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Spartak Trnava vs CSKA: prediction and odds

Europe Conference League · Europe · 22 July 2026
Spartak Trnava logoSpartak Trnava
0:0
1st half: 0:0
22.07.2026 19:30
CSKA logoCSKA

Match events

22′
🟨Diego Daniel Medina Roman
26′
🟨Moataz Zemzemi
30′
🟨Jairo Cuéllar
M Bajrami🟨
34′
45′
🟨
68′
🟨Georgi Rusev

Match statistics: Spartak Trnava vs CSKA

Spartak TrnavaCSKA
51Ball possession, %49
11Shots6
3Shots on target1
7Corners6
15Fouls15
1Yellow cards5
0Red cards0
71Attacks90
59Dangerous attacks54

💡 Match preview Spartak Trnava vs CSKA

Spartak Trnava has grown accustomed not just to European competition over the past four seasons, but specifically to reaching at least the third qualifying round of the Conference League. In the 2026/27 edition, the Slovakian side is determined to go further, and their first obstacle on that path is Sofia's CSKA — a club with a remarkably thin resume on the continental stage. Will this disparity in experience prove decisive in the first leg of this two-legged tie?

Tactical Analysis: Spartak Trnava

Slovak Side Strengthens for Conference League Push

Finishing third in the 2025/26 Slovak league, Trnava earned their ticket to the Conference League. "Spartak" are seasoned European campaigners, having featured in the group stage of UEFA's third-tier competition in 2023/24. However, subsequent eliminations in the third qualifying round in each of the last two seasons prompted a summer of targeted reinforcement. The club retained its core midfield unit but overhauled other areas. Key arrivals include goalkeeper Martin Janáček (32 appearances for Albanian side Elbasani), forward Loren Mehmeti (3 goals, 1 assist for Swedish club United Nordic), and defenders Meloš Bajrami (29 matches for Albania's Vllaznia) and Juanmi Carrión (14 games for Sofia's CSKA). This last acquisition is particularly significant, as Carrión possesses intimate knowledge of the opponent's style.

The new signings have been immediately integrated into the starting XI. Trnava has played six friendlies during the off-season. Early cohesion was shaky, especially defensively, as the team went winless against Czech opponents Teplice (0-2), Viktoria Plzeň (1-1), Slovácko (1-1), and Kroměříž (1-3). While those sides were of a higher caliber, they were also in preseason, making a victory seem attainable. Success finally arrived in the sixth match, a 3-2 triumph over Turkish giants Beşiktaş — a result that should inject significant confidence. Mehmeti found the net in that game, suggesting his adaptation is on schedule.

Tactical Analysis: CSKA Sofia

CSKA Coach Preserves Key Men for European Battles

Like their upcoming opponents, the Sofia club finished third in the Bulgarian league, securing their Conference League berth. CSKA avoided a major squad overhaul this summer. Seven players departed, but only three had featured in more than 20 matches last season. Their replacements include Moataz Zemzemi (27 games in the Tunisian league in 2025/26), who strengthens the central axis, and defenders Kostadin Iliev (33 matches in Bulgaria) and Héctor Cuéllar from Bolivia's top flight. These newcomers have been quickly integrated into the first team.

In preseason, CSKA played five friendlies, suffering just one defeat — a 0-1 loss to a strong Croatian side, Varaždin. Notable victories include a 3-0 win over the more prestigious Serbian club Partizan and a 4-1 triumph over Kosovo's Drita, who have European experience.

The Bulgarian league season has already begun, and CSKA opened with a 2-2 draw against Spartak Varna. Before the match, head coach Aleksandar Aleksandrov admitted his team was only at 80% readiness and described their Conference League opponents as extremely difficult. Consequently, he fielded a mixed lineup, resting key players. CSKA conceded twice in the first half. The introduction of regular starters turned the game around, largely due to one individual: Mamadou Diallo, who recorded a goal and an assist in that match, having also scored against Partizan in preseason. It's also worth noting that CSKA missed European football entirely last season, and the year before, they were humbled 0-4 away to Cyprus's Pafos in the qualifiers.

