Koper vs Radomlje: prediction and odds

When it comes to this fixture, the narrative often boils down to how effectively the hosts can turn their dominance into goals and whether Radomlje can hold on. Recent form and head‑to‑head history both point to a clear dynamic: Koper tend to control proceedings, while Radomlje struggle to keep pace.

Koper

Koper arrive with a positive recent record: three wins and two losses. Crucially, their last two outings were clean‑sheet victories – 2‑0 against Runavik and 2‑0 against Nafta. In both matches, Koper looked solid in terms of overall play. Against Runavik, they posted 58% possession, 16 shots (7 on target) and 6 corners; against Nafta, they again held 58% possession and managed 10 shots while keeping the scoreboard clean. Even in an earlier 3‑1 win over MTK, they were efficient with just 5 shots – all on target – underlining a high conversion rate during this stretch. However, there is a reminder of the risks: a 4‑2 loss to Dinamo Zagreb came after the opponent fired 14 shots (7 on target) while Koper could only muster 4 attempts. Overall, though, the team tends to control the ball and turn attacks into shots. Their averages stand at 1.8 goals scored per match and just 0.6 conceded.

Radomlje

Radomlje’s recent run is notably weaker: one win and four losses. Three of those four defeats came without a goal – 0‑2 to Brinje Grosuplje, 0‑1 to Varaždin, and 0‑2 to Rijeka. The attacking numbers aren’t entirely barren: they had 12 shots (3 on target) against Rijeka, 7 (3 on target) against Varaždin, and a whopping 26 shots (10 on target) with 67% possession and 12 corners against Dinamo Zagreb. Yet despite that volume, they still lost 0‑3, indicating poor finishing quality or a lack of precision in decisive moments. Their only win in the sample was a high‑scoring 3‑2 against Mura, where they fired 13 shots and put 9 on target. Radomlje’s matches average a higher total of 3.2 goals, but that is largely because opponents score 1.8 per game against them.

Statistics and Trends

In the last five head‑to‑head meetings, Koper have lost only once: results include 3‑0 and 3‑1 wins for Koper, plus two draws (2‑2 and 1‑1). Two notable trends stand out and complement each other well: opponents of Koper have gone under 1.5 goals in 9 of their last 10 matches, while Koper themselves have won 8 of their last 10 home games and are unbeaten at home in 9 of those 10. Additionally, Koper have a strong home scoring trend – 8 of their last 10 home matches have gone over 1.5 goals for the team, which aligns with their average of 1.8 goals per game.

Prediction and Bet

Koper approach this match with more consistent results and a run of two consecutive 2‑0 wins, where they not only scored but also limited the opponent’s chances. Radomlje, on this stretch, often lose and regularly fail to score, even if they create a fair number of shots in individual matches. In such a pairing, the hosts’ stability looks key: Koper more frequently convert their approaches into goals and have kept the score under control in recent games. Therefore, the main prediction is a Koper victory (odds around 1.42). The trends back this up – Koper have won 8 of their last 10 home matches, and in head‑to‑head encounters they also tend to take the result. If this outcome is available in the line at a workable price, it appears the most logical call.