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Keflavik vs Akranes: prediction and odds

Úrvalsdeild · Iceland · 20 July 2026
Keflavik logoKeflavik
5:2
1st half: 2:0
20.07.2026 20:15
Akranes logoAkranes

Match events

Þorlákur Breki Þórarinsson Baxter1:0
34′
Einar Orri Einarsson2:0
36′
Stefan Alexander Ljubicic3:0
52′
Einar Orri Einarsson4:0
54′
Magnus Thor Magnusson🟨
56′
Muhamed Alghoul🟨
56′
57′
4:1Viktor Jonsson
68′
🟨Viktor Jonsson
Muhamed Alghoul5:1
86′
86′
🟨Gisli Eyjolfsson
86′
🟨Berndsen Baldvin
90+2′
5:2rafael thrastarson

Match statistics: Keflavik vs Akranes

KeflavikAkranes
50Ball possession, %50
26Shots15
10Shots on target7
9Corners9
9Fouls11
4Offsides1
2Yellow cards3
0Red cards0
76Attacks48
48Dangerous attacks26

💡 Match preview Keflavik vs Akranes

In the 15th round of the Icelandic Besta deild, Keflavik host Akranes at home in a match that could significantly affect the mid-table standings. Both sides arrive with similar goal-scoring numbers but contrasting defensive philosophies, which will shape the nature of the upcoming clash.

Tactical Analysis of Keflavik

Keflavik sit 6th in the league with 16 points from 14 matches. Their record reads 19 goals scored and 26 conceded, highlighting clear defensive frailties that are occasionally offset by attacking efficiency. Over the last five games, the team has lost only once, beating KR Reykjavik (3-2) and Thor Akureyri (1-0), while drawing with Fram Reykjavik (1-1) and Stjarnan Gardabaer (1-1).

At home, Keflavik perform as a solid mid-table side capable of challenging any opponent, but frequent draws suggest a lack of concentration in the closing stages of matches. Their ability to score in almost every game makes them a threat to any defence, yet their porous backline prevents them from aiming higher. To succeed in this fixture, the hosts must minimise errors at the back, as the visitors are adept at exploiting open space.

Tactical Analysis of Akranes

Akranes currently occupy 9th place with 15 points from 14 games. They have scored the same number of goals as Keflavik (19) but have conceded significantly more – 28 – making their defence one of the weakest in the division. Recent form has been a rollercoaster: a run of three defeats was followed by three consecutive wins against Hafnarfjordur (1-0), Thor Akureyri (2-1), and Stjarnan Gardabaer (2-1), before another slump with losses to Akureyri (2-3) and KR Reykjavik (3-5).

Away matches are a constant gamble for Akranes, as the team prefers open, attacking football while neglecting their defensive duties. This season they often concede more than they score, leading to defeats against stronger sides. However, the unpredictability of their forward line – capable of netting three goals against tough opponents – makes them dangerous visitors who can force Keflavik into a high-scoring exchange.

Tournament Motivation

Keflavik are motivated to climb higher in the table and secure a spot in the upper half, avoiding the relegation group battle. Akranes trail the hosts by just one point, and a victory would see them leapfrog Keflavik, so the visitors will play with maximum aggression. For both teams, this is a “six-pointer,” as the mid-table is extremely tight.

Squad News

Keflavik face serious defensive issues: defender Viktor Elmar Gautason is out for the season after tearing his cruciate ligament. Nevertheless, the hosts’ attacking power remains intact thanks to Simon Ljubicic, who has scored six goals this season and is the key man in the forward line.

Akranes must cope without their first-choice goalkeeper Arni Marino Einarsson, who is sidelined with a broken metatarsal; he had played seven matches this season, conceding 14 goals. His absence is a significant blow to reliability, but the visitors remain dangerous in attack through M. P. Ellertsson (six goals) and Viktor Jonsson (four goals).

Prediction and Bet

Main prediction: Keflavik to win at 2.26 Keflavik have a strong historical record against Akranes, winning four of their last five head-to-head meetings. Given the hosts’ more consistent form and the visitors’ weak defence, our selection is a Keflavik victory at 2.26. We estimate the probability of a home win at 52% (anything above 1.93 is playable).

Total goals prediction: Over 2.5 at 1.75 Both teams average 1.36 goals scored per game but concede nearly two each, setting the stage for a high-scoring affair. The three-goal mark has been surpassed in four of Keflavik’s last six matches, and the same applies to Akranes over an identical stretch. We back over 2.5 goals at 1.75, with a 60% probability of the total being exceeded (anything above 1.67 is playable).

