NaijaOdds

Hapoel Tel Aviv vs Ludogorets: prediction and odds

Europe Conference League · Europe · 23 July 2026
Hapoel Tel Aviv logoHapoel Tel Aviv
2:0
1st half: 1:0
23.07.2026 19:30
Ludogorets logoLudogorets

Match events

37′
🟨Filip Kaloch
Omri Altman1:0
45′
67′
🟨Petr Stanich
Chico🟨
70′
83′
🟨Ivaylo Chochev
Chico2:0
89′
90′
🟨Bernard Tekpetey

Match statistics: Hapoel Tel Aviv vs Ludogorets

Hapoel Tel AvivLudogorets
41Ball possession, %59
11Shots4
5Shots on target2
4Corners1
19Fouls21
2Offsides0
1Yellow cards4
0Red cards0
92Attacks131
68Dangerous attacks61

💡 Match preview Hapoel Tel Aviv vs Ludogorets

Israeli side Hapoel Tel Aviv is forced to play their home matches in European competition away from their own stadium. This time, the nominal home game will take place in Hungary against the formidable Bulgarian side Ludogorets. Can the Israeli club spring a surprise on neutral ground and take advantage of the changes on the coaching bench of their opponents?

Hapoel Tel Aviv: A Return to the European Stage After a Decade

Hapoel Tel Aviv earned their spot in European qualification by finishing fourth in the 2025/26 Israeli Premier League. The squad underwent minimal changes during the off-season, with the most significant departure being winger Loizos Loizou, who played 30 matches last season. In terms of arrivals, the focus was on strengthening the defense, with the acquisition of left back Doron Leidner (15 matches for Olympiacos in 2025/26) and center back Chico (22 matches for Brazilian side Sport Recife). While the loss of attacking leader Loizou weakens their creative potential, the addition of experienced defenders aims to shore up the backline. The team has been preparing for the season through friendlies and cup matches, showing promising form: a 3-3 draw with Israeli side Bnei Yehuda, a 2-1 win over Czech club Zlin, a 1-0 victory against Slovakian Dunajska Streda, and a 3-2 win after extra time over Beitar in the Toto Cup. These results against respectable opponents indicate a high level of readiness. However, Hapoel has been absent from European competitions for a decade, enduring a series of weak seasons. The last time they reached the group stage of the Europa League, but none of that squad remains. Due to the inability to play home matches in Israel, the club must host opponents on neutral grounds, depriving them of the familiar support of their home fans.

Ludogorets: A New Coach and Pragmatic Ambitions

Ludogorets secured their place in European competition through a special mini play-off, defeating Lokomotiv Plovdiv 1-0 after extra time in the decisive match. During the summer, the club reinforced their defensive line by signing center back Hossam Abdelmaguid from Egyptian club Zamalek (28 matches in 2025/26) and right back Mikhail Polendakov on loan from English side Sheffield United. The rest of the core squad remains intact, but a new coach now leads them. Thomas Reis was appointed as head coach on July 12, 2026, and he aims to instill a balanced and pragmatic style of football in the Bulgarian giants, with an emphasis on ball control and defensive reliability. The coach's ideas didn't take hold immediately, as in the off-season, Ludogorets showed little defensive solidity, thrashing Bulgarian side Etar 7-4 and drawing 2-2 with Romanian club Botosani. However, they then recorded two minimal clean sheet victories and a 1-0 win without conceding in the first round of the Bulgarian championship against Lokomotiv Plovdiv. Ludogorets boasts immense, regular, and rich experience in European competitions. In the 2025/26 season, with roughly this same squad, they reached the play-off round of the Europa League. In the group stage, they gave battle to prestigious opponents like Celta (3-2), Nice (1-0), and Malmo (2-1), the latter being an away victory. Notably, in Champions League qualification, Ludogorets reached the final round, so the level of the Conference League is hard to compare with the capabilities of this roster, which are significantly higher.

Referee: Alessandro Dudic

The match will be officiated by a Swiss refereeing crew led by Alessandro Dudic. The referee's statistics from the 2025/26 season reflect a fairly strict style of officiating. On average, Dudic showed 4.68 yellow cards per game, recorded around 24.18 fouls, and regularly awards penalties, more often than every other match. He is not shy about applying disciplinary sanctions for rough challenges.

