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Hegelmann Litauen vs Žalgiris Vilnius: prediction and odds

Lithuania A lyga · Lithuania · 27 July 2026
Hegelmann Litauen logoHegelmann Litauen
2:3
1st half: 1:1
27.07.2026 16:45
Žalgiris Vilnius logoŽalgiris Vilnius

Match events

dominykas pasilys1:0
10′
19′
1:1Liviu Antal
26′
🟨Grigore Turda
40′
🟨Deividas Sesplaukis
Wesley Gabriel Freire Arcanjo2:1
51′
73′
2:2Nikola Petkovic
86′
🟨Dominik Franke
90+2′
2:3Nikola Petkovic

Match statistics: Hegelmann Litauen vs Žalgiris Vilnius

Hegelmann LitauenŽalgiris Vilnius
38Ball possession, %62
8Shots17
5Shots on target5
6Corners10
15Fouls8
0Offsides2
0Yellow cards3
0Red cards0
94Attacks126
64Dangerous attacks89

💡 Match preview Hegelmann Litauen vs Žalgiris Vilnius

In the 24th round of the Lithuanian championship, Hegelmann and Žalgiris face off with distinctly different momentum. The hosts are working to stabilize their form and break a trend of frequent draws, while the visitors aim to extend their recent run of success. So far this season, Hegelmann have not lost to their upcoming opponent, and in their May meeting they even secured a confident away victory. Can Žalgiris exact revenge on the road?

Tactical Analysis of Each Team

🔵 Hegelmann Litauen

Sitting seventh in the table, Hegelmann have posted 4 wins, 10 draws, and 7 losses from 21 matches. Their average output is 1.05 goals scored and 1.55 conceded per game, with an expected goals (xG) of 1.14 and expected goals against (xGA) of 1.46. The team's football is balanced, with the actual goal numbers closely mirroring the quality of chances created and allowed. Over their last five outings, Hegelmann have recorded 1 win, 2 draws, and 2 losses. At home, they have played 10 matches, winning 2, drawing 7, and losing only 1, while averaging 1.3 goals scored and 1.2 conceded. On their own turf, the side shows a stubborn character and rarely loses, though an abundance of draws prevents them from climbing higher in the standings.

🟢 Žalgiris Vilnius

Žalgiris occupy fourth place, having compiled 9 wins, 4 draws, and 7 losses across 20 league games. Their averages stand at 1.5 goals scored and 1.09 conceded per match, with an xG of 1.58 and an xGA of 1.32. The team demonstrates strong attacking productivity and confidently converts the chances they create. In their last five fixtures, Žalgiris have been in excellent form, securing 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss. Away from home, they have played 10 matches, winning 4, drawing 3, and losing 3, while scoring an average of 1.1 goals and conceding 0.7. On the road, the side adopts a more pragmatic approach, placing a key emphasis on defensive solidity.

Tournament Motivation

With 31 points, Žalgiris sit fourth, directly competing for a top-three European qualification spot and trailing leaders Kauno Žalgiris by just three points. A positive result here would allow the capital club to close the gap on the leader and strengthen their position in the upper half of the table. For Hegelmann, who are seventh with 22 points, victory is crucial to maintain a comfortable cushion over the ninth-place spot, which leads to a relegation playoff. Winning this game would help the hosts solidify their place in mid-table and fully secure themselves from the fight for survival.

Squad Situation

Both teams approach this meeting without any significant injuries or suspensions, allowing their coaches to field their strongest lineups. For Hegelmann, the key attacking figure is forward Wesley Gabriel Freire Arcanjo, who has already scored important goals this season, including a brace in the previous head-to-head meeting against this opponent. At Žalgiris, the main orchestrator in midfield is Marko Čapan, who directs the team's attacks and regularly contributes with goal involvements.

Prediction and Bet

Main prediction: Žalgiris win at odds 1.77 The upcoming match promises to be hard-fought, but the visitors boast a superior squad depth and outshine their opponents in organizational play. Žalgiris have been reliable on the road, conceding fewer than one goal per away match, and are highly motivated to improve their league standing. Although Hegelmann rarely lose at home, they often settle for draws and fall short in creative play. The visitors are likely to claim all three points thanks to greater efficiency in the final third. We estimate the probability of this outcome at 62% (anything above 1.62 is playable).

