Eintracht vs Freiburg: Prediction, Betting Tips and Match Preview

Bundesliga leaders SC Freiburg hit the road this weekend to face Eintracht Frankfurt. Julian Schuster’s side have opened the new campaign with a perfect record after three matchdays, making it six wins from six official games – the first time in club history they have achieved such a start. Frankfurt, meanwhile, finally secured their first league victory last weekend and are eager to build on that momentum.

Tactical Analysis: Eintracht Frankfurt

Adi Hütter’s men had a rocky start to the season. They let a win slip against Union Berlin in a 3-3 draw, then were hammered 4-1 by Augsburg – a side that scored four goals from just 1.13 xG. That defeat exposed serious defensive frailties. However, the response came quickly: in round three, Frankfurt beat Mainz 3-1. Yet even that match was far from comfortable. The visitors matched them in almost every department – five shots on target each, and an xG of 2.12 for Mainz against 2.04 for Frankfurt, meaning the hosts were actually slightly fortunate to come away with three points.

The recurring theme so far has been a lack of defensive consistency. Frankfurt are not allowing opponents a huge volume of chances – their expected goals against (xGA) after three games is 5.18 – yet they have already conceded eight goals. Only the bottom three teams have a worse defensive record. One bright spot could be goalkeeper Arthur Atubolu, who is on loan from none other than Freiburg. Against Mainz, he saved his sixth consecutive penalty in the Bundesliga, extending his own league record.

Where Frankfurt struggle at the back, they compensate up front. The attack is firing well: seven goals from 5.73 xG. All of those goals have come from the front three – Ebimene Ebnoutalib, Can Uzun, and Hugo Burkardt. Burkardt, in particular, will relish facing Freiburg: he scored a brace the last time Frankfurt visited this opponent away from home.

Tactical Analysis: SC Freiburg

Freiburg’s start to the season has been nothing short of flawless. They have won all six competitive matches so far – progressing in the DFB-Pokal and navigating the Conference League qualifiers with ease. That form has carried into the Bundesliga, where Schuster’s men beat Werder Bremen 4-1, Paderborn 1-0, and then demolished Borussia Mönchengladbach 5-0 last weekend.

The scoreline against Gladbach was helped by a red card for the opposition early in the second half, but even before that Freiburg were clearly superior. They led 2-0 at the break with an xG of 0.84 against Gladbach’s 0.12. Overall, Freiburg lead the league in both goals scored (10) and goals conceded (1). Their xGA of just 1.53 over three matchdays is the best in the Bundesliga, and they have allowed only six shots on target – a tally matched only by Bayern Munich and Mainz.

In attack, Igor Matanović is the standout performer. He joined Freiburg last summer from – you guessed it – Eintracht Frankfurt, for whom he scored just once in 16 Bundesliga appearances in 2024/25. Since moving, he has netted 21 goals across all competitions for Freiburg, including six already this season.

Predicted Lineups

Eintracht Frankfurt (3-4-3): Atubolu – Brassier, Koch, Otávio – Baum, Onyedika, Azeko Nkili, Kosugi – Doan, Burkardt, Uzun

Unavailable: Ngamkam (injured)

Head coach: Adi Hütter

SC Freiburg (4-5-1): Backhaus – Treu, Lienhart, Ginter, Makengo – Beste, Engelhardt, Suzuki, Eggenstein, Scherhant – Matanović

Unavailable: Muslija (injured)

Head coach: Julian Schuster

Referee

The man in the middle is Sören Storks. He tends to be fairly strict with players: in his last 20 Bundesliga matches, Storks has averaged 4.7 yellow cards per game and 20.4 fouls per game. Over that same stretch, he has issued seven red cards and awarded four penalties.

Prediction and Bet

Main prediction: Freiburg to win at odds of 2.75

Frankfurt have been inconsistent at the start of the season, picking up only four points from three matches. In two of those games, they held the lead but failed to manage the pressure and dropped points. Their only home fixture so far ended in a heavy 4-1 defeat to Augsburg. Freiburg, by contrast, look nearly flawless. Schuster’s side have won all six opening matches across all competitions and boast the best attacking (10 goals) and defensive (1 goal) records in the Bundesliga. Backing Freiburg to take all three points seems a solid call.

Total goals prediction: Freiburg over 1.5 goals at 1.87

Frankfurt’s defensive vulnerability has been evident in every league match so far – they have not kept a single clean sheet and have shipped eight goals in total, a record better only than the bottom three. Freiburg, meanwhile, are extremely efficient in attack, having scored 22 goals in six matches this season across all competitions. They are also dangerous from set pieces: nine of their goals this season have come from dead-ball situations, six of them from corners. A bet on Freiburg to score at least twice looks appealing.