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Hammarby vs Raków: Prediction, Betting Tips and Match Preview

⚽ Europe Conference League · Europe · 13 August 2026
Hammarby logoHammarby
0:1
1st half: 0:1
13.08.2026 18:00
Raków logoRaków

Match events

Amin Boudri🟨
45′
45+2′
⚽0:1Stratos Svarnas
53′
🟨Diedounne Gaucho Debohi
Amin Boudri🟨🟥
54′
57′
🟨Kacper Trelowski
Frederik Winter🟨
58′
67′
🟨Mahir Emreli
90′
🟨Mohamed Lamine Diaby

Match statistics: Hammarby vs Raków

HammarbyRaków
60Ball possession, %40
13Shots4
4Shots on target3
9Corners3
9Fouls9
0Offsides1
1Yellow cards4
1Red cards0
98Attacks72
65Dangerous attacks23

💡 Match preview Hammarby vs Raków

By Babatunde Sowole — Football Expert on European & South American Cups

Hammarby welcomes Raków to Stockholm for the return leg of their UEFA Conference League qualifier, following a goalless stalemate in Poland. The deciding factor in this tie is likely to be the formidable home advantage enjoyed by the Swedish side, who have been a different beast at their own ground. The question is whether that will be enough to see them through.

Tactical Analysis of Hammarby

The Swedish outfit arrives in outstanding form, particularly when playing in front of their own supporters. Across their last ten home fixtures, Hammarby has secured seven victories and suffered only a single defeat, which came against a strong AIK side (1:2). On average, the team scores nearly two goals per game at home while conceding less than one, highlighting a well-structured system that functions effectively against a wide range of opponents.

The first leg between these two sides ended in a draw, but Hammarby looked the more dangerous team in the final third. They fired off 15 shots, with five hitting the target, while the Polish side managed only 11 attempts. Possession was evenly split, but the hosts for the upcoming match created the more threatening opportunities and were closer to breaking the deadlock. Now, with the backing of their home crowd, they will look to secure a spot in the qualification final.

Tactical Analysis of Raków

Raków is currently experiencing a noticeable dip in performance, especially in away matches. While they can still grind out results at home, their form on the road has been poor. Continuing a trend from last season, the club loses more often than it wins when traveling. Including pre-season friendlies, Raków averages just over one goal scored per match but concedes roughly two. The defence has shown clear vulnerabilities against strong opponents like PSV (2:3) and Olympiacos (1:2).

The club has retained its core squad, but the start to the domestic season has been dismal. After two league rounds, they sit at the bottom of the table with zero points. In the first leg, Raków was fortunate not to concede, as their opponent blocked five dangerous shots and limited clear-cut chances, while the Polish side themselves had opportunities to score. They took six corners but failed to convert any of their set-piece situations into goals. The team’s current away form raises serious concerns ahead of the trip to Sweden.

Predicted Lineups

Hammarby: Dovin — Pinas, Vagić, Kurtulus — Erabi, Tekie, Besara, Touré, Karlsson — Erabi, Đukanović.

Raków: Kovačević — Rundić, Arsenić, Svarnas — Tudor, Lederman, Berggren, Jean Carlos — Barath, López, Crnac.

Referee

The man in the middle for this fixture is Italian official Luca Pairetto. In Serie A, he averages around five yellow cards and roughly 26 fouls per match. He maintains a similar level of strictness in European competitions, handing out approximately five cautions per game. His officiating style suggests he aims to keep the match firmly under control and curbs excessive physicality, meaning if either side crosses the line, a flurry of cards could follow.

Prediction and Bet

Main Prediction: We believe the hosts have an excellent chance of advancing. The Swedish club consistently overpowers opponents on home soil, while the Polish side has looked genuinely poor on the road, losing four of their last seven away fixtures. Hammarby created the better chances in the first leg a week ago, and at their own stadium, they should be able to assert their superiority. Our selection is a Hammarby victory at odds of 1.70. We assess the probability of this outcome at 63% (anything above 1.58 is considered value).

Total Goals Prediction: The visitors are struggling to find the net, while the Swedes are solid defensively. In six of Hammarby’s last ten matches, the total has gone under 2.5 goals, and the first meeting between these sides ended 0-0. Neither team is likely to take unnecessary risks, as a single mistake could prove fatal. Our selection is under 2.5 goals at odds of 2.15. We assess the probability of this outcome at 51% (anything above 1.96 is considered value).

