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Rennes vs PSG: Prediction, Betting Tips and Match Preview

France Ligue 1 · France · 23 August 2026
Rennes logoRennes
2:2
1st half: 2:0
23.08.2026 19:45
PSG logoPSG

Match events

Sebastian Szymański1:0
9′
Esteban Lepol2:0
38′
Adrien Thomasson🟨
42′
Musa Al-Tamari🟨
63′
64′
🟨
71′
2:1Ferran Torres
76′
🟨Marquinhos
82′
2:2Ferran Torres
84′
🟨Achraf Hakimi

Match statistics: Rennes vs PSG

RennesPSG
0.95xG (expected goals)1.55
31Ball possession, %69
9Shots19
3Shots on target5
0Corners10
7Fouls6
0Offsides7
2Yellow cards2
0Red cards0
62Attacks164
18Dangerous attacks118

💡 Match preview Rennes vs PSG

By Kelechi Balogun — Football expert specializing in European and American leagues

Only the second time in three seasons under Luis Enrique, PSG have tasted defeat in a trophy match, with the Trophée des Champions slipping away to Lens (1-0). The capital side will be eager to make amends in Ligue 1, but they'll have to do it without the roaring support of their home crowd. Due to the substandard quality of the pitch at the Parc des Princes, the clash between Rennes and PSG has been relocated to Roazhon Park.

Rennes Struggles to Find Defensive Stability

During preseason, Franck Haise bet on high intensity and pressing, which paid off in the early friendlies against Guingamp (3-1) and Club Brugge (2-1). However, the team then drew with Galatasaray (3-3), and suffered defeats to Brentford (2-4) and Sunderland (1-2). The Bretons are scoring consistently and prolifically, thanks to the keen eye of Esteban Lepaul (seven goals this summer), but positional lapses by the defenders are undermining these successes: nine goals conceded in three first-team matches in August speak volumes. A similarly open style of play can be expected in the league. Haise categorically rejects a deep defensive block and will likely field a packed 4-3-3 formation. The hosts will aim to tie up the opponent in midfield and respond with quick counterattacks through Lepaul and Ludovic Blas.

The squad situation at the home side is far from ideal due to a major overhaul. The club is preparing to sell striker Breel Embolo (eight Ligue 1 goals last season), having already brought in young Eliezer Mayenda from Sunderland as a replacement. The defensive line has been reinforced with Bryan Reynolds, Gonçalo Oliveira, and Charlie Cresswell, but only the latter can be considered a like-for-like replacement for Jérémy Jacquard, who left for Liverpool for €63 million. Ultimately, the defense's reliability now hinges on goalkeeper Brice Samba and a still-unsettled central defensive pairing tasked with containing Paris's star-studded attack.

PSG Begins a New Chapter Without a Classic Striker

For the Parisians, the season kicked off with two trophy matches. PSG secured the UEFA Super Cup, overcoming Aston Villa (2-1) thanks to confident ball control and the brilliance of Khvicha Kvaratskhelia and Désiré Doué. However, in the Trophée des Champions, PSG unexpectedly fell to Lens (0-1). The team dictates the tempo superbly but still struggles to break down deep-set defenses due to suboptimal physical condition. Nevertheless, in Ligue 1, the visitors will continue to stick to their philosophy: Luis Enrique will once again field an attacking 4-3-3 formation, prioritizing total ball possession, aggressive counter-pressing, and rapid wing breakthroughs.

In the summer, Paris changed their attacking concept, completely doing away with a classic number nine. The club definitively parted ways with Gonçalo Ramos and Randal Kolo Muani, and brought in Ferran Torres from Barcelona to play as a "false nine." His presence up front, combined with the midfield pairing of Vitinha and Fabián Ruiz, will allow the visitors to easily exploit open spaces in the still-unfamiliar defensive setups of the opposition. Additionally, Mika Godts from Ajax and Maghnes Akliouche from Monaco were signed for rotation on the flanks. The most significant loss at the start of Ligue 1 is a three-match suspension for starting left-back Nuno Mendes, following his red card in the Trophée des Champions. He is set to be replaced by the experienced newcomer Lucas Digne from Aston Villa.

Predicted Lineups for Rennes vs PSG

Rennes (4-3-3): Samba – Franckowski, Aït Boudlal, Cresswell, Nagida – Thomasson, Rongier, Szymański – Blas, Lepaul, Soumaré

Unavailable: Camara (yellow card accumulation), Brassier, Seydou, Cissé, Fofana, Embolo (all not in the squad)

Head Coach: Franck Haise

PSG (4-3-3): Safonov – Hakimi, Marquinhos, Pacho, Digne – Zaïre-Emery, Vitinha, Ruiz – Doué, Torres, Kvaratskhelia

Unavailable: Mendes (suspension), Neves (doubtful)

Head Coach: Luis Enrique

Referee: Bastien Dechepy

One of Ligue 1's strictest officials from last season. He averaged 4.4 yellow cards per game, second only to François Letexier in that regard. Furthermore, Dechepy frequently resorted to harsher measures, having brandished 5 red cards and awarded 8 penalties over 16 matches.

