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Napoli vs Arezzo: prediction and odds

World Club Friendlies · World · 22 July 2026
Napoli logoNapoli
1:3
1st half: 0:1
22.07.2026 17:00
Arezzo logoArezzo

Match events

12′
0:1Alberto Cerri

Match statistics: Napoli vs Arezzo

NapoliArezzo
43Ball possession, %57
12Shots7
6Shots on target6
7Corners1
10Fouls12
0Offsides2
0Yellow cards0
0Red cards0
111Attacks63
87Dangerous attacks36

💡 Match preview Napoli vs Arezzo

In the year of their centenary, Napoli have decided to place their faith in Massimiliano Allegri, and the illustrious coach will begin his journey at the helm of the southern Italian giants with a friendly match against Arezzo. Interestingly, the two sides met exactly one year ago at this very same venue in Dimaro, and it was the humble Tuscan side that pulled off a sensational 2-0 victory.

Tactical Analysis

Napoli: Following Juventus’ Blueprint

Throughout the 2025/26 season, Napoli struggled with a heavy injury toll but still managed to secure a second-place finish in Serie A and a ticket to the Champions League. Nevertheless, Antonio Conte left the club of his own accord at the end of the campaign, and Massimiliano Allegri was brought in as his replacement. We witnessed the exact same managerial swap 12 years ago at Juventus, and it only benefited the Turin club—continued domestic dominance and two Champions League finals. The expectation now is that Allegri will preserve the defensive foundation laid by his predecessor while adding tactical flexibility and individual freedom in attack.

“I have players who can operate in multiple systems. It’s important to have enthusiasm and the desire to achieve goals through sacrifice and hard work, and I believe I have inherited a squad that possesses these qualities. They have achieved success in recent years, and it’s crucial to continue that work,” the new coach stated at his presentation.

Napoli already boast a competitive squad, so a massive spending spree like last year’s is not on the cards. Targeted transfers are possible, but for now, Allegri is making do with the players left to him by the previous manager. And expecting sparkling football from Napoli in their first summer friendly is definitely not wise. Regardless of the opposition’s level, teams coached by the 58-year-old specialist have never begun their pre-season with a victory by more than two goals. Furthermore, for this clash with Arezzo, the experienced coach will be without his two best attacking midfielders, Scott McTominay and Kevin De Bruyne, who are resting after the World Cup. The club’s strongest centre-back, Alessandro Buongiorno, will also miss the match due to a knee injury.

Arezzo: Gearing Up for a Return to Serie B

Thanks to a successful previous season, Arezzo have earned promotion to Serie B for the first time in 19 years. And the Tuscans have decent chances of holding their own in Italy’s second tier. Coach Cristian Bucchi has remained at his post, and the nominal visitors have no plans to sell their key players during the off-season. It is expected that the newly promoted side will play a strict counter-attacking game, and their summer transfers reflect that approach. The main signing is promising 19-year-old goalkeeper Antonio Nunziante, loaned from Udinese. Also noteworthy are the arrivals of two quality defenders: Julian Illanes from Carrarese and Marlon Mena Martinez from Parma.

Napoli represent an excellent opponent for testing defensive setups, and that is precisely what Bucchi’s men will focus on in their first summer friendly. The Tuscan side also went through the 2025 pre-season under the 49-year-old coach and surprised everyone, not just with their victory over the reigning Italian champions at the time. Despite heavy squad rotation, Arezzo did not suffer a single defeat in three pre-season friendlies. So, the upcoming match is no walk in the park for the favourites.

Predicted Lineups

Napoli (3-4-2-1): Meret – Bekema, Rrahmani, Marianucci – Di Lorenzo, Zambo-Anguissa, Lobotka, Spinazzola – Neres, Santos – Hojlund

Unavailable: Marin, Gilmour, Buongiorno (all injured), Lukka, Politano, Vergara (all doubtful), Olivera, Lukaku, De Bruyne, Lang, McTominay (all not in the squad)

Head Coach: Massimiliano Allegri

Arezzo (4-3-3): Nunziante – Martinez, Illanes, Chiosa, Righetti – Cortesi, Chierico, Sala – Pattarello, Cerri, Tavernelli

Unavailable: None

Head Coach: Cristian Bucchi

Referee

The match will be officiated by a referee appointed for this pre-season friendly, though specific details on the official were not provided in the source material.

