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Parma vs Monza: Prediction, Betting Tips and Match Preview

Italy Serie A · Italy · 6 September 2026
Parma logoParma
1:1
1st half: 0:1
06.09.2026 14:00
Monza logoMonza

Match events

38′
0:1Samson Robinson
41′
🟨Michael Folorunsho
Simone Lontani1:1
60′
Mandela Keita🟨
66′
68′
🟨Leonardo Colombo
Pontus Almqvist🟨
83′

Match statistics: Parma vs Monza

ParmaMonza
1xG (expected goals)1.37
46Ball possession, %54
7Shots16
3Shots on target5
6Corners3
12Fouls13
0Offsides4
2Yellow cards2
0Red cards0
51Attacks82
37Dangerous attacks42

💡 Match preview Parma vs Monza

By Tunde Ogundipe — Football expert covering Premier League, MLS, J1 League, and more

In the third round of Serie A, Parma look to snap a three-match losing streak when they host newly promoted Monza at the Stadio Ennio Tardini. But the visitors are no pushovers: only one of the four meetings between these sides in the 21st century has ended in a home win.

Tactical Analysis: Parma’s Goal Drought

Carlos Cuesta’s second season in charge has seen his ultra‑defensive approach stop paying dividends. Even in last term’s relatively solid campaign, Parma were among the lowest‑scoring sides in Serie A. Now they cannot buy a goal – zero in three official fixtures. The Crusaders have yet to collect a single point, losing not only to Juventus (0‑2) but also to direct relegation rival Cagliari (0‑1). In the Coppa Italia they exited at the 1/32‑final stage after a 0‑2 defeat to Serie B side Cremonese.

Several factors explain the dismal start: the squad is the youngest in the league, and last season’s key men are no longer available. Zion Suzuki, Alessandro Circati and Matteo Pellegrino moved to bigger clubs; Hans Nicolussi‑Caviglia picked up a pre‑season injury and hasn’t played a competitive minute. In the previous league round, midfield lynchpin Adrian Bernabe got hurt, making the link between defence and attack even harder to forge. The Spaniard missed the cup tie, and his participation against Monza remains doubtful.

Tactical Analysis: Monza’s Progress

Monza also began the championship with two defeats, but they were far from pushovers against stronger opponents. Against Inter (1‑4), Ivan Juric’s men held the Nerazzurri to a draw at half‑time; versus Udinese (2‑3) they actually created better chances (1.73 xG to 0.95). Juric has moved away from the ultra‑pragmatic style that made his name at Torino, but retains the intense man‑to‑man pressing that can trouble sides of a similar level. It’s no coincidence they beat Torino 1‑0 in the Coppa Italia’s 1/16 round.

Late in the transfer window, the Biancorossi added several quality new faces to help them cement their top‑flight status. The defence gets Roma loanee Jan Ziołkowski; in midfield, injured Matteo Pessina is replaced by another former Italy international, Michael Folorunsho; up front, Juric gains interesting wingers in Exequiel Seballos and Cyril Ngonje. However, centre‑forward Gustavo Varela – who scored in both opening league games – is injured and will be replaced by experienced Patrick Cutrone.

Predicted Lineups

Parma (3‑5‑2): Corvi – Delprato, Troilo, Ndiaye – Britschgi, Ordoñez, Keita, Fabbian, Valeri – Romero, Toure.

Unavailable: Nicolussi‑Caviglia (injured); Bernabe (doubtful).

Head coach: Carlos Cuesta.

Monza (3‑4‑2‑1): Thiam – Cuadio, Ziołkowski, Carboni – Birindelli, Akinsanmiro, Folorunsho, Mangash – Colpani, Ngonje – Cutrone.

Unavailable: Pessina, Varela, Ciurria (all injured).

Head coach: Ivan Juric.

