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Rayo Vallecano vs Alavés: Prediction, Betting Tips and Match Preview

⚽ Spain LaLiga · Spain · 20 August 2026
Rayo Vallecano logoRayo Vallecano
1:1
1st half: 0:0
20.08.2026 20:00
Alavés logoAlavés

Match events

45′
🟨Nahuel Tenaglia
Sergio Camello1:0⚽
48′
Sergio Camello🟨
73′
84′
⚽1:1Mariano Díaz
90′
🟨Nicolás Valentini

Match statistics: Rayo Vallecano vs Alavés

Rayo VallecanoAlavés
0.57xG (expected goals)1.63
48Ball possession, %52
8Shots15
3Shots on target3
9Corners7
14Fouls13
1Offsides0
1Yellow cards2
0Red cards0
77Attacks93
35Dangerous attacks57

💡 Match preview Rayo Vallecano vs Alavés

By Kayode Akintola — Football expert covering K League, Kakkonen, Liga I, Leon Second League

The first round of La Liga delivered contrasting fortunes for Rayo Vallecano and Alavés. While the Madrid side suffered a narrow defeat away to Sevilla, the Basques cruised to a comfortable victory at home. Now, both sides meet in a peculiar setting for matchday two. Rayo’s usual fortress, Vallecas, remains closed due to serious safety concerns and poor pitch conditions, forcing the fixture to be moved to the Estadio Municipal de Butarque—the home ground of Leganés. Will this unusual circumstance prevent the hosts from securing their first points of the season?

Tactical Analysis: Rayo Vallecano’s Unjust Defeat

Rayo Vallecano’s pre-season under new manager Beñat San José raised more questions than answers. They lost three of their four friendlies, conceding nine goals, with every opponent scoring at least twice. However, their official season opener painted a far more encouraging picture. Away at Sevilla, they took the lead in the 4th minute through Álvaro García, and a second goal from Isi Palazón was controversially ruled out for a foul in the buildup. In the second half, Sevilla equalized from the penalty spot, but the closing stages belonged to Rayo. They created chances and, after Kike Salas’s red card, enjoyed a numerical advantage. Despite their dominance, they failed to convert, and in the 96th minute, the hosts won a second penalty, converted by Peque. The final score of 1-2, therefore, does not reflect the quality of Rayo’s performance.

The club continued its transfer activity midweek, securing the signing of Georgian winger Giorgi Tsitaishvili. With proven experience in Spanish football, he can operate on either flank, having recorded 7 goals and 4 assists for Granada in the 2024/25 season, regularly creating danger with his pace and dribbling. A significant off-field factor remains the stadium situation. The Rayo fan club federation has announced a boycott of matches played away from Vallecas, meaning the atmosphere at Butarque will be notably subdued. This is a major concern given that, across all competitions last season, Rayo lost only 3 of their 25 home matches. Without their usual fervent support, the task becomes harder, but the venue is not entirely foreign. In the previous campaign, Rayo played at Butarque against Atlético Madrid and secured a resounding 3-0 victory.

Tactical Analysis: Alavés Find a Hero from the Bench

Alavés enjoyed a strong pre-season, remaining unbeaten in four friendlies while conceding just two goals. Their first league match was a resounding 3-0 victory over Getafe, though the scoreline was somewhat deceptive. Until Femenías’s red card in the 41st minute, the game was devoid of clear-cut chances. Alavés only broke the deadlock in the 73rd minute, and it was only after that, with more space available, that they added two late goals to make the result emphatic. While the scoreline is impressive, it masks the difficulty the Basques faced in creating opportunities against a well-organized defense.

One of the heroes of the opening round was Mariano Díaz. After a falling out with former coach Eduardo Coudet last season, the striker was frozen out of the squad and seemed destined for a summer exit. However, under new boss Kike Sánchez Flores, he has been given a fresh start. Coming off the bench against Getafe, Mariano was involved in all three goals, scoring one and providing two assists. New signing Mikel Rodríguez also got on the scoresheet, marking his debut goal in La Liga. The first match demonstrated that Sánchez Flores has quality options to bolster his attack from the bench. This is crucial given that the team is still without Lucas Boyé, one of their top scorers from last season with 11 goals. The Argentine is only just returning from injury and is likely to start the second round on the bench.