Predicted Lineups

Spartak Trnava: Janáček; Kóša, Štetina, Carrión, Mikovič; Bainović, Zeljković; Azango, Procházka, Paur; Mehmeti.

CSKA Sofia: Busatto; Viyachki, Mattheij, Iliev, Turitsov; Heer, Zemzemi; Phaeton, Lindseth, Diallo; Godoy.

Referee: Mathieu Vernice (France)

In the 2025/26 season, the French official took charge of 22 competitive matches and established a reputation as a strict referee. On average, Mathieu Vernice issued 4.64 yellow cards per game and recorded 27.8 fouls. He awarded a penalty in every other match.

Prediction and Bet

Main Prediction: Spartak Trnava to Win (Odds: 2.35)

The bookmakers view the sides as roughly equal, but the visitors face a difficult task in this match. First, Spartak has completed a full preseason, successfully integrating new players and gaining confidence from their victory over a high-profile opponent like Beşiktaş. Second, the current Slovakian squad possesses vastly superior European experience. Navigating the early qualifying rounds has long ceased to be a challenge for Trnava, whereas CSKA has only had two attempts. In their first, they conceded three goals away to Romania's FCSB (3-2 loss), and in the second, they shipped four to Cyprus's Pafos (4-0 loss) — both results highlighting the team's weakness on the road. Third, the CSKA coaching staff has already stated their intention to adopt a defensive posture in Slovakia, which plays directly into the hands of the hosts, who will be comfortable playing as the dominant side. We must also consider the inside knowledge of Juanmi Carrión, who can theoretically expose CSKA's weaknesses after playing for them. Considering all these factors, backing a Spartak victory at 2.35 is the play.

Goals Prediction: Both Teams to Score – Yes (Odds: 1.83)

Spartak Trnava failed to keep a clean sheet in any of their six preseason friendlies. In their last European campaign, they conceded 12 goals across the same qualifying distance, an average of two per game. We have already detailed CSKA's poor away record in Europe, and conceding twice in their first league match of the new season does little to inspire defensive confidence. Therefore, betting on both teams to find the net at 1.83 is a strong option.

Match odds Spartak Trnava vs CSKA

Result (1X2)

X3.2212.3523.02

Double chance

1X1.36X21.56121.32

Both teams to score

No1.88Yes1.8

Over

11.0421.5332.9346.30.51.021.51.312.52.083.53.544.57.1

Under

16.8522.2631.3341.060.58.21.52.942.51.713.51.224.51.04

Handicap 1

01.6711.09-13.72-29.51.51.06-1.54.6

Handicap 2

02.1211.221-15.351.51.13-1.56.4

Correct score

0:08.10:18.20:214.750:3361:06.951:15.651:210.51:3272:0112:18.92:214.252:3383:0243:120.53:232

Predictions for Spartak Trnava vs CSKA

GW Gabriel Waziri Over 2.5 (1st half)odds 7.80 Lost

I'm backing the first half total over 2.5 goals in this UEFA Conference League second qualifying round clash between Spartak Trnava and CSKA 1948. Both sides finished strongly in their domestic leagues—Trnava earned bronze with 56 points, while CSKA 1948 secured silver by outperforming Ludogorets on head-to-head. These are two attack-minded teams that thrive on creating chances and scoring, and their open, counter-attacking styles often lead to early goals. Given their aggressive approaches, I expect plenty of dangerous moments in the first half, and the trend of high scoring should continue here.

MI Musa Idris Handicap 1 (0)odds 1.67 Void

I expect that in this two-legged tie between evenly matched sides, the away team will be content with a draw. That's why I'm backing the home team with a handicap of 0 at odds of 1.67.

KA Kelechi Adewale Team 1 over 1.5odds 2.40 Lost

I am confident that Spartak Trnava will score exactly 2 goals against their opponent. This prediction is based on their consistent attacking form and the specific weaknesses in the opposing defense that I have analyzed. The team’s recent matches show a clear pattern of finding the net twice, and I expect that trend to continue in this fixture.

SO Segun Onyeka Both teams to score — Yesodds 1.80 Lost

I'm betting on both teams to score in the Trnava vs CSKA match. Both sides have shown attacking intent and defensive vulnerabilities recently, making it highly likely that each will find the net. This is a straightforward call based on their current form and head-to-head tendencies.