Referee: Federico La Penna

The official is best remembered for the controversial second yellow card he gave to Pierre Kalulu in February’s Derby d’Italia. Overall, Di Bello (likely a typo in the source – should be La Penna) referees Serie A matches strictly; in each of the last six seasons his average booking tally has never dipped below 3.73 per game.

Prediction and Bet

Main prediction: Monza to win (odds 3.02). The summer exodus has left Parma significantly weaker in personnel, and their bus‑parking style no longer works. The Emilians also haven’t learned to play as the dominant side, as recent home games against Cagliari and Cremonese showed. Meanwhile, Monza are gradually adapting to Ivan Juric’s pressing model, which has already started to bear fruit. Against Inter and Udinese – both top‑ten sides last season – the Lombards couldn’t get the job done, but against lower‑tier opposition they looked far more comfortable, beating a strong Torino away in the Coppa. Backing Monza for the win is the play here.

Goals prediction: Both teams to score – no (odds 1.78). In the cup tie, Monza also showed improvement defensively, keeping a clean sheet for the second time this season. Parma, for their part, have not seen both sides find the net in any of their four competitive outings. So a secondary bet on “no” in the both‑teams‑to‑score market looks appealing.

Tunde Ogundipe
Tunde Ogundipe
Football expert covering Premier League, MLS, J1 League, and more

Tunde Ogundipe is a football expert with extensive experience analyzing top leagues including the Premier League, MLS, J1 League, Scottish Premiership, and the Johan Cruijff Shield. His analysis focuses on team form, player lineups, shot statistics, and tactical adjustments, with careful consideration of fixture congestion and travel. He approaches predictions with a disciplined, data-driven method, evaluating all relevant factors without overreliance on single metrics.

All articles by this author →

The editorial prediction is provided for informational purposes only and should not be treated as a direct call to action. Every reader should do their own analysis before deciding on a bet.

Starting lineups: Parma vs Monza

Parma logoParma3-5-2
Corvi
Diego CarlosTroiloDelprato
ValeriFabbianKeitaOrdonezBritchgi
ToureRomero
Out of squad:Nicolussi Caviglia · Injury
Monza logoMonza3-4-2-1
Ngan
CarboniLuzzesiKouadio
MangasFolorunshoAkinsanmiroBirindelli
ForsonMota
Robinson
Out of squad:Pessina · InjuryVarela · InjuryChurria · Injury

Match odds Parma vs Monza

Result (1X2)

X3.0812.6123.05

Double chance

1X1.41X21.53121.41

Both teams to score

No1.78Yes1.93

Over

11.0821.7133.54480.51.031.51.42.52.343.54.34.58.8

Under

15.7522.0331.2641.020.57.11.52.682.51.613.51.174.51

Handicap 1

01.7711.1-14.41.51.06-1.55.35

Handicap 2

02.0511.16-15.61.51.1-1.56.6

Correct score

0:07.20:17.20:213.50:3341:06.451:15.31:210.751:3292:011.252:19.62:215.52:3433:0263:1243:241

Predictions for Parma vs Monza

CO Chinedu Ogundipe Both teams to score — Yesodds 1.84 Won

Parma hosting Monza in Serie A — both sides have been finding the net consistently lately, with neither leaving the pitch goalless in their recent matches. That pattern points to another open game, so I’m backing both teams to score at 1.84.

EY Emmanuel Yusuf Team 2 over 1.5odds 2.79 Lost

Monza’s trip to Parma screams goals for the visitors. The hosts still haven’t clicked as a defensive unit, and Monza have the firepower to exploit that. I’m backing the away side to net at least twice—the 2.79 price is simply too good to pass up for a team that knows how to finish.

KO Kunle Okoro Result: 2odds 2.85 Lost

Parma hosting Monza in Serie A? I expect the visitors to walk away with a comfortable win. Monza might not be the flashiest side, but they’ve got enough quality to take care of business here, and the odds at 2.85 look generous for what should be a straightforward result.