Predicted Lineups

Rayo Vallecano (4-2-3-1): Batalla – Ratiu, Lejeune, Ciss, Balliu – Valentín, López – De Frutos, Palazón, García – Nteka

Unavailable: L. Felipe, D. Méndez (both injured), Kumbulla (doubtful)

Head Coach: Beñat San José

Alavés (3-5-2): Sivera – Tenaglia, Koski, Otto – Pérez, Ibáñez, Blanco, Suárez, Rebbach – Martínez, Mariano

Unavailable: Garcés (suspended), T. Mendes (coach’s decision)

Head Coach: Kike Sánchez Flores

Referee

The match will be officiated by [Referee Name], who has a history of showing cards and managing the flow of the game. His style could be a factor, especially given the physical nature of both sides.

Prediction and Bet

Main Prediction: Rayo Vallecano to Win @ 2.30

The results from the first round paint a slightly misleading picture of both teams’ true form. Rayo lost to Sevilla, but their performance was far more convincing than the scoreline suggests. They created chances worth 1.89 xG and only failed to take points due to two penalties conceded. Alavés, on the other hand, thrashed Getafe, but did not register a single shot on target before the opposition’s red card in the 41st minute. While playing away from Vallecas is a disadvantage, it should not be a major problem for Rayo, who have already proven they can win at Butarque. Backing a home victory at odds of 2.30 offers good value.

Goal Prediction: Both Teams to Score – No @ 1.67

Head-to-head meetings between these sides rarely feature goals at both ends. In 9 of their last 10 encounters, at least one team has failed to find the net. Alavés currently play a pragmatic brand of football, having conceded just two goals in their last five matches across all competitions. Furthermore, Rayo did not concede from open play in the first round, with both Sevilla goals coming from the penalty spot. Given the defensive solidity of both sides and the historical trend of this fixture, betting on “Both Teams to Score – No” at 1.67 is a solid secondary play.

Kayode Akintola
Kayode Akintola
Football expert covering K League, Kakkonen, Liga I, Leon Second League

Kayode has spent over a decade closely monitoring the K League 1 and 2, Kakkonen, Liga I, and Leon Second League. His analysis prioritizes current form, squad rotations, and statistical indicators such as shots on target and defensive organization. He also considers coaching decisions and fixture congestion to build well-rounded forecasts, focusing on data-driven insights rather than speculation.

All articles by this author →

The editorial prediction is provided for informational purposes only and should not be treated as a direct call to action. Every reader should do their own analysis before deciding on a bet.

Starting lineups: Rayo Vallecano vs Alavés

Rayo Vallecano logoRayo Vallecano4-2-3-1
Battaglia
WittrudeFernandezLejeuneRatiu
LopezSiss
PerezPalazonDe Frutos
Camello
Out of squad:L. Felipe · InjuryKumbulla · Injury
Alavés logoAlavés3-5-2
Sivera
OttoKoskiTenaglia
RebbachRodriguezBlancoIbanezPerez
BoyeMartinez
Out of squad:GarcesT. Mendes

Match odds Rayo Vallecano vs Alavés

Result (1X2)

X3.1312.323.62

Double chance

1X1.32X21.67121.4

Both teams to score

No1.61Yes2.17

Over

11.1421.9634.450.51.071.51.562.52.623.55.3

Under

15.121.7731.150.56.61.52.472.51.423.51.09

Handicap 1

01.5611.05-13.721.51.01-1.54.75

Handicap 2

02.4311.22-17.71.51.13-1.58.9

Correct score

0:06.550:16.90:215.750:3461:05.11:15.41:212.51:3412:08.82:19.32:2193:0213:1233:246

Predictions for Rayo Vallecano vs Alavés

K king_lord_81 Both teams to score — Yesodds 1.99 Won

Rayo Vallecano and Alavés are both dangerous going forward, so I expect goals at both ends. Alavés have been surprisingly strong in attack, while Rayo tend to play open, entertaining football — this matchup has BTTS written all over it.

DO Daniel Obi Over 1.5odds 1.48 Won

The match between Rayo Vallecano and Alavés has all the signs pointing toward goals. Rayo is highly motivated and creates constant danger in attack, generating around two expected goals per match, but their reshuffled defense is prone to mistakes. On the other side, Alavés comes in flying high after scoring three goals in their last game, with Mariano Díaz in red-hot form.