Prediction and Bet

Main Prediction: Ludogorets win with handicap (0) at odds 1.70

The Bulgarian side Ludogorets possesses vast European experience, a stable squad, and is in good playing form from the start of the season. Israeli side Hapoel Tel Aviv is forced to play a nominally home match on neutral ground in Hungary. Additionally, the team is undergoing squad restructuring after the departure of several key players and cannot yet boast defensive reliability compared to their opponents, who have three consecutive clean sheets. The experience and class of the visitors should play a decisive role in the first leg of the tie. Our choice: Ludogorets win with handicap (0) at odds 1.70. We assess the probability of this outcome at 62% (anything above 1.61 is playable).

Total Prediction: Under 2.5 goals at odds 1.75

The average scoring rate of Hapoel's matches in the previous Israeli Premier League season was around 2.5 goals per game. In friendlies, the team tried to operate from a defensive stance, and two goals conceded in the Toto Cup will surely prompt the coaches to emphasize defense. Ludogorets, in the Bulgarian championship and summer sparring matches, also demonstrated pragmatic football. Considering the status of the first leg of the round and the cautious style of the new coaching staff of the visitors, an abundance of goals should not be expected. We recommend considering a bet on total under 2.5 goals at odds 1.75. We assess the probability of this outcome at 60% (anything above 1.67 in the line is playable).

Match odds Hapoel Tel Aviv vs Ludogorets

Result (1X2)

X3.0813.0822.4

Double chance

1X1.55X21.35121.35

Both teams to score

No1.72Yes1.98

Over

11.0821.7333.6448.20.51.041.51.42.52.393.54.354.59.1

Under

15.5521.9431.2241.020.56.851.52.582.51.553.51.144.51.01

Handicap 1

02.1411.18-15.751.51.11-1.56.75

Handicap 2

01.6611.08-13.941.51.05-1.54.9

Correct score

0:06.80:16.050:210.50:3241:07.21:15.451:29.41:3232:014.252:111.252:216.52:3413:0383:1313:246

Predictions for Hapoel Tel Aviv vs Ludogorets

MO Musa Ogunleye Under 2.5odds 1.56 Won

I'm taking the under in this match. Both teams are likely to play a cautious, defensive game, so I expect a low-scoring affair with few goals.

CS Comfort Salami Result: 2odds 2.26 Lost

I'm confident the visitors will edge out the Israeli side with a narrow win. The gap in quality and experience between the two squads is clear, and the away team has the tactical discipline to control the game and secure a low-scoring victory.

KO Kingsley Obiora Result: 2odds 2.26 Lost

I’m confident that Ludogorets will win this match. They are the stronger side, with superior squad depth, European experience, and a proven track record in domestic and continental competitions. Their recent form and tactical discipline give them a clear edge over the opponent.

CB Chibuzo Bankole Over 2.5odds 2.41 Lost

I am confident that both teams will score multiple goals in this match. The attacking quality on display, combined with defensive vulnerabilities, makes a high-scoring affair the most likely outcome.

BA Bukola Afolabi Correct score 1:2odds 8.80 Lost

I’m confident Ludogorets can beat almost any mid-tier team right now. Their form is strong, and they’ve shown they can handle pressure in big matches. This bet is straightforward—they’re simply the better side in this matchup.

SO Segun Onyeka Both teams to score — Yesodds 2.01 Lost

I'm predicting both teams will score in the Hapoel vs. Ludogorets match. Both sides have shown attacking intent recently, and their defenses have been leaky, making a goal exchange highly likely. The odds are attractive for this outcome, and I'm confident it will hit.

BE Babatunde Ekwueme Corners: Over 10.5odds 2.36 Lost

I'm confident that Hapoel and Ludogorets will combine for a high number of corners. Both teams attack aggressively and put consistent pressure on opposing defenses, which typically leads to plenty of set-piece opportunities. Expect the total corners to exceed the standard market line.

CK Chinedu Kalu Result: 2odds 2.28 Lost

I predict that the second option will win. My confidence is grounded in consistent polling trends and recent momentum shifts that favor this outcome over the first. The data clearly points to a stronger performance across key demographics, making a victory for the second option the most likely result.

MM Michael Mohammed Result: 2odds 2.28 Lost

I predict that Israel will have no home-field advantage here—the match is on neutral ground, so any edge they might have had is gone. That levels the playing field completely.

