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Yelimay vs Alashkert: prediction and odds

Europe Conference League · Europe · 16 July 2026
Yelimay logoYelimay
2:2
1st half: 1:1
16.07.2026 16:00
Alashkert logoAlashkert

Match events

4′
0:1Momo Fanye Toure
Akmal Bakhtiyarov1:1
11′
26′
🟨
almas tyulyubay🟨
37′
Strahinja Tanasijević🟨
56′
73′
🟨Rafael De Jesus Santana Ferreira
80′
🟨Erik Piloian
Hrvoje Ilic🟨
86′
Hrvoje Ilic2:1
96′
110′
🟨Domi Jaures Massoumou
121′
2:2Higor Gabriel
Ivan Konovalov🟨
130′

Match statistics: Yelimay vs Alashkert

YelimayAlashkert
48Ball possession, %52
9Shots17
7Shots on target3
6Corners12
10Fouls14
2Offsides1
4Yellow cards4
0Red cards0
90Attacks95
53Dangerous attacks55

💡 Match preview Yelimay vs Alashkert

On the easternmost venue in the history of UEFA club competitions, a historic match for Semey is set to unfold. Local side Yelimay, following a 1:1 draw in Yerevan, will host Alashkert and aim to secure their first-ever home victory in European competition. Will the support of the home crowd prove decisive for Karapovich's squad?

Tactical Analysis: Yelimay – Defensive Solidity

The debutants in European competition acquitted themselves admirably in the first leg: they defended in an organized fashion and regularly posed a threat through swift counter-attacks. The draw could easily have been a win, had the hosts not been saved by the woodwork in one instance. Andrei Karapovich did not hide his frustration after the match, emphasizing that such goals cannot be conceded. The goal resulted from a marking error at a set piece rather than a systemic defensive collapse, so the Kazakh side will look to be more vigilant on home soil.

As many as eight Yelimay players made their European debut. Despite this, nerves did not compromise the defense's reliability. The opponent registered 14 shots on goal, but only two could be considered dangerous. New signings—goalkeeper Konovalov and center-back Tanasijevic—performed well in neutralizing the opponent's attacks. Karapovich opted for a formation with three center-backs and active wing-backs. The hosts frequently delivered the ball into the box from the flanks, though crosses rarely led to a finish. Yelimay looked far more dangerous in transition.

In recent matches, the team has clearly aimed to minimize dangerous moments in their own box. Over three matches, including the Conference League, the hosts have conceded just one goal, and the arrival of experienced newcomers will boost defensive reliability. However, it should be noted that Yelimay will be without captain Orazov for the return leg, which reduces their attacking potential. This season, he has recorded 3 goals and 3 assists in 15 matches.

Tactical Analysis: Alashkert – Dangerous from Set Pieces

Alashkert failed to fully capitalize on home advantage in the first leg. The team frequently built attacks through the flanks and regularly delivered the ball into the box, but they rarely won aerial duels against Yelimay's defenders. Only 3 of their 14 shots were on target, with many attempts either blocked or posing little threat to Konovalov. The Armenians' most dangerous weapon proved to be set pieces: sustained pressure from a corner late in the game led to the equalizing goal.

Defensively, Alashkert struggled against the opponent's quick transitions and did not always manage to position players correctly in the box. This is understandable: the match was the first official game of the season for the revamped squad, so chemistry between players is far from ideal. After the break, the team increased their intensity, and substitutions helped ramp up pressure on the flanks. Cesar was generally solid in central defense, but in the goal-scoring sequence, the entire backline lost concentration: the Armenians had a numerical advantage but allowed Ashybek to remain unmarked and convert Sviridov's cross.

Referee: Aleko Aptsiauri (Georgia)

The referee is still adapting to European competition. This match will be only the second of his career in UEFA tournaments—he officiated one Conference League game last season. He was not strict: he recorded 19 fouls and issued just one yellow card. In the Georgian top flight, Aptsiauri is harsher on infractions, averaging 4.45 bookings per match.

Predicted Lineups

Yelimay: Konovalov – Tkachuk, Tanasijevic, Shirobokov – Sviridov, Darabayev, Pasev, Korzun – Shvyrev, Ashybek, Nyangbo.

