Remo Belem vs Atlético Mineiro: Prediction, Betting Tips and Match Preview

In the 22nd round of Brazil’s Serie A, Remo Belem welcome Atletico Mineiro to their home ground, with the hosts locked in a desperate fight against relegation while the visitors ride a wave of momentum and aim to close the gap on the league leaders. The sharp form of the Roosters and the defensive frailties of the Blue-and-Whites could well decide the outcome of this clash.

Tactical Analysis: Remo Belem

Remo Belem currently sit 19th in the Serie A standings, with 21 points from 21 matches. They have scored 24 goals and conceded 34, averaging 1.14 goals scored and 1.62 conceded per game. In recent league outings, the Blue-and-Whites defeated Vitoria 2-0, but then fell to Mirassol 1-2 and lost to Corinthians 0-3, while their Copa do Brasil campaign ended with a 0-1 defeat to Santos.

The home side’s players try to be active in attack, but a weak defensive organization regularly costs them points. The team concedes far too many goals and has failed to score in three of their last five official matches across all competitions. Such instability at the back keeps the club firmly in the relegation zone.

Tactical Analysis: Atletico Mineiro

Atletico Mineiro occupy 10th place in the table, having collected 28 points from 20 league encounters. They have scored 25 times and conceded 25, posting averages of 1.25 goals for and 1.25 against per match. In their most recent league fixtures, the Roosters beat Palmeiras 2-1 away and edged Vasco da Gama 1-0, while in the Copa do Brasil they dispatched Juventude 1-0.

On the road, the team displays a very compact and pragmatic style, having conceded only two goals in their last six matches across all tournaments. Reliable defensive work allows the visitors to consistently pick up points. Their current form translates into regular victories against opponents of any level.

Tournament Motivation

Remo Belem are highly motivated to win on home soil in order to reduce the gap to the safety of 16th place and fight for survival. Atletico Mineiro trail the Copa Libertadores qualification spots by just a few points and are eager to extend their successful run. The league positions demand that both sides play for victory.

Squad Situation

Remo Belem have some absences. Central defender Duplex Tchamba and central midfielder Patrick de Paula will not be available. Marlon and Leonele Piccho are expected to replace them. The key figure in attack is forward Alef Manga, who has contributed 8 goal involvements (5 goals and 3 assists) in 21 matches this season.

Atletico Mineiro are without left-back Renan Lodi and attacking midfielder Gustavo Scarpa due to injury. Guilherme Arana and Igor Gomes are set to step in. The main creative force is midfielder Victor Hugo, who has recorded 4 goals and 1 assist in 20 league appearances.

Prediction and Bet

Main Prediction: Atletico Mineiro to win at odds of 2.38

Atletico Mineiro are in superb form, having won 7 of their last 10 matches in all competitions and secured three consecutive away victories in Serie A. Remo Belem sit 19th in the relegation zone, conceding an average of 1.62 goals per game, and have lost 3 of their last 5 outings. The visitors’ superior individual quality and solid defense should allow them to take all three points. Our selection: Atletico Mineiro to win at 2.38. We assess the probability of an away victory at 46% (anything above 2.17 is playable).

Total Goals Prediction: Under 2.5 goals at odds of 1.70

Atletico Mineiro have been reliable at the back, letting in only two goals in their last six matches across all tournaments. The home side have failed to score in three of their last five official games and struggle in the creative phase. Given the visitors’ pragmatic away style, a low-scoring affair is expected. We back under 2.5 goals at 1.70. We estimate the probability of this total at 62% (anything above 1.61 is playable).