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Mornar Bar vs Atletic Escaldes: prediction and odds

Europe Conference League · Europe · 16 July 2026
Mornar Bar logoMornar Bar
1:2
1st half: 1:0
16.07.2026 19:45
Atletic Escaldes logoAtletic Escaldes

Match events

jovan dasic1:0
20′
Stefan Denković🟨
25′
41′
🟨Nayry Vieira
50′
🟨Marcos Blasco Valera
Petar Anicic🟨
64′
65′
🟨Jean Luc Gbayara
90′
1:1David Valero Climent
90+3′
1:2David Valero Climent

Match statistics: Mornar Bar vs Atletic Escaldes

Mornar BarAtletic Escaldes
51Ball possession, %0
8Shots0
7Shots on target0
1Corners0
9Fouls0
0Offsides0
3Yellow cards0
0Red cards0
101Attacks0
46Dangerous attacks0

💡 Match preview Mornar Bar vs Atletic Escaldes

Can the Montenegrin Vice-Champion Avenge Their Last-Gasp Disaster in Andorra, or Will the Stubborn Visitors Pull Off Another Shock on the Adriatic Coast?

The first leg delivered an incredible drama, with Mornar Bar squandering a lead in the dying seconds. Now, the Montenegrins are desperate for revenge and need a victory to keep their European hopes alive.

Tactical Analysis

Mornar Bar: The Hunt for Redemption

Mornar Bar finished as the silver medalists in the Montenegrin First League, amassing 69 points from 36 matches (20 wins, 9 draws, 7 losses, with a goal difference of 51:29). They narrowly missed out on the title, trailing champions Sutjeska by just 3 points (72 points).

In the first leg, Mornar looked sharp and took the lead in the 8th minute through a precise finish from Darko Zorić, assisted by Jovan Dašić. They controlled the game effectively, registering six shots on goal (three on target) and winning four corners, all while enjoying a modest 37% possession. However, a catastrophic loss of concentration in the final minutes saw them concede two goals—one in the 83rd minute and the killer blow in the 93rd minute.

Atlètic Escaldes: The Andorran Grit

Atlètic Escaldes finished 5th in the Andorran Primera Divisió, collecting 34 points from 24 games (10 wins, 4 draws, 10 losses, goal difference 31:26). The league title went to Inter Escaldes with 54 points.

The Andorrans showed incredible resolve in the home leg. Dominating possession with 63% and unleashing eight shots (four on target), they turned the game around in spectacular fashion. The hero was Borja Morales, who came off the bench in the 63rd minute. He equalized in the 83rd minute and then snatched the winner in the 93rd minute. Away from home, however, they will struggle to match the pace and intensity of a fired-up Mornar side over the full 90 minutes.

Predicted Lineups

Mornar Bar: Vukasović – Bubanja, Pavićević, Vukčević, Cimbaljević – Đurišić, Merdović, Vujović – Dašić, Zorić, Poček

Atlètic Escaldes: Silveira – García, Alavedra, Pérez, Rojas – Martínez, Fernández, Rodríguez – Silva, Morales, López

Referee: Aaron Wyn Jones (Wales)

The Welsh official has taken charge of 16 matches across all competitions in the 2025/26 season. He averages 17.38 fouls, 5.5 yellow cards, 0.25 red cards, and notably 0.56 penalties per game. In the Conference League specifically, he has officiated one match, issuing 6 yellow cards, awarding 2 penalties, and calling 17 fouls. He is extremely strict on infractions inside the box and has no hesitation in pointing to the spot.

Prediction and Bet

Main Prediction: Mornar Bar to Win (Odds: 1.57)

The result of the first leg (2-1 to Atlètic) was a product of a momentary lapse in concentration from the Montenegrins. Mornar looked much sharper overall, registering 7 attempts on goal (3 on target) despite their low possession. At home, on their own turf, they will correct those mistakes and assert territorial dominance. Andorran teams traditionally struggle away from home and tend to wilt under sustained pressure, especially from an attack led by Darko Zorić. Expect a confident revenge victory. We rate this probability at 64% (anything above 1.56 is a playable value).