Alashkert: Cancarevic – Grigoryan, Cesar, Prtajin, Khachatryan – Gome, Wbeymar, Khurtsidze, Metaksyan – Agdon, Tarakhchyan.

Prediction and Bet

Main Prediction: Yelimay to win at odds of 1.56

Uncomfortable conditions for Alashkert—forecasters predict +30°C in Semey at kickoff, along with complex logistics—are arguments in favor of the hosts. They are accustomed to such heat, and Karapovich's side looked confident in the first leg. Moreover, Yelimay are in form, having won their last two league matches to nil. The visitors, on the other hand, lack match fitness, which contributed to defensive errors.

In attack, aside from set pieces, Gevorgyan's men found success on the flanks, especially in the second half. The goal conceded from a corner should force the Kazakhs to be stricter on dead-ball situations. However, the height of their center-backs and Konovalov's experience should allow Yelimay to neutralize crosses and cutbacks reliably. We back: Yelimay to win at 1.56.

Goal Prediction: Both teams to score – No at odds of 1.75

We believe that even at home, Yelimay will play pragmatically. Karapovich's team defended quite reliably away from home, committing only one fatal error at a corner. The coach has highlighted this issue, so we expect a solid correction. Meanwhile, Alashkert's positional attack was silent in the first leg. We take: Both teams to score – No at 1.75.

Match odds Yelimay vs Alashkert

Result (1X2)

X3.7411.5526.4

Double chance

1X1.1X22.38121.25

Both teams to score

No1.64Yes2.1

Over

11.0421.5332.9346.60.51.021.51.32.52.083.53.64.57.4

Under

16.9522.2631.3341.050.58.41.52.992.51.713.51.214.51.03

Handicap 1

01.13-11.97-24.33-1.52.55-2.55.2

Handicap 2

04.611.7721.151.51.412.51.1

Correct score

0:08.30:113.250:2361:05.21:16.551:2202:06.252:18.12:2203:010.53:1143:2354:0234:130

To qualify

11.2323.72

Predictions for Yelimay vs Alashkert

CM Chibuzo Madu Result: 1odds 1.66 Lost

I’m confident Yelimay will beat Alashkert at home. They just earned a draw on the road against the same opponent, and that result gives them the momentum, while home advantage should be enough to push them to victory.

IA Ifeanyi Abiodun Corners: Team 2 over 4.5odds 2.11 Won

I am confident the away team will take more than 4.5 corners in this match. The game ends in a 0-0 draw.

SI Samuel Ibe Correct score 2:1odds 7.90 Lost

I predict a home win. Recent form and home advantage give the hosts a clear edge, and I see no strong reason to bet against them here.

JE Joy Ekwueme Both teams to score — Yesodds 1.97 Won

Yelimay made their European debut with a 1-1 draw against Alashkert, but I’m confident they’ll secure a win in this match. Their competitive showing suggests they have what it takes to get the result.

SI Sunday Igwe Over 1.5 (1st half)odds 3.00 Won

I believe Alashkert will also play attacking football in this match against Elimay. The visitors always play an attacking style, so I expect an open and entertaining game.

GA Gloria Abubakar Result: 1odds 1.66 Pending

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EE Emeka Emenike Both teams to score — Noodds 1.73 Lost

I don't expect an open game in the return leg in Semey given the high stakes and the hosts' pragmatic style. The Kazakh side showed excellent defensive organization away from home, setting up with three center-backs. They've conceded just one goal in their last three matches across all competitions, including the Conference League. However, their creativity will take a major hit—they've lost captain Ramazan Orazov, who contributed 3 goals and 3 assists in 15 matches this season. Without him, their positional attack will suffer significantly.

For the revamped Alashkert, the first leg was their season debut, and they clearly lacked match fitness. Despite territorial dominance in Yerevan, they struggled to finish, managing only 3 shots on target from 14 attempts and failing to score from open play. Their biggest threat came from set pieces and sustained pressure after corners. Given Yelima's tall center-backs and reliable goalkeeper Denis Konovalov, the hosts can neutralize those crosses. Add in the brutal heat—forecasted at up to +30°C at kickoff—and the pace will drop, turning the match into a scrappy midfield battle.