Their most recent LaLiga meeting ended 2-1 with three goals, showing both sides know each other's weaknesses and won't sit back. I only need two goals total for this bet to hit, and given the attacking firepower and defensive gaps, that's a very achievable target. My pick is over 1.5 goals.

WA Wale Afolabi Corners: Over 9.5odds 1.73 Won

For their LaLiga clash on August 20th, I’m expecting a flurry of corners between Rayo Vallecano and Alavés. This bet hinges on the pace both sides bring, which historically forces defenders into hurried clearances and sets up plenty of set-piece opportunities. Over 9.5 corners at 1.73 feels like the right call given that tempo.

The flow of this match should naturally produce the necessary volume, with both teams pushing hard from the start. I’m confident we’ll see at least ten corner kicks, making this a solid play.

FL Femi Lawal Result: Xodds 3.13 Won
MG Michael Garba Corners: Under 9.5odds 1.99 Lost

Under 9.5 corners is the play for this Rayo Vallecano vs Alavés LaLiga matchup. I’m confident the total will stay below that mark.

OO Olusegun Ojo Result: 2odds 3.58 Lost
KY Kunle Y. Result: Xodds 3.10 Pending

Rayo Vallecano's 8th-place finish last season was a real statement, while Alavés settled into their usual spot in the lower half of the table. That gap in class isn't as wide as it looks, and I'm leaning toward a draw here. The hosts' preseason form has been shaky, which makes me even more confident that a share of the points is the likely outcome at 3.10.

OA Olusegun Ademola Corners: Over 11.5odds 2.88 Pending

Rayo Vallecano and Alavés both love attacking down the wings, and that’s exactly the kind of match that produces a pile of corners. When two sides push wide consistently, the corner count climbs fast — and I expect that pattern to hold here. Over 11.5 corners at 2.88 is a strong play given how these teams set up.

KI Kayode Idris Under 1.5odds 2.47 Pending

Let’s cut straight to it: this is a bet on a tight, low-scoring affair. I’m backing Under 1.5 goals here. Rayo Vallecano and Alavés both lean into pragmatic, defensive setups, and when these two sides meet in LaLiga, fireworks aren't on the menu. The rhythm of the match simply doesn't lend itself to a goal fest.

I see this one being a grind more than a thriller. Neither team has the kind of attacking firepower that blows the lid off a game, and their cautious approaches should keep the total under two goals. The odds at 2.47 reflect a solid value pick for a match I expect to end 0-0 or 1-0.

SO Suleiman Ojo Yellow cards: Result: 2odds 2.12 Pending

Alavés are the more physical side here, especially when playing away from home. That’s why I’m backing them to collect more yellow cards than Rayo Vallecano in this LaLiga match.

SN Samuel Nnaji Result: 1odds 2.33 Pending

Rayo Vallecano to win at 2.33 feels like solid value here. I'm backing them to get the job done against Alavés in this LaLiga clash.

I expect the home side to have enough quality to secure the three points. It's a straightforward bet for me.

BA Babatunde Adamu Result: 1odds 2.32 Pending

Rayo Vallecano has the clear advantage here. Alavés doesn't look as sharp, and I'm backing the home side to secure the win. The odds at 2.32 offer solid value for a team that should control the match.

YS Yusuf Suleiman Result: 1odds 2.32 Pending

Rayo Vallecano have a strong home record against Alavés in their head-to-head meetings. I expect that pattern to continue here, so I'm backing the hosts to get the win.

OI Oluwaseun Idris Result: 2odds 3.60 Pending

Alavés at 3.60 is pure value against a Rayo Vallecano side I expect to struggle. I've tweaked my match selection process and am ready to see how the updated approach performs here.

This is a confident play on the away win. Rayo Vallecano won't handle what Alavés brings, and that boosted price is a gift.

AS Abubakar Suleiman Both teams to score — Yesodds 2.17 Pending

Rayo Vallecano against Alavés in LaLiga — both sides have the firepower to find the net. I’m backing both teams to score here, and I expect them to deliver.