Second Prediction: Over 2.5 Goals (Odds: 1.85)

Mornar need to attack from the first whistle, which will open up the game at both ends. The first match demonstrated that both defenses are capable of costly errors when put under pressure. Additionally, referee Aaron Wyn Jones’s average of 0.56 penalties per match increases the likelihood of goals from set pieces. Expect a lively, high-scoring encounter. We rate this probability at 57% (anything above 1.75 is a playable value).

Match odds Mornar Bar vs Atletic Escaldes

Result (1X2)

X4.0511.4926.65

Double chance

1X1.09X22.53121.22

Both teams to score

No1.6Yes2.16

Over

11.0421.5332.9846.50.51.011.51.312.52.083.53.64.57.3

Under

17.222.2631.3241.050.58.71.52.942.51.713.51.214.51.04

Handicap 1

01.12-11.87-24.05-1.52.46-2.54.9

Handicap 2

04.7511.8721.171.51.442.51.11

Correct score

0:08.60:113.250:2381:04.951:17.11:220.52:05.852:17.92:2223:09.83:1143:2364:0224:130

To qualify

11.7421.98

Predictions for Mornar Bar vs Atletic Escaldes

UE Uche Emenike Over 2.5odds 2.13 Won

I'm confident this match will be high-scoring. Both teams have been scoring consistently well, so expect plenty of goals.

RN Rita Nnaji Result: 1odds 1.51 Lost

I'm confident Mornar will win this match. Their home form is strong—11 wins in 18 league games—and Athletic finished only 5th in Andorra's league, highlighting a clear gap in class. Mornar already beat them 2-1 away in the first leg, giving them a psychological edge. That said, Athletic scored, so a safer alternative could be betting on under 2.5 goals, as Mornar's matches tend to be low-scoring. Still, the home win is the most justified pick.

TS Tunde Salami Both teams to score — Yesodds 2.20 Won

I am confident that both teams will find the net in this matchup. The pattern of conceding and scoring is too consistent to ignore, so expect another open game with goals at both ends.

BO Blessing Okoro Yellow cards: Result: 1odds 2.65 Lost

I'm predicting that Mornar Bar will collect more cards than Eskeldesa. The reasoning is straightforward: Mornar Bar's aggressive style of play consistently leads to higher foul counts and disciplinary actions. Their recent matches show a clear pattern of picking up yellow and red cards at an elevated rate, especially against disciplined opponents like Eskeldesa. This trend gives me confidence that the card count will favor Mornar Bar.

HS Halima Sani Both teams to score — Yesodds 2.20 Won

Andorra will score in this match. They proved at home that they can find the net, and I expect them to do the same here. Their attacking confidence is building, and the conditions favor another goal.

JA John Akintola Both teams to score — Yesodds 2.20 Won

I'm confident both Mornar Bar and Atlètic Escaldes will find the net in this match. Neither side is known for defensive solidity, and the pressure of a must-win situation on the European stage will force both teams to attack recklessly, leaving gaps at the back. Given the stakes and each club's recent tendency to concede, backing both teams to score is a straightforward call.

AA Aisha Ademola Yellow cards: Over 4.5odds 1.99 Won

Both teams have averaged 4 goals in their recent games. With this being a decisive match for advancement, I'm confidently betting on over 4.5 goals.

SI Stanley Ibe Handicap 1 (-1.5)odds 2.55 Lost

Mornar Bar will confidently win this match on their home ground. They have a strong home record and the momentum to secure all three points.

OS Olusegun Shehu Over 3odds 2.88 Void

I predict over 3 goals because the first match between these teams already had exactly 3 goals scored.

IB Ifeanyi Bello Yellow cards: Over 4.5odds 1.99 Won

I'm confident that matches involving Athletic Escaldes consistently produce a high number of yellow cards. Their aggressive, physical style of play forces referees to reach for their pockets, making this a reliable trend to bet on.

KO Kingsley Obiora Corners: Under 8.5odds 2.39 Won

I don't see value in betting on corners for this match. Both teams are fundamentally low-volume corner sides, so another high-count game is unlikely.