Match odds Keflavik vs Akranes

Result (1X2)

X3.6812.3622.68

Double chance

1X1.44X21.56121.26

Both teams to score

No2.93Yes1.34

Over

21.1131.5642.654.951.51.072.51.363.52.014.53.155.55.65

Under

2532.2141.4151.111.562.52.73.51.774.51.275.51.08

Handicap 1

01.7611.1721-13.36-27.61.51.11-1.54.2-2.58.5

Handicap 2

01.9911.2421.03-14.1-29.51.51.162.51.01-1.54.9

Correct score

0:020.50:115.50:219.250:3331:014.251:17.41:2101:318.251:4412:016.752:19.32:29.72:3192:4463:0273:1163:217.753:3284:1334:238

Predictions for Keflavik vs Akranes

IK Ibrahim Kalu Corners: Over 14.5odds 3.90 Won

I'm confident this Iceland league match between Keflavik and Akranes will produce a high number of corners. Both teams are near the bottom of the table, separated by just one point, making this a six-pointer where attacking is essential. Keflavik have won only one of their last six matches, while Akranes have lost four in a row — neither side can afford to sit back. That desperation to grab three points drives the offensive play.

The corner stats back this up. Akranes have averaged 14.7 corners in their away games this season, one of the highest in the league, with only two of seven matches seeing fewer than 15. In head‑to‑head meetings, the average is 15 corners per game, and the lowest total in the last nine encounters was 11. Given both teams need to push forward, I’m betting on over 14.5 corners here.

KO Kabiru Olaniyan Over 3.5odds 1.95 Won

I'm backing over goals in Icelandic matches. The teams consistently produce high-scoring games, and I expect that trend to continue without any signs of slowing down.

IA Ikechukwu Amadi Result: 1odds 2.31 Won

Based on head-to-head statistics, I confidently favor the home team. The data clearly supports their advantage, and I see no reason to bet against them here.

VA Victoria Abdullahi Correct score 2:1odds 9.30 Lost

I’m backing Keflavik to win this one. They’re at home against Akranes, and the form gap is clear—Keflavik have looked sharper in attack, while Akranes struggle on the road and concede too easily. Home advantage should push them over the line. A straight win is the call.

YI Yusuf Idris Over 3.5odds 1.96 Won

I'm confident that the match between Keflavik and Akranes will be a high-scoring affair. Both teams have shown defensive vulnerabilities recently, and their attacking styles suggest plenty of chances. I expect over 2.5 goals to be scored, with action coming from both sides.

FA Faith Abdullahi Team 1 over 2.5odds 3.10 Won

I'm confident that the first ones will be more energetic. The initial signs clearly point in that direction, and I see no reason to doubt it. This is a straightforward call.

CE Chibuzo Eze Over 3.5odds 1.98 Won

I'm confident there will be plenty of goals in this match. Both teams are aggressive in attack and weak at the back, creating a perfect storm for a high-scoring affair. The recent form and head-to-head history only reinforce my view—expect multiple goals from both sides.

CA Collins Adeyemi Correct score 2:1odds 9.40 Lost

I predict a 2-1 final score. That result fits the flow of the match and the strengths of both sides.

DB Daniel Bankole Corners: Over 10.5odds 1.47 Won

In Akranes matches, the total corners often exceed 10.5. I confidently expect the same in this match.

SB Suleiman Balogun Result: 1odds 2.34 Won

I am confident that Keflavik will win this match. Their form and ability are clearly superior, and I see no reason to doubt their victory.

SS Sani Sowole Result: 1odds 2.34 Won

Keflavik will win. I'm confident in this because their recent form is strong, and they have a clear tactical advantage over their opponent. The team's attacking efficiency and home advantage give them the edge. This isn't just a hopeful pick; it's based on consistent performance and head-to-head data. Trust the process.

CA Chidinma Afolabi Result: 1odds 2.34 Won

I’m confident Keflavík will win this match comfortably. Their recent form and home advantage give them a clear edge over the opposition, who have struggled in away games. I expect Keflavík to control the tempo from the start and secure a decisive victory.

CO Chinedu Ogundipe Over 3.5odds 1.98 Won

I predict this will be an open, attacking match between the two teams. I expect to see at least 4 goals scored.

KE Kunle Eze Over 2odds 1.11 Won

I'm betting on a one-goal margin victory for either team, with the final score being 2-1 or 1-2. This prediction is based on the teams' recent form showing tight defensive play and low-scoring matches, making a narrow result the most likely outcome.

IO Ibrahim Okoro Result: 1odds 2.34 Won

I'm betting on the home team. They have a clear advantage playing in front of their crowd, and their recent form at this venue has been strong. The visitors have struggled on the road, which gives me confidence that the hosts will secure the win.

VY Victor Yusuf Handicap 1 (0)odds 1.74 Won

I see no clear favorites in this match, but the hosts have a stronger chance of success.

RO Ronke Oladipo Result: 2odds 2.71 Lost

I’m predicting that Akranes will win this away match. They’ve shown strong form on the road, and their attacking play has been consistently sharp. The opponent’s home defense has been shaky lately, which gives me confidence that Akranes can exploit those gaps and secure the three points.

SA Suleiman Akintola Team 1 over 1.5odds 1.72 Won

I'm betting on Keflavík to score over 1.5 goals at home. They always come out sharp in attack, especially on their own pitch, and I expect them to find the net at least twice.

CO Collins Oladipo Over 3.5odds 1.98 Won

I’m predicting over 3.5 goals in this match. Both teams have shown consistent attacking form and defensive vulnerabilities recently, which should lead to an open game with plenty of chances. The head-to-head history also supports a high-scoring trend, and with motivation high on both sides, I expect the total to clear this line comfortably.

