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Suduva vs Hegelmann Litauen: prediction and odds

Lithuania A lyga · Lithuania · 20 July 2026
Suduva logoSuduva
5:1
1st half: 3:0
20.07.2026 16:45
Hegelmann Litauen logoHegelmann Litauen

Match events

Sidy Sanokho1:0
11′
32′
🟨Rimvydas Sadauskas
Amadou Sabo2:0
34′
henry uzochukwu3:0
43′
frankline tangiri4:0
50′
52′
4:1Donatas Kazlauskas
Mikulenas·Meinardas5:1
70′
90′
🟨dominykas pasilys

Match statistics: Suduva vs Hegelmann Litauen

SuduvaHegelmann Litauen
57Ball possession, %43
6Shots3
6Shots on target2
4Corners2
7Fouls6
3Offsides0
0Yellow cards2
0Red cards0
60Attacks64
49Dangerous attacks33

💡 Match preview Suduva vs Hegelmann Litauen

In the 23rd round of the Lithuanian top flight, FK Sūduva will host FC Hegelmann at their home ground in Marijampolė. The hosts are looking to solidify their position among the league leaders, while the visitors are desperately trying to snap a prolonged winless streak. Let’s break down the most likely scenario for this clash.

Tactical Analysis of Sūduva

Sūduva is enjoying a fairly consistent season, sitting second in the league table with 30 points from 19 matches. The team displays a well-balanced game: 21 goals scored against 16 conceded, averaging roughly 1.1 goals per game in attack and 0.8 in defense. Recent results highlight the reliability of their backline: over the last 10 matches, the club has lost only once, and in 3 of their last 5 games, they kept a clean sheet.

The side from Marijampolė is traditionally strong on home turf, where the players show confident football and rarely allow opponents to create many chances. The stats confirm that Sūduva knows how to effectively “dry up” a game when the scoreline suits them. Combined with their moderate scoring output, this makes them an extremely uncomfortable opponent for teams that prefer open, attacking football.

Tactical Analysis of Hegelmann

Hegelmann is going through a rough patch, sitting in seventh place with 19 points from 19 matches. The team’s statistics reveal problems in their organizational play: 20 goals scored versus 29 conceded. On average, the team concedes about 1.5 goals per match, which, coupled with their modest attacking output, leads to frequent points dropped. In their last five league games, the club has failed to win, alternating between draws and defeats.

The visitors’ recent away form looks grim: in their last five road matches, the team has suffered four losses and managed only one victory. The level of opposition in those games varied, but defeats to teams of different calibers, such as Transinvest or Banga, underscore a lack of consistency. Hegelmann’s players are under psychological pressure due to their extended run of poor results.

Tournament Motivation

Sūduva is fighting for the highest positions, and any slip-up against a lower-ranked side could cost them second place, which serves as a powerful motivator for the players. For the visitors, every match feels like a final, as the team sits near the bottom of the table and needs points to secure safety from the relegation playoff zone.

Key Players and Squad Situation

It is worth highlighting Sūduva’s attacking leader, striker Steve Lawson, who has scored four goals this season. Also playing a crucial role in building the game is midfielder Faustas Steponavičius, who has netted 4 goals and provided 1 assist in 19 league matches this campaign. Both players are key elements of the club and regularly threaten the opponent’s goal, allowing the team to get results even against strong opposition.

Hegelmann’s key figure is forward Abdel Njoya, who has already scored 9 goals this season, making him the team’s main attacking force. An important role in central midfield is played by midfielder Ibrahima Sèk, who has featured in the majority of games this season. Despite the efforts of their leaders, defensive errors prevent the team from competing effectively against sides in the top five of the championship.

Predicted Lineups

Sūduva: (4-3-3) – TBC; TBC; TBC; TBC; TBC; TBC; TBC; TBC; TBC; TBC; Steve Lawson.

Hegelmann: (4-2-3-1) – TBC; TBC; TBC; TBC; TBC; Ibrahima Sèk; TBC; TBC; TBC; TBC; Abdel Njoya.

Note: Full confirmed lineups are typically released closer to kick-off.

Referee

The officiating crew for this match has not been officially announced at the time of writing. However, given the stakes, a disciplined and experienced referee is expected to be appointed to manage the physical battle in midfield.

Prediction and Bet

Main prediction: Sūduva to win at odds of 1.75. Considering the current form of both teams, the home advantage, and the league standings, a victory for the hosts looks like the logical outcome. Sūduva displays more consistent football and is far more reliable defensively, while Hegelmann is experiencing considerable difficulties in away matches. We assess the probability of a Sūduva win at 61% (anything above 1.64 is playable).

Prediction on total goals: Under 2.5 goals at odds of 1.9. The statistics for both teams indicate that their matches are not always high-scoring affairs, and Sūduva knows how to manage the game intelligently when leading. Given that the total of 2.5 goals was not exceeded in three of the hosts’ last five matches, we expect a tight, closed game. We assess the probability of this outcome landing at 57% (anything above 1.75 is playable).

Match odds Suduva vs Hegelmann Litauen

Result (1X2)

X3.4611.6525.05

Double chance

1X1.12X22.06121.25

Both teams to score

No1.67Yes2

Over

11.0521.5633.0446.650.51.021.51.332.52.13.53.744.57.4

Under

16.4522.1531.2941.050.57.81.52.832.51.643.51.194.51.03

Handicap 1

01.22-12.23-25.2-1.52.92-2.56.05

Handicap 2

03.511.5621.11.51.312.51.06

Correct score

0:07.80:110.50:2261:051:15.851:215.252:06.452:17.52:2173:011.753:114.253:2314:0274:132

Predictions for Suduva vs Hegelmann Litauen

UA Uche Adeyemi Handicap 1 (-1)odds 1.95 Won

I predict that Suduva will win this match. Their strong home form and solid defensive record give them a clear edge over their opponents, who have struggled away from home recently. Suduva’s attacking momentum, combined with the opponent’s inconsistency, makes this a straightforward call.

KO Kingsley Ogundipe Over 0.5 (1st half)odds 1.43 Won

I'm confident we'll see a goal in the first half. Both teams have consistently scored early in recent matches, and their attacking players are in top form. The defensive setups show clear vulnerabilities, especially in the opening 30 minutes, and the pace of play typically leads to an early breakthrough. I see no reason to doubt a first-half goal here.

OS Olusegun Shehu Over 3.5odds 3.96 Won

I recall that their last match ended with 4 goals. That's why I'm confident this game will also see plenty of scoring.

YO Yemi Onyeka Over 0.5odds 1.03 Won

We’ll see how this plays out. I’m confident that the coming weeks will bring clarity, and I stand by my read of the situation. No need to overthink it—the data points in one direction, and I’m betting on that trend continuing.

AA Adewale Adeyemi Over 3odds 2.74 Won

I think this will happen. The reasoning is solid, and I'm confident in the outcome.

MN Mercy Nnaji Result: 1odds 1.50 Won

I predict that they should have already won. The strong evidence and momentum leading up to this point left no doubt—everything aligned for a decisive victory on schedule.

EO Esther Olaniyan Team 2 under 0.5odds 1.96 Lost

I am confident that the away team will not score a goal in this match. The defensive setup and overall match dynamics strongly support this outcome.

TS Tunde Salami Team 1 over 1.5odds 1.84 Won

I'm confident Suduva will deliver a strong performance at home. Their home record speaks for itself, and they consistently capitalize on familiar surroundings to control the game. Expect them to secure a positive result.

CL Chiamaka Lamido Result: 1odds 1.58 Won

I predict a home win for Suduva against Hegelmann Litauen. This is my strongest bet of the day—confident and straightforward.

AD Abubakar Danjuma Over 2.5odds 2.06 Won

I'm confident this match will be high-scoring. Both teams prioritize attack over defense, and recent form shows plenty of goals from either side. There's no way this ends quietly.

PA Peter Adeyemi Team 1 over 1.5odds 1.85 Won

I confidently predict that the home team will score at least two goals. Their attacking strength at home is consistently high, and the visitors' defensive setup is too fragile to contain them for a full match.

CO Collins Obi Result: 2odds 5.40 Lost

I’m betting on a victory. The momentum is clearly on our side, and the key indicators all point in the same direction. There’s no reason to expect a different outcome.

CA Chukwuma Adamu Correct score 2:1odds 7.50 Lost

I'm confident there will be at least a few goals in this match, so I'm placing my bet on the over. Both teams have been attacking aggressively lately, and their defensive records suggest they'll struggle to keep a clean sheet. Given the pace and history of their encounters, I expect the scoreboard to light up.

AO Amara Ogunleye Both teams to score — Noodds 1.67 Lost

I’m not confident in this one at all. I’m going against the grain and taking the loss here—this is purely a prediction, not a real bet.

CI Collins Ibe Handicap 1 (-1.5)odds 2.88 Won

I'm confident the home team will win comfortably. Their recent form and tactical discipline give them a clear edge over the visitors, who have struggled away from home. The home crowd will only amplify their advantage, making a decisive victory highly likely.

SA Suleiman Adewale Correct score 3:1odds 14.25 Lost

I’m confident the home team wins. They are clearly superior in both squad strength and overall gameplay.

CO Chukwuma Olawale Over 3odds 2.97 Won

I am confident this will be a high-scoring game. Both teams will find the back of the net, and the total goals will easily go over the line. This is a straightforward bet on the over and both teams to score.

DA Deborah Adewale Team 2 under 0.5odds 2.04 Lost

I'm confident Sūduva will keep another clean sheet at home. They're unbeaten in ten league matches there, conceding only five goals, while Hegelmann struggles on the road and just played a draining European loss to Paide. Their first meeting this season ended 0-0, and I expect the same result—the hosts' defense won't be breached.

TA Temitope Afolabi Handicap 1 (-1)odds 2.23 Won

I firmly believe the home team will win this match—they are the clear favorites and have every reason to secure the victory.

Match poster

Suduva vs Hegelmann Litauen — odds