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Lazio vs Mantova: Prediction, Betting Tips and Match Preview

⚽ Italy Coppa Italia · Italy · 16 August 2026
Lazio logoLazio
0:2
1st half: 0:0
16.08.2026 20:15
Mantova logoMantova

Match events

21′
🟨Bodin Tomasevic
Nicolo Rovella🟨
25′
Fisayo Dele-Bashiru🟨
56′
75′
⚽0:1Francesco Ruocco
Matteo Cancellieri🟨
79′
90+6′
⚽0:2Ismael Cajazzo

Match statistics: Lazio vs Mantova

LazioMantova
2.46xG (expected goals)1.68
70Ball possession, %30
21Shots12
3Shots on target7
7Corners3
14Fouls13
1Offsides4
3Yellow cards1
0Red cards0
125Attacks56
54Dangerous attacks14

💡 Match preview Lazio vs Mantova

By Dele Lawal — Football expert specializing in European and Russian competitions

Lazio kick off the Gennaro Gattuso era with an official match in the Coppa Italia’s round of 32, hosting second-tier Mantova. For the visitors, the 21st century has meant nothing but August exits from this tournament. The head‑to‑head record offers no comfort either: in seven previous meetings with the Biancocelesti, Mantova have never won, managing only two draws.

Lazio’s Promising Preseason Under Gattuso

Maurizio Sarri once again clashed with Lazio’s divisive owner Claudio Lotito and departed for the more stable environment of Atalanta. Into the breach stepped Gennaro Gattuso, for whom this job at the prestigious Roman club may represent a final chance to reboot his coaching career. During the summer preseason, the Biancocelesti looked formidable, racking up six wins in six matches. Three of those opponents – Frosinone (2‑1), Ascoli (2‑1) and Avellino (6‑3) – currently play in Serie A or Serie B, lending genuine weight to the results.

Lazio have long been considered a “cup team”. In each of the previous 15 editions of this competition, they have reached at least the quarter‑finals. Gattuso will be determined to keep that tradition alive. Expect the former Italy boss to field his strongest available XI in an official environment, testing his best players in competitive conditions. The only significant absentees are the injured Gustav Isaksen, Danilo Cataldi and Nuno Tavares – none of them irreplaceable. Tijjani Noslin, Fisayo Dele‑Bashiru and new Spanish signing Alfonso Pedrosa may not be household names, but they are not far behind the absent trio in terms of quality.

Mantova’s Struggles Against Top Opponents

Mantova are a seasoned mid‑table Serie B side, often serving as a proving ground for young loanees and fringe players from bigger clubs. Currently, their squad includes loan moves from Bologna (Tomashevich), Torino (Silva), Inter (Spinaach) and Como (Kineti). In the off‑season, the Red‑Whites won three of four friendly matches, but none of their opponents played above Serie C level, so those results should be taken with a grain of salt.

In the two most recent Coppa Italia campaigns, Mantova bowed out precisely at this stage – round of 32 – losing to non‑elite opposition: perennial Serie A struggler Lecce (1‑2) and Venezia, then a Serie B side (0‑4). A shock result against Lazio seems even more unlikely when you consider that last season Mantova lost every away match against the teams that eventually earned promotion: 0‑5 at Frosinone, 0‑1 at Monza and 0‑3 at Venezia.

Predicted Lineups

Lazio (4‑3‑3): Mandas – Marušić, Duh, Provstgor, Pedrosa – Taylor, Rovella, Dele‑Bashiru – Noslin, Ratkov, Zaccagni

Unavailable: Furlanetto, Patric, Gigot, Tavares, Pellegrini, Cataldi, Przyborek, Isaksen, Artistico (all injured), Bordon (yellow‑card suspension)

Head coach: Gennaro Gattuso

Mantova (3‑4‑2‑1): Bardi – Castellini, Cella, Tomashevich – Bragantini, Trimboli, Ignacchiti, Benaissa – Kineti, Ruocco – Spinaach

Unavailable: Radaelli (injured)

Head coach: Francesco Modesto

Prediction and Bet

Main prediction: Lazio win with a handicap of –1.5 goals at odds of 1.92

Lazio enter the new season in outstanding shape and are clear favourites against a middling Serie B opponent. Gattuso has already instilled his trademark counter‑pressing system: whenever the Biancocelesti lose possession in the opponent’s half, they immediately press to regain the ball and deny the opposition any chance to build attacks. Mantova lack defenders capable of a quality first pass, making it extremely difficult for them to break out of their own half. Under their new coach, Lazio have won all six matches so far, including two victories over Serie B sides. Backing the hosts to cover a –1.5 goal spread looks the smart play.

Total goals prediction: Over 2.5 goals at odds of 1.68

As noted, Mantova failed to score away from home against any of the promoted Serie A teams last season. Yet Lazio are quite capable of pushing the total over the line on their own. Under Gattuso, the Romans have been extremely prolific in preseason, finding the net 23 times in six matches – an average of 3.83 goals per game. Betting on more than 2.5 total goals therefore offers solid value.