Babatunde Sowole
Babatunde Sowole
Football Expert on European & South American Cups

Babatunde Sowole has been closely monitoring international club competitions for over a decade, with a particular focus on the Conference League, Europa League, and Copa Sudamericana. In his analysis, he prioritizes squad depth, tactical adjustments, and fixture congestion, believing these factors often outweigh raw statistics. His approach to predictions is grounded in studying team form and head-to-head trends, avoiding overreliance on single-match data.

All articles by this author →

The editorial prediction is provided for informational purposes only and should not be treated as a direct call to action. Every reader should do their own analysis before deciding on a bet.

Match odds Hammarby vs Raków

Result (1X2)

X3.711.6924.85

Double chance

1X1.16X22.1121.26

Both teams to score

No2.01Yes1.7

Over

1121.3232.2144.41.51.192.51.763.52.754.55.15

Under

19.622.9831.5641.141.53.822.52.013.51.354.51.1

Handicap 1

01.23-12.22-24.7-1.52.78-2.55.45

Handicap 2

03.4511.6121.121.51.352.51.09

Correct score

0:012.250:113.750:2281:07.21:16.41:214.51:3432:08.22:17.72:213.752:3433:0133:112.753:2244:0274:1264:248

To qualify

11.3223.1

Predictions for Hammarby vs Raków

EE Emeka Emenike Yellow cards: Over 3.5odds 1.59 Won

The average for Hammarby’s matches sits at 4.6 yellow cards, while Raków’s games average 4.0, with corresponding foul counts of 25.0 and 23.4. Referee Luca Pairetto dishes out 4.33 yellows per Conference League match, alongside 23 fouls per game.

The match context itself aligns with this bet. After a 0:0 draw in Poland, this return leg is finely poised, where a single incident can swing the tie, making the card market particularly attractive.

KA Kingsley Adebayo Result: 1odds 1.64 Lost

Hammarby are the side to back in this Conference League fixture. Raków’s defending takes a clear step down when they play away from home, and that vulnerability should give the hosts the edge. I’m taking the home win.

JO Joseph Okoro Both teams to score — Noodds 1.98 Won

Raków will fail to score against Hammarby in this Conference League match. That's why I'm backing "Both teams to score — No" at 1.98.

DE David Emenike Under 0.5 (1st half)odds 2.93 Lost

This match involves Hammarby, and their average is roughly six corners per game. I'm not expecting a high-scoring first half, so I'm backing the under 0.5 goals at odds of 2.93. With both sides needing to be cautious early on, I see this as the most likely outcome.

KN Kayode Nnaji Under 2.5odds 2.03 Won

This is a high-stakes match for both Hammarby and Raków, and neither side will want to take unnecessary risks or leave themselves exposed. The pressure of the Conference League tie should lead to a cautious, tight contest where chances are at a premium. I’m backing Under 2.5 goals here at 2.03.

ST Segun Tanko Over 3.5odds 2.75 Lost

The return leg between Hammarby and Raków in the Conference League should bring a clearer goal rush than the first meeting. I’m backing over 3.5 goals at 2.75.

SN Sani Nwachukwu Correct score 2:1odds 7.70 Lost

This Conference League match between Hammarby and Raków will see both teams score, but I'm backing the hosts to snatch the win. The final score? 2-1 to Hammarby.

KF Kingsley Fashola Team 2 over 1odds 2.25 Void
OK Olusegun Kalu Yellow cards: Team 1 over 1.5odds 1.55 Lost

The match between Hammarby and Raków in the Conference League presents a strong opportunity for a card-based bet. Hammarby’s disciplinary record is clear: they consistently pick up two or more yellow cards per game. This makes the over 1.5 yellow cards line for the home side look very achievable at attractive odds of 1.55. I’m backing that trend to continue here.

IM Ibrahim Madu Corners: Team 2 over 3.5odds 1.87 Lost

Let’s look at the first leg: Raków earned 5 corners. That’s already above the line I’m backing here. This bet is about their attacking style and set-piece threat, which should carry over. I’m confident they’ll get at least 4 again, and the 1.87 odds offer solid value for a repeat performance.