AO Amara Obiora Under 0.5 (1st half)odds 2.61 Lost

I predict there will be no goals in the first half of this match. Both teams tend to start cautiously, and recent head-to-head meetings have been low-scoring early on. The defensive setups are solid, making an early breakthrough unlikely.

PA Patience Akintola Double chance: X2odds 2.15 Won

I predict a draw again. Both teams have shown consistent defensive solidity and a tendency to cancel each other out in recent meetings, making a stalemate the most likely outcome.

GK Gift Kalu Corners: Result: 2odds 2.78 Won

I'm predicting the away team will win the corner count in the second game as well. In the first match, they dominated with an 11-5 advantage, and I see no reason for that trend to change. Their aggressive play and tactical approach consistently generate more set-piece opportunities.

AS Aisha Suleiman Team 2 under 0.5odds 1.97 Lost

I'm confident Alashkert will not score. Their attack has been consistently blunt, and they face a defense that shuts down even stronger opponents. This bet is straightforward and well-supported.

MO Musa Okonkwo Double chance: X2odds 2.35 Won

I’m confidently predicting that Alashkert will fight to secure a draw in today’s match. Their best chance is to stay compact and avoid risks, forcing the opponent to break them down. This is the most likely outcome given the circumstances.

HO Hauwa Onyeka Handicap 1 (-1.5)odds 2.58 Lost

Elimai will dominate at home in the return leg, so I'm confidently backing them with a -1.5 handicap.

YO Yemi Okafor Over 2.5odds 2.08 Lost

I confidently predict that at least 3 goals will be scored in this game. The opponents have shown they can find the net, and I expect an open, high-scoring affair.

KA Kingsley Adeyemi To qualify: 2odds 3.72 Won

I'm backing Alashkert to advance at 3.72. The first leg ended 1-1, with Yelimay taking the lead but failing to hold on. Looking at recent form, Alashkert is unbeaten in their last ten matches (six wins, four draws), while Yelimay has one loss in that span. In the away leg, Alashkert had 55% possession and 11 corners to Yelimay's 5. Yelimay now must win – a draw sends it to extra time, not enough. Alashkert only needs a draw or win, and they've shown they can create on the road. The odds are high, but numbers and game context favor the visitors.

AA Amina Adamu Result: 1odds 1.56 Lost

I am confident that Nani will be the standout star on the football pitch and will lead his teammates to success. His experience, creativity, and ability to change the game in crucial moments make him the key player to watch. When the pressure is on, Nani steps up—he has the vision and skill to dictate the flow of the match and inspire those around him.

This bet is based on his proven track record in high-stakes games and his leadership qualities. I expect him to take control, create scoring opportunities, and be the decisive factor in the outcome. Nani will be the driving force, and I’m backing him to deliver.

AD Adaeze Danjuma Both teams to score — Yesodds 2.10 Won

I'm confident both Yelimay and Alashkert will score in this match. Each side has enough attacking quality to find the net, so backing both teams to get on the scoresheet is the clear call.

NO Ngozi Olaniyan Corners: Over 10.5odds 2.29 Won

I'm backing Yelimay - Alashkert to go over 2.5 goals. This match feels like it could easily surpass that total, even more than I initially estimated. Both sides have shown they can find the net, and defensive solidity isn't their strongest suit. I expect an open, attacking game with chances at both ends, making the over the clear play here.

DA Deborah Akintola Both teams to score — Noodds 1.65 Lost

I predict that neither team will score. Both defenses are solid and will keep a clean sheet, leading to a goalless draw.

KG Kunle Garba Under 2.5odds 1.71 Won

I'm confident that the teams in Semipalatinsk will not score more than two goals in regular time. The defensive setups and historical trends in this fixture point to a low-scoring affair, with both sides prioritizing structure over risk.

GA Gloria Abubakar Result: 1odds 1.56 Pending

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RM Ronke Musa Corners: Over 9.5odds 1.80 Won

I believe the teams will once again reach the standard number.

