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Napoli vs Carrarese: prediction and odds

World Club Friendlies · World · 26 July 2026
Napoli logoNapoli
2:0
1st half: 2:0
26.07.2026 17:00
Carrarese logoCarrarese

Match events

Rasmus Højlund1:0
23′
Jovane2:0
45′

Match statistics: Napoli vs Carrarese

NapoliCarrarese
63Ball possession, %37
8Shots6
2Shots on target3
3Corners5
12Fouls10
0Offsides1
0Yellow cards0
0Red cards0
117Attacks69
76Dangerous attacks48

💡 Match preview Napoli vs Carrarese

Napoli’s pre-season training camp in Dimaro concludes with a friendly against Carrarese, a club that has never climbed to the top flight in its entire history. In fact, over their last five meetings with Serie A sides, the Tuscan outfit have failed to secure even a single draw. This mismatch of status and recent form sets the stage for an intriguing test for both teams as they fine-tune their preparations.

Tactical Analysis: Napoli

After two highly successful years under Antonio Conte, Napoli changed head coach this summer, but their pre-season started exactly as it did a year ago – with a 1-3 defeat to Arezzo. In that match, the southerners fielded two completely different XIs in each half, both of which could best be described as mixed lineups. It’s clear that at this stage, facing lower‑tier opposition, Massimiliano Allegri is focused on evenly distributing playing time and giving young talents like Vincenzo Prisco, Nosa Obaretin, and Emanuele Rao a chance to impress.

However, there is little sign yet of systematic tactical construction under the new boss – that work will begin during the second training camp in Castel di Sangro. In their first friendly, the Serie A runners‑up displayed classic early‑pre‑season football: heavy legs, structural disorganization, and poor coordination between the lines. The only interesting aspect was the formation. Despite the expectation that Conte’s 3‑4‑2‑1 would be retained, Allegri deployed an uncharacteristic 4‑3‑3 in both halves.

A major factor in Napoli’s sluggish performance was the absence of their undisputed leader, Scott McTominay, who is resting after the World Cup. In central defense, the southerners were forced to use players like Rafa Marin, the aforementioned Obaretin, and Luca Marianucci – none of whom are likely to break into the first team of an Italian top club this coming season. So conceding three goals to a Serie B side should hardly come as a surprise.

Tactical Analysis: Carrarese

Carrarese are the most consistent mid‑table side in Italy’s second division, having finished 12th in each of the last two seasons. For the upcoming campaign, such a result would again be perfectly acceptable, as the Tuscan club lacks the financial resources to challenge for promotion. Unlike Napoli, the “yellow‑blues” have not played any friendlies this summer. Last year, they lost both of their sparring matches against Serie A clubs – 0‑2 to Fiorentina and 0‑1 to Lecce.

However, Antonio Calabro, who had been in charge for over two years, decided to seek a new challenge after the 2025/26 season and moved to Padova. Now Carrarese will be coached by Gabriele Cioffi, a name familiar to Italian football fans from his spells at Udinese and Verona. For the 50‑year‑old, the meeting with Napoli will be his debut in the new role, and he inherits a well‑balanced squad. Last season’s key men – Fabio Abiuso, Nicolas Schiavi, and Simone Zanon – have all remained in Carrara, while the club has, as usual, strengthened with promising loanees. Particularly interesting is defender Lorenzo Romani, a member of Italy’s youth national team, who could eventually develop into a Serie A player.

Predicted Lineups

Napoli (4‑3‑3): Meret – Di Lorenzo, Rrahmani, Marin, Gutierrez – Zambo‑Anguissa, Lobotka, Prisco – Politano, Hojlund, Alisson Unavailable: Gilmour, Buongiorno, Bekeema, Lucca (all injured); Olivera, Lukaku, De Bruyne, Lang, McTominay (all not in the squad) Head coach: Massimiliano Allegri

Carrarese (3‑5‑2): Bleve – Ruggeri, Imperiale, Romani – Zanon, Zuelli, Melegoni, Schiavi, Belloni – Abiuso, Cissé Unavailable: None Head coach: Gabriele Cioffi

Prediction and Bet

At this stage of preparation, Napoli’s play lacks coherence, and their squad rotation feels arbitrary. Under these circumstances, even a modest side like Carrarese has a realistic chance of putting up a respectable performance against the Neapolitan top club. The core of the nominal visitors is battle‑tested in Serie B and knows its movements well. If the “yellow‑blues” stick to their usual defensive approach – setting up in a low block and closing down spaces in their own half – breaking them down will be no easy task. Moreover, Napoli suffered badly from counter‑attacks in their first friendly against Arezzo, a problem that also plagued Massimiliano Allegri’s previous team. Therefore, the recommended bet is Carrarese +1.5 handicap.

As for total goals, a conservative style is traditional not only for Carrarese but also for their new head coach, Gabriele Cioffi. So we do not expect a goal‑fest like Napoli’s first friendly. In none of Carrarese’s last seven friendlies – even against top‑division clubs – have more than two goals been scored. Hence, another interesting betting option is total under 2.5 goals.

Probable lineups: Napoli vs Carrarese

Napoli logoNapoli4-3-3
Meret
GutierrezMarinRrahmaniDi Lorenzo
PriscoLobotkaZambo Anguissa
AlissonHøjlundPolitano
Out of squad:Gilmour · InjuryBuongiorno · InjuryBekema · InjuryLucca · InjuryOliveiraLukakuDe BruyneLangMcTominay
Carrarese logoCarrarese3-5-2
Bleve
RomaniImperialeRuggeri
BelloniSchiaviMelegoniZuellyZanon
CisséAbiuso

Match odds Napoli vs Carrarese

Result (1X2)

X5.7511.2929.6

Double chance

1X1.05X23.62121.14

Both teams to score

No2.15Yes1.61

Over

21.0931.4942.454.569.11.51.052.51.323.51.94.52.95.55.1

Under

25.6532.4341.551.1461.011.56.752.52.963.51.894.51.335.51.11

Handicap 1

01.04-11.38-22.19-34.15-48.5-1.51.78-2.52.7-3.54.8-4.59.4

Handicap 2

06.8512.6821.5631.1641.011.51.972.51.363.51.124.51

Correct score

0:0250:1331:010.751:110.51:2262:08.52:18.52:216.53:09.43:19.83:219.54:013.54:114.254:2295:0245:125

Predictions for Napoli vs Carrarese

MM Michael Mohammed Team 2 over 0.5odds 1.56 Lost

I am confident that rotation will occur. The current dynamics are shifting, and all the key signals point to a decisive change in direction. I see no reason to hesitate—this bet is straightforward.

AA Adaeze Adekunle Corners: Team 2 over 2.5odds 1.54 Won

I’m betting that the U.S. economy will enter a recession by the end of 2024. The key signals are clear: the Federal Reserve’s aggressive interest rate hikes are cooling demand, and leading indicators like inverted yield curves and falling consumer confidence point to a downturn. I see a high probability that these pressures will tip the economy into contraction within the next 12 months.

BO Biodun Okonkwo Result: 1odds 1.23 Won

I predict the home team will win. They need this victory to launch their season in the best possible form.

AS Abubakar Suleiman Both teams to score — Yesodds 1.67 Lost

I'm confident Napoli will concede here — their defense is too shaky to keep a clean sheet. But they'll also score themselves, so expect both teams to find the net.

BB Bukola Bankole Handicap 2 (1.5)odds 2.13 Lost

I’m predicting that Napoli will struggle in their opening matches because they simply aren’t ready for the season yet. Their preseason performances have been unconvincing, with key players still lacking sharpness and the new tactical setups failing to click. The squad has undergone significant changes, and the integration of new signings takes time—time they haven’t had. I expect them to drop points early on, especially against organized opponents who can exploit their disjointed play. This bet is a confident call on their slow start, not a reflection of their long-term potential.

BE Biodun Emenike Both teams to score — Yesodds 1.62 Lost

Both teams will score in this match. I’m confident in this because both sides have shown consistent attacking form recently, and their defenses have been leaky. The head-to-head history also supports this outcome, with goals flowing freely in their previous meetings.

WB Wale Balogun Over 3.5odds 1.94 Lost

Hello everyone. My forecast is clear: Clianda will see a significant amount of zpyuyut today. I base this on my own analysis of the current patterns, and I am confident in this outcome.

AO Amara Olaniyan Handicap 2 (2.5)odds 1.36 Won

I predict that Napoli will not win the Serie A title within the next two seasons. The club has lost key players and is in a rebuilding phase, while top rivals like Inter and Juventus are stronger and more stable.

RN Ronke Nnaji Result: Xodds 5.75 Lost

I spent a long time searching for a reliable tipster, going through over a dozen cappers before I found someone who truly knows what they're doing. I've been working with them for a month now, and I've taken 19 matches on exact scores—every single one hit perfectly. If you're interested, search for da30333 on Telegram.

Match poster

Napoli vs Carrarese — odds

❓ Frequently asked questions

When and where is the Napoli vs Carrarese match?

The match is on July 26, 2026, at 17:00, concluding Napoli's pre-season training camp in Dimaro.

What is the recommended bet for this match?

The recommended bet is Carrarese +1.5 handicap, as Napoli's pre-season form is disjointed and Carrarese can be defensively solid.

Who is the favorite in this friendly?

Napoli are the clear favorites due to their Serie A status, but their pre-season struggles and squad rotation make Carrarese a live underdog.

Are there any key absences for Napoli?

Yes, Napoli are without Scott McTominay (resting after the World Cup) and have several injured players like Gilmour, Buongiorno, Bekeema, and Lucca.

What is the predicted total goals bet?

The recommended total goals bet is under 2.5 goals, as Carrarese's friendlies and Cioffi's style typically yield low-scoring games.

How have Carrarese performed against Serie A teams recently?

Carrarese have lost their last five meetings with Serie A sides without a single draw, including 0-2 to Fiorentina and 0-1 to Lecce last pre-season.