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St Joseph's vs Bohemians Dublin: prediction and odds

Europe Conference League · Europe · 16 July 2026
St Joseph's logoSt Joseph's
0:0
1st half: 0:0
16.07.2026 17:00
Bohemians Dublin logoBohemians Dublin

Match events

Álvaro Cascajo Franco🟨
36′
63′
🟨Dawson Devoy
Marco Rosa🟨
65′
Francis Ferrón🟥
65′
65′
🟨Sam Todd
80′
🟨Ross Tierney
81′
🟨Jordan Flores

Match statistics: St Joseph's vs Bohemians Dublin

St Joseph'sBohemians Dublin
47Ball possession, %53
13Shots11
2Shots on target2
6Corners5
21Fouls11
0Offsides4
2Yellow cards4
1Red cards0
89Attacks105
56Dangerous attacks64

💡 Match preview St Joseph's vs Bohemians Dublin

In Gibraltar, local side St. Joseph’s will attempt the seemingly impossible in the second leg of the UEFA Conference League first qualifying round against Irish outfit Bohemians. The first leg in Dublin laid bare a chasm in class and competitive sharpness: the visitors dominated for the full 90 minutes and carved out a comfortable two-goal cushion (2-0). For the hosts, this encounter represents a stern examination—their defensive shape will be tested to the limit from the very first whistle.

Tactical Analysis: St. Joseph’s – Lack of Match Practice and a Disastrous First Leg

The Gibraltarian team had a respectable domestic season, but their local championship concluded all the way back at the end of April. That two-and-a-half-month absence from competitive football proved disastrous for the players’ conditioning in the first meeting.

In Dublin, St. Joseph’s looked utterly helpless. They managed only 35% possession and mustered just two shots on target. Their backline, marshalled by goalkeeper Francisco Vela, regularly creaked under the pressure of Bohemians’ wide attacks. Now, trailing by two goals, the hosts are forced to open up from the kick-off. For an aging, sluggish defense—one that conceded three times even against modest Lions Gibraltar (3-3) at the close of the domestic season—this scenario is extremely dangerous.

Tactical Analysis: Bohemians – Peak Physical Condition and an Impeccable Clean Sheet Run

In stark contrast, Bohemians are in the midst of the Irish Premier League season and at the peak of competitive sharpness. Alan Reynolds’ men have hit a sensational stride, winning four consecutive official matches with a combined score of 9-0. Over that impressive stretch they haven’t conceded a single goal, successively dispatching Shelbourne (3-0), St. Patrick’s Athletic (2-0), Drogheda United (2-0), and then sealing the first-leg advantage against St. Joseph’s (2-0).

In the home leg, the Irish side dominated totally: 65% possession, 13 shots on goal, and seven corners. Left winger Danny Grant was in magnificent form, tearing apart his flank in the first match, while captain Jordan Flores completely controlled the midfield, preventing the opposition from launching a single meaningful counterattack. On the road, Bohemians are supremely confident, having won four of their last five away fixtures. With a clear physical superiority, they will easily seize control of the tempo on Gibraltar’s artificial surface as well.

Referee: Kristaps Ratnieks (Latvia)

Latvian official Kristaps Ratnieks has refereed 135 matches across all competitions, issuing 465 yellow cards (a moderate average of 3.44 per game), 9 red cards, and awarding 34 penalties. In the Latvian top flight his average strictness sits at 3.36 cautions per match. Ratnieks falls into the category of lenient referees who allow players to engage in tight physical battles without blowing his whistle for every minor foul. This “English” style of officiating benefits the visitors from Ireland, who are accustomed to robust challenges in their own league. Unless the game descends into outright aggression, we should not expect a flurry of cards from the Latvian.

Prediction and Bet

Main Prediction: Bohemians win with a handicap of (-1.5) at odds of 1.98

The tactical and physical superiority of the Irish club in this tie is undeniable. Bohemians are in phenomenal competitive rhythm, having won four official matches in a row with a combined score of 9-0. The difference in speed was glaringly obvious in the first leg, where the Irish side unleashed 13 shots and completely smothered the opposition in midfield. St. Joseph’s, lacking match action for two and a half months, are simply not functionally equipped to maintain the pace over 90 minutes. Forced to chase a two-goal deficit, the Gibraltarians will have to expose themselves from the start, and with Bohemians’ rapid wingers, that will lead to repeated defensive collapses and a comprehensive victory. Bohemians have won three of their last four official matches by at least two goals (3-0 vs Shelbourne, two 2-0 wins over St. Patrick’s and Drogheda), while St. Joseph’s lost the first head-to-head in Dublin without any attacking threat (0-2). Prediction: Bohemians win with handicap (-1.5) at 1.98. We assess the probability of this handicap being covered at 51% (anything above 1.96 is playable).