Prediction for Rennes vs PSG: PSG to Win with a -1.5 Handicap at 2.34

Main Prediction: Despite their recent slip-up, PSG look like the clear favorites for this encounter. Rennes are accustomed to playing open football, and the hosts' attempts to press high will likely create open corridors between the lines. The Bretons' unsettled defense will be a convenient target for Paris's quick and technical attack. Luis Enrique's men will almost certainly seize control of the ball and confidently exploit the gaps in the opponent's backline. Statistics underscore the visitors' superiority: in three of the last four head-to-head meetings, Paris won by at least two goals. Therefore, we recommend considering a bet on PSG to win with a -1.5 handicap at 2.34.

Prediction on Total Goals: The nature of the upcoming match lends itself to high scoring. Spurred on by a packed stadium, Rennes will surely create chances in front of goal thanks to the in-form Lepaul. Especially since PSG have conceded in all their matches this new season, including friendlies against Mallorca (0-3) and Manchester United (1-1). However, the hosts' systemic defensive collapses will gift a wealth of scoring opportunities to the French champions. It's also worth noting that the last four personal meetings have produced at least four goals, and Haise's side regularly featured in "shootouts" during summer friendlies (3-3 with Galatasaray and 2-4 with Brentford). We'll go for a bet on total goals over 3.5 at 2.10.

Kelechi Balogun
Kelechi Balogun
Football expert specializing in European and American leagues

Kelechi Balogun is a football expert with a focus on the Virslīga, Úrvalsdeild, MLS All-Star Game, and youth championships. He has been analyzing these leagues for over a decade, paying close attention to team form, squad rotations, and tactical adjustments. His approach to predictions is based on statistical data, including shot accuracy and fixture congestion, rather than subjective opinions.

All articles by this author →

The editorial prediction is provided for informational purposes only and should not be treated as a direct call to action. Every reader should do their own analysis before deciding on a bet.

Starting lineups: Rennes vs PSG

Rennes logoRennes4-3-3
Samba
NagidaKressuellAit BudlalFrankowski
ShimanskiRongierThomasson
SumareLepolAl-Tamari
Out of squad:KamaraBrassierSeyduCisséFofanaEmbolo
PSG logoPSG4-3-3
Safonov
L. HernandezPachoMarquinhosHakimi
NevesVitinhaZaire-Emery
KvaratskheliaDembéléDoué
Out of squad:Mendes · SuspendedBarcolaMbaye

Match odds Rennes vs PSG

Result (1X2)

X4.715.7521.55

Double chance

1X2.56X21.16121.22

Both teams to score

No2.36Yes1.52

Over

21.1431.6642.8255.351.51.092.51.423.52.124.53.45.55.9

Under

24.732.1841.4151.111.55.52.52.693.51.744.51.285.51.08

Handicap 1

04.211.9521.331.061.51.612.51.213.51.03

Handicap 2

01.18-11.8-23.34-36.75-1.52.32-2.53.92-3.57.3

Correct score

0:0220:110.250:29.30:3120:4200:5411:0221:18.51:27.81:310.751:417.751:5362:0382:116.52:2132:317.52:4313:1433:2363:341

Predictions for Rennes vs PSG

GO Gabriel Okoro Team 2 over 1.5odds 1.44 Won

Rennes host PSG in Ligue 1, and I’m backing the visitors to score at least two goals. PSG have one of the strongest squads around – just look at their Champions League and UEFA Super Cup wins. With Dembélé, Kvara, Vitinha and plenty more firepower, they’re more than capable of putting a couple past Rennes. The last meeting ended 3-1 in Rennes’ favour, so PSG will be out for revenge and should come out firing.

Rennes’ defence has been shaky against top sides – in the previous season they conceded two or more against Lyon, Marseille, Brest, Lille and PSG themselves. Their preseason form doesn’t inspire confidence either: three losses and a draw, all with at least two goals conceded. PSG have won six of their last ten matches, and I expect them to cover the 1.5 team goals line comfortably here.

GA Gabriel Adewale Corners: Over 9.5odds 1.70 Won

Recent head-to-head meetings between Rennes and PSG have featured a high number of corners. That makes over 9.5 corners at 1.70 the clear play here.

CO Chukwuma Olawale Over 4odds 3.10 Void

Rennes versus PSG? I'm backing over 4 goals. This matchup is going to produce a ton of scoring — both sides will find the net in a high‑octane affair.