RW Ronke Waziri Handicap 1 (-1)odds 1.90 Lost

Mornar Bar opened the scoring quickly in the first leg in Andorra, but then inexplicably sat back and got punished with two late goals from Atlètic. Now they need to overturn the deficit at home, and I'm fully confident they will. Last season, Mornar Bar showed strong form on their own pitch, and this time they'll come out much more aggressively. Andorran side Atlètic has a very limited squad of average players, so they'll struggle to handle the pressure.

For this bet, I'm taking Mornar Bar -1. They have every chance to not only erase the one-goal deficit but also win by a wider margin. Atlètic will try to hold on, but at some point their defense will crack. I expect a commanding win by at least two goals, so I could even go for -1.5, but I'll stick with the safer option.

CN Chinedu Nwachukwu Over 1odds 1.04 Won

I predict this match will be high-scoring. Both teams have strong attacking records and weak defensive stats recently, so I expect goals to flow freely from the start.

AW Amina Waziri Handicap 1 (-1.5)odds 2.65 Lost

I confidently predict that Mornar Bar will secure a home win with ease. Their dominant form and strong home record make this a straightforward outcome, as the opponent lacks the quality to mount a serious challenge. This bet is based on clear tactical advantages and recent performances.

IN Ikechukwu Nwachukwu Handicap 2 (2)odds 1.13 Won

My bet is that "Fora2plus2" will see positive performance in the coming period. The reasoning is straightforward: the underlying trends and market dynamics support this outlook, and I'm confident in the direction based on the available data. This is a clear call based on my analysis.

EO Esther Oyelaran Corners: Team 2 under 3.5odds 1.83 Won

I’m betting that Athletic Bilbao won’t earn more than three corner kicks in this match. Their attacking style is more direct, often relying on crosses from open play rather than sustained pressure that forces corners. Against a disciplined defense, their chances of racking up set-piece opportunities are limited.

VA Victor Adebayo Both teams to score — Yesodds 2.03 Won

I'm confident both teams will score. After Mornar Bar scored, I'm almost 100% sure Athletic will respond with a goal of their own.

RI Ronke Igwe Result: 1odds 1.59 Lost

I predict the sailors will come out with a triple mindset, and I'm fully confident in that.

NM Nnamdi Madu Handicap 1 (-1)odds 2.04 Lost

I predict the home team will do everything in their power to secure a confident victory. They are fully focused on dominating the match from start to finish.

SO Suleiman Obi Handicap 1 (-1.5)odds 2.65 Lost

I'm confident the home team will take revenge for their last defeat. They have the motivation and quality to turn things around.

GA Gift Akintola Handicap 1 (-1)odds 2.04 Lost

I'm confident Mornar has another shot at advancing, so I'm backing them with a -1 handicap. They have the quality to win by at least two goals this time.

ML Michael Lamido Double chance: X2odds 2.45 Won

I am trying this option. It is the most direct path to success, and I am confident in the reasoning behind it. No external factors are needed—this bet stands on its own logic.

OA Obinna Amadi Both teams to score — Yesodds 2.13 Won

I'm confident that Escaldes will give the Montenegrins a real fight here. They're not just showing up to make up the numbers—their form and discipline suggest they can be a serious nuisance. In fact, I wouldn't be surprised if they push through to the next round entirely.

EA Emmanuel Adewale Double chance: X2odds 2.53 Won

I believe Athletic will respond strongly in the match and at least avoid defeat. They have the fight and resilience to secure a result.

MT Mercy Tanko Over 2odds 1.52 Won

The first match ended with three goals, and now Mornar has to come from behind and push forward more aggressively. The visitors are dangerous on the counter, so I'm taking over two goals.

DA David Afolabi Double chance: X2odds 2.53 Won

I'm confident the away team will hold onto their first-leg advantage and advance. They played well in the first match and have the discipline to defend that lead, so I expect them to progress.

KA Kunle Abiodun Both teams to score — Yesodds 2.24 Won

I'm taking this forecast today. My analysis is solid, and I'm confident it will hit.

EE Emeka Eze Over 2.5odds 2.13 Won

I’m confident Bar will add to his own goal tally—he has the instinct and quality to find the net on his own.

Match poster

Mornar Bar vs Atletic Escaldes — odds