Dele Lawal
Dele Lawal
Football expert specializing in European and Russian competitions

Dele Lawal is a football expert who has spent many years analyzing tournaments such as the EFL Cup, FIFA World Cup, Champions League, and Russian Super Cup. His analysis emphasizes current form, lineups, key statistics like expected goals and shots on target, and the impact of coaching decisions and fixture schedules. He maintains a disciplined, data-oriented approach to prediction, avoiding emotional bias and focusing on underlying performance indicators.

All articles by this author →

The editorial prediction is provided for informational purposes only and should not be treated as a direct call to action. Every reader should do their own analysis before deciding on a bet.

Starting lineups: Lazio vs Mantova

Lazio logoLazio4-3-3
Mandas
PedrazaProvstgorDuchiMarusic
Dele-BashiruRovellaTaylor
ZaccagniDiaCancellieri
Out of squad:Furlanetto · InjuryPatrick · InjuryGigot · InjuryTavares · InjuryCataldi · InjuryIsaksen · InjuryArtistico · Injury
Mantova logoMantova3-4-2-1
Bardi
TomaszewiczCellaCastellini
BenaissaIgnacchitiTrimboliSilva
RuoccoIlie
Liozzi
Out of squad:Radaelli · Injury

Match odds Lazio vs Mantova

Result (1X2)

X5.211.29210

Double chance

1X1.04X23.42121.14

Both teams to score

No1.67Yes2.05

Over

21.2832.0743.957.81.51.182.51.683.52.584.54.555.58.3

Under

23.231.6441.1851.031.53.952.52.133.51.44.51.135.51.02

Handicap 1

01.05-11.42-22.46-35-1.51.88-2.53.06-3.55.75

Handicap 2

06.7512.5221.4431.111.51.852.51.293.51.08

Correct score

0:014.50:1231:06.31:19.21:2282:05.852:18.32:2233:07.63:111.253:2304:0134:1195:0275:138

To qualify

11.1524.8

Predictions for Lazio vs Mantova

CN Chibuzo Nwosu Correct score 3:0odds 7.20 Lost

Lazio have enough in them to handle this one comfortably — both the extra goal and the clean sheet are realistic. That’s exactly why a 3:0 correct score looks right to me.

H hawk.guru2008 Over 2.5odds 1.61 Lost

Lazio faces Mantova in the Coppa Italia, and I’m expecting goals here. The hosts should dictate the tempo against a lower-tier side, which typically leads to a high-scoring affair. With the over 2.5 line set at 1.61, this looks like a solid bet—both teams have the potential to contribute to the scoreboard, and the cup setting often encourages attacking play. I’m backing plenty of action in this one.

JO John Ogundipe Yellow cards: Over 2.5odds 1.36 Won

Giuseppe Muchera is the man in the middle for this Coppa Italia clash, and he’s not the type to let rough play slide. A strict referee paired with two physical sides in a knockout game where every mistake matters usually means cards fly early and often. Lazio’s lineup features Marusic, Rovella, Taylor, and Zaccagni — all players who don’t shy away from hard tackles, especially in central areas where the battle is fiercest. Mantova counters with Trimoli and Ignacchiti in midfield, equally aggressive characters. From the first whistle, expect a real scrap for control of the center.

This is the Italian Cup, a tournament where intensity tops league form. For Mantova, it’s a chance to prove themselves, so they’ll foul, disrupt, and break up Lazio’s rhythm by any means — and Lazio won’t just take it lying down. Both teams consistently clear the 2.5 yellow card mark, and Mantova’s booking record in last season’s Coppa Italia was outright brutal. Even if the match doesn’t turn into a brawl, three cautions are a lock. The only way this fails is if Muchera suddenly decides to forgive everything — and he’s not that kind of referee.

EA Emeka Adewale Corners: Team 1 over 6odds 1.94 Won

Lazio will get more than six corners today — that’s the call. The hosts have the attacking quality to force enough set pieces, and the line is very achievable. I’m backing the over.

JL John L. Team 1 over 1.5odds 1.38 Lost
SA Segun Adeyemi Corners: Team 2 over 2.5odds 1.58 Won

Mantova are no pushover. I’m backing them to collect more than 2.5 corners in this Coppa Italia clash with Lazio – their toughness up front should generate enough attacking set pieces to clear that line at 1.58.

C cuppicks Handicap 1 (-1.5)odds 1.82 Lost

Lazio takes on a lower-league side in the Coppa Italia, and I’m backing them to cover a -1.5 handicap at odds of 1.82. The gap in class should be stark here, with the Serie A team expected to dominate from the start.

Mantova will likely struggle to keep pace, and I see Lazio putting multiple goals past them without much resistance. A comfortable win by at least two goals is the most probable outcome.

BI Babatunde Ibe Handicap 1 (-1.5)odds 1.83 Lost

Lazio with a -1.5 handicap is the straightforward call here. The gap in quality between these sides is enormous — Lazio are head and shoulders above Mantova in class, experience, and individual talent across the board.