DY Dele Yusuf Handicap 2 (-1)odds 1.77 Lost

PSG’s loss in the French Super Cup still stings, but I see that as a one-off. On the road against Rennes in Ligue 1, they’re a different beast altogether. The talent gap is just too wide for the hosts to handle.

I’m backing PSG to cover a -1 handicap here. They’ve got the firepower to win by at least two goals, and I expect them to come out firing after that early-season setback. The odds at 1.77 look solid for this kind of statement win.

DG Daniel Garba Handicap 2 (-1.5)odds 2.31 Lost

PSG are clear favorites in this one, and I see them winning comfortably on the road. I'm backing the visitors to cover a -1.5 handicap—Rennes simply won't be able to keep the deficit within a single goal.

PI Peter Ibe Yellow cards: Result: 1odds 2.65 Lost

Rennes to rack up more yellow cards than PSG – that's my call for this Ligue 1 matchup. The hosts have the edge in that department, and I'm confident they'll deliver.

I ironfan Over 3odds 1.75 Won

Rennes have a knack for pulling off surprises, but they also have a habit of leaking goals. PSG are PSG—they’ll get on the scoresheet without much doubt. Especially after that wild match against Lens, I see no reason the total stays under three. Over 3 at 1.75 looks like the clear play here.

WL Wale Lamido Corners: Team 2 over 5.5odds 1.93 Won

PSG will be on the front foot from the opening whistle, so I’m backing them to pile up the corner count. Facing Rennes, the visitors should dominate possession and create enough pressure to rack up over 5.5 corners without much trouble.

BI Biodun Idris Over 2.5 (2nd half)odds 3.13 Lost
G gold.oracle81 Corners: Over 9.5odds 1.71 Won

Let’s be honest—expecting a quiet match between Rennes and PSG is wishful thinking. Both sides love to attack and fire off shots, so I’m backing the corner count to climb over 9.5. The odds at 1.71 make sense given how these two play.

DB Dele Bello Result: 2odds 1.53 Lost
DO David Okonkwo Result: 2odds 1.53 Lost

PSG's Super Cup loss should fuel a strong response. I'm backing them to win at Rennes at 1.53.

O over.star Result: 2odds 1.55 Lost

PSG are set to bounce back after their Supercup defeat to Lens. I considered taking them with a handicap, but the outright win at 1.55 is the cleaner play.

AO Abubakar Obiora Result: 2odds 1.55 Lost
DO David Ogundipe Double chance: 1Xodds 2.56 Won

PSG are notoriously slow starters in Ligue 1, and they won't be rushing to hit top gear this early in the campaign. That leaves Rennes with a solid opportunity to avoid defeat on their own turf, so I'm backing the double chance on the home side at 2.56.

ST Segun T. Result: 2odds 1.55 Lost

PSG’s trip to Rennes looks like a straightforward win. The Parisians are simply on another level compared to their opponent, and I don’t see Rennes putting up much of a fight here. Betting on a PSG victory at 1.55 feels like the safest play on the board.

YT Yusuf Tanko Correct score 1:2odds 7.70 Lost
PA Peter Adamu Team 1 under 0.5odds 2.72 Lost

Rennes under 0.5 goals at 2.72 – I'm backing Moti to keep a clean sheet.

KL Kingsley Lawal Result: 2odds 1.55 Lost

PSG have a point to prove after losing to Lens and missing out on a trophy. A strong start to the season is crucial. I don't see this being a walk in the park, but I'm confident PSG will take the win — and by a two-goal margin at that.

VL Victor Lamido Team 2 over 2.5odds 2.39 Lost

PSG should have no trouble finding the net multiple times here. I’m backing them to score at least three goals against Rennes, as I expect a high-scoring and open game.

UK Usman K. Result: 2odds 1.55 Lost
DI David Igwe Result: 2odds 1.55 Lost
IB Ikechukwu Bankole Result: 2odds 1.55 Lost
CM Chibuzo Madu Double chance: 1Xodds 2.62 Won

Rennes won't lose this one. PSG arrive psychologically shattered, and I expect the hosts to edge them by the narrowest of margins. That's why I'm backing the double chance on Rennes or a draw at 2.62.

KN Kunle Nwosu Corners: Team 1 over 4.5odds 2.02 Lost

Rennes versus PSG – I'm taking the hosts to notch over 4.5 corners at 2.02. Hope this one delivers and doesn't leave me frustrated.

S statanalyst93 Over 2.5odds 1.42 Won

This match between Rennes and PSG in Ligue 1 has all the ingredients for a high-scoring affair. Both sides are set up to attack, and with the quality on the pitch, I don't see this one staying under 2.5 goals. The odds of 1.42 offer solid value for what I expect to be an open game.