YO Yemi Okafor Over 2.5odds 2.09 Lost

I predict that in this game, the opponents will score at least 3 goals. My bet is on over 2.5 goals.

SO Stella Obi Result: 1odds 2.38 Lost

I’m confident that Sparta will win at home. Playing on familiar ground brings a real edge; the crowd lifts the players and opposing sides often struggle here. The team’s form at home has been consistent, and in a competition like this, that advantage often makes the difference. I’m betting on a clean victory.

CE Chinedu Eze Result: 1odds 2.34 Lost

I'm predicting a win for the home team. This match will be intense, but the hosts have the edge in form and crowd support, which should carry them through to victory.

FA Folake Abdullahi Result: 2odds 3.15 Lost

Today, I’m trying this specific play in the game. Confident it’ll pay off.

TB Temitope Bello Result: 1odds 2.33 Lost

I confidently predict a home team victory. We'll watch the match and see the result unfold, so I'm standing by this bet.

JO John Olawale Corners: Result: 1odds 1.92 Won

I'm confident the home team will win the corner count. They'll be the ones pushing forward and creating chances, which naturally leads to more corners. The away side will be pinned back and defending deep, so I expect a clear advantage in this market.

UO Usman Okonkwo Corners: Team 1 over 4.5odds 1.79 Won

I'm confident Spartak Trnava will take at least five corner kicks in this match. They're the stronger side and should control possession, pushing forward consistently to create scoring chances. Their attacking style, especially down the flanks, naturally leads to corners, and against an opponent likely to sit deep, they'll have plenty of opportunities to force set pieces.

OO Obinna Onyeka Over 3odds 2.93 Lost

I predict that Spartak Trnava and CSKA Sofia will combine for at least 4 goals in this match. The dynamics between these two sides strongly suggest an open game with plenty of attacking intent. Based on their recent form and head-to-head tendency, I’m confident this bet will hit.

AO Aisha Olaniyan Correct score 0:0odds 8.10 Won

I'm confident this match ends in a 0-0 draw. Both sides are defensively solid and lack the attacking sharpness to break the deadlock, so a goalless stalemate is the most likely result.

WO Wale Ojo Over 2.5odds 2.08 Lost

I'm betting on over 2.5 goals here, and I'm confident the total will hit exactly three. No doubt about it.

IE Ifeoma Eze Result: 1odds 2.35 Lost

I'm confident this match will deliver that outcome. Let's see it happen.

AA Amina Amadi Result: 2odds 3.02 Lost

I'm predicting a win for the Knights. The matchup heavily favors them—they're the stronger team on paper, with superior form and a deeper roster. The opposition has struggled against similar playstyles, and I don't see them turning it around here. Expect the Knights to control the game from start to finish and secure the victory.

GA Godwin Adamu Over 2.5odds 2.08 Lost

I'm confidently taking the over. Both teams are attack-minded, so we'll see at least 3 goals here.

US Usman Sowole Under 2.5odds 1.71 Pending

I don't expect many goals in this match. It's going to be a low-scoring affair, so don't anticipate a flurry of goals.

KO Kunle Obiora Result: Xodds 3.22 Pending

I predict a draw in this match. Both sides are evenly matched, and I see no clear advantage for either team.

KK Kayode Kalu Result: 1odds 2.35 Pending

I predict Spartak will win. Their recent form and home advantage give them a clear edge, and the opponent's defensive weaknesses are too obvious to ignore. This is a straightforward bet based on the matchup data.

VO Victor Oyelaran Over 1.5 (1st half)odds 3.00 Pending

I am betting that both teams will score in the first half of the Spartak Trnava vs. CSKA match. Both sides have aggressive attacking play and defensive vulnerabilities, making early goals likely. The pressure to perform in a competitive fixture increases the chance of an open start, so I expect at least one goal from each team before halftime.

HM Hauwa Madu Result: 2odds 3.02 Pending

I am backing the away team to win this match. They have been playing well and have a real chance to secure the victory.

CL Chinedu Lawal Result: Xodds 3.22 Pending

I see both teams as equally disjointed and lackluster. I'm confident they'll just muddle through the entire match without any spark.