SD Samuel Danjuma Yellow cards: Result: 2odds 2.12 Pending

Rayo Vallecano’s home discipline is rock solid: in 9 of their last 10 home matches they have picked up no more than 2 yellow cards. That’s an 90% hit rate, and it makes the bet on exactly 2 total yellow cards in this game the clear play for me.

OS Obinna Sowole Both teams to score — Yesodds 2.17 Pending

Rayo Vallecano and Alavés both have shaky defenses, so I'm backing both teams to find the net. At 2.17, this bet offers solid value for a match where defensive errors are likely to decide the outcome.

AK Adewale Kalu Over 1.5odds 1.56 Pending

Let’s look at Rayo Vallecano against Alavés. I expect the home side to push for an early goal, but what happens after that is the real question. The match could easily settle into a 1-1 draw, which still gets us over the 1.5 goal line.

H hawkninja Result: 1odds 2.32 Pending

The opening match of this European tour had me looking at the draw, but the 3.1/1 odds just didn't add up for me. I'm backing Rayo Vallecano to take all three points at home against Alavés — the 2.32 price is far more convincing for a straight win.

SO Segun Okoro Both teams to score — Yesodds 2.17 Pending

Rayo Vallecano vs Alavés in LaLiga has all the signs of an open, high-scoring affair. I’m backing both teams to find the net — the value at 2.17 is too good to pass up.

Expect goals at both ends, plenty of action, and a bet that should cash comfortably.

KE Kabiru Emenike Over 2odds 1.97 Pending

Rayo Vallecano and Alavés will combine for at least two goals in this LaLiga clash. Over 2 at 1.97 is the play — I'm confident both sides contribute to the scoreline.

NO Nnamdi Ojo Corners: Team 2 over 4.5odds 2.02 Pending

Looking at the Rayo Vallecano vs. Alavés matchup, I’m backing the visitors to earn at least five corners. Alavés has consistently shown they can generate set-piece opportunities on the road, and this line feels very achievable given their attacking approach. The odds at 2.02 offer solid value for a bet that should hit more often than not.

KB Kingsley Balogun Double chance: X2odds 1.66 Won

Rayo Vallecano’s opening day couldn’t have stung more. They took the lead early against Sevilla, then conceded two penalties — the second in stoppage time, while the opponent was already down to ten men. That loss exposed the cracks in a backline that lost several defenders over the summer and is still being reshuffled. Those defensive issues didn’t disappear overnight.

Alavés, on the other hand, come into this one riding a wave. They dismantled Getafe 3‑0, and while the red card helped, Mariano Díaz came off the bench to score and assist twice in just 33 minutes — tough to imagine he doesn’t start here. The visitors have the momentum and the tactical flexibility to sit back and hit on the break. That’s why I’m not counting them out. Double chance X2 at 1.66 is the smart play.

SO Sani Ogunleye Both teams to score — Yesodds 2.17 Pending

Alavés will be in a tricky spot here. They tend to struggle when forced to take the game to the opposition, so I don’t expect them to just shut up shop. If Rayo Vallecano pushes forward, gaps will open — and that should lead to goals at both ends.

This feels like a match where both sides get on the scoresheet. I’m backing "Both Teams to Score — Yes" at a solid 2.17.

SS Stanley Salami Corners: Result: 2odds 2.75 Pending

Rayo Vallecano have a habit of scoring early, and when that happens, Alavés end up chasing the game and racking up corners. That dynamic is exactly what I'm betting on here. I'm taking Alavés to win the corner count at 2.75 – simple logic, strong price.

JS Joseph Sani Corners: Team 2 over 5odds 2.49 Pending

Alavés will be on the back foot in this second-round match, and they’ll likely have to chase the game. With little data to go on so far, I see them forcing quite a few corners in their push to get back into it. I’m backing the away side to take more than 5 corners at 2.49.

BI Biodun Idris Result: Xodds 3.10 Pending
KT Kelechi Tanko Result: 1odds 2.32 Pending

Rayo Vallecano at home is a tough nut to crack, and I see them grabbing all three points here. Their home form is simply too strong to overlook, and facing Alavés in this venue should play right into their hands. The odds of 2.32 on a home win offer real value for what looks like a solid outcome.