CA Collins Anyanwu Corners: Over 11.5odds 2.78 Won

Corners should be plentiful in this Conference League clash between Hammarby and Raków. I'm expecting at least 11, so backing over 11.5 at 2.78 is the clear move.

BA Biodun Adamu Both teams to score — Noodds 1.99 Won

Hammarby and Raków played out a goalless draw in the first leg, and I expect a similar defensive pattern to carry over into this return fixture. Neither side showed much attacking ambition last time, and that trend should continue here.

I’m backing both teams to score — No. With the first match ending 0-0 and both defenses looking solid, it’s unlikely we’ll see goals from both sides. The odds of 1.99 offer solid value for what I see as the most probable outcome.

YB Yemi Balogun Correct score 2:0odds 8.10 Lost
D delepicks2006 Over 2.5odds 1.75 Lost

Let’s cut to it: I’m expecting at least three goals in this Conference League clash between Hammarby and Raków. The odds sit at 1.75 for Over 2.5, and I see real value there. Both sides have the attacking quality to push the pace, and European nights often open things up. I’m confident this one clears the mark.

UA Uche A. Double chance: X2odds 2.07 Won
YO Yusuf Obiora Yellow cards: Over 3.5odds 1.70 Won

Hammarby and Raków are set to clash in the Conference League on August 13, and this matchup has all the makings of a physical, tightly contested battle. The officiating will have its hands full, and the cards should start flowing early.

The over 3.5 yellow cards line at 1.70 looks very solid here. I’m expecting at least four cautions between the two sides, so this bet should cash without much sweat.

DA Daniel Ademola Double chance: X2odds 2.09 Won
AS Anthony Suleiman Double chance: X2odds 2.09 Won

Hammarby will have their hands full with a dangerous Raków side. I don’t see the Polish team losing this Conference League clash, so I’m backing the double chance for the visitors. The odds of 2.09 offer solid value for a bet that covers both a draw and an away win.

VY Victor Yusuf To qualify: 2odds 2.98 Won

Hammarby won’t get past Raków in this tie. I don’t see them winning in regular time, and ultimately the Polish side will advance. The odds at 2.98 are too good to pass up.

AN Adewale Nnaji Over 1.5 (2nd half)odds 1.95 Lost

This match is set up for a decisive second half. Hammarby will need to push forward aggressively to overturn the deficit, which will open up the game significantly. I see the action really heating up after the break, making the over 1.5 goals in the second half a strong play at 1.95.

PB Peter Bankole Result: 1odds 1.73 Lost

Hammarby will win this match by a narrow margin — likely a one-goal difference. I'm confident in that outcome.

AO Adewale Okoro Handicap 1 (-1.5)odds 2.86 Lost

Hammarby’s goalless draw away from home in the first leg sets them up nicely to finish the job in front of their own fans. I’m backing them to win by at least two goals, which pays out at 2.86.

ML Michael Lamido Result: 1odds 1.73 Lost
AE Anthony Emenike Double chance: X2odds 2.05 Won

The second leg between Hammarby and Raków looks set to be another tight battle. A goalless draw is very much on the cards again, so backing the visitors to avoid defeat at 2.05 is the clear call.

WY Wale Yusuf Team 1 under 1.5odds 1.96 Won

Hammarby has scored more than one goal in only one of their last 15 home matches. That’s a rock-solid trend, and facing Raków in the Conference League doesn’t look like the game to break it. I’m backing the hosts to stay under 1.5 team goals at odds of 1.96.

SL Suleiman Lawal Double chance: X2odds 2.04 Won

Raków look the stronger side here, and Hammarby don't strike me as clear favorites in this Conference League tie. Backing the visitors or a draw at 2.04 offers solid value — that's my play.

KT Kayode Tanko Under 2.5odds 1.98 Won

Expect a tight, defensive contest when these two meet again. The second match between Hammarby and Raków should stay under the 2.5-goal line, and I'm backing that at 1.98.

ES Emeka Shehu To qualify: 2odds 2.89 Won

Hammarby have a strong home record, but Raków are a disciplined side that knows how to manage these ties. The Polish team’s defensive structure and experience in European competition give them a real edge over two legs. At nearly 3/1, the value is firmly on the visitors to get the job done and qualify.