OA Obinna Akintola Yellow cards: Team 2 under 1.5odds 2.95 Lost

I'm betting on Ludogorets to receive fewer than 2 yellow cards in their match against Hapoel Tel Aviv. Ludogorets averages just 1.3 yellow cards per game this season, and they're facing a Hapoel side that doesn't draw many fouls. The referee for this match also tends to keep his cards in his pocket, averaging under 3 yellows per game. With Ludogorets likely controlling possession and avoiding reckless challenges, I expect them to stay disciplined and keep the card count low.

OA Olusegun Abdullahi Both teams to score — Yesodds 1.99 Lost

I'm predicting both teams will score. These are two evenly matched sides, and the match is shaping up to be an exciting one, so it's highly likely we'll see goals from both ends.

AL Adewale Lamido Both teams to score — Yesodds 2.01 Lost

I'm backing Hapoel here. They're in good form, and that's the key factor for me. Ludogorets are an experienced European side, but I see Hapoel coming out on top—they have the momentum to handle this challenge.

PA Peter Adewale Handicap 1 (0)odds 2.35 Won

I predict Hapoel will easily beat the Bulgarians—they haven't been a serious threat in a long time.

CA Chibuzo Anyanwu Result: 1odds 3.35 Won

I'm predicting that this match will end in a draw. Both teams are evenly matched defensively, and recent form suggests neither side has a clear edge in attack. The odds reflect this balance, and I see a stalemate as the most likely outcome.

GA Gift Afolabi Result: 2odds 2.22 Lost

I'm backing their victory – I don't see any other worthwhile bet here. This is the clear play, and I'm confident in it.

ME Mercy Ekwueme Corners: Over 9.5odds 1.84 Lost

I predict that Hapoel Tel Aviv and Ludogorets will both focus heavily on attacking through the flanks. Their style of play and recent matches point to a high volume of wide runs and crosses, making this the most likely pattern of the game.

EA Emmanuel Adewale Result: 2odds 2.22 Lost

I believe the Bulgarian team will secure the victory they need. Their motivation and recent form give them a clear edge in this matchup, and I'm confident they'll deliver when it matters most.

YA Yusuf Akintola Both teams to score — Yesodds 2.01 Lost

Both teams prefer to play an attacking style with plenty of chances and goals. I'm confident we'll see an open, high-scoring match.

IA Ibrahim Afolabi Handicap 2 (0)odds 1.55 Lost

I predict Ludogorets will avoid defeat in this match. Their recent form and defensive solidity give me confidence they can secure at least a draw.

DO Daniel Onyeka Both teams to score — Yesodds 2.01 Lost

I believe both teams will score in this matchup. The attacking capabilities on display make it highly likely that each side finds the net, despite any defensive setups.

GK Gift Kalu Over 2.5odds 2.41 Lost

I'm betting on the over total because the odds are far too high for what the situation actually warrants. The market is overestimating the likelihood of a low-scoring game, but I see clear factors pushing the total higher: strong offensive matchups, weak defenses, and recent form that favors scoring. When a bookmaker offers inflated odds on an outcome I believe is more probable, that's a value bet I'm happy to take.

The line may seem tempting for under bettors, but I'm confident this game will see enough points to cash the over. The numbers don't lie—there's a real edge here, and I'm taking it.

RG Ronke Garba Handicap 1 (0)odds 2.35 Won

I'm backing Hapoel with a handicap of 0. They're a strong side on their home ground and have what it takes to win.

BA Biodun Amadi Both teams to score — Yesodds 2.01 Lost

I expect goals today. The teams are capable of surprising us, so I'm confident in this prediction.

TS Titi Suleiman Under 0.5 (1st half)odds 2.38 Lost

I see two evenly matched teams here. This game is clearly trending toward a low-scoring affair, so I'm confidently betting on a 0-0 draw at least in the first half.

SA Samuel Adebayo Over 2.5odds 2.41 Lost

I'm taking over 2.5 goals in the Hapoel vs Ludogorets match. Both teams have been involved in high-scoring games recently, and their attacking styles should produce enough chances. Defensive gaps on both sides make this a solid bet. I expect at least three goals to be scored here.

GA Gabriel Adebayo Handicap 2 (0)odds 1.55 Lost

It will be tough away, but I am confident Ludogorets will put up a real fight.

GW Gabriel Waziri Over 2.5 (1st half)odds 9.20 Lost

I am confident that the first half of this Conference League qualifier between Hapoel Tel Aviv and Ludogorets will see over 2.5 goals. Both teams are highly motivated to advance, and their attacking stats support an open, end-to-end start. Hapoel averages 1.6 goals scored and 1 conceded per game, while Ludogorets averages 1.5 scored and 1 conceded. With both sides pushing from the outset, I expect early goals. Bet: first half total over 2.5.

