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Stoke City vs Hull City: Prediction, Betting Tips and Match Preview

⚽ EFL Cup · England · 25 August 2026
Stoke City logoStoke City
1:1
1st half: 1:1
25.08.2026 19:45
Hull City logoHull City

Match events

Robert Bozenik1:0⚽
39′
45′
⚽1:1Kieran Dowell
82′
🟨Lucas Herrington
George Hirst🟨
90′

Match statistics: Stoke City vs Hull City

Stoke CityHull City
0.93xG (expected goals)1.74
44Ball possession, %56
10Shots18
4Shots on target6
1Corners4
12Fouls5
1Offsides2
1Yellow cards1
0Red cards0
97Attacks96
36Dangerous attacks40

💡 Match preview Stoke City vs Hull City

By Dele Lawal — Football expert specializing in European and Russian competitions

The Carabao Cup second round serves up an intriguing Championship versus Premier League clash as Stoke City welcome Hull City to the bet365 Stadium. The Potters have endured a miserable start to their league campaign, suffering back-to-back defeats, while the Tigers are riding a wave of euphoria after stunning Manchester United in the Premier League. The key question is whether Hull can sustain their momentum and prove that the gap between the divisions is as wide as it seems.

Tactical Analysis: Stoke City

Stoke City have stumbled out of the gates in the Championship, losing both of their opening fixtures. Last Saturday, the Potters were beaten 3-1 away at Southampton, and a week earlier they fell 2-1 at home to Swansea City. Their only bright spot in competitive action came in the first round of the League Cup, a 2-0 victory over lowly Oldham Athletic. During pre-season, the team played four friendlies, managing a 1-0 win over Everton, draws with Valencia (1-1) and Crewe Alexandra (1-1), and a 0-1 loss to Brage.

Looking at their last ten matches across all competitions, including the tail end of last season, Stoke have scored just nine goals while conceding 16. That works out to an average of 0.9 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per 90 minutes, painting a clear picture of serious issues in midfield and defense. On home soil, the club has lost four of its last six official fixtures, regularly shipping two or three goals against well-organized opponents.

Tactical Analysis: Hull City

Hull City are riding a massive wave of confidence after a dream start to the Premier League season. Over the weekend, the Tigers pulled off the biggest shock of the opening round, beating Manchester United 2-0 at home with a clean sheet. They secured promotion to the top flight via the playoffs at the end of last season, defeating Middlesbrough 1-0 in the final and beating Millwall 2-0 away. In their summer friendlies, the club recorded wins over Rizespor (2-1) and Konyaspor (3-0), along with draws against Nice and Kasimpasa.

In their last ten matches across all competitions, Hull have scored 12 goals and conceded only seven, recording five wins, three draws, and two defeats. They average 1.2 goals scored and just 0.7 conceded per 90 minutes, showcasing excellent compactness through the middle of the park. Notably, the team has kept clean sheets in each of their last four official outings.

Tournament Motivation

Both sides are eager to advance to the third round of this prestigious cup competition. For Stoke City, a strong run in the League Cup represents a chance to make amends with their supporters after a disastrous start in the Championship. Hull City, as a Premier League club, are looking to extend their winning streak and build further confidence ahead of their upcoming league fixtures.

Team News and Injuries

The hosts will be without defenders Ashley Cresswell and Junior Tchamadeu, as well as midfielder Amadou Ampaah, all of whom are sidelined with injuries. All three had been regular starters this season, and their absence could prove costly, as the squad lacks adequate replacements.

The visitors are missing goalkeeper Jack Butland, forward Joe Gelhardt, and midfielder Darko Gyabi through injury. These three players combined for over 15 appearances for the club last season, but Hull’s deep bench means they can rotate without a significant drop in quality.

Referee

The match will be officiated by a yet-to-be-confirmed referee, whose decisions could play a role in the flow of the game.

Prediction and Bet

Main Prediction: Hull City to win at odds of 2.25

Hull City are on an enormous emotional high after their clean-sheet victory over Manchester United. The visitors have not conceded a goal in their last four official matches, while Stoke City have lost both of their Championship games, letting in five goals in just two rounds. In the last two head-to-head meetings at this stadium, the Tigers have come out on top, winning 3-1 and 2-1. Our selection is a Hull City victory at 2.25. We assess the probability of an away win at 49% (any odds above 2.04 represent value).