SL Sani Lawal Over 2.5odds 2.08 Pending

I'm confidently backing the over total in this game. Both teams create plenty of chances, so goals are highly likely from both sides. This is a straightforward bet on a high-scoring match.

FO Fatima Ojo Result: 1odds 2.35 Pending

Spartak has the experience edge and home-field advantage—I'm confident they’ll beat CSKA. Plain and simple: they’re the stronger side today.

OO Olusegun Ojo Team 1 over 1.5odds 2.38 Pending

I believe this matchup will see the individual total go over. The key players are in strong form, and the opposing defense has shown clear vulnerabilities in recent games. With the pace of play favoring high scoring, I'm confident the line will be surpassed.

BF Babatunde Fashola Both teams to score — Yesodds 1.80 Pending

I'm confidently taking both teams to score in this match. Both sides play attacking football, so goals are highly likely at both ends.

SA Samuel Adebayo Result: 1odds 2.35 Pending

I'm backing Spartak Trnava to win this match against CSKA. I see value in the home side taking all three points.

ZA Zainab Ademola Result: Xodds 3.22 Pending

I am predicting a draw here. Both sides have shown defensive discipline and lack cutting edge in recent matches, making a stalemate the most likely outcome. The odds reflect this balance, and I see no reason to bet against history repeating itself.

OA Oluwaseun Akintola Over 2.5odds 2.08 Pending

I'm taking the over on total goals here, because this matchup is primed for at least three goals. Both sides have shown they can find the net, and the defensive setups aren't strong enough to keep this low-scoring. The pace and attacking intent from the start will push the total past that mark.

RS Ruth Sowole Result: 1odds 2.35 Pending

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CO Chidinma Oyelaran Under 3odds 1.33 Pending

I’m backing CSKA to take the win here. Their superior quality and experience in European competition should be too much for Spartak Trnava, who have struggled to impose themselves against stronger sides. Expect a controlled performance where CSKA’s midfield dominates and they break through the hosts’ defense. I’m confident the visitors will win with a clean sheet, likely 0-2.

PB Peter Bankole Team 2 over 1.5odds 2.83 Pending

The visitors are far superior, and I'm confident they'll win this game. They'll score at most two goals.

GA Gift Afolabi Over 1.5 (1st half)odds 3.00 Pending

I'm confident we'll see at least 2 goals in the first half. The pace is high, and both teams are pressing early, creating chances. This bet is realistic and backed by the match dynamics.

DO Daniel Onyeka Over 2.5odds 2.08 Pending

Both teams are consistently conceding goals, so why fix what isn't broken? I'm sticking with the over on goals here—there's no reason to expect a defensive masterclass.

EA Emeka Abdullahi Over 1.5 (1st half)odds 3.00 Pending

I'm confidently predicting that both teams will find the net in the first half. The reasoning is straightforward—recent form and head-to-head data show early goals are a recurring pattern here, and the odds are too high to ignore for this specific outcome.

SO Sani Ogunleye Result: 1odds 2.35 Pending

I confidently predict the home team will win. They play better in attack on their own field and will simply score more goals than their opponents.

TO Titi Ojo Result: 1odds 2.35 Pending

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EN Emmanuel Nwosu Over 1 (1st half)odds 2.03 Pending

I'm betting that both teams will score in the first half. I see attacking intent from the start, making an early exchange of goals the most likely outcome.

BL Blessing Lawal Under 2.5odds 1.71 Pending

I'm betting on under 2.5 goals in Spartak Trnava vs CSKA. Both teams tend to play defensively in European fixtures, and recent form suggests a tight, low-scoring affair. I'm confident this match stays under the total.

GA Gift Akintola Result: 1odds 2.35 Pending

Spartak has far more European experience than CSKA in this matchup. That's why I'm confidently backing the home win.

AA Amina Adamu Result: 1odds 2.35 Pending

I predict Bulgaria will perform disappointingly in this unfortunate battle. Their forces lack the cohesion and strategic depth needed to turn the tide, and the odds are heavily stacked against them. The outcome will be grim, and I'm confident they won't rise to the occasion.

Match poster

Spartak Trnava vs CSKA — odds