Monaco vs Getafe: prediction and odds

Preseason friendlies often serve up clashes between clubs with vastly different footballing philosophies, and this upcoming encounter fits that description perfectly. Monaco under Filipe Luis plays open, dominant football, while Getafe under Jose Bordalas sticks firmly to pragmatism and defensive reliability. Which set of principles will come out on top?

Monaco’s Tactical Approach Under Filipe Luis

Monaco sneaked into the Conference League on the very last day of the 2025/26 season. To tackle the European stage successfully, the club appointed a new head coach – Filipe Luis – who installs a modern style based on aggressive pressing and a high defensive line. He trusts young players without hesitation, even handing starts to 16- or 17‑year‑olds. During these friendlies, the Brazilian tactician is using the matches to blood those teenage talents.

This summer, Monaco beat modest Saint-Priest 5‑2, lost to strong Sporting 0‑2, and drew 2‑2 with Cercle Brugge in a four‑30‑minute‑period format. Against the Belgians, the average age of the outfield players was just 22.9 years. The lineup also included recent arrivals. The club lost both left‑backs – Caio Henrique and Kassoum Ouattara – in the transfer window. Their replacements are 23‑year‑old Portuguese Nazinho (who has featured in every friendly), 18‑year‑old Aymen Assab from the PSG academy, and Mathis Detourbe on loan from Manchester City. Overall, though, Monaco have retained the core of the squad. The only notable departure is holding midfielder Aladji Bamba (18 appearances in 2025/26).

The coach is not rushing his established stars. Among the senior players, only defenders Eric Dier and Thilo Kehrer and midfielder Alexander Golovin (already on two goals) have seen minutes. Ansu Fati is training with the group but hasn’t played, while Paul Pogba only appeared in the second half against Saint-Priest. Captain Denis Zakaria is still on holiday, but starting striker Folarin Balogun has returned to training. Don’t expect the €25 million new signing from Nantes – Mattis Abline (8 goals, 7 assists in 34 matches last season) – to feature in this game, as he only just arrived at the club.

Getafe’s Pragmatic Style Under Bordalas

Getafe operate on a very tight budget, yet that didn’t stop them from finishing seventh in La Liga last season and qualifying for European competition for the first time since 2019/20. The team will play in the Conference League under Jose Bordalas, which means “harambol” football – purely pragmatic, tough, and disciplined. That familiar approach has been evident in their preseason friendlies. Getafe kept clean sheets against Reading (1‑0) and Valladolid (0‑0), beat Tenerife 2‑1, and only suffered a heavy loss to Atletico Madrid (1‑4).

Part of that heavy defeat can be attributed to defensive departures. In the summer, key centre‑back Domingos Duarte (35 matches last season) and wing‑backs Juan Iglesias (38 games) and Diego Rico (30 games) all left. The club also sold midfielders Luis Milla (1 goal, 10 assists in 38 matches) and Mauro Arambarri (6 goals, 2 assists in 37 games) – players who provided stability in the centre of the pitch. However, there’s another reason: Bordalas has been giving heavy minutes to reserve‑team players in friendlies. Against Atletico, five players took the field who either had no senior experience at all or fewer than five senior appearances combined.

The coach rotates his squad heavily in every friendly. For this match, expect the return of Zaid Romero, who was bought from Brugge. Romero plugged the defensive holes and ensured solidity in the first three friendlies. Also likely to start is Martin Satriano, now a permanent Getafe player; since his transfer was completed, the Uruguayan has scored two goals in three games. Apart from that, all the key men are available, and the treatment room is empty.

Predicted Lineups

Monaco (4‑2‑3‑1): Gradetsky – Vanderson, Dier, Kehrer, Nazinho – Coulibaly, Cabral – Idumbo, Golovin, Detourbe – Bireth

Unavailable: Minamino, Salisu (both injured), Zakaria (resting)

Head coach: Filipe Luis

Getafe (4‑4‑2): Ferrer – Femenia, Romero, Boselli, Garcia – Sancris, Martin, Terrats, Davinci – Uche, Satriano

Unavailable: none

Head coach: Jose Bordalas

Prediction and Bet

Main bet: Getafe not to lose at odds of 2.00

After fielding an extremely reserve‑heavy lineup against Atletico, Bordalas will likely give more minutes to experienced players in this match – for example, Zaid Romero in central defence or Mario Martin in the holding midfield role, both of whom provide balance and reliability. With a near‑optimal XI, Getafe still defend very well; they conceded only one goal in their first three friendlies, confirming that.

Monaco are still getting used to Filipe Luis’s methods and his style of football, which leads to costly errors even against modest sides like Saint-Priest. Their summer friendly lineups are half‑filled with youngsters who are far from executing instructions perfectly. Partly for that reason, Monaco have conceded at least two goals in every preseason game this summer. Given these conditions, the Spanish side can compete, so we recommend a bet on Getafe not to lose at 2.00.

Goal prediction: Both teams to score – Yes at odds of 2.00

In four friendlies this summer, Getafe have only failed to score once – and they even found the net against Atletico despite a host of inexperienced players on the pitch. With first‑team regulars back in the lineup, they can produce a more coherent attacking display, especially since Monaco allow so many chances at their own end. Monaco themselves have averaged 1.91 goals per 90 minutes this preseason, so backing both teams to score at 2.00 looks a solid pick.