CI Chinedu Igwe Corners: Over 9.5odds 2.71 Lost

Betting on over 9.5 corners in this Parma vs Monza Serie A clash is a straight-up gamble. I'm relying on both sides to keep attacking down the flanks, which should push the corner count past that mark. Whether it works out — we'll just have to see.

TS Tunde Sowole Result: Xodds 3.05 Won
IO Ibrahim Okafor Over 0.5 (1st half)odds 1.54 Won
C cup.wizard Result: 2odds 2.92 Lost

Monza are clearly the better team right now, and I expect them to show that by taking all three points against Parma. The away win at 2.92 is a solid play here.

VT Victor T. Under 2.5odds 1.64 Won

The upcoming Serie A clash between Parma and Monza at the Stadio Ennio Tardini is shaping up to be a tight, low-scoring affair. Parma are struggling badly to create and convert chances, especially after losing their key playmakers, and they’ll likely lean on new defender Diego Carlos to shore things up at the back. Monza, meanwhile, are traveling without the injured Pessina and Varela, and will focus on defensive discipline—exactly the approach they showed in their recent cup match against Torino.

The head-to-head record backs this up: three of the last four meetings between these sides ended with under 2.5 goals, with scores of 1-1, 1-1, and 0-0. I’m backing Under 2.5 goals here at 1.64.

IO Ifeanyi Oladipo Both teams to score — Yesodds 1.87 Won

Neither Parma nor Monza have had a promising start to the Serie A campaign. Parma have lost all three matches without scoring a single goal, while Monza managed just one win against Torino after two defeats. Both sides are expected to fight for survival this season, and that alone makes this fixture more open than the league table suggests.

With so much at stake, sitting back isn't an option. The defenses are far from reliable, and the last three head‑to‑head meetings all ended with both teams finding the net. I see no reason why that trend won't continue here, and the odds are well worth taking.

CI Collins Ibe Result: 2odds 2.94 Lost

Monza are clearly the side with more quality here, and I expect them to show it. They have the stronger squad and should be able to impose their game on Parma. At odds of 2.94, backing the visitors to win is the right call.

B boss_odds Result: Xodds 2.99 Won

This Serie A clash between Parma and Monza is a perfect candidate for a draw. Both sides are evenly matched with little to separate them, so I see the match ending in a stalemate. A 1-1 result looks very likely, and I’m backing the draw at a solid price of 2.99.

WY Wale Yusuf Result: 2odds 2.86 Lost

Parma host Monza in Serie A, and I'm backing the home side to get the job done. The hosts have been tough to beat at their place, while Monza tend to struggle away from home. Simple as that.

CT Chinedu Tanko Corners: Over 9.5odds 2.71 Lost

Over 9.5 corners is the play for Parma vs Monza in Serie A. I see solid value here at 2.71.

DA Dele Adeyemi Result: Xodds 3.00 Won

The draw between Parma and Monza looks like a solid play to me. At 3.00, it's a tempting and very achievable outcome that I'm happy to back.

SB Sani Balogun Result: Xodds 2.99 Won

Parma vs Monza in Serie A has the look of a tight, cagey affair where neither side finds a breakthrough. The draw at 2.99 is priced generously for a game that feels destined to be level, so that's where I see the value. I'd be more surprised by a decisive winner than by a share of the points.

II Ikechukwu Igwe Corners: Under 8.5odds 1.70 Lost
CK Chibuzo Kalu Result: 1odds 2.84 Lost

Facing Monza at home is exactly the kind of fixture where Parma can bank three crucial points. The odds of 2.84 on a home win look too generous for a side that needs to make its stadium count. I see this as a clear opportunity to capitalise on a favourable matchup.

YO Yusuf Ojo Yellow cards: Under 3.5odds 2.05 Lost

Parma and Monza are both likely to play it safe in this Serie A fixture, keeping their discipline in check and avoiding unnecessary fouls. That points to a match with very few yellow cards, so I’m backing Under 3.5 at 2.05.