CS Chibuzo Shehu Corners: Under 9.5odds 1.88 Lost

I don't expect many corners in this match. The teams' playing styles and recent form suggest a low corner count, so betting on under is the smart move.

NT Ngozi Tanko Double chance: X2odds 2.35 Won

I'm confident the away team will avoid defeat. Their defensive organization and recent form give them a clear edge to secure at least a draw.

IA Ikechukwu Adekunle Both teams to score — Yesodds 2.08 Won

I'm confidently backing a goal exchange here—the odds are too good to pass up. Semey will give Armenia's visitors a real fight, and I expect both sides to find the net.

SA Segun Adeyemi Over 3odds 2.93 Lost

I expect this match to be very open and high-scoring. That's why I'm confidently backing over 3 goals.

CL Chinedu Lamido Result: 1odds 1.56 Lost

I'm betting on the home team to win. They were the favorites in the first match too, but they let the victory slip away at the end. I expect them to correct that mistake and secure the win this time.

JO Joy Obi Both teams to score — Yesodds 2.10 Won

I'm confident that the Elimai vs Alashkert match will be at least a repeat of their first encounter. The dynamics and conditions are nearly identical, so I expect a similar outcome.

GI Gabriel Idris Corners: Team 2 over 4.5odds 2.11 Won

Alashkert had 11 corners in the first match. I'm confident they'll get at least 5 in the return leg—that's easily within reach.

GI Gabriel Ibe Corners: Team 1 over 5.5odds 1.98 Lost

The Kazakh team will take plenty of corners at home. I’m betting on that.

RB Ruth Balogun Corners: Result: 1odds 1.66 Lost

Elimaï will clearly take control of the game as the dominant side, which guarantees they win on total corners earned. Their attacking pressure and possession will force more defensive clearances and corner opportunities, making this a strong bet.

HA Halima Anyanwu Handicap 1 (-1.5)odds 2.58 Lost

I predict that Yelimay will confidently secure a victory in their home match. Their strong form and home advantage make this outcome highly likely.

SL Segun Lamido Result: 1odds 1.56 Lost

I'm backing the home team. Playing in front of their own crowd gives them a clear edge, and their recent form supports a strong performance here. I expect them to control the game and secure the win.

CA Chiamaka Afolabi Corners: Under 8.5odds 2.46 Lost

I'm confident that the corner count will be low. It's practically a sure thing.

KY Kabiru Yusuf Corners: Team 2 over 4.5odds 2.11 Won

Alashkert took 11 corner kicks in the first match, so I am confident they will take many corners again in this match. Their performance shows they can generate a high number of set pieces, and I expect them to repeat that.

CS Chinedu Salami Both teams to score — Yesodds 2.08 Won

I believe both teams will score in this matchup. The attacking quality on both sides is strong, and defensive vulnerabilities make it likely we'll see goals from each team. This is a confident bet for me.

IM Ifeoma Mohammed Team 2 over 0.5odds 1.76 Won

Elimaï will concede a goal at home against Alashkert. The visitors have the attacking quality to find the net, and the hosts have shown defensive vulnerabilities in recent matches. I'm confident Alashkert will score.

OM Obinna Mohammed Double chance: X2odds 2.35 Pending

I'm confident Alashkert will avoid defeat again in this match. Their recent form and defensive solidity make another loss highly unlikely.

GA Gift Akintola Result: 1odds 1.56 Pending

I confidently predict that Elimay will win at home. They clearly deserve the victory on their own stadium.

SB Suleiman Bankole Team 2 over 0.5odds 1.77 Pending

I'm betting on the away team to score at least one goal. They have the attacking quality to find the net here, and the match setup favors them getting on the scoresheet.

KM Kingsley Musa Handicap 1 (-1.5)odds 2.58 Pending

I confidently predict that Elimay will win at home. Playing in familiar surroundings gives them a clear edge, and they have every intention of overpowering the visiting team. The home crowd and momentum will drive them to secure the victory.

OA Olusegun Abubakar Over 2.5odds 2.08 Pending

I predict this game will be a fight for survival. Obi will come out attacking, and Khazaeva will score at least two goals.

Match poster

Yelimay vs Alashkert — odds