Okoro Over 3.5 (1st half)odds 1.90 Won

The DFB-Pokal match on September 1st, 2026, sees Hamburg Eimsbütteler Ballspiel 1911 host Borussia Dortmund. I'm taking the Bumblebees to dominate the opening half, clearing the 3.5 goal line at 1.90. Dortmund's attacking quality will be too much for the hosts, so expect at least four goals in the first 45 minutes.

CS Chukwuma Suleiman Team 2 over 9odds 2.47 Lost
GI Gabriel Igwe Team 2 under 8.5odds 1.74 Pending

Borussia Dortmund scoring nine goals in a single match? That’s an almost impossible task. I’m confidently backing them to stay under 8.5 goals — the barrier is simply too high to clear.

O overmaster Handicap 1 (6.5)odds 2.43 Pending

Hamburg Eimsbütteler Ballspiel 1911 hosting Borussia Dortmund in the DFB-Pokal — the handicap line at +6.5 for the hosts looks generous. I don't see the goal gap stretching that far. A one-sided blowout to that extent isn't in the cards here.

KB Kabiru Bello Handicap 1 (7.5)odds 1.91 Pending

DFB-Pokal action today sees Hamburg Eimsbütteler Ballspiel 1911 up against Borussia Dortmund. The selection is the home side’s +7.5 handicap at 1.91 — that’s the bet I’m taking for this tie.

SN Sani Nnaji Team 2 under 8.5odds 1.77 Pending

In this DFB-Pokal tie, Borussia Dortmund are facing Hamburg Eimsbütteler Ballspiel 1911, and I’m backing the visitors to stay below nine goals. The line of 8.5 offers a solid edge at 1.77 — Dortmund simply won’t run up that kind of score here.

SB Segun Bankole Handicap 2 (-9)odds 2.85 Pending

Borussia Dortmund face Hamburg Eimsbütteler Ballspiel 1911 in the DFB-Pokal, and I’m backing the visitors to cover a -9 handicap. That means a win by at least ten goals — a tall order, but the gap in class is massive. At odds of 2.85, this is exactly the kind of mismatch where a heavy margin feels inevitable.

A adewalebull Over 3.5 (1st half)odds 1.85 Pending

In the DFB-Pokal meeting between Hamburg Eimsbütteler Ballspiel 1911 and Borussia Dortmund, I'm expecting goals to flow from the very start. My pick is over 3.5 goals in the first half at 1.85 – both sides have the firepower to turn this into a high‑scoring opening period.

C cup.wizard Over 4.5 (2nd half)odds 1.70 Pending

Over 4.5 goals in the second half is the play for this DFB-Pokal matchup between Hamburg Eimsbütteler Ballspiel 1911 and Borussia Dortmund. I expect at least five goals after the break.

SO Segun Okonkwo Handicap 2 (-7.5)odds 1.83 Pending

Match poster

HEBK Hamburg vs Borussia Dortmund — odds

❓ Frequently asked questions

When and where is the Hamburg Eimsbütteler Ballspiel 1911 vs Borussia Dortmund DFB-Pokal match taking place?

The match is scheduled for September 1, 2026, at 19:45 local time. The venue is not specified in the provided information.

What is the main betting prediction for this DFB-Pokal match?

The main prediction is for Borussia Dortmund to win with a handicap of –5.5 goals, given their usual dominance over lower-league sides and Hamburg Eimsbütteler's poor form.

Who are the key absentees for Borussia Dortmund in this cup tie?

Dortmund will be without injured defenders Nico Schlotterbeck, Emre Can, and Kaba, as well as suspended Inacio. Giannis Konstantelias is doubtful after picking up a knock in the Bundesliga opener.

How has Hamburg Eimsbütteler Ballspiel 1911 performed recently at home?

The fifth-tier side has lost all three home games this season without scoring a single goal, including defeats against Niendorfer, HT 16, and Vorwärts-Wacker.

What is the predicted outcome for Hamburg Eimsbütteler's individual total goals?

The prediction is for Hamburg Eimsbütteler's individual total to be under 0.5 goals, as they have failed to score at home in three matches and Dortmund's defense can be solid against weak opponents.

Has Hamburg Eimsbütteler Ballspiel 1911 ever played in the DFB-Pokal before?

No, this match marks their debut in the DFB-Pokal competition, as they have never previously risen above the fifth division or played at such a level.