AO Anthony Obiora Over 1.5 (2nd half)odds 2.52 Lost

I'm confident Kompany's team will score a couple of goals in the second half with ease. Their attacking momentum tends to ramp up after the break, and the opposition's defense usually cracks under sustained pressure. This is a straightforward call based on their consistent second-half performance patterns.

FS Faith Salami Under 0.5 (1st half)odds 2.38 Lost

I predict no goals in the first half of this match. Both teams tend to start slowly, prioritizing defensive organization over attacking risks, which often leads to a goalless opening period. I’m confident this pattern holds here.

BS Babatunde Shehu Team 2 over 1.5odds 2.51 Lost

I'm confident the away team can easily score two goals on the road, so I'm picking that.

AM Anthony Mohammed Result: 2odds 2.23 Lost

My prediction is clear: Ludogorets will win. The Israeli club is forced to play their home matches away from home, stripping them of any real advantage. Ludogorets are perennial contenders for the Champions League group stage, and their squad quality is simply higher. I'm backing the Bulgarian side without hesitation.

SO Suleiman Obi Result: 2odds 2.26 Lost

This is a much more interesting matchup, but I'm confidently picking the Bulgarian team. They have the edge I need to see.

RS Ronke Sowole Both teams to score — Yesodds 2.01 Lost

I'm confident both teams will score. They are far more comfortable in attack than in defense, so expect goals from both sides.

FO Faith Onyeka Team 2 over 1.5odds 2.54 Lost

I'm confident Ludogorets will win this match. The two-year gap since their last meeting isn't a concern for me. The Israeli side is playing without home advantage, and quite simply, the Bulgarian team is stronger.

OO Oluwaseun Obiora Result: Xodds 3.08 Lost

I'm backing Hapoel to draw. Their recent form shows they're tough to beat but lack the finishing edge to secure wins, and their opponents are similarly solid in defense. This matchup has all the signs of a stalemate, so I'm confident in the draw.

DN Daniel Nwosu Result: 2odds 2.26 Lost

I'm confident that Ludogorets will dominate this match. They are far superior in structure and class, but away from home they always play pragmatically in first legs—scoring one or two goals, then deliberately slowing the tempo and keeping possession at the back to conserve energy. The Israeli side will get stuck in that defensive quagmire and won't even be able to mount any real attacks near the box.

BO Blessing Okonkwo Both teams to score — Noodds 1.73 Won

I predict that the teams won't deliver high scoring in this match. The attacking play will be too disjointed to produce many goals.

Match poster

Hapoel Tel Aviv vs Ludogorets — odds

❓ Frequently asked questions

When and where is the Hapoel Tel Aviv vs Ludogorets match taking place?

The match is scheduled for July 23, 2026, at 19:30. It is a Conference League qualifier, but due to security issues, Hapoel Tel Aviv will play their 'home' match on neutral ground in Hungary.

What is the main prediction and bet for the Hapoel Tel Aviv vs Ludogorets match?

The main prediction is a Ludogorets win with a handicap (0) at odds of 1.70. This is based on Ludogorets' superior European experience and current form, while Hapoel Tel Aviv is playing on neutral ground without home fans.

Who is the favorite to win this Conference League match?

Ludogorets is the clear favorite. They have a stable squad, vast European experience, and enter the match with three consecutive clean sheets, while Hapoel Tel Aviv is rebuilding after key departures and lacks home advantage.

What is the form of both teams coming into this match?

Hapoel Tel Aviv has shown mixed results in friendlies, including a 3-3 draw and a 3-2 win, but they have been absent from European competition for a decade. Ludogorets, under new coach Thomas Reis, started with high-scoring games but recently recorded three clean-sheet victories, showing improved defensive solidity.

Are there any important team changes or new signings for this match?

Hapoel Tel Aviv lost key winger Loizos Loizou but strengthened their defense with Doron Leidner and Chico. Ludogorets signed center back Hossam Abdelmaguid and right back Mikhail Polendakov, and they have a new head coach, Thomas Reis, appointed on July 12, 2026.

What is the total goals prediction for the Hapoel Tel Aviv vs Ludogorets match?

The prediction is under 2.5 goals at odds of 1.75. Both teams have shown defensive focus recently, and the first-leg nature of the tie suggests a cautious approach, especially with Ludogorets' new pragmatic style under coach Reis.