Prediction and Bet

Main Prediction: Arezzo (+1.5) Handicap

The vast difference in class is beyond doubt, but Arezzo will certainly not be an easy opponent for Napoli. In matches against clubs of this calibre, the Tuscans always focus on a compact and tough defence, leaving minimal space on their own half. Breaking down that “bus” without Scott McTominay and Kevin De Bruyne will be a very difficult task. Moreover, due to heavy rotation and high training loads, Massimiliano Allegri’s teams often play too academically in July, even against opponents who are far inferior in quality. We should not forget the positive experience Cristian Bucchi’s men gained from their meeting with Napoli in last year’s pre-season. The handicap of Arezzo (+1.5) looks like an interesting betting option.

Total Goals Prediction: Both Teams to Score – Yes

Despite the strictly defensive style of the nominal visitors, the friendly nature of the clash should play a significant role. Goals have been exchanged in four of Arezzo’s last five pre-season matches, and the same can be said for their illustrious opponents. Therefore, both teams to score appears to be another attractive option.

Probable lineups: Napoli vs Arezzo

Napoli logoNapoli3-4-2-1
Meret
MarianucciRrahmaniBekema
SpinazzolaLobotkaZambo AnguissaDi Lorenzo
SantosNeres
Højlund
Out of squad:Marin · InjuryGilmour · InjuryBuongiorno · InjuryOliveiraLukakuDe BruyneLangMcTominay
Arezzo logoArezzo4-3-3
Nunziante
RighettiChiesaIllanesMartinez
SalaChiericoCortesi
TavernelliCherryPattarello

Predictions for Napoli vs Arezzo

KE Kunle Eze Over 2.5odds 1.32 Won

I confidently predict Napoli will win by 3 or more goals. This match is going to be a thrilling one.

GE Gift Eze Correct score 3:1odds 9.70 Lost

I predict Napoli will easily beat the underdogs. Their attacking firepower and depth are far superior, and they’ve been dominant against weaker sides all season. There’s no reason to expect anything other than a comfortable win here.

KO Kingsley Obiora Result: 1odds 1.18 Lost

I'm backing Napoli here. They are simply the better team in this matchup, with strong form and a clear quality advantage. I expect them to control the game and secure the result.

FI Funke Igwe Team 1 over 2.5odds 1.77 Lost

I'm predicting that the first team will score over 2.5 goals in this matchup. My confidence is high because their attacking form has been sharp recently, consistently finding the back of the net against similar opposition. The opponent's defense has shown vulnerabilities, especially in away games, which plays directly into my bet. This isn't a guess—it's a calculated read on the momentum and matchup dynamics.

BE Blessing Emenike Result: Xodds 7.60 Lost

I predict with high confidence that this forecast will resolve as stated. The reasoning is clear and the outcome is well-supported by available evidence. No further commentary is needed.

UA Uche Adeyemi Over 1.5 (1st half)odds 1.88 Lost

I'm predicting a 9-0 final score in this match. The reasoning is straightforward: the dominant side has consistently shown the ability to shut out their opponent, and the defensive gaps on the other team are too wide to close. This isn't a close contest—it's a blowout waiting to happen.

CA Chibuzo Abubakar Both teams to score — Noodds 1.95 Lost

I'm predicting that both teams won't score in this match. My reasoning is simple: recent form and defensive setups suggest a low-scoring affair, with both sides prioritizing structure over risk. The odds on a clean sheet for either team reflect this, and I see no compelling reason to expect an open game.

KM Kabiru Musa Team 1 over 2odds 1.30 Lost

Napoli will score in this match. Their attacking form has been sharp, and they consistently create quality chances against any opponent. I expect them to find the net at least once.

KO Kayode Onyeka Handicap 2 (1.5)odds 2.70 Won

I'm backing Arezzo on the handicap. Their recent form has been rock-solid at the back, and the opposition's attack has lacked the cutting edge to break them down. That defensive stability makes me confident Arezzo will cover the spread, plain and simple. The odds are too good to pass up, and I expect them to control the game from start to finish.

AN Ayodele Nwachukwu Handicap 1 (-2.5)odds 2.05 Lost

Napoli will crush them. I'm fully confident in this outcome—their form and attacking power are simply too much for the opposition to handle. There's no doubt in my mind that Napoli will dominate and secure a convincing victory.

IM Ifeoma Mohammed Team 2 over 0.5odds 1.94 Won

I am confident that Arezzo will score a goal in this match. Their attacking form has been consistent, and they have found the net in their recent home games. The opposition's defense has shown vulnerabilities, making it likely that Arezzo will break through.

Match poster

Napoli vs Arezzo — odds