DA Daniel Abiodun Handicap 2 (-1.5)odds 2.31 Lost

PSG haven't exactly hit the ground running this season, but when you look at the talent they can put on the pitch, it's hard to see Rennes holding them off. I'm backing the visitors to win by at least two goals, and the -1.5 handicap at 2.31 feels like solid value. Individual class should decide this one.

CI Collins Ibe Team 2 under 2.5odds 1.60 Won

PSG's goal output will be limited in this matchup. Under 2.5 goals for the visitors is the straightforward call — they simply won't put up a big number here.

ST Sani Tanko Result: 2odds 1.55 Lost

PSG lifted the UEFA Super Cup but fell short in the Trophée des Champions. That contrast is a clear motivator — I expect them to respond with a focused performance, so their victory over Rennes is the pick.

BA Biodun Afolabi Handicap 2 (-1.5)odds 2.32 Lost

PSG’s attacking setup is nothing new—they’ve been playing this way all season, and the results speak for themselves. Rennes won’t be able to contain them here, so I’m backing the visitors to win by at least two goals.

KA Kelechi Adewale Corners: Over 11.5odds 2.78 Lost

This Rennes vs PSG Ligue 1 clash is another corner-heavy spot. I'm taking the over 11.5 corners at 2.78 — that price looks too generous for a match with this attacking potential.

JS John Sani Result: 2odds 1.55 Lost
PA Peter Abiodun Result: 2odds 1.55 Lost
DA David Afolabi Result: 2odds 1.55 Lost

Let's not pretend that PSG didn't put on a woeful display against Lens in the Super Cup. That was a pathetic showing. Now, they have exactly the kind of opponent they need to steamroll and get their act together against a Rennes side that simply isn't built to stop them.

I’m expecting a dominant, sharp performance from the visitors here. They need to prove a point, and a struggling Rennes is the perfect punching bag. Backing PSG to win is the obvious and correct call.

A anthonyboss83 Result: 2odds 1.55 Lost

PSG are simply too strong for Rennes, especially at this early stage of the season when they need to build a gap at the top. I’m backing a straightforward away win here.

The visitors have the quality to control this match from start to finish. Rennes might get on the scoresheet, but it won’t be enough to stop PSG from taking all three points.

F fox.king Result: 2odds 1.55 Lost

Rennes vs PSG in Ligue 1, and I’m backing the visitors to win. PSG kick off their title defense under Luis Enrique, and despite a big summer signing in Manes Aklouche from Monaco, they’re hit hard by injuries. Key defender Lucas Hernandez is out, along with Presnel Kimpembe and Gonçalo Ramos, leaving their backline shaky early on. Still, the talent gap is massive, and I expect PSG’s firepower to overcome those defensive holes and secure the win at 1.55.

IM Ifeanyi Mohammed Result: 2odds 1.55 Lost
OO Oluwaseun Olaniyan Result: 2odds 1.55 Lost

PSG to win at Rennes in Ligue 1 — that's the pick. The odds of 1.55 look fair for a side of their quality, and I'm confident they'll take all three points on the road.

VY Victor Yusuf Team 1 over 1odds 1.91 Won

PSG’s attacking focus will leave gaps at the back, and Rennes will exploit them. I expect the hosts to score more than once here—backing Rennes over 1 goal at 1.91.

SS Samuel Sani Result: 2odds 1.56 Lost

Match poster

Rennes vs PSG — odds

❓ Frequently asked questions

When and where will the Rennes vs PSG match take place?

The match is scheduled for 23 August 2026 at 19:45. Due to the poor pitch quality at Parc des Princes, the game has been relocated to Roazhon Park in Rennes.

Who is the favorite for this match?

PSG are clear favorites. The preview recommends a bet on PSG to win with a -1.5 handicap at odds of 2.34, citing their superior attack and Rennes' defensive instability.

What are the key absences for both sides?

PSG left-back Nuno Mendes is suspended for three matches after a red card in the Trophée des Champions; Lucas Digne replaces him. Vitinha is doubtful. For Rennes, defender Jérémy Jacquard was sold to Liverpool, striker Breel Embolo is set to be sold, and several players (Camara, Brassier, Seydou, Cissé, Fofana, Embolo) are unavailable.

What betting tips are mentioned in the preview?

The main tip is PSG -1.5 handicap at 2.34. Additional tips include total goals over 3.5 at 2.10 and over 2.5 goals in the second half at 3.13.

How have the teams performed recently?

Rennes have scored consistently (Esteban Lepaul with 7 summer goals) but conceded 9 goals in three first-team matches in August. PSG lost the Trophée des Champions (0-1 to Lens) but won the UEFA Super Cup (2-1 vs Aston Villa). They have conceded in all preseason and trophy matches so far.