Total goals prediction: Under 2.5 at odds 1.94 Given the head-to-head statistics and the stylistic tendencies of both sides, a high-scoring affair is unlikely. Žalgiris are extremely disciplined in defense on the road, conceding just 0.7 goals per away game on average, while Hegelmann build their home matches around a compact defensive structure. The contest is likely to be a tight, scrappy battle with few dangerous chances. We estimate the probability of this outcome at 57% (anything above 1.75 is playable).

Match odds Hegelmann Litauen vs Žalgiris Vilnius

Result (1X2)

X3.5513.921.77

Double chance

1X1.86X21.18121.22

Predictions for Hegelmann Litauen vs Žalgiris Vilnius

IO Ifeoma Obiora Double chance: 1Xodds 2.03 Lost

I am confident the home team will not lose. Their form and home advantage give them a clear edge, and I see no reason to bet against them. This is a straightforward call based on their consistent performance.

UA Usman Anyanwu Under 1odds 8.80 Lost

I am confident this match will end with under 1 goal. Both teams prioritize defense and lack the attacking firepower to break through, making a 0-0 draw the most likely outcome.

DM David Musa Under 3.5odds 1.33 Lost

I'm confident this match won't see many goals. The key factors—defensive setups, recent form, and head-to-head history—all point to a low-scoring affair. Both teams prioritize structure over risk, so I'm betting the total stays under 2.5 goals.

AO Amara Ogunleye Both teams to score — Yesodds 1.68 Won

I see this as a close match where a draw is the most likely outcome at 39%. Both teams are evenly matched, so I’m leaning toward a stalemate rather than a clear winner. I also expect both teams to find the net, with a 52% chance of that happening, though the game likely stays under 2.5 total goals. My confidence is moderate—there’s enough uncertainty here to keep me cautious.

IO Ifeanyi Ogunleye Double chance: 1Xodds 1.93 Lost

Hegelmann are a fortress at their home ground, Raudondvaris. Žalgiris suffered a hopeless 0-3 defeat to Dinamo in Tbilisi, but the return leg in Vilnius gives them a real chance at a comeback—the Georgians didn't dominate the play. That's why I'm confident the second leg favors the Vilnius side. Given that, Raudondvaris, already incredibly tough to beat, are well positioned to tip this match in their favor. My prediction: 1X.

OA Olusegun Adekunle Both teams to score — Yesodds 1.69 Won

I’m predicting that the total number of goals scored by both teams in this match will fall under 2.5. The reasoning is straightforward: both sides have shown consistent defensive discipline in recent games, and their attacking output has been below average. I see a tight, low-scoring affair where clear chances are limited, making the under the stronger play.

SL Samuel Lamido Team 2 over 1.5odds 1.79 Won

I'm betting on the away team to win, and I see no scenario where they don't. The guests are simply the stronger side here, and they'll prove it from start to finish. No doubts, no second-guessing—this is a lock.

SE Suleiman Emenike Under 3.5odds 1.30 Lost

I'm predicting under four goals in this match. Both teams have been inconsistent in attack and prioritize defensive solidity, so I expect a tight, low-scoring affair.

TA Temitope Afolabi Handicap 2 (-1)odds 2.42 Void

I am confident that the away team will win this match. They are the clear favorites and have every reason to secure the victory.

Match poster

Hegelmann Litauen vs Žalgiris Vilnius — odds

❓ Frequently asked questions

When and where is the Hegelmann Litauen vs Žalgiris Vilnius match?

The match is scheduled for 27 July 2026 at 16:45 local time as part of the 24th round of the A lyga, the Lithuanian championship.

Who is the favorite according to the match preview, and what is the main betting prediction?

Žalgiris Vilnius are considered the favorite with a predicted win at odds of 1.77. The main prediction is a Žalgiris victory, with a probability of 62%.

What is the recent form of both teams coming into this match?

Hegelmann have 1 win, 2 draws, and 2 losses in their last five matches. Žalgiris have been stronger, with 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss in their last five outings.

Are there any key players to watch for either side?

For Hegelmann, forward Wesley Gabriel Freire Arcanjo is the key attacking figure, having scored a brace in the previous head-to-head. For Žalgiris, midfielder Marko Čapan orchestrates attacks and regularly contributes with goal involvements.

What is the head-to-head record between these two sides this season?

Hegelmann have not lost to Žalgiris this season. In their May meeting, Hegelmann secured a confident away victory.