Goals Prediction: Both teams to score – Yes at 1.75

Stoke City always look to play on the front foot at home and have found the net in four of their last five official matches, but they also concede an average of 1.6 goals per game. Hull City are highly effective on the counter-attack and have scored at least twice in three of their previous four official away games. In recent head-to-head clashes, the teams have consistently traded goals: the "both teams to score" market has landed in three of the last four meetings. A bet on both teams to score at 1.75 looks like a solid option. We rate the probability of an exchange of goals at 62% (any odds above 1.61 are playable).

Dele Lawal
Dele Lawal
Football expert specializing in European and Russian competitions

Dele Lawal is a football expert who has spent many years analyzing tournaments such as the EFL Cup, FIFA World Cup, Champions League, and Russian Super Cup. His analysis emphasizes current form, lineups, key statistics like expected goals and shots on target, and the impact of coaching decisions and fixture schedules. He maintains a disciplined, data-oriented approach to prediction, avoiding emotional bias and focusing on underlying performance indicators.

All articles by this author →

The editorial prediction is provided for informational purposes only and should not be treated as a direct call to action. Every reader should do their own analysis before deciding on a bet.

Match odds Stoke City vs Hull City

Result (1X2)

X3.1813.1422.47

Double chance

1X1.59X21.4121.39

Both teams to score

No1.93Yes1.78

Over

11.0621.5332.7945.70.51.031.51.322.52.083.53.44.56.25

Under

16.3522.3631.3941.080.57.21.53.022.51.763.51.264.51.05

Handicap 1

02.1411.2221.01-15.251.51.142.51-1.56.05

Handicap 2

01.7111.11-13.74-28.51.51.07-1.54.5-2.59.1

Correct score

0:07.40:17.50:211.50:3241:08.71:15.61:29.21:3202:015.252:110.752:213.752:3323:0353:1273:236

To qualify

1221.72

Predictions for Stoke City vs Hull City

YM Yemi Madu To qualify: 2odds 2.12 Won

Stoke and Hull look evenly matched to me, so I see no reason to favor the hosts in this cup tie. Both sides are comparable in quality, and that makes Hull’s path to qualification at least as plausible as Stoke’s. At 2.12, I’m backing the visitors to advance.

DN David Nwachukwu To qualify: 2odds 2.11 Won

Stoke City have been in poor form lately, and I don’t see them turning things around here. Hull City are the stronger side right now and should be able to advance past this opponent.

That’s why I’m backing Hull to qualify at 2.11.

EA Emeka Anyanwu Yellow cards: Team 2 over 1.5odds 1.93 Lost

Hull City’s discipline record makes this card line very appealing. They’ve shown a consistent tendency to commit tactical fouls and pick up bookings, which isn’t going to disappear just because it’s a cup fixture. The price of 1.93 for over 1.5 yellow cards on the away side offers good value here. I don’t see Hull suddenly becoming clean-tackling; this bet matches their established pattern.

IA Ikechukwu Abiodun Result: 2odds 2.80 Lost

Hull City are clearly the stronger side in this EFL Cup meeting. They should take care of business and win inside 90 minutes. At 2.80, the price offers real value, and I'm fully expecting them to deliver.

VL Victor Lawal Team 1 over 1.5odds 2.74 Lost

Stoke City will come out flying at home against Hull City, and I expect them to put the pressure on from the first whistle. Their attacking approach should be relentless, and they’ll find the net at least twice.

I’m backing the hosts to score over 1.5 goals at odds of 2.74—this is a solid bet given how aggressive they’ll be in this EFL Cup clash.

S sundaywolf108 Over 2odds 1.63 Void

I’m backing Over 2 goals in this EFL Cup clash between Stoke City and Hull City. Both sides tend to get involved in open matches, especially in the early rounds of this competition, so I expect at least two goals here. The odds at 1.63 look solid for a bet that should comfortably land.

JN Joseph Nwachukwu Team 2 over 1odds 1.82 Void

Hull City will score at least one goal against Stoke City in the EFL Cup. That’s the bet I’m backing with confidence.

TM Tunde Mohammed Team 2 over 1.5odds 2.75 Lost

Stoke City against Hull City in the EFL Cup is where I’m taking a real chance. I’m backing the visitors to net at least two goals here, and at 2.75, the price is far too tempting to ignore.

CO Chinedu Okafor Double chance: X2odds 1.48 Won
WY Wale Y. Double chance: X2odds 1.43 Won

Hull City look like the stronger side here, so I'm backing them to avoid defeat. The double chance market for the visitors to win or draw offers solid value at 1.43, and I'm confident they'll get the job done against Stoke City in this EFL Cup tie.

CS Chinedu Suleiman Corners: Result: 1odds 1.80 Lost

Stoke City face Hull City in the EFL Cup, and I'm backing the hosts to come out on top in the corner count. Hull's defense has been shaky — they give away far too many corners when put under pressure. Stoke should exploit that weakness.

The odds of 1.80 look solid for Stoke to win the corner battle. I expect them to push forward and force plenty of defensive clearances from Hull.

PI Peter Ibe Both teams to score — Yesodds 1.77 Won

Looking at Stoke City against Hull City in the EFL Cup, I’m backing both teams to find the net. The odds sit at 1.77, which feels reasonable for this matchup. Cup ties often bring open play, and neither side has a reputation for locking things down defensively, so I expect goals at both ends.

JM John Musa To qualify: 1odds 1.95 Lost

Stoke City hosting Hull City in the EFL Cup — and at nearly even money to advance, the home side looks like the smart play here. With the backing of their own fans at the Bet365 Stadium, Stoke have every reason to feel confident about getting the job done on Tuesday night.

I’m backing Stoke City to qualify at 1.95. The home advantage and their cup mentality should be enough to see them through against Hull.

GA Gabriel Anyanwu Both teams to score — Yesodds 1.77 Won

Stoke City and Hull City meet in the EFL Cup after both spent last season in the Championship. I don't see any real class difference between them at this point, so a goal exchange looks likely. The odds of 1.77 are solid value for a both-teams-to-score bet.

WA Wale Abdullahi To qualify: 2odds 1.80 Won

Looking at this EFL Cup tie, I'm backing Hull City to advance here. They've kicked off their Premier League campaign with real authority, riding a wave of confidence that's tough to stop. Meanwhile, Stoke City have had a disastrous start to their own season and are already under serious pressure. With Hull riding that emotional high and Stoke looking vulnerable, the visitors at 1.80 to qualify feels like the clear side.

I iron.ace To qualify: 2odds 1.80 Won

Hull City are the team to back in this EFL Cup tie. The Tigers will get the job done and qualify for the next round at a solid 1.80.

EL Emmanuel Lawal Under 2.5odds 1.77 Won

Let’s be honest—neither side is coming into this EFL Cup tie with much sharpness in front of goal. I don’t see Stoke or Hull suddenly finding their finishing touch, which makes the Under 2.5 line the obvious call.

The way both teams have been struggling to convert chances, I just can’t picture this turning into a high-scoring affair. That’s why I’m backing a low-scoring game here, simple as that.

PO Peter Ogundipe Both teams to score — Yesodds 1.77 Won
TM Tunde Musa Corners: Over 9.5odds 1.77 Lost

The EFL Cup clash between Stoke City and Hull City looks set to be a high-tempo affair. Both sides are in a must-win situation, so I don’t see them sitting back—this game should be open and attack-minded from the very start. With that urgency, I’m backing the corner count to pile up, and I’m taking over 9.5 at 1.77.

DO David Ogundipe Result: 2odds 2.61 Lost

Hull City to win is the bet for this EFL Cup clash. Stoke City haven't been convincing, and I see the visitors taking full advantage away from home.

A victory for Hull at 2.61 looks like real value. They simply have too much quality for their opponent here.

CS Collins Sowole Corners: Over 11.5odds 2.92 Lost

Stoke City hosting Hull City in the EFL Cup should be a corner-heavy contest. Their most recent head-to-heads have all cleared the 12-corner mark, so backing over 11.5 corners at 2.92 looks like the right call. I expect the corner count to keep climbing from the start.

KA Kabiru Akintola To qualify: 2odds 1.78 Won

Hull City are the stronger side in this EFL Cup matchup. They should have no trouble advancing past Stoke, and the 1.78 on them to qualify offers solid value.

YT Yemi Tanko Result: 2odds 2.57 Lost

Hull City’s start to the Premier League season has been sharp, and I see no reason why they can’t build on that momentum here. Given their early form, backing them to win this EFL Cup tie feels like the right call at 2.57.

KO Kunle Olawale To qualify: 2odds 1.76 Won

Hull City just pulled off the biggest shock of the Premier League round by beating Manchester United. Riding that wave of momentum, I see them advancing further in the EFL Cup as well. The odds of 1.76 for them to qualify look too generous given their current form.

EI Emmanuel Igwe Result: 2odds 2.57 Lost
NN Nnamdi Nnaji Result: 2odds 2.57 Lost

Hull City just went out and beat Manchester United at the weekend. That’s the kind of form that makes their price at 2.57 look far too generous. Based on that performance, they should have no trouble handling Stoke City here.

CK Chinedu Kalu Result: 2odds 2.56 Lost
VA Victor Akintola Team 2 over 1.5odds 2.45 Lost

Hull City’s opening Premier League display already hinted at their attacking threat. I’m backing them to put at least two past Stoke City in the EFL Cup.

UA Usman Adebayo To qualify: 2odds 1.75 Won

Stoke vs Hull in the EFL Cup. Hull already shocked Man United this season — that kind of momentum carries. They qualify easily here. I'm taking Hull to advance at 1.75.

OO Obinna Oladipo To qualify: 2odds 1.75 Won

After taking down Manchester United, Hull City have all the momentum. Backing them to qualify at 1.75 makes sense.

IO Ibrahim Ogunleye Over 2.5odds 2.08 Lost

Stoke City and Hull City are both in goal-scoring form, which makes me confident the total will surpass 2.5 goals in this EFL Cup tie. I'm taking Over 2.5 at 2.08 — both sides look capable of contributing to a high-scoring match.

BE Biodun Ekwueme Team 2 over 1odds 1.64 Void

Hull City have started the season in solid form, and I expect that to continue against Stoke. They’re creating chances and should find the net at least once here.

OS Oluwaseun Sani Over 1.5 (1st half)odds 2.92 Won

Stoke City and Hull City should combine for at least two goals in the first half of this EFL Cup tie. I'm confident both teams will get on the scoresheet before the break. That's the straightforward call here.

YB Yemi Bankole Team 1 over 1.5odds 2.75 Lost

In the EFL Cup, Stoke City are at home against Hull City, and I expect them to find the net at least twice. The odds of 2.75 for Stoke to score over 1.5 goals look good — they have the firepower to get it done in front of their own fans.

UA Usman Adeyemi Team 2 over 1.5odds 2.40 Lost

Stoke City’s best days are behind them. Hull City will take full advantage and score at least twice here—I’m backing them to net over 1.5 goals at 2.40.

Match poster

Stoke City vs Hull City — odds

❓ Frequently asked questions

When and where is the Stoke City vs Hull City match taking place?

The EFL Cup second-round match is scheduled for 25 August 2026 at 19:45 local time at the bet365 Stadium in Stoke-on-Trent.

Who is the favorite to win the match?

Hull City are the favorites, with a predicted win at odds of 2.25, reflecting their strong form and Stoke's poor start to the season.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Stoke have lost both their Championship games (3-1 vs Southampton, 2-1 vs Swansea), while Hull stunned Manchester United 2-0 in their Premier League opener and have kept clean sheets in their last four official matches.

Are there any important injuries or absentees?

Stoke are without defenders Ashley Cresswell and Junior Tchamadeu, plus midfielder Amadou Ampaah. Hull are missing goalkeeper Jack Butland, forward Joe Gelhardt, and midfielder Darko Gyabi.

What is the main betting prediction for the match?

The main prediction is a Hull City win at odds of 2.25, supported by their recent head-to-head record at this stadium (two wins) and Stoke's defensive struggles.

Is there a recommendation for goals?

Yes, both teams to score is recommended at 1.75, as Stoke tend to score at home but concede frequently, and Hull are effective on the counter. This market has landed in three of the last four meetings.