SA Sunday Anyanwu Under 2.5odds 1.98 Won

Hammarby and Raków played out a 0-0 draw in the first leg, and I don't see the return match being any more eventful. Backing under 2.5 goals at 1.98 feels like the right call here.

I ibrahim.fan Result: 1odds 1.74 Lost

Hammarby's recent form is hard to ignore: seven wins and just one loss, with an average of two goals scored per game while conceding fewer than one. That kind of balance shows a team that's locked in and capable of handling any level of opponent.

Raków, by contrast, had a rough past season, dropping plenty of matches. They score only a little over one goal per game but leak two at the back. That defensive weakness makes them a poor bet here. I'm backing Hammarby to take the win.

SL Sani Lawal Double chance: X2odds 2.03 Won

Raków’s attacking style creates plenty of chances, and that should translate into goals here. I’m backing them not to lose — double chance X2 is the play.

AO Adewale Oladipo Double chance: X2odds 2.03 Won

Hammarby host Raków in the Conference League, and I expect the visitors to sit deep again. That defensive setup makes the double chance on Raków – a draw or an away win – the clear play. Given their style, securing at least a point looks highly probable.

CO Chibuzo Oni Handicap 1 (-1.5)odds 2.81 Lost

Hammarby will cover the -1.5 goal handicap in this Conference League fixture. They have enough quality to win by at least two goals, and I'm confident they deliver.

KA Kabiru Adekunle Over 1.5 (1st half)odds 2.61 Lost

Both Hammarby and Raków come into this Conference League match with a clear attacking mindset. I’m expecting early scoring action, so the first half over 1.5 goals at 2.61 looks like a solid call.

SA Segun Abubakar Over 2.5odds 1.76 Lost

Both teams will go all out for the win here — Hammarby and Raków aren't the types to sit back. That attacking intent should produce enough chances to push the total over 2.5 goals, and I see good value at 1.76.

OI Olusegun Igwe Under 2.5odds 2.01 Won

Let’s cut straight to the tactical analysis—this Conference League clash between Hammarby and Raków is shaping up to be a tightly contested, low-scoring affair. Both sides prioritize defensive structure over attacking flair, which means neither will generate many clear-cut chances or shots on target. The rhythm should be slow and cautious from the opening whistle.

I see very little room for a high-scoring game here. With both teams focused on not conceding rather than pressing for goals, the most likely outcome is a final tally under 2.5. That’s the bet I’m backing at 2.01.

UO Usman Ogundipe Over 1.5 (1st half)odds 2.61 Lost

Hammarby hosting Raków in the Conference League — I’m backing goals before the break. The odds of 2.61 for Over 1.5 in the first half look generous.

Both sides have shown they can find the net early in matches, and with the stakes high in this tie, I don’t expect any slow start. An open first 45 minutes is the most likely outcome here.

IL Ifeanyi Lawal Under 2.5odds 2.01 Won

This Conference League clash between Hammarby and Raków has all the makings of a back-and-forth battle. I'm expecting open, attacking football with goals on both sides, which makes the Under 2.5 bet a no-go for me.

KO Kelechi Okoro Over 1.5 (1st half)odds 2.61 Lost

Hammarby hosting Raków in the Conference League tomorrow — I see a first half with plenty of action. The home side are set to push the tempo early, and I’m backing the opening 45 minutes to clear 1.5 goals at a solid 2.61.

Match poster

Hammarby vs Raków — odds

❓ Frequently asked questions

When and where is the Hammarby vs Raków match?

The match takes place on 13 August 2026 at 18:00 in Stockholm at Hammarby's home stadium.

Who is the favorite according to the preview?

Hammarby is the favorite with odds of 1.70, due to their strong home form and Raków's poor away record.

What is the form of each team?

Hammarby is in excellent home form: 7 wins in last 10 home matches, averaging nearly 2 goals per game. Raków has struggled away, losing 4 of their last 7 away matches and starting the domestic season with 0 points.

What are the predictions for the match?

The main prediction is a Hammarby win (63% probability). Also recommended is under 2.5 total goals (51% probability), considering the first leg ended 0-0.

Who is the referee?

The referee is Italian Luca Pairetto, who averages about 5 yellow cards per game in European competitions.