NaijaOdds

HJK vs TPS Turku: prediction and odds

Veikkausliiga · Finland · 26 July 2026
HJK logoHJK
1:0
1st half: 1:0
26.07.2026 15:00
TPS Turku logoTPS Turku

Match events

Santeri Haarala1:0
16′
Alexander Ring🟨
32′
69′
🟨Timo Zaal

Match statistics: HJK vs TPS Turku

HJKTPS Turku
57Ball possession, %43
13Shots11
5Shots on target6
4Corners3
14Fouls12
0Offsides2
1Yellow cards1
0Red cards0
86Attacks98
54Dangerous attacks47

💡 Match preview HJK vs TPS Turku

The upcoming Veikkausliiga clash between HJK Helsinki and TPS Turku promises to be a tense affair, with the hosts pushing for a top‑three finish but struggling with defensive inconsistency. HJK’s attacking firepower gives them an edge at home, yet their fragility at the back leaves the door open for a TPS side that has shown it can strike back on the road. With both teams hungry for points, this fixture has all the ingredients for a compelling, high‑stakes encounter.

HJK Helsinki

HJK have been a mixed bag in recent league outings. In their last match, they edged VPS 2‑1, but prior to that they suffered a 0‑2 loss to Lahti and a humbling 0‑4 defeat against league leaders KuPS. In the Finnish Cup, they demolished lower‑tier MyPa 11‑1 and beat Ilves 2‑1. They also shone in the Conference League qualifiers, thrashing Northern Ireland’s Coleraine 5‑0 on 23 July. Over 16 league matches, HJK have scored 27 goals (1.69 per game) and conceded 20 (1.25 per game). These numbers highlight a potent attack undermined by a defence that often loses concentration at critical moments.

TPS Turku

TPS have been erratic in the league. In their past three Veikkausliiga matches, they lost to Ilves (1‑3) and SJK (1‑3), but sandwiched between those defeats was a commanding 3‑0 victory over Oulu. On the road, they have yet to win this season, managing only three draws and four losses from seven away games. In 16 matches, TPS have scored 20 goals (1.25 per game) and conceded 19 (1.19 per game). The stats show they can create chances, but defensive solidity remains a concern.

Tournament Motivation

HJK sit fifth in the table with 25 points, aiming to close the gap on the top three. TPS are eighth with 22 points, fighting to break into the top six for a place in the championship play‑off. A win here is crucial for both clubs as they pursue their respective objectives.

Squad Situation

HJK’s main attacking threats are forward Borchers, who has 7 goals and 2 assists in 16 matches, and striker Teemu Pukki, who has 5 goals and 4 assists in the same number of appearances. For TPS, the creative spark comes from Muzaci, with 7 goals and 1 assist in 16 league games, while midfielder Konkkola has contributed 3 goals and 2 assists in 16 outings.

Prediction and Bet

Main bet: HJK to win with a -1.5 handicap at odds of 2.35 HJK are consistently dangerous at home, regularly creating chances and finding the net. The support of their fans helps them rack up goals. In eight home matches, they have collected 14 points. TPS, on the other hand, have struggled on the road, earning just three points from seven away games without a single win. We estimate the probability of a home victory by at least two goals at 47% – anything above 2.13 is considered playable.

Alternative bet: Total goals over 3.5 at odds of 2.32 HJK have seen over 2.5 goals in 9 of their 16 league matches, while TPS have done so in 8 of their 16. In three of the last four head‑to‑head meetings, at least four goals were scored. With both teams’ attacking leaders in form, an open, high‑scoring game is likely. We assess the probability of over 3.5 goals at 47% – again, anything above 2.13 is a viable play.