Total Prediction: Over 2.5 goals in the match at odds of 1.57

The scenario of the return leg will inevitably force the game open. The hosts have nothing to lose after the 0-2 away defeat, so they must attack with numbers, leaving their already vulnerable defense exposed. Bohemians, with their pacey wide players, will regularly find free spaces for counter-attacks. Moreover, Bohemians’ away matches traditionally feature goals – three of their last five road fixtures have gone over 2.5 goals (wins 4-2 over Galway United and 3-1 over Sligo Rovers). And St. Joseph’s defense, in their last home game, conceded three times to Lions Gibraltar (3-3). Prediction: total goals over 2.5 at 1.57. We assess the probability of this outcome at 66% (anything above 1.51 is playable).

Match odds St Joseph's vs Bohemians Dublin

Result (1X2)

X4.2516.221.49

Double chance

1X2.53X21.1121.2

Both teams to score

No1.98Yes1.72

Over

21.2431.9643.6457.41.51.152.51.573.52.544.54.335.58

Under

23.3631.7241.2251.031.54.32.52.153.51.494.51.155.51.02

Handicap 1

04.611.9121.2531.041.51.572.51.173.51.03

Handicap 2

01.13-11.74-23.32-37.2-1.52.29-2.53.98-3.57.8

Correct score

0:014.50:17.60:27.60:310.50:418.750:5411:018.251:17.51:27.81:311.251:4201:5432:0412:118.252:215.252:3232:441

Predictions for St Joseph's vs Bohemians Dublin

GA Grace Anyanwu Handicap 2 (-1)odds 2.10 Lost

Tonight's Conference League clash sees St Joseph's hosting Bohemians Dublin in the second leg of their round of 16 tie. I don't expect the Gibraltar side to overturn their two-goal deficit—in fact, I'm backing them to lose again. My pick is a confident win for the Irish side with a handicap of -1.

St Joseph's look outmatched here. They've won just one of their last five matches, and that was a narrow 1-0 home victory against an obscure local side. Simply being in European competition is a huge achievement for them, and no one realistically expected more. Bohemians, meanwhile, are in superb form with four straight wins, including victory over these same opponents in the first leg. They're the far stronger team, and I'm confident they'll win comfortably.

SF Segun Fashola Handicap 2 (-1.5)odds 2.63 Lost

Bohemians Dublin are in excellent form, and I'm expecting a confident win here. They've been playing with real momentum, and I see no reason for that to stop now.

HB Halima Balogun Result: 2odds 1.64 Lost

I expect the visitors to win. The difference in class between the two sides is clear, and I don't see the hosts turning this game around.

KS Kemi Suleiman Yellow cards: Under 4odds 2.34 Lost

I'm confident St. Joseph's and Bohemians Dublin will finish with three or fewer cards total. The match tempo and referee style support a clean, low-card outcome.

AA Aisha Afolabi Correct score 1:2odds 7.70 Lost

Bohemians will win 1-2. I'm confident in their strong away form and the opponent's recent defensive lapses.

KN Kemi Nwachukwu Handicap 2 (-1.5)odds 2.52 Lost

I'm confident Bohemians will close out this match calmly, and I wouldn't be surprised if they turn it into a rout. Their form and control point to a comfortable win.

TA Titi Abdullahi Under 3.5odds 1.44 Won

I confidently predict that Bohemians Dublin's upcoming match will see under 3.5 total goals. This trend has held strong for their last five consecutive games, and I see no reason for it to break now.

AN Adewale Nwosu Both teams to score — Yesodds 1.68 Lost

I'm confident the Oz bet will win here. The conditions are right, and I see no reason it won't play out as expected.

IK Ikechukwu Kalu Corners: Under 9.5odds 2.08 Lost

I'm confident this match will see fewer corner kicks than the last one. The key reason is the contrasting styles of play—both teams are likely to focus on defensive solidity rather than aggressive attacking, which naturally limits corner opportunities. Expect a more cautious approach, leading to a lower total than what we saw before.