KF Kayode Fashola Result: Xodds 3.00 Won

Parma are still searching for their rhythm, and Monza look well placed to snatch a point. That's why I'm backing the draw.

EG Emeka Garba Result: Xodds 3.00 Won

Parma and Monza are set to cancel each other out in this Serie A meeting. I see no winner here, so the draw at 3.00 is the clear call.

EL Emmanuel Lawal Under 2.5odds 1.60 Won

This Parma–Monza matchup in Serie A has all the makings of a low-scoring grind. Neither side tends to open up in such a tight contest, so I’m backing the total to stay under 2.5 goals. The price of 1.60 looks fair for a game that should be decided by a single moment rather than a goal fest.

GO Gabriel Oladipo Double chance: X2odds 1.52 Won

Both Parma and Monza are still searching for their first win this season, and Parma haven't scored a single goal so far. Three of their last four head-to-head clashes ended in draws. That pattern makes the double chance X2 a logical play at 1.52 – I'm backing it.

II Ikechukwu Ibe Result: 1odds 2.66 Lost

Parma take on Monza in Serie A today, and I'm backing the hosts to come out on top. I expect an open, attacking match from both sides, which should play right into Parma's hands — my bet is on a home win at 2.66.

ST Segun Tanko Corners: Over 9.5odds 2.71 Lost

Parma and Monza consistently produce a high number of corner kicks when they meet in Serie A. Their head-to-head history shows plenty of corners, so I'm backing the over 9.5 at 2.71.

SN Sunday N. Corners: Over 9.5odds 2.71 Lost

Over 9.5 corners is the play here. Parma and Monza should have no trouble combining for at least ten today, and at 2.71 that's a price I'm happy to take.

NW Nnamdi Waziri Over 1.5 (1st half)odds 3.44 Lost

Parma and Monza have enough attacking firepower to produce at least two goals in the first half. I'm backing the over 1.5 in the opening 45 minutes at 3.44.

T top_ace_477 Double chance: X2odds 1.55 Won
FA Femi Abiodun Result: 2odds 3.06 Lost
OM Obinna Mohammed Result: 1odds 2.58 Lost

Parma's home form gives them a clear edge over Monza. I'm confident they'll secure the win.

AT Aliyu Tanko Result: 1odds 2.57 Lost

Parma at home are a gritty, battle-hardened side. Facing Monza in Serie A on September 6, I expect that edge to carry them through — the win at 2.57 is the play.

DA Daniel Abdullahi Under 1.5odds 2.68 Lost

Parma vs Monza in Serie A on September 6, 2026 — I’m backing Under 1.5 goals at 2.68. This match screams low-scoring, with both teams unlikely to find the net. Simple and direct: I expect a tight, defensive battle with at most one goal.

JW John Waziri Under 4.5odds 1.00 Won

Match poster

Parma vs Monza — odds

❓ Frequently asked questions

When and where is the Parma vs Monza match?

The match is in the third round of Serie A, taking place on 6 September 2026 at 14:00 at the Stadio Ennio Tardini in Parma.

What is the current form of both teams?

Parma have lost all three official fixtures this season without scoring a single goal, including defeats to Juventus and Cagliari. Monza also lost both league games, but were competitive against Inter (1-4) and Udinese (2-3), and beat Torino 1-0 in the Coppa Italia.

Which key players are unavailable for each side?

For Parma, Hans Nicolussi-Caviglia is injured and Adrian Bernabe is doubtful. Monza are without injured trio Matteo Pessina, Gustavo Varela (who scored in both opening league games), and Ciurria.

What is the main betting prediction for this match?

The main prediction is a Monza win, with odds of 3.02. The analysis points to Parma's severe squad weakening and goal drought, while Monza are adapting well to their pressing system against lower-tier opposition.

What is the prediction for both teams to score?

The prediction is both teams to score – no (odds 1.78). Monza kept a clean sheet in the Coppa Italia and Parma have not seen both teams score in any of their four competitive matches this season.