Mantova simply don't have the speed to keep up. At the Stadio Olimpico, Lazio will control possession from start to finish and roll to a comfortable win by at least two goals.

MB Michael Bankole Correct score 3:0odds 7.40 Lost
JA John Ademola Team 2 under 0.5odds 1.79 Lost

Mantova are up against a much stronger Lazio side in the Coppa Italia, and I see them struggling to find the net. The odds of 1.79 for the visitors to finish under 0.5 goals look generous given the gap in quality and the likelihood of a one-sided contest. This is a straightforward value play.

KK Kayode Kalu Handicap 1 (-1.5)odds 1.88 Lost
SO Segun Okonkwo Team 2 under 0.5odds 1.80 Lost

Mantova have no business scoring against Lazio in this Coppa Italia clash. I’m backing the visitors to stay off the scoresheet completely. The gulf in class is enormous, and facing a motivated Serie A side on the road is a tall order. This bet at 1.80 feels too good to pass up.

A aceguy Team 1 over 2odds 1.74 Lost

Lazio should be able to score at least two goals in this Coppa Italia match.

SM Sunday Mohammed Result: 1odds 1.29 Lost

The numbers in this Coppa Italia tie point clearly to Lazio. Home victory is the most probable outcome, and that's the bet I'm taking.

ST Stanley Tanko Correct score 3:0odds 7.70 Lost
B blue.tips Handicap 1 (-1)odds 1.42 Lost

Lazio take on Mantova in the Coppa Italia, and this looks like a very favorable matchup for the hosts. Mantova are only a mid-table Serie B side, while Lazio should get an extra lift from their new coach. That combination points to a comfortable win — I'm taking Lazio on the -1 handicap, which means a victory by two or more goals. The odds of 1.42 offer solid value for what should be a routine result.

AS Ayodele Sani Correct score 1:1odds 9.10 Lost
MA Michael Anyanwu Result: 1odds 1.30 Lost
TO Tunde Obiora Handicap 1 (-1.5)odds 1.90 Lost
AO Aliyu Ojo Team 2 under 0.5odds 1.80 Lost
AA Abubakar Adekunle Handicap 1 (-2)odds 2.49 Lost

In the Coppa Italia matchup between Lazio and Mantova, the hosts should cruise to a win by at least three goals. The handicap -2 line at 2.49 is the play here.

AN Adewale Nwosu Corners: Under 9.5odds 1.61 Lost

The Coppa Italia meeting between Lazio and Mantova — I’m taking under 9.5 corners at 1.61. That’s the bet, plain and simple.

I irongoals Result: Xodds 5.10 Lost

Lazio vs Mantova in the Coppa Italia: I’m backing the draw at 5.10. I’ve been betting for years and have bought plenty of predictions, but I’ve never seen a run like this one. A colleague at work put me onto a guy who called exact scores, and every single one landed. In a week, my net profit was close to 997k. That streak is why I won’t just write off the away side here. Lazio may have home advantage, but at odds like 5.10, the draw is exactly the upset value I’m looking for.

CG Collins G. Team 2 under 0.5odds 1.80 Lost
CO Collins Olawale Team 2 over 0.5odds 1.85 Won

Lazio face Mantova in the Coppa Italia, and I'm backing the visitors to get on the scoresheet. The odds at 1.85 offer solid value for a bet that hinges on Mantova finding the net at least once.

Mantova will be highly motivated for this cup clash, and even as underdogs, they have the capability to breach Lazio's defense. I see a clear path to this bet cashing, making it a confident play.

Y yusuf.hawk_2022 Handicap 1 (-1.5)odds 1.88 Lost

Match poster

Lazio vs Mantova — odds

❓ Frequently asked questions

When and where is the Lazio vs Mantova match taking place?

The Coppa Italia round of 32 match takes place on 16 August 2026 at 20:15, with Lazio hosting Mantova.

Who is the favorite to win the match?

Lazio are clear favourites, having won all six preseason matches under new coach Gennaro Gattuso. Mantova have never beaten Lazio in seven previous meetings.

What is the main prediction and recommended bet for the match?

The main prediction is a Lazio win with a handicap of –1.5 goals at odds of 1.92. A total goals bet of over 2.5 is also backed at 1.68.

Which key players are unavailable for Lazio and Mantova?

Lazio will be without injured quartet Gustav Isaksen, Danilo Cataldi, Nuno Tavares and several others, while Mantova have Radaelli injured.

What kind of form do Lazio and Mantova bring into this match?

Lazio have been impressive, winning all six preseason matches and scoring 23 goals. Mantova won three of four friendlies, but none of their opponents were above Serie C level.

How have Mantova fared in the Coppa Italia in recent seasons?

Mantova exited in the round of 32 in each of the last two campaigns, losing to Lecce and Venezia. They also lost every away match against the promoted Serie A teams last season.