KO Kayode Oladipo Handicap 2 (-1.5)odds 2.55 Lost

I expect Team 2 to win with a -1.5 handicap. They are clearly the stronger side in this matchup, and their recent form gives me confidence they'll cover the spread. I see no reason to doubt a decisive victory.

AO Anthony Okafor Over 2.5odds 1.62 Lost

I think the score will be high. The game features two aggressive offenses and shaky defenses, so I'm expecting plenty of goals.

AO Aliyu Oladipo Corners: Team 1 over 4odds 1.98 Won

I predict the home team will dominate the corner count. They have nothing to lose and will be forced to push forward aggressively to chase the game, which plays directly into their strength of taking a high volume of corners. Expect them to rack up plenty of set-piece opportunities.

ZM Zainab Madu Handicap 2 (-3)odds 9.10 Lost

I'm confident Bohemians will win by more than three goals. Their attacking form has been sharp lately, and the matchup favors them to dominate from start to finish. The odds are too good to pass up on this one.

CB Collins Bello Double chance: 1Xodds 2.20 Won

I'm backing St. Joseph's to avoid defeat against Bohemians Dublin. Their solid home form and defensive organization make them a tough side to break down, while Bohemians have struggled for consistency on the road. This bet capitalizes on St. Joseph's ability to grind out results, especially in a match where they'll likely sit deep and hit on the counter.

The host's recent performances show they can hold their own against stronger opponents, and I don't see Bohemians having enough firepower to take all three points here. St. Joseph's will at least earn a draw.

OA Oluwaseun Abdullahi Team 2 over 1.5odds 1.64 Lost

I predict the Irish club will score two goals against the hosts. They’ll have to play open football, and that will create the chances they need to find the net twice.

NM Nnamdi Madu Handicap 2 (-1)odds 2.06 Lost

I believe Bohemians are the stronger side here, and nothing will stop them from winning. The hosts simply don't have what it takes to overcome them.

GY Godwin Yusuf Team 1 over 1odds 2.19 Lost

I’m predicting St. Joseph will cover this spread because they’re in a must-win situation and will leave everything on the field. This team knows how to mount a comeback when backed into a corner, and I expect them to fight tooth and nail for every point.

NO Nnamdi Ogunleye Over 2.5odds 1.63 Lost

I expect the hosts to push forward and open up—they have no choice if they want to keep their advancement hopes alive. That's why I'm confidently predicting goals here.

ON Obinna Nnaji Over 2.5odds 1.63 Lost

I believe this match is evenly balanced, with both teams having equal chances of winning. Each side will look to capitalize on counter-attacking opportunities, making for a closely contested game.

SA Suleiman Adewale Corners: Over 10.5odds 2.04 Won

I'm taking the over and backing both teams to score here. The teams are consistently scoring and conceding in this league, so this bet should hit.

KO Kemi Olaniyan Corners: Under 8.5odds 2.75 Lost

I'm confident this match will see very few corners, meaning the corners total won't be reached at all.

YL Yusuf Lawal Corners: Team 1 over 4odds 1.98 Won

The hosts need to overcome a two-goal deficit, so I expect them to attack aggressively. They have no choice but to push forward, and that will create plenty of scoring opportunities.

KO Kingsley Ogunleye Handicap 2 (-1.5)odds 2.52 Lost

I confidently predict that there will be more. The direction is clear and the evidence strongly supports this outcome.

RO Ruth Oladipo Both teams to score — Noodds 1.98 Won

I'm predicting that both teams will fail to score. The defensive setups are too strong, and the attacking form has been inconsistent lately, making a goalless draw or a single-score match more likely. This bet is solid based on recent head-to-head trends and current squad conditions.

SI Suleiman Ibe Under 2.5odds 2.09 Won

I am confident that the Irish team will win because they are in better physical condition, with their domestic season already underway. In contrast, St Joseph's has had less match practice, which gives them a clear disadvantage in this matchup.

CS Collins Shehu Handicap 1 (1.5)odds 1.57 Won

I’m betting on a home win here. The hosts have to chase the game and will come out aggressively, while the visitors already hold a comfortable lead and have little incentive to push for more. That’s the key dynamic—one side has everything to play for, the other can afford to sit back.

GS Gabriel Salami Over 3.5odds 2.54 Lost

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GI Grace Idris Over 3.5odds 2.54 Lost

I'm confident this game will be high-scoring from both sides. Expect plenty of goals and attacking action.

DF Deborah Fashola Over 1.5 (1st half)odds 2.41 Lost

I expect the first half to be highly productive. Both teams tend to start aggressively, and recent matches show early scoring opportunities. This pattern makes me confident we'll see goals before the break.