Match odds HJK vs TPS Turku

Result (1X2)

X4.7511.4726.1

Double chance

1X1.12X22.68121.18

Both teams to score

No2.11Yes1.63

Over

21.1831.7743.256.11.51.122.51.483.52.294.53.725.56.65

Under

2431.9441.351.071.54.852.52.393.51.624.51.215.51.06

Handicap 1

01.14-11.72-23.05-36.2-1.52.13-2.53.58-3.56.8

Handicap 2

04.412.0521.2931.061.51.592.51.213.51.04

Correct score

0:0190:120.50:2411:08.71:18.61:217.752:08.22:17.82:214.752:3433:010.753:110.753:219.754:018.54:118.54:2355:0385:138

Predictions for HJK vs TPS Turku

JO Joseph Oladipo Over 3.5odds 2.12 Lost

I’m betting on over 3.5 total goals in this match. Both teams have been involved in high-scoring games recently, and their attacking styles should lead to plenty of chances. Defensive lapses are likely on both sides, so I expect the scoreboard to keep ticking.

SM Samuel Mohammed Over 3odds 1.65 Lost

I see clear signs pointing toward this outcome. The key factors are lining up, and the momentum is unmistakable. I'm confident this is the direction things are heading.

ZM Zainab Madu Team 2 over 1odds 2.49 Lost

I'm confident both teams will score at least one goal in this match. The attacking quality on display and the defensive vulnerabilities make a goal for each side very likely.

YA Yemi Adeyemi Team 2 over 1.5odds 3.70 Lost

I’m predicting that the away team will score exactly two goals in this match. My confidence is based on their consistent attacking form and the specific defensive vulnerabilities of the home side, which create a clear path for a two-goal haul. This is a sharp, focused bet on a specific outcome, not a range.

YO Yetunde Ogundipe Under 3.5odds 1.72 Won

I confidently predict HJK will win their upcoming home match. They just scored 5 goals in their last qualifier and have been performing very well at home. Their attacking momentum is strong, and I expect them to continue this form with another victory.

GA Grace Adeyemi Handicap 1 (-1.5)odds 1.95 Lost

HJK is facing TPS in the league, and I'm confident they'll secure a home win with a -1.5 handicap. In the first round, TPS managed a narrow 1-0 home win, but in the cup, HJK crushed them 3-1 with ease. Both teams sit mid-table, but HJK has a clear edge at home. HJK just scored 5 goals in a qualifier and has been strong on home turf, while TPS lost their last match to Ilves and has been wildly inconsistent, especially away—losing 5 of their last 6 road games. Given current form, I expect HJK to dominate and run up the score at home, as TPS simply won't handle the pressure.

FY Fatima Yusuf Handicap 1 (-1.5)odds 1.90 Lost

I am confident in my bet on the July 26 match between HJK and Turku. I have wagered on HJK to win, as their home advantage and recent form give them a clear edge over Turku, who have struggled away from home. My analysis of the teams' head-to-head record and tactical setups supports this outcome.

FW Fatima Waziri Both teams to score — Noodds 2.08 Won

I'm confident Finland will score few goals in this match. They've shown they can keep their scoring low, and I expect them to do exactly that again here.

BY Biodun Yusuf Both teams to score — Yesodds 1.65 Lost

HJK and TPS Turku face off today. I'm confident both teams will find the net.

CO Chidinma Ojo Team 2 over 1odds 2.34 Lost

I expect a high-scoring draw here. Both teams are likely to find the net, and with the attacking intent on display, a stalemate with plenty of goals is the most probable outcome.

AI Aliyu Ibe Over 3.5odds 2.23 Lost

Based on their history, these teams consistently produce high-scoring matchups. I'm confident we'll see goals in this game.

JS Joy Suleiman Handicap 1 (-1.5)odds 2.00 Lost

I'm backing HIKA to win this match. They have the quality to beat TPS even with the handicap, and I'm confident they'll get the job done.

CO Chinedu Olaniyan Handicap 1 (-1.5)odds 2.00 Lost

I expect HIK to lose big in this matchup. Their recent form in head-to-heads looks weak, and the current lineup doesn't inspire confidence against this opponent. The pattern strongly favors a decisive win for the other side, so I'm betting on a comfortable victory.

CI Collins Idris Result: 1odds 1.45 Won

I spent a long time searching for a reliable forecaster, going through over a dozen tipsters before finding someone truly knowledgeable. I've been working with him for a month now, and I've taken 19 exact score predictions—all of them have been spot on.

KA Kelechi Afolabi Result: 1odds 1.45 Won

I am confident this prediction will come true. My reasoning is based on the current evidence, which strongly supports the outcome.

YI Yemi Ibe Double chance: X2odds 2.75 Lost

I'm backing Turku to win this match. They're playing well and have the quality to turn what could be a draw into a victory.

KG Kabiru Garba Over 3.5odds 2.29 Lost

The home team are clear favorites, and I'm backing that dominance to translate into goals. I'm betting on over 3.5 goals—confident we'll see at least four in total.

RS Ronke Sowole Result: 1odds 1.49 Won

I’m confident HIK will win today. They’re clearly the stronger team, and their form and quality make victory not just possible but likely.

DB David Bankole Handicap 1 (-1)odds 1.76 Void

I'm confident HJK will secure a convincing home win against TPS Turku. HJK's home form has been dominant, and they consistently overpower weaker opponents at their stadium. TPS Turku has struggled on the road, especially against top-tier teams, and their defense often cracks under pressure. The gap in squad quality and tactical discipline is clear, so expect HJK to control the game from start to finish and win comfortably.

TM Tunde Musa Team 2 under 1.5odds 1.30 Won

I'm confident the away team will struggle to create chances. They are playing almost without the ball on the opponent's half, which means they’ll be pinned back and unable to build any sustained pressure. This strongly supports my bet on the home team controlling possession and generating the majority of scoring opportunities.

AN Aliyu Nwosu Double chance: X2odds 2.61 Lost

I'm backing the visitors to take at least a point from this match. HJK have been inconsistent, and TPS Turku have shown they can grind out results on the road. A draw feels like the most likely outcome here.

GL Gabriel Lawal Correct score 2:1odds 7.70 Lost

I am most confident in the 2-1 result at 16%, as it reflects a likely narrow win with both teams scoring. The 1-1 draw at 12% and 2-0 at 10% are also solid probabilities, capturing the possibility of a lower-scoring or tighter match. These figures align with the expected flow of the game—neither side is likely to dominate, but one may edge ahead in a close contest.

EA Emmanuel Adewale Result: 1odds 1.49 Won

HJK is far stronger, and with home advantage on their side, they have a clear edge. I'm confident they'll dominate this matchup.

DO David Okoro Handicap 1 (-1)odds 1.78 Void

I'm confident HİK will win this match with a -1 handicap. Their recent form and squad depth give them a clear edge over TP S Turku. HİK has consistently outperformed their opponents in similar matchups, and I expect them to cover this spread comfortably.

SO Sani Ogunleye Over 3.5odds 2.31 Lost

I'm confident both teams have strong attacking records, so this match will feature plenty of goals. We'll see a high-scoring game.

Match poster

HJK vs TPS Turku — odds

❓ Frequently asked questions

When and where is the HJK vs TPS Turku match taking place?

The match is scheduled for 26 July 2026 at 15:00 local time in the Veikkausliiga. The venue is HJK's home ground.

What is the main betting prediction for this match?

The main bet is HJK to win with a -1.5 handicap at odds of 2.35, based on their strong home form and TPS’s poor away record.

Who are the key attacking players for each team?

For HJK, forward Borchers has 7 goals and 2 assists, while striker Teemu Pukki has 5 goals and 4 assists. For TPS, Muzaci leads with 7 goals and 1 assist, and midfielder Konkkola has 3 goals and 2 assists.

How have HJK performed at home this season?

HJK have collected 14 points from 8 home matches, consistently creating chances and scoring goals with the support of their fans.

How have TPS performed away this season?

TPS have struggled on the road, earning only 3 points from 7 away games without a single win, with 3 draws and 4 losses.

What is at stake for both teams in the league table?

HJK are 5th with 25 points, aiming for a top‑three finish. TPS are 8th with 22 points, fighting to break into the top six for the championship play‑off.