KY Kunle Yusuf Result: 1odds 2.34 Won

They look significantly stronger now, and I’m confident that assessment holds up. The key factors driving this are their improved cohesion and individual form, which together create a more formidable unit. I’m betting on this trend continuing based on what we’ve seen.

CK Chibuzo Kalu Corners: Team 2 over 6odds 2.23 Won

Based on the data, I'm predicting that the upcoming match in the Icelandic championship will see both teams score. The league is known for its direct, end-to-end style of play, where teams bypass the midfield and launch frequent attacks. This open approach consistently leads to goals at both ends, and I expect that trend to continue here.

SA Stella Anyanwu Over 3.5odds 1.98 Won

I predict both teams will score enough to make this a high-scoring match. The attacking strengths on both sides are too potent to be contained, and defensive lapses are likely to be exploited. I'm confident this bet will hit.

TO Titi Ojo Result: 1odds 2.36 Won

I searched for a good predictor for a long time, switching through over a dozen tipsters before finally finding a reliable one. I've been working with him for a month now, and I've taken 18 exact score bets — all of them passed perfectly.

KO Kayode Okafor Team 2 over 1odds 1.27 Won

I'm backing the away team to score. They should find the net at least once.

UA Usman Anyanwu Under 1.5odds 6.00 Lost

I believe in this outcome. I’m hopeful and waiting confidently for it to happen.

BA Biodun Amadi Result: 1odds 2.36 Won

I'm backing Keflavik to win. This outcome looks perfectly normal and expected to me, so I'm confident in this bet.

YO Yusuf Oni Result: 1odds 2.36 Won

I’m taking Keflavík to win. Their recent form is strong, and they’ve consistently performed well at home, making them the clear favorite here. The opponent lacks the momentum and defensive stability to challenge

BE Blessing Emenike Both teams to score — Yesodds 1.34 Won

I have no additional commentary to offer. My forecast speaks for itself.

SS Suleiman Sani Result: 1odds 2.36 Won

I'm betting on Keflavík today. They have the stronger squad and home advantage, which should be enough to secure the win. Their recent form has been solid, and I expect them to control the match from start to finish.

AL Adewale Lamido Both teams to score — Yesodds 1.34 Won

Both teams will score. I'm confident in that prediction based on the attacking strengths on display and the defensive vulnerabilities each side has shown recently. The match dynamics strongly favor goals at both ends.

IS Ikechukwu Salami Corners: Over 10.5odds 1.47 Won

I expect a competitive match where goals could go either way—few or many—but corners will consistently pile up. That’s why I’m confident in backing the corner count to stay high.

NS Nnamdi Sani Result: 1odds 2.36 Won

I predict that Akranes will extend their losing streak to five games in this match against Keflavik. The visitors are in poor form, and I see no reason for that to change here.

KA Kunle Abiodun Over 1.5 (1st half)odds 2.03 Won

I'm taking this bet because the numbers back it up. The matchup and recent form point to a clear edge that I'm confident in, and I see strong value here that's too good to pass up.

AO Abubakar Obiora Team 2 under 1.5odds 1.87 Lost

The away side are struggling to create chances, and I don't see that changing here. Their attack has been blunt and predictable, which makes backing the home team to keep a clean sheet a strong play.

HG Hauwa Garba Result: 1odds 2.36 Won

I'm backing the favorite to win this match. The stats and recent form clearly point in their favor, and I see no reason to overthink it. Betting on the stronger side is the straightforward play here.

TN Titi Nwosu Result: 1odds 2.36 Won

I confidently predict that Kynflavik will win this matchup. Their recent performances and tactical edge make a clear victory the most likely outcome—no doubt about it.

CE Chinedu Eze Over 1.5 (1st half)odds 2.03 Won

I'm confident we'll see at least two goals in the first half.

NM Nnamdi Madu Result: 1odds 2.36 Won

I confidently predict that the hosts will play quality football and secure a calm, straightforward victory. Their performance level gives me no reason to doubt a comfortable win.

VA Victor Akintola Over 3.5odds 2.01 Won

I expect both teams to play open, attacking football. I'm confidently predicting at least 4 goals in this match.

VO Victor Oyelaran Over 2 (1st half)odds 3.32 Void

I'm confident both teams will score in the first half. Both sides have shown strong attacking intent early in matches, while their defenses have been prone to lapses. The pace and urgency of the opening period make this outcome highly probable.

SL Stanley Lawal Result: 1odds 2.36 Won

I’m backing the home team to win. No matter the situation, they have the edge at this venue, and I see no reason to doubt their ability to get the job done. The bet is simple: home win.

DB David Bankole Result: Xodds 3.68 Lost

I predict that Keflavík and Akranes will finish their Icelandic league match in a draw. Both sides are evenly matched this season, with defensive solidity outweighing attacking flair, and recent head-to-head results point to a stalemate. This is a tight contest where neither team will risk too much, making a share of the points the most likely outcome.

Match poster

Keflavik vs Akranes — odds