DO Dele Okoro Corners: Over 11.5odds 2.88 Pending

There will be at least 12 corner kicks in this LaLiga match between Rayo Vallecano and Alavés. I’m backing the over 11.5 at 2.88 odds.

EO Emmanuel Obi Team 1 over 1.5odds 2.79 Pending

Rayo Vallecano at home are a different beast. Their matches on their own turf are consistently high-scoring affairs, so I'm backing them to net at least two goals. The 2.79 price makes this a very sharp play.

BT Babatunde Tanko Over 1.5odds 1.57 Pending

Rayo Vallecano and Alavés have both been involved in high-scoring affairs lately. Over 1.5 goals is the straightforward call here.

YE Yusuf Emenike Over 1.5 (1st half)odds 3.78 Pending

Rayo Vallecano and Alavés are set to kick off their LaLiga campaign, and I'm backing goals in the first half. The odds of 3.78 for over 1.5 goals in the opening 45 minutes are too good to pass up. Both sides will be eager to make an early statement, and I expect at least a couple of strikes before the break.

OA Obinna Amadi Both teams to score — Yesodds 2.17 Pending

Backing both teams to score in the Rayo Vallecano vs Alavés LaLiga match at 2.17. Alavés are notorious for their terrible away performances, so I expect them to concede — but they should still manage to get on the scoresheet themselves. That combination makes the "both to score" bet the right call here.

OB Olusegun Bello Handicap 2 (0)odds 2.41 Pending

Alavés showed real fight by grinding out a late win against Getafe. Rayo Vallecano, on the other hand, are without a home stadium this season, which puts them in a tough spot. I see enough reason to side with Alavés here with a zero handicap at 2.41 – they look capable of avoiding defeat.

DO Daniel Olaniyan Team 1 over 1.5odds 2.79 Lost

Rayo Vallecano are an attack-minded side, and with the backing of their home crowd, I see them scoring at least twice against Alavés in this LaLiga fixture.

GS Godwin Sani Handicap 1 (0)odds 1.57 Pending

After a slow start to the season, Rayo Vallecano have the quality to bounce back. I’m backing them with a handicap of 0 at 1.57.

D davidfox Result: 1odds 2.31 Pending

If we look purely at the numbers and the setting, the path seems pretty clear here. Rayo Vallecano simply doesn't lose at home—they've avoided losing on goals in nine of their last ten La Liga matches at Vallecas, and they keep generating real danger in front of goal. The small stadium, the pitch, the intensity—it's all on their side against Alavés.

That's exactly why I'm backing the home win even though the odds around 2.31 suggest some doubt. It's far more solid than the market implies—I'm confidently picking Rayo Vallecano to get the job done.

GA Godwin Adekunle Result: 1odds 2.30 Pending

Rayo Vallecano are completely dominant right now — they won't give Alavés a moment’s peace on the pitch. I'm backing the home side to win at 2.30 because this team simply doesn't let opponents breathe.

Match poster

Rayo Vallecano vs Alavés — odds

❓ Frequently asked questions

When and where is the Rayo Vallecano vs Alavés match taking place?

The match is scheduled for 20 August 2026 at 20:00 local time. Due to safety concerns at Vallecas, it will be played at the Estadio Municipal de Butarque, the home of Leganés.

What is the main prediction for this match?

The main prediction is a Rayo Vallecano win at odds of 2.30, based on their strong performance in the first round despite losing, and Alavés’s flattering scoreline.

Who are the key absentees for each team?

Rayo Vallecano are without injured players L. Felipe and D. Méndez, while Kumbulla is doubtful. Alavés are missing suspended striker Garcés and T. Mendes due to a coach’s decision.

What is the recommended secondary bet?

A secondary bet is Both Teams to Score – No at 1.67, as 9 of the last 10 head-to-head meetings saw at least one team fail to score, and both sides showed defensive solidity in round one.

How did both teams perform in their opening La Liga match?

Rayo Vallecano lost 2-1 away to Sevilla but created chances worth 1.89 xG and conceded only from two penalties. Alavés won 3-0 against Getafe but did not register a shot on target before the opposition’s red card in the 41st minute.

Why is the match being played at Butarque instead of Vallecas?

Vallecas is closed due to serious safety concerns and poor pitch conditions, forcing the fixture to be moved to Leganés’s stadium.