DO David Okoro Result: 2odds 1.50 Lost

I believe Bohemians Dublin will secure a victory in this match. Their form and tactical discipline give them the edge over St. Joseph’s, and I’m confident they’ll find a way to win.

KA Kunle Abiodun Handicap 2 (-1)odds 1.76 Lost

I'm taking this prediction today. I expect it to hit.

UO Uche Olaniyan Result: 2odds 1.50 Lost

I believe Bohemians will win the match, and I’m confidently backing them for the outright victory.

AO Amina Okonkwo Handicap 2 (-1.5)odds 2.35 Lost

I’m betting on the away team to win by exactly two goals in this match. Their recent form and defensive solidity give me confidence they’ll cover the +2 handicap without it being a blowout.

RS Ruth Sani Result: 1odds 6.15 Pending

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GN Gloria Nwosu Team 1 over 1odds 2.41 Lost

I simply like teams from countries that play with relentless energy—running hard and hitting everything in sight. That's my entire reasoning for this bet. I'm confident those are the sides that will get the job done.

OS Obinna Sowole Handicap 2 (-1)odds 1.76 Lost

I confidently expect the away team to win – they are in excellent form right now.

JA John Adebayo Under 3odds 1.71 Won

The visitors are clear favorites here. They don't need to push for goals, and the home side will find it tough to score. I'm confident in betting on under 3 goals.

IO Ibrahim Ogunleye Team 2 under 2odds 1.78 Won

I predict the away team will not score many goals in this match. They are clearly focused on sitting back and defending, so I expect a low-scoring affair with few attacking threats from the visitors.

GI Gabriel Idris Over 3.5odds 2.54 Lost

I expect a high total of goals in this match. The home side will push forward aggressively, leaving gaps that the opposition can exploit on the counter.

HA Halima Anyanwu Corners: Over 11.5odds 2.69 Lost

I am confident the opponents will go over the total on corner kicks in this head-to-head matchup.

JA Joseph Anyanwu Result: 2odds 1.50 Lost

Victory is 100% guaranteed. I am fully confident in this outcome.

AN Abubakar Nwosu Corners: Under 9.5odds 2.08 Lost

I'm confident this game won't see a high number of corner kicks. The style of play and match dynamics point to a low-corner affair, so I'm betting against the over.

KO Kayode Okafor Handicap 1 (1.5)odds 1.55 Won

I'm backing the home team on the handicap. They'll put up a real fight, and if they do lose, it'll be by the narrowest of margins.

CA Collins Adekunle Corners: Team 1 over 4odds 1.98 Won

I'm betting on the away team to dominate the corner count in this match. They're the clear favorites, and their attacking style consistently forces opponents into defensive clearances, which leads to more corners. The home side tends to sit deep, inviting pressure and conceding set-piece opportunities.

The stats back this up—favorites in similar matchups average 6-8 corners per game, while underdogs often struggle to reach 3. I expect the away team to control possession and territory, making the over on their corners a strong play. Simple as that.

VA Victoria Adamu Team 1 under 0.5odds 2.29 Won

I'm predicting Bohemians will fail to score in this return leg. They've been held scoreless in four straight matches, and I see no reason for that trend to change here. Their attack simply isn't creating enough chances, and this opponent will likely keep them contained again.

CO Chidinma Oni Corners: Under 9.5odds 2.08 Lost

My prediction is that the under on corner kicks will hit, with the total likely staying low. This game lacks the fast-paced, end-to-end action needed for a high corner count. Both teams prefer to control possession in the middle third rather than launch quick attacks, which naturally limits set-piece opportunities. I'm confident the corner total will fall short of expectations.

SM Sunday Mohammed Corners: Under 9.5odds 2.08 Lost

I'm backing the under on corners in the St. Joseph's vs Bohemians match. Both sides consistently earn very few corners, and I expect that low-scoring pattern to hold here.

CS Chukwuma Sani Handicap 2 (-1.5)odds 2.35 Lost

I predict Bohemians will win by two goals. Their attacking form is sharp, and St. Joseph's defense has been vulnerable to quick transitions. The two-goal margin is the most likely outcome given the matchup dynamics.

VA Victor Adebayo Team 1 over 1odds 2.41 Lost

I predict St Joseph's will score at least one goal. With no choice but to attack from the start, they'll find the back of the net.

Match poster

St Joseph's vs Bohemians Dublin — odds