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Tenerife vs Almería: Prediction, Betting Tips and Match Preview

Spain LaLiga 2 · Spain · 23 August 2026
Tenerife logoTenerife
1:0
1st half: 1:0
23.08.2026 20:30
Almería logoAlmería

Match events

jesus alvarez🟨
9′
Enric Gallego1:0
32′
David Rodríguez Ramos🟨
53′

Match statistics: Tenerife vs Almería

TenerifeAlmería
39Ball possession, %61
15Shots9
2Shots on target1
5Corners7
14Fouls8
2Offsides1
2Yellow cards0
0Red cards0
100Attacks111
48Dangerous attacks52

💡 Match preview Tenerife vs Almería

By Anthony Balogun — Football expert covering Nordic, Baltic and African leagues

Almería cruised through last season with confidence but ultimately fell short of securing promotion back to La Liga. Their summer preparation, however, was a mixed bag of results. Tenerife, meanwhile, arrive in solid form and are determined to give the strong visitors a real fight on their home turf. Can the hosts manage to pick up points on their island fortress?

Tactical Analysis: Tenerife

Tenerife kicked off their league campaign in style, securing an impressive 3-1 away victory against Eibar — a notoriously tough opponent in the Segunda División. Their pre-season friendlies also showcased quality football. The islanders drew in regular time with Leganés (0-0, winning on penalties) and Cádiz (2-2, losing on penalties), while comfortably dispatching weaker sides Tamaraceite (3-2) and Anasa (2-0). The home side are currently riding a wave of good form, demonstrating sharp attacking efficiency and clinical finishing in front of goal. On their own pitch in the Canary Islands, Tenerife traditionally represent a formidable challenge for any visiting team.

Tactical Analysis: Almería

Almería opened their Segunda División account with a dominant 3-0 home thrashing of Eldense — a side of comparable standing in the league. Their summer friendly schedule also highlighted impressive firepower: they crushed Córdoba 4-0, defeated Saudi Arabian side Al-Nassr 2-0, but fell to La Liga opponents Real Betis (0-1) and Granada (0-2). The visitors boast one of the most powerful and expensive squads in the entire division, with their sights firmly set on an immediate return to the top flight. However, in away matches, Almería often play with an overly open approach, leaving gaps that can be exploited by quick counter-attacks from their opponents.

Tournament Motivation

Playing in front of their own supporters, Tenerife are highly motivated to build on their opening-day success and grind out points in what promises to be an extremely challenging fixture. Almería, on the other hand, are aiming for a second consecutive victory to reaffirm their status as the championship's overwhelming favorites.

Team News and Injuries

Tenerife will be without left winger Mañán, but Gil is more than capable of stepping in to cover the flank in attack. Almería have a fully fit squad — the treatment room is empty, there are no suspensions, and all key players are ready to take the field.

Predicted Lineups

Tenerife (4-2-3-1): Soriano; Mellot, León, Gayá, Medrano; Corredera, Bodiger; Luismi Cruz, Ángel Rodríguez, Gil; Gallego.

Almería (4-3-3): Maximiano; Pozo, Radovanović, Chumi, Centelles; Robertone, Lopy, Melero; Arribas, Suárez, Baptistão.

Referee

The match will be officiated by referee González Esteban, who tends to allow a fairly physical game and is not quick to reach for his pocket. This approach should suit both sides, as neither relies on excessive aggression.

Prediction and Bet

Main Prediction: Tenerife to avoid defeat (Double Chance 1X) at odds of 1.62

Almería performed reasonably well over the summer, but still managed to win only four of their eight friendlies. On the road this time, they could easily run into trouble. Tenerife have built up excellent momentum and have not suffered a single defeat in regular time across their last six matches. We expect a competitive battle from the hosts on their home ground. The selection is "Tenerife not to lose" at odds of 1.62. We estimate the probability of this outcome at 64% (anything above 1.55 is considered playable).

Total Goals Prediction: Over 2.5 goals at odds of 2.08

Both teams showed high scoring output in the opening round, each netting three goals against their opponents. Both Tenerife and Almería possess versatile and dangerous attacking units, ready to punish any positional mistakes. We anticipate a fairly open and entertaining contest once again. The selection is "total over 2.5 goals" at odds of 2.08. We estimate the probability of this outcome at 52% (anything above 1.95 is considered playable).

Anthony Balogun
Anthony Balogun
Football expert covering Nordic, Baltic and African leagues

Anthony Balogun is a football expert with a deep focus on Nordic and Baltic leagues, as well as African youth tournaments. With years of experience tracking the Allsvenskan, A lyga, 1. līga, and Belarusian Cup, he pays close attention to team form, squad rotations, and tactical adjustments. His analytical approach combines statistical data with contextual understanding of fixture schedules and coaching decisions to provide balanced assessments.

All articles by this author →

The editorial prediction is provided for informational purposes only and should not be treated as a direct call to action. Every reader should do their own analysis before deciding on a bet.

Match odds Tenerife vs Almería

Result (1X2)

X3.21322.44

Double chance

1X1.56X21.39121.35

Both teams to score

No1.98Yes1.72

Over

11.0521.4732.6445.450.51.031.51.292.51.983.53.264.56.15

Under

1722.4831.4241.090.58.11.53.162.51.823.51.274.51.07

Handicap 1

02.0811.2121.01-14.91.51.142.51-1.55.75

Handicap 2

01.711.11-13.62-28.51.51.07-1.54.45-2.59.1

Correct score

0:07.80:180:2120:3251:09.11:15.751:29.31:3202:015.252:110.752:213.52:3303:0353:1263:234

Predictions for Tenerife vs Almería

EB Emeka Bello Corners: Over 9.5odds 1.94 Won

Tenerife and Almería in LaLiga 2 — that’s a matchup where the corners should pile up. I’m backing over 9.5 total corners at 1.94. The pace and physical style in this division often lead to plenty of set-piece opportunities, and both sides have shown they can force goalkeepers into action from wide areas. Expect the ball to go out of play frequently enough to clear that line.

OB Oluwaseun Bankole Corners: Result: 1odds 1.90 Lost

This Tenerife vs Almería matchup is a tough one to call. Both sides are evenly matched, so I'm not finding a clear edge in the main markets. Instead, I'm shifting focus to corners and backing Tenerife to lead in that category.

AK Adewale Kalu Corners: Under 9.5odds 1.75 Lost

Tenerife are a classic home-side that like to keep the ball in midfield and slow things down. That approach rarely generates a flurry of corners. I’m backing Under 9.5 corners here at 1.75.

DO Dele Ojo Team 2 over 1odds 1.59 Lost

Almería boast one of the most dangerous attacks in LaLiga 2, and I expect them to show it in this match. That's why I'm backing them to score at least twice, with odds of 1.59.

OA Olusegun Amadi Corners: Under 9.5odds 1.75 Lost
B bullguru2010 Result: Xodds 3.24 Lost
NF Nnamdi Fashola Result: 2odds 2.29 Lost

Almería are the clear favorites according to the betting lines, so I'm taking them to beat Tenerife in this LaLiga 2 matchup. The odds reflect that edge, and I see no reason to go against the market here.

KI Kabiru Ibe Both teams to score — Yesodds 1.72 Lost

Match poster

Tenerife vs Almería — odds

❓ Frequently asked questions

When and where is the Tenerife vs Almería match scheduled?

The match takes place on 23 August 2026 at 20:30. Tenerife are the home side, playing at their stadium in the Canary Islands.

What is the main betting recommendation for this match?

The key prediction is Corners Under 9.5 at odds of 1.75. Additionally, Tenerife to avoid defeat (Double Chance 1X) at 1.62 and Over 2.5 goals at 2.08 are also suggested.

Which team is considered the favourite?

Almería are the overwhelming favourites in the league due to their powerful and expensive squad, but Tenerife are in solid form and tough to beat at home.

Are there any important injuries or suspensions?

Tenerife will be without left winger Mañán, but Gil can cover. Almería have a fully fit squad with no suspensions.

How did both teams perform in their opening league matches?

Tenerife won 3-1 away against Eibar, while Almería thrashed Eldense 3-0 at home.

Who is the referee for this match?

The match is officiated by González Esteban, who tends to allow a